b398a65eb9
Added routine for computing unconditional forecasts of a backward looking model.
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(cherry picked from commit d93b6b2f15
2017-06-14 00:05:32 +02:00
cfd82e28e4
Added routine computing IRFs of backward looking model.
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(cherry picked from commit 647505526a
2017-06-14 00:05:16 +02:00
ca7f734561
Updated dynare_config (wrt 214b534b25)
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(cherry picked from commit 12733e94f3
2017-06-14 00:04:28 +02:00
5570bf1588
Moved backward models related routines in specific subfolder.
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(cherry picked from commit 214b534b25
2017-06-14 00:01:48 +02:00
57cab69530
Try random initial guess for dynare_solve...
...
... If for the default initial guess we obtain NaNs or Infs in the residuals
and/or the Jacobian matrix.
(cherry picked from commit d282226100
2017-06-14 00:01:10 +02:00
b773a242c8
discretionary_policy_1.m: output which derivative is nonzero
2017-06-12 20:59:45 +02:00
0500a69031
Merge pull request #1467 from JohannesPfeifer/line_breaks
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Fix two line breaks
2017-06-12 16:05:15 +02:00
c45f9b776d
Merge pull request #1466 from JohannesPfeifer/discret_policy
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Adjust error message if number of instruments does not match number o…
2017-06-12 16:05:01 +02:00
c063fe1843
Fix two line breaks
2017-06-11 10:58:19 +02:00
4f06afea9c
Adjust error message if number of instruments does not match number of omitted equations
2017-06-11 10:55:14 +02:00
be61de1367
Account for negative steady state in case of log-linearization.
2017-06-08 11:59:02 +02:00
3f54ab04d4
Fixed mh_optimal_bandwidth.
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Bump killing mode (local bandwidth parameter), ie bandwidth=-2, was not
working. This is without consequences for Dynare because this approach is never
used.
Closes #1463 .
2017-06-07 11:02:49 +02:00
c8228d71d3
Added missing prior (Weibull).
2017-06-06 20:37:41 +02:00
a023839890
Fixed bug instroduced in e5945a4527.
2017-06-05 10:51:30 +02:00
baf7ba9031
Merge pull request #1462 from JohannesPfeifer/contemp_corr
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Make sure oo_.contemporaneous_correlation has same dimensions as othe…
2017-06-04 23:18:26 +02:00
8015144817
Merge pull request #1460 from JohannesPfeifer/hessian_zero
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Make sure that reverting to order=1 if Hessian is 0 does not crash ot…
2017-06-04 21:42:52 +02:00
cb25ffebaa
Merge pull request #1457 from JohannesPfeifer/ML_error
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dynare_estimation_init.m: provide informative error message if ML is …
2017-06-04 15:33:24 +02:00
f9efc6c10e
Make sure oo_.contemporaneous_correlation has same dimensions as other theoretical moments, even if some variables are constant
2017-05-30 19:30:43 +02:00
d75e7278c2
Make sure that reverting to order=1 if Hessian is 0 does not crash other functions
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Closes #1453
2017-05-27 19:26:12 +02:00
e5945a4527
dynare_estimation_init.m: provide informative error message if ML is run without properly initialized parameters
2017-05-26 09:46:05 +02:00
7cd56e9687
Get rid of unused and superseded options_.colormap and make sure options_.plot_shock_decomp.colormap is set
2017-05-23 13:20:47 +02:00
4195033561
Fixed typo introduced in 88e1701289.
2017-05-20 01:21:28 +02:00
2e9467e511
Fixed copyright year in matlab/dynare_version.in.
2017-05-19 16:16:45 +02:00
803433fa5a
Updated submodules (fixed indentation and copyrigth notices).
2017-05-19 08:46:20 +02:00
1bf81c9f5a
Fixed copyright notices.
2017-05-18 18:36:38 +02:00
b6634940ff
Removed unused routine.
2017-05-17 10:27:42 +02:00
5417b27ac7
Fixed indentation of matlab files.
2017-05-16 15:10:20 +02:00
a53636e24e
Fixed copyright notices.
2017-05-16 14:11:15 +02:00
88e1701289
Removed useless commas and semicolons.
2017-05-16 13:24:46 +02:00
9285a80a73
Fixed function name in header.
2017-05-16 13:24:46 +02:00
5ef2d650b2
Fixed function name in header.
2017-05-16 13:24:46 +02:00
06ae919b87
Removed *.el file that should not have been commited.
2017-05-16 13:24:46 +02:00
1a8cba5d26
Removed @dynTimeIndex class (unused).
2017-05-16 13:24:46 +02:00
ab9b512021
Merge pull request #1450 from JohannesPfeifer/var_list_problems
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Make sure varlists are correctly updated after removal of doubly defi…
2017-05-16 13:23:48 +02:00
c373ed3897
Make sure varlists are correctly updated after removal of doubly defined variables via varlist_indices.m
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Otherwise the mapping between i_var and varlist does not match anymore (results in e.g. wrong display of IRFs)
2017-05-14 11:03:05 +02:00
ae50f25c76
Fixed detection of stochastic trends orthogonal to the observed variables.
2017-05-12 18:55:15 +02:00
278726f3fc
Fixed typo.
2017-05-10 18:42:46 +02:00
3816272414
Make load_m_file_data_legacy.m work with row vectors.
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Added unit-tests.
2017-05-10 17:39:11 +02:00
981e31c8c3
Fix issues in bytecode with option extended_path related to the size of endo_simul and exo_simul
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(cherry picked from commit ab7acc49e30fbcb292d63d58281581a308716b4c)
2017-05-08 18:40:18 +02:00
e248d8bf59
Fix memory and periods issues in bytecode
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(cherry picked from commit fa5dd681abcb3243a5ee9be1f71fdfc51bced1cd)
2017-05-08 18:39:44 +02:00
28f1ff8c4a
Renamed routine.
2017-05-06 16:38:19 +02:00
d471bede09
Call dynare_solve instead of trust region when simulating backward models.
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Gives access to other solvers.
2017-05-06 16:32:48 +02:00
36fb15f34c
Rewrote header.
2017-05-04 18:17:15 +02:00
cfc849fadc
Fixed subsample periods for exogenous variables.
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Model inversion routine was returning wrong results when the periods in
constrainedpaths where not aligned with the periods in exogenousvariables.
(cherry picked from commit d0071bd80b
2017-05-03 14:22:04 +02:00
5ce20179bd
Added specialized code for the inversion of backward models.
2017-05-02 23:04:44 +02:00
f6bb392165
Merge pull request #1445 from JohannesPfeifer/ramsey_message
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Ramsey: provide informative error messages related to steady state
2017-05-02 22:56:26 +02:00
37bffddef8
Provide correct error code if no steady_state-file is provided and Ramsey fails to find steady state
2017-05-02 13:48:25 +02:00
5af9af06b4
Provide informative error message if steady state file is used without specifying an instrument
2017-05-01 18:59:11 +02:00
e1c983cc7b
Fixed bug (ensure that we concatenate column vectors).
2017-04-29 19:20:02 +02:00
b52c095a6b
Add legacy function for loading mat-files with old interface
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Follows approach of #758 and closes #1364
2017-04-29 18:25:39 +02:00
072246c5ab
Merge pull request #1441 from JohannesPfeifer/ksstat
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Remove redundant ksstat option
2017-04-29 18:00:25 +02:00
d7b2e271d7
Update documentation on sensitivity
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Closes #789
2017-04-27 12:03:02 +02:00
451646ff16
Remove redundant ksstat option
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Closes #1431
2017-04-27 11:08:17 +02:00
c1b6a58eb7
Manually revert 05fc096569.
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Robust prediction error covariance matrix computation is now optional (with
rescale_prediction_error_covariance option).
Closes #1437 .
2017-04-27 10:44:27 +02:00
d6e1d0baa5
Added option rescale_prediction_error_covariance.
2017-04-26 18:22:03 +02:00
e21387c874
Bump Octave version.
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Octave 4.2.1 32bit or 64bit is now required (should work with 4.2.0 but not
tested anymore, so users should upgrade).
2017-04-26 15:51:24 +02:00
650a3f6da2
Point to mex/octave32 if OCtave 32bit is used on Windows platform.
2017-04-26 15:10:40 +02:00
6ca415ce14
stochastic_solvers.m: Suppress redundant warning if order was already set to 1
2017-04-25 20:16:10 +02:00
7829a25238
make stoch_simul solve linear model using order=1, even when order=2,3 specified. Also makes stoch_simul more efficient. closes #1336
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(cherry picked from commit e29be9676dd40388919819af2d366b8308763ccc)
2017-04-22 16:26:13 +02:00
767e45db95
Shut off warning about short circuit operators (when calling qzdiv).
2017-04-22 14:44:47 +02:00
ad21612967
Removed Octave specific part in mjdgges.m function.
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Also force complex QZ factorization in Octave.
2017-04-22 14:44:47 +02:00
fa1563370c
Make resol.m honor nocheck flag
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Before, we never tested for correctness, allowing for wrong steady state files in the check command. Fixes bug introduced in 616efb53a448cfa59149951395838627fd1bf719 and restores behavior in 4.4.3
2017-04-21 10:10:03 +02:00
7f4c1c6529
Merge pull request #1435 from JohannesPfeifer/cmaes_fitness
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mode_compute=9: Make sure initial search volume (SIGMA) is not badly …
2017-04-20 16:33:37 +02:00
7376498e51
Fixed branch for dseries submodule.
2017-04-20 16:28:39 +02:00
52a082a1f9
Add check for positive definiteness of Sigma_u^star
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Otherwise, complex likelihoods may occur
2017-04-20 16:18:03 +02:00
d0682bca30
Updated dseries submodule.
2017-04-20 15:36:06 +02:00
f1123200e5
mode_compute=9: Make sure initial search volume (SIGMA) is not badly conditioned
2017-04-12 13:39:34 +02:00
97ac502d3d
Fixed wrong threshold (unit root detection again).
2017-04-05 14:14:56 +02:00
288f010944
Fixed bug (detection of unit roots).
2017-04-05 14:11:23 +02:00
f57fc0a5a3
Added new routine for model inversion.
2017-04-05 13:42:03 +02:00
8a18e87d98
Removed persistent variables in evaluate_smoother routine.
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Closes #1412 .
2017-04-05 11:44:27 +02:00
00299a92c1
Make sure options_.first_obs is properly set
2017-04-05 11:44:27 +02:00
4dcdb81a31
Changed error message introduced in 30c9b3721564d89d1b85abcdc75d493075e6ca77.
2017-04-03 11:25:05 +02:00
ade89a9ec1
Fixed missing initialization of qz_criterium with nonlinear filters.
2017-04-03 11:25:05 +02:00
76c4bd04fe
Provide informative error message if non-stationary model is estimated using particle filter
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Closes #1377
(cherry picked from commit efaa7e54136ffd48fb69e075ecacf9708a553d3b)
2017-04-03 11:25:05 +02:00
f9a462bf07
Added option nonlinear_filter_initialization.
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Default value is 1 (initialization with the ergodic variance of the reduced
form solution of the model approximated at order one).
If the model has unit roots, the user must use `nonlinear_filter_initialization=3`,
which select an identity matrix for the initial covariance matrix of the state variables.
A side effect of this option is to temporarily change the value of options_.qz_criterium to
a value above one (ie 1+1e-6) so that the unit roots are not rejected. If the
model has unit roots and if the and if the option
nonlinear_filter_initialization has a value less than 3, the evaluation of the
likelihood will fail, because by default the unit root is counted as an
unstable root.
2017-04-03 11:25:05 +02:00
97e185bc6e
Cosmetic changes in doc header.
2017-04-03 11:25:05 +02:00
f18c16653e
Merge pull request #1428 from JohannesPfeifer/patch-1
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Test the rank of Pinf in univariate smoother for the subset of observables
2017-04-01 09:57:32 +02:00
1755192e63
Make 792924 consistent with cases where Pinf is an empty matrix
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Fixes the crash in `analytic_derivatives/fs2000_analytic_derivation.mod`
2017-03-31 17:41:38 +02:00
ac851b0bac
preprocessor: initial_condition_decomposition front end. closes #1425
2017-03-31 13:19:04 +02:00
3e779ebfee
initial_condition_decomposition: fix options_ substructure
2017-03-31 13:09:21 +02:00
792924a3b7
- test the rank of Pinf in univariate smoother for the subset of observables, in order to trap cases where this is not already trapped in compute_Pinf_Pstar.m
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- issue warning when diffuse steps never end [maybe we should issue an error?]
2017-03-30 11:21:54 +02:00
bf607ce630
Make sure no stale _posterior_draws.mat files are present
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May crash compute_moments_varendo.m due to more files being present than generated in the current run
2017-03-29 14:52:32 +02:00
839e7075f6
dsge_simulated_theoretical_covariance.m: fix bug that led to last _2ndOrderMoments*.mat file not being saved, instead overwriting the prior one
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Produced wrong posterior covariance estimates in large models, because the moments matrix contained zeros that were not overwritten by loaded draws due to missing file
2017-03-29 14:52:32 +02:00
37dd5fd077
Merge pull request #1422 from JohannesPfeifer/real_time_shock
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realtime_shock_decomposition.m: Delete variable that produced unwante…
2017-03-27 11:37:16 +02:00
2240b06487
fix typo
2017-03-27 11:20:34 +02:00
e24b1ea76e
fixes in preamble and plot_shock_decomp structure of options.
2017-03-27 08:29:52 +02:00
4380b4a973
realtime_shock_decomposition.m: Delete variable that produced unwanted output
2017-03-25 12:21:47 +01:00
bab401ebbc
utility to decompose initial condition effect
2017-03-25 08:16:33 +01:00
7315b5ae73
fix bug in merge commit e103462050
2017-03-24 18:11:45 +01:00
b3fa669717
bug fix introduced in 234aaacf92
2017-03-24 17:13:03 +01:00
ae921f6bf1
Merge remote-tracking branch 'rattoma/shock_decomp'
2017-03-24 16:20:47 +01:00
b5262ca1e8
Merge remote-tracking branch 'rattoma/deterministic'
2017-03-24 16:20:01 +01:00
e103462050
Merge remote-tracking branch 'rattoma/gsa'
2017-03-24 16:19:44 +01:00
732aa8c30c
Merge remote-tracking branch 'rattoma/slice'
2017-03-24 16:19:04 +01:00
598422931b
reporting: submodule update
2017-03-24 16:16:48 +01:00
b3ecc8c003
preprocessor: add plot_shock_decomposition command. closes #1406
2017-03-24 12:11:36 +01:00
b8b6228d67
graph_decomp_detail: fix bug, extra argument not referenced
2017-03-24 11:24:14 +01:00
93130ee922
fix bug in WriteShockDecomp2Excel
2017-03-24 10:34:59 +01:00
c467c92d29
shock_decomposition: move fig_names to fig_name (fixing typo)
2017-03-24 10:34:59 +01:00
e5f1d20221
change dyn_figure to take a nodisplay and graph_format arguments as opposed to options_. closes #1415
2017-03-23 17:59:05 +01:00
2aa85f978a
change dyn_figure to take a nodisplay argument as opposed to options_. #1415
2017-03-23 14:30:16 +01:00
afcb8eab35
catch M_ output argument from evaluate_smoother;
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remove unused variable lead_lag_incidence
2017-03-23 08:25:14 +01:00
234aaacf92
factorized display of critical values.
2017-03-23 00:08:05 +01:00
c60379ae96
upgrade call to evaluate_smoother
2017-03-22 23:32:19 +01:00
1db86865f7
better trap missing input arguments
2017-03-22 23:24:41 +01:00
99dbc8c74d
bug fix with redundant call to prior_bounds
2017-03-22 23:08:18 +01:00
b77791c541
ensure invhess is empty with slice for proper prior initialization of chains
2017-03-22 23:06:19 +01:00
780c1f5216
provide userdata with info on actual varlist used
2017-03-22 22:37:59 +01:00
a9dd046db7
fill in end of sample conditional shock decompositions.
2017-03-22 22:30:14 +01:00
76097a799f
Added missing struct2array routine.
2017-03-22 15:20:13 +01:00
ee2c30fd97
Partialm cherry-pick of 28e95d817a181f758dab595d6a14de0ff348bed5
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Give more informations in case of NaN, Inf or non real variables.
Closes PR #1385 .
2017-03-22 14:04:35 +01:00
85fe69b265
Cosmetic change (use logicals).
2017-03-20 11:39:22 +01:00
9abac8ccdb
Store indicator whether smoother was used with loglinear
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Required to keep track of whether estimates were logged. Related to #1407
2017-03-20 11:36:10 +01:00
5424fde74e
metropolis_draw.m: Replace round by ceil to avoid crashes when 0 draws would be used
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(cherry picked from commit 2dc3ad22fdb8fedee7fdd2ed3577978bd8f37324)
2017-03-20 10:19:14 +01:00
94ef60556e
Account for loglinear option when reading in M_.endo_histval
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(cherry picked from commit d088420c21eba397459015b6a957c7eff7eafc36)
2017-03-20 09:37:58 +01:00
6e268c34d4
Cosmetic fixes to dynare_estimation_init.m
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(cherry picked from commit 7ea24165c0a26393753c58170f74fab3f7076b3e)
2017-03-20 09:27:04 +01:00
9427b58bfd
add parameter names to mean file, to ensure same behavior of standard mode files.
2017-03-19 12:19:24 +01:00
389123d0b5
bug fixes.
2017-03-19 12:19:24 +01:00
121333d913
currently, the mode_file specified by the user is re-set to empty. This re-sets mode_file to the user defined value.
2017-03-19 12:19:24 +01:00
b916d788f4
trap cases where both point and posterior estimates are available
2017-03-19 12:19:24 +01:00
a869f5a2c4
Updated m-unit-tests submodule.
2017-03-19 12:15:22 +01:00
2b28ba70d9
Make remote parallel computation compatible with new steadystate and auxiliary variable files
2017-03-18 17:28:44 +01:00
6c21d44968
Fixed encoding.
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For a non identified an enconding issue was leading scatter_plots function to crash...
2017-03-18 16:28:30 +01:00
d1550293bf
bug fix for the rare case where r2 does not change for some observable
2017-03-18 10:27:36 +01:00
576b2d0f85
end-of-line fix
2017-03-18 10:27:36 +01:00
0845aa8430
Fixed header and license of GSA.
2017-03-18 10:27:36 +01:00
a40a854a59
Set copyright for pick.m
2017-03-18 10:27:36 +01:00
0f07d17d8c
Introduced scatter plot analysis of output results, borrowing from by GLUWIN toolbox.
2017-03-18 10:27:36 +01:00
a47f6fc2ca
- save also info on selected endo names
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- bug fix for one single endo variable
- when nograph, no older plot is deleted
2017-03-18 10:27:36 +01:00
0752d6a8e6
Trap incompatible user define options in a more transparent way. Fixes #1016 .
2017-03-18 10:27:36 +01:00
a5a086040b
Bug fixes for latex and to new smooth* files saved by posterior sampler
2017-03-18 10:27:36 +01:00
e71ed1bad6
Partially revert f70f45d1271e716498a8761a8e8476f54da3607d. Do not discard repetitions.
2017-03-18 00:06:15 +01:00
c02de3c652
fixed text to error message
2017-03-18 00:06:15 +01:00
e180e2f075
1) fixed while for b index
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2) ensure there are no repeated draws in sub-draws;
3) speed-up subdraw sampling when all retained draws are used.
2017-03-18 00:06:15 +01:00
20b0fc8bac
update mh_mode with slice and load_mh_file
2017-03-18 00:06:15 +01:00
1e3e2f70a9
set posterior sampler options when load_mh_file
2017-03-18 00:06:15 +01:00
49b45a3ba7
sampler options to be set also when load_mh_file = 1
2017-03-18 00:06:15 +01:00
fd8073720e
For very short chains, maximize the max number of sub_draws across chains
2017-03-18 00:06:15 +01:00
bc6c6fc486
Removed remaining calls or references to cputime.
2017-03-17 22:49:01 +01:00
a68e958cf7
As agreed in #1375 , moved treatment of filtered_vars in dynare_estimation_init.m
2017-03-17 15:43:00 +01:00
4f93c3df15
proper use of varlist in smoothed variables + sort in alphabetic order to find more easily plots for large numbers of variables.
2017-03-17 15:43:00 +01:00
4b2d139c7a
- store oo_.FilteredVariablesKStepAheadVariances only if options_.filter_covariance. this can save a lot of memory for large models
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- oo_.FilteredVariables must be stored independently to a previous MCMC. evaluate_smoother must in any case provide full info in oo_
- options_.filtered_vars does not always imply filtered variables are computed. options_.nk is more robust.
2017-03-17 15:43:00 +01:00
510bbe200e
Bug fix (wrong number of output arguments when calling evaluate_smoother).
2017-03-17 15:09:05 +01:00
0adb065b7e
Bug fix (wrong count of the number of output arguments).
2017-03-17 14:21:53 +01:00
5d8d5e90d8
evaluate_smoother.m: pass updated M_.params and oo_ back to base workspace
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Closes #1373
2017-03-17 13:15:39 +01:00
b6a8887da3
Bug fix (missing declaration of freq if initial_date is empty).
2017-03-17 12:42:00 +01:00
6b64c47ec2
Bug fix with stored shock_decomp options
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
ab21c383a6
Added check for change in options_.nobs, for rolling calls to smoother
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Use select_qz_criterium_value
to fix all cases where the default
options_.qz_criterium = [];
is passed to evaluate_smoother and dataset_ is already set.
qz_criterium also set to fix evaluate_likelihood.m for similar issues
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
19cc38b39e
allow to start from quarterly growth rate variables
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
ce6f76713d
cosmetic change
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
7a6b4f3464
extra option about choosing the time periods for which to plot decompositions
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
1920fb0bfe
fixed timing bugs in annualized shock decomposition
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
d7723877cf
bug fixes for annualized nominal variables
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
ac43beb801
bug fix with 'others' in conditional decomposition
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
9005054c6f
optional output argument for plot_shock_decomposition.m + several fixes to annualized computations and plots.
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
39c3cf7718
bug fix with realtime conditional shock decomp
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
a8107e154a
added new annual aggregation types, for consistent quantity/price aggregations, if required.
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
cb3362b89d
missing utility for xls export of shock decomps.
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
5a51e9cc78
fixed zero line in all cases
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
a50a4f458a
Bug fix: all shock decomp options need to be stored in mydata for uimenu's.
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
e21c887775
bug fix with steady state option
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
61d55127ed
Fixed bug with naming of screen option
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
e7442bcf78
added geometric average.
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Set neutral type names, replacing stock/flow/deflator.
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
46d6e59c9a
small fix to file names
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
bfe6d04bf2
- Added the possibility to compute annualized variables and associated decompositions out of quarterly ones, without blowing up variable definitions
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- Fixed call to plot realtime conditional shock decomposition
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
bb4ecbf5a8
Realtime conditional forecast is better computed as residual from the realtime shock decomposition and the model unconditional forecast
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
a7ae355e8f
Fixed dating issues in some plot shock decomps
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
441d34a6ee
Fixed bug with realtime conditional shock decompo
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
f87e240b30
Some better diversification of fig names and captions
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
92f79a14f4
Added realtime conditional forecast shock decomposition
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
3bebeb1832
Legend for detailed plots
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
3fdf7be6e8
- removed useless internal option fig_mode
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- better captions/figure nsmes
- moved plots to graphs subdir
- fixed latex issuea [label and caption].
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
10773e2cbb
results of realtime_shock_decomposition.m should be plotted using only plot_shock_decomposition.m, so avoid unexpectable behavior.
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
d304fd26c1
shock_decomposition.m has to rely on plot_shock_decomposition.m, to make behaviour robust.
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
c2d2c46edf
fixed figure name
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
02b3e20377
allow uimenu's also for colored graphs + better organization of userdata info
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
4ff586247e
bug fix in Others group label
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
2c54d4432a
- Bug fix with screen_shocks option
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- fix to figure title
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
ad55e1b085
initialize screen_shocks option of shock decomp
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
9e73a9e86b
add steady state line
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
94297b71cc
bug fixes around plot_shock_decomposition.m utilities
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
0bf30889f9
Fixed header + bug fix for default options + set only local nograph
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
e3c825f01a
fixed header
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
73e5650dcc
Revert "shock_decomposition should also follow global options_.nograph"
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This reverts commit 01971dbeb032642421f60b468517fbbe0995a222.
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
ba7802204f
end of lines
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
d2d6e19d87
fixes around default options in shock decompositions
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
7733484912
New utility plot_shock_decomposition.m
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new graph_decomp_detail.m for detailed plots of shock contributions
new expand_group.m for optional uimenu operation in case of grouped shocks.
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
3ed94b2e46
New realtime_shock_decomposition.m routine + provisions in global initialization
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
4a314f7f8a
shock_decomposition should also follow global options_.nograph
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
a092cc3b73
Set default graph options and extend graph_decomp.m accordingly.
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
e174d04579
- New option init_state [options_.shock_decomp.init_state] to compute the shock decomposition conditional to the state variables in period 1;
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- force plot_priors=0
- when grouping shocks, include the residual group Others, since user defined groups may not add up to the smoothed variable.
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
f27f210654
New utility for changing M_.params only locally
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
a6f7e02d17
added utilities for optimal distinguishable colors.
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
06326d4477
Fixed bug introduced in cad7adc01f.
2017-03-16 18:14:23 +01:00
dbffe2a841
Do not check boundaries if the model is not estimated.
2017-03-16 15:50:44 +01:00
cc34e16458
Set temporarily mode_compute and mh_replic to zero if estim_params_ is empty.
2017-03-16 15:45:08 +01:00
cad7adc01f
Added routine for testing if we are currently estimating a model.
2017-03-16 15:03:46 +01:00
5f5c093b2e
Renamed isestimation function + Cosmetic changes.
2017-03-16 15:00:02 +01:00
d0ab90275b
Merge pull request #1402 from JohannesPfeifer/prior_asymptote
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Add warning if prior has an asymptote
2017-03-15 16:33:10 +01:00
1ff816d7bf
Updates particles submodule.
2017-03-15 16:30:29 +01:00
4f3b35acba
Account for Matlab 2017a.
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(cherry picked from commit f3a1619040fbb831830791424015d3d3bf8bdbae)
2017-03-13 23:42:48 +01:00
9f7b084970
Merge branch 'master' into json
2017-03-10 17:20:15 +01:00
87fc09863d
Add warning if prior has an asymptote
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Can happen with beta and gamma distribution. Closes #1401
2017-03-10 15:16:33 +01:00
56edaf5cb0
Fix check for existence of dname variable
2017-03-07 13:55:29 +01:00
5063020c5d
Merge branch 'master' into json
2017-03-03 14:42:25 +01:00
ed3e74994f
preprocessor: add onlyjson option to allow exit upon writing of JSON output. #1387
2017-02-28 14:34:22 +01:00
927b813ed8
Removed printing of debugging info.
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Introduced in ffebf6b262
2017-02-15 13:35:33 +01:00
ffebf6b262
Check positive steady state for loglinear option...
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1e-9 is too far from zero. Set 1e-16 as a threshold value for the positivity test.
2017-02-15 12:41:56 +01:00
9fbef0c107
Removed penalty_hessian routine.
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+ Code factorization.
+ Added an option for using the penalized objective when computing numerically
the hessian at the mode.
Previous behaviour (introduced with penalty_hessian routine) was to compute the
hessian matrix at the mode with the penalized objective function (instead of
the original objective function). This behaviour hides problematic situations,
where the computed hessian (using the original objective) would not be full
rank. For instance, if the estimation ends up with a parameter on (or very
close to) the bounds of its possible values (which is often not a desirable
outcome), the estimated posterior variance would be zero for this
parameter (with the original objective) because the hessian is not finite in
this direction, while the posterior variance would be positive if the penalized
objective is used instead. But this estimate would not be reliable by
construction of the penalty which is quite ad-hoc (more fundamentally I do not
think that there exists any rational for approximating the covariance matrix
with the inverse of the hessian matrix if the mode is on the border of the set
of possible values).
This commit restore the behaviour previous to 2446ab02ba
2017-02-08 13:07:25 +00:00
5b73d7d59c
Added new optimization routine (particleswarm).
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Only available under Matlab if the Global Optimization Toolbox is installed.
2017-02-08 13:07:25 +00:00
35078e13ee
Completed header + cosmetic changes.
2017-02-08 13:07:25 +00:00
8d4abe4a9f
Cosmetic changes.
2017-02-08 13:07:24 +00:00
e71e89bb38
Added check on Octave version.
2017-02-08 13:07:24 +00:00
d05dd34d30
preprocessor: write JSON output. #1387
2017-02-06 17:41:18 +01:00
62c954ff12
Fixes #1287 .
2017-01-25 22:13:36 +01:00
0b1b873160
Updated dseries submodule.
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Fixes remaining Octave failing unit tests.
2017-01-25 09:18:28 +01:00
875497bc71
Unit test lpdfgweibull.m: adjust upper integration bound under Octave
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Does not correctly integrate otherwise as more than 99% of support is 0
2017-01-18 11:01:13 +01:00
ce4ab7f7d8
Unit test wblinv.m under Octave: adjust tolerance
2017-01-18 10:59:53 +01:00
12b8a915e9
submodule update: reporting
2017-01-09 16:20:15 +01:00
ba9af24a67
Merge pull request #1370 from JohannesPfeifer/updated_variables
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Output UpdatedVariables in oo_ without filtered_variables
2017-01-05 11:50:06 +01:00
4dfec0d7fb
Merge pull request #1369 from JohannesPfeifer/disp_dr_aux_var
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disp_dr: Add case for aux_vars.type==0
2017-01-05 10:44:44 +01:00
77a93d6ff9
Merge pull request #1362 from JohannesPfeifer/MCMC_jumping_covariance
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Moving loading of MCMC_jumping_covariance to after display of standar…
2017-01-05 09:02:59 +01:00
b464226eaa
Merge pull request #1358 from JohannesPfeifer/nograph
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Implement posterior_nograph option
2017-01-05 06:52:08 +01:00
90982d5fa0
Merge pull request #1357 from rattoma/parallel
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Provisions for new node option NumberOfThreadsPerJob. Document option
2017-01-04 23:29:24 +01:00
c893c0620c
Merge branch 'pr#1354'
2017-01-04 15:12:32 +01:00
2c5b1fed2d
Use master function lyapunov_solver.m to call individual solvers
2017-01-04 11:25:44 +01:00
b946d3c082
Merge pull request #1353 from JohannesPfeifer/Plot_posterior
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PlotPosteriorDistributions.m: remove eval commands and fix typo in "m…
2017-01-04 11:20:06 +01:00
e815c2b4db
Output UpdatedVariables in oo_ without filtered_variables
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Makes it consistent with manual and closes #1366
2017-01-04 10:57:00 +01:00
515e080f49
Do not compute static residuals if steady state routine failed.
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Avoids cryptic model dependent error message.
2017-01-04 10:26:22 +01:00
65c402469c
disp_dr: Add case for aux_vars.type==0
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Closes #1367
2017-01-04 09:14:01 +01:00
3c892170ef
Fixed bug with getting CPU number on mac [see #1272 #838 ]
2017-01-03 19:24:18 +01:00
ee7611c8ad
added note to commented text, as an alternate option, should bugs/problems be reported with line 60
2017-01-03 19:15:53 +01:00
7b4fc9ec4a
Moving loading of MCMC_jumping_covariance to after display of standard errors and computation of Laplace approximation
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Closes #1255
2016-12-27 12:07:22 +01:00
d8b0495c77
Make PosteriorIRF.m and pm3.m honor nograph and posterior_nograph option
2016-12-26 13:11:01 +01:00
452d3cd986
Implement preprocessor interface for posterior_nograph option
2016-12-26 13:07:46 +01:00
28d4ed1918
Finish implementation and documentation of nograph option of shock_decomposition.m
2016-12-26 12:52:28 +01:00
4ecf1d9f5d
Workaround to avoid popup figures with nodisplay option saved as fig in MATLAB.
2016-12-20 09:14:48 +01:00
a55cbdd5fe
Provisions for new node option NumberOfThreadsPerJob. Document option
2016-12-19 23:28:46 +01:00
352786c2b4
load_mh_file: recompute results by default and load on request
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Prevents general overwriting of results in oo_ and having stale results
2016-12-19 19:37:34 +01:00
5707b4d965
Make evaluate_smoother.m output former global variables for correct updating of these objects
2016-12-18 12:43:29 +01:00
61ee4e123c
Reset selected_variables_only in shock_decomposition.m
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closes #1350
2016-12-18 09:57:51 +01:00
2f717b5adc
Eliminate global variables from shock_decomposition.m
2016-12-18 09:57:51 +01:00
33d0f44c40
model_diagnostics.m: provide warning that check of dynamic model is not supported for block option instead of crashing
2016-12-17 21:28:04 +01:00
1a8382adfb
OSR: add error indicator and suppress output if noprint options is specified
2016-12-17 19:30:57 +01:00
7254767ccf
Fix bug in osr_obj.m that did not correctly filter out all problems
2016-12-17 19:30:57 +01:00
481bb43fd7
PlotPosteriorDistributions.m: remove eval commands and fix typo in "mearsurement_errors"
2016-12-17 18:20:58 +01:00
5515da191a
Add Raftery/Lewis (1992) convergence diagnostics
2016-12-17 17:22:05 +01:00
c03fa143f7
Fix printout of comment in McMCDiagnostics.m
2016-12-17 17:22:05 +01:00
d6d517c4c9
Move MCMC diagnostics files to separated folder
2016-12-17 17:22:04 +01:00
6fd715a3b8
adding simul_backward and simul_backward_linear
2016-12-05 16:17:14 +01:00
c2d72d2292
fix check of path for octave
2016-12-05 12:28:02 +01:00
f5fb81a758
Correct typos in error message and header
2016-12-01 17:49:06 +01:00
95076d5c72
Fixed initial condition of stochastic simulation of backward looking models.
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Do not initialize with the steady state. Use histval if available,
default initialization is 0 (which may be problematic).
2016-12-01 13:32:54 +01:00
ca1c6ecc0e
Increase test tolerance under Octave for lpdfgweibull.m
2016-11-24 11:50:21 +01:00
42acb96b3d
renamed compute schur_statespace_transformation.m
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refactored code
2016-11-22 18:40:10 +01:00
73e0f9d591
made evaluate_steady_state file consistent with evaluation of auxiliary
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variables in <fname>_static.m file
2016-11-20 15:40:08 +01:00
e14a215556
put Z back
2016-11-20 11:46:21 +01:00
897af97bff
diffuse filter: fixed bug when nonstationary variables aren't observed
2016-11-20 11:08:07 +01:00
1a978e42df
Fix bug in missing_DiffuseKalmanSmootherH3_Z.m
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Closes #1339 by properly factorizing computations
2016-11-19 10:07:16 +01:00
2f9dc09285
diffuse filter: removed special treatment of static variables
2016-11-18 14:36:24 +01:00
383d891e81
updating extended path notes
2016-11-14 16:42:49 +01:00
46b44cd481
missing_DiffuseKalmanSmootherH3_Z.m: Fix typo in formula that makes tests fail
2016-11-14 11:54:39 +01:00
89e0a84327
fix typo from 98cf1bfc1d
2016-11-14 11:08:02 +01:00
80157985c0
Merge pull request #1333 from JohannesPfeifer/octave_unit_test
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Two fixes related to Octave unit test
2016-11-13 19:14:50 +01:00
6e93b1ecbf
Merge pull request #1330 from JohannesPfeifer/resol_fix
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resol.m: make sure oo.dr is correctly updated even if function is abo…
2016-11-13 19:14:23 +01:00
31d2c7e332
Merge pull request #1324 from JohannesPfeifer/kalman
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Three bugfixes for missing_DiffuseKalmanSmootherH1_Z.m that led to wrong results
2016-11-13 19:13:10 +01:00
fdbb44fec6
Account for Octave's dbstack providing full path, not just filename
2016-11-10 17:58:47 +01:00
920a9911ee
add missing copyright
2016-11-10 17:49:05 +01:00
fccd164926
Provide lower tolerance to Octave's quadv function as integration otherwise stops prematurely
2016-11-10 17:33:18 +01:00
454ac69191
allow spaces in the name of working directories for parallel execution.
2016-11-07 17:19:38 +01:00
0a40cdf064
Bud fix for cases where record does not contain proposal covariance.
2016-11-07 17:18:41 +01:00
7b03b8aef4
resol.m: make sure oo.dr is correctly updated even if function is aborted prematurely
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ramsey_policy relies on oo_.dr.ys being set in any case
2016-11-07 11:36:06 +01:00
e2da7c6627
Fixed bug (missing initialization of an option).
2016-11-05 00:08:28 +00:00
7831dccd2a
Transform save_tmp_file into an option and change defaults
2016-11-04 19:56:55 +01:00
7733903661
Merge pull request #1329 from JohannesPfeifer/singularity_warning
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Add more information to singularity warning
2016-11-04 15:12:07 +01:00
fa8028f79a
Merge pull request #1325 from JohannesPfeifer/dyn_forecast
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Fix bug in dyn_forecast.m that led to crashes when periods-option was…
2016-11-04 15:11:44 +01:00
2e79d5ccac
Add more information to singularity warning
2016-11-04 12:28:01 +01:00
4532d13fd3
Merge pull request #1295 from JohannesPfeifer/stochastic_singularity
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Stochastic singularity
2016-11-04 10:56:50 +01:00
3ebc982b02
Add state_uncertainty to Bayesian smoother
2016-11-04 09:23:55 +01:00
98cf1bfc1d
Add smoothed state uncertainty to Kalman smoother routines
2016-11-04 09:23:55 +01:00
8166707dd4
Document missing_DiffuseKalmanSmootherH3_Z.m
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Also properly initializes Kinf
2016-11-04 09:21:53 +01:00
86534a5f9f
missing_DiffuseKalmanSmootherH1_Z.m: introduce proper case distinction in diffuse backward pass if Finf is singular
2016-11-04 09:21:53 +01:00
9ce577b126
Cosmetic changes to missing_DiffuseKalmanSmootherH1_Z.m
2016-11-04 09:21:53 +01:00
e3aecd4e74
Diffuse Kalman filter: add comment for better comparison to Koopman/Durbin (2003) as there is a typo in their paper
2016-11-04 09:21:53 +01:00
c94011eeb8
missing_DiffuseKalmanSmootherH1_Z.m: fix crash when Pinf is singular for more than 1 period
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iFstar was accessed as three-dimensional array with t along third dimension, but it is only two-dimensional
2016-11-04 09:21:53 +01:00
ff1522a571
2 bugfixes for missing_DiffuseKalmanSmootherH1_Z.m that led to wrong results
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1. In case of missing observations, a_t was not propagated forward to updated a_t+1
2. In the rank-deficient Finf case, Kstar was defined as T^(-1)*K^(0), while in the full rank it was defined as Kstar=K^(0), leading to wrong results when switches between the two clauses occurred. Moreover, the later backwards pass relied on Kstar=K^(0), leading to wrong results when the rank-deficient Finf case was triggered. The implementation now consistently follows the one in kalman_filter_d.m
2016-11-04 09:21:53 +01:00
57d600301b
Correct description of Kstar
2016-11-04 09:21:53 +01:00
e2e16339a8
Merge pull request #1326 from JohannesPfeifer/posterior_IRFs
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Posterior IRFs: only plot HPDIs when sufficient draws were generated
2016-11-04 09:14:13 +01:00
b069241d18
Merge pull request #1217 from JohannesPfeifer/qz_estimation
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Make sure diffuse_filter triggers qz_criterium>1
2016-11-04 06:47:17 +01:00
09d374a0be
Merge pull request #1303 from JohannesPfeifer/shock_decomp
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Shock decomposition and posterior moments
2016-11-04 00:41:04 +01:00
a11e355587
Merge pull request #1327 from JohannesPfeifer/line_break
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Add missing line break in stoch_simul.m
2016-11-03 18:04:10 +01:00
9543f3b3ae
Add missing line break in stoch_simul.m
2016-11-03 18:02:03 +01:00
c9571b794c
Merge pull request #1320 from JohannesPfeifer/var_decomp
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Initialize variance decomposition array to NaN instead of 0
2016-11-03 17:36:22 +01:00
c0e5cc6abf
Merge pull request #1313 from JohannesPfeifer/evaluate_steady_state
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evaluate_steady_state.m: make sure ys contains auxiliary variables in…
2016-11-03 15:30:02 +01:00
0c3065b39b
Posterior IRFs: only plot HPDIs when sufficient draws were generated
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Otherwise a crash during plotting will happen
2016-10-30 18:31:11 +01:00
9bdc0286d6
Fix bug in dyn_forecast.m that led to crashes when periods-option was not specified
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Condition for setting ex did not account for equality of horizon and periods
2016-10-30 10:41:14 +01:00
08617bb740
fix typo
2016-10-28 16:30:43 +02:00
0a2f3f0f10
Merge pull request #1322 from JohannesPfeifer/cosmetic
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Fix typo in comment of dsge_likelihood.m
2016-10-27 17:20:51 +02:00
4502369617
Fix typo in comment of dsge_likelihood.m
2016-10-27 17:15:24 +02:00
f38f9b0268
submodule update: dseries
2016-10-26 12:09:26 +02:00
982fc38504
Updated dseries submodule (fixes for method interfaces).
2016-10-25 11:57:15 +02:00
46cdaf8e0a
fiminsearch only has two output args under Octave
2016-10-21 17:40:27 +02:00
28af4678b2
Updated dseries submodule.
2016-10-21 16:13:48 +02:00
d7fc50796c
submodule update: dseries, m-unit-tests
2016-10-21 15:16:14 +02:00
847feb17fa
fix mex compilation commands for Matlab R2016b on macOS. Closes #1288
2016-10-20 14:03:35 +02:00
9b8a542661
Initialize variance decomposition array to NaN instead of 0
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Because only stationary variables are updated, prevents non-stationary variables from showing up with 0 instead of NaN
2016-10-18 10:52:57 +02:00
084df40535
fix mex compilation commands for Matlab R2016b on Linux. #1288
2016-10-17 18:40:48 +02:00
fa9bbc231e
submodule update: dseries
2016-10-17 12:58:41 +02:00
09669d2a14
submodule update: dseries
2016-10-17 12:37:28 +02:00
c7b751bd50
Add mingw to dyn_mex.m and document compiler options and installation.
2016-10-14 16:35:05 +02:00
e80c1e5a24
evaluate_steady_state.m: make sure ys contains auxiliary variables in case of problem with dynare_solve
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Otherwise, evaluate_static_model will crash
2016-10-13 10:50:50 +02:00
05a906fa8b
Merge pull request #1301 from JohannesPfeifer/recursive_plot
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Use raw_data in forecast plots instead of prefiltered data
2016-10-10 09:44:46 +02:00
c41c310cc5
Merge pull request #1310 from JohannesPfeifer/debug_mode
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Make solve_algo=0 less and mode_check potentially more verbose
2016-10-10 09:40:37 +02:00
6b82788180
Display reason for mode_check-problems when debugging is enabled
2016-10-09 22:16:26 +02:00
29d1e80eda
Decrease verbosity of solve_algo=0
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Shuts off display unless debugging is requested. Otherwise, estimation will clutter the screen
2016-10-09 22:15:48 +02:00
83bc67f0c0
Display informative message when the model cannot be solved at the prior mode.
2016-10-07 12:30:47 +02:00
b70bc9433f
pm3: restore Matlab compatibility by loading file into a variable
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In R2016b the variables loaded in the function need to be known in advance
2016-10-06 14:21:25 +02:00
17dec97c4f
Use raw_data in forecast plots instead of prefiltered data
2016-10-05 19:04:13 +02:00
f074c67d59
Merge pull request #1297 from JohannesPfeifer/estimation_fixes
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Bugfixes and cosmetic changes related to estimation
2016-10-04 11:10:12 +02:00
d5233336b5
Make naming in GetPosteriorMeanVariance.m more expressive
2016-10-04 11:00:00 +02:00
b2984f43c9
GetPosteriorMeanVariance.m: fix bug when number of dropped draws coincided with number of draws in file
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In this case, the reported results were NaN
2016-10-04 10:59:01 +02:00
b4e2f38b6c
posterior_sampler_core: condition setting of seed on presence of Octave
2016-10-04 10:58:38 +02:00
7ff6c5b2b7
Cosmetic change to posterior_sampler_initialization.m
2016-10-03 22:10:00 +02:00
bfbd4aa101
Fix header of dyn_autocorr
2016-10-03 21:30:02 +02:00
5f97efe15a
octave: don't check with user when deleting directory
2016-10-03 14:49:21 +02:00
2fe73fafdc
Implement and document keep_kalman_algo_if_singularity_is_detected option
2016-10-02 12:56:28 +02:00
3f907efbcd
initial_estimation_checks.m: Add proper check for stochastic singularity
2016-10-02 12:55:41 +02:00
c68038dfc8
imcforecast.m: make sure qz_criterium is properly set
2016-10-02 10:51:47 +02:00
f553f893c6
Make sure qz_criterium being reset by evaluate_smoother.m does not affect subsequent commands
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- adds diffuse_filter as option of calib_smoother
- adds test case for calib_smoother with diffuse_filter
2016-10-02 10:51:47 +02:00
1f0c2e3b1c
Make sure that options_.qz_criterium is not affected by calls to dynare_estimation.m
2016-10-02 10:51:47 +02:00
940ff7fb7d
Make sure diffuse_filter triggers qz_criterium>1
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Closes #1215
2016-10-02 10:51:47 +02:00
68bc9cb9bb
Merge pull request #1281 from rattoma/master
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Fixed bug with new harmonized setting of Smoothed Variables, which co…
2016-09-30 16:29:23 +02:00
dc0c67bff5
Merge pull request #1289 from rattoma/shock_decomp
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Bug fix for provisions in shock_decomposition.m to adapt for the new …
2016-09-30 16:24:43 +02:00
acf1cd8600
Revert "bug fix following change in fe7b7819b0. #1280"
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This reverts commit 9b1dc544cb
2016-09-30 16:23:35 +02:00
9b1dc544cb
bug fix following change in fe7b7819b0. #1280
2016-09-30 15:47:26 +02:00
4b3c98d953
preprocessor: add keep_kalman_algo_if_singularity_is_detected option to estimation. #1294
2016-09-30 14:31:13 +02:00
9cdd2cc965
add missing semicolon
2016-09-29 12:31:59 +02:00
f5a14cc537
octave: add .mat extension to save command
2016-09-28 16:33:46 +02:00
de13e98791
octave expects the first argument of strmatch to be a string
2016-09-27 16:49:16 +02:00
744b52d362
fix bug introduced in 1c892bb3e9
2016-09-27 15:28:43 +02:00
1c892bb3e9
octave: try to load the needed package before ending with an error
2016-09-27 15:26:59 +02:00
1669b274a2
fixed bug whith recursive estimation and mode_compute=0
2016-09-27 15:11:42 +02:00
2a6b3caa34
when saving, use .mat file extension because Octave doesn’t support it by default
2016-09-26 11:00:41 +02:00
e84e81dd01
fix typo
2016-09-23 18:37:49 +02:00
c6f4af8894
preprocessor: add nograph option to shock_decomposition. closes #1290
2016-09-23 17:44:36 +02:00
e09b4571d7
osr: fix call to strmatch for octave. Closes #1291
2016-09-23 16:13:30 +02:00
fe7b7819b0
Bug fix for provisions in shock_decomposition.m to adapt for the new syntax on grouping shocks introduced in commit 804d31e8af to close #1280
2016-09-22 18:41:33 +02:00
b50602962d
Account for Matlab 2016b in installer and mex-folder
2016-09-18 16:33:49 +02:00
e536621b95
Changed help message returned by prior CLI command
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Describes option introduced in 5e398559f4
2016-09-14 18:04:01 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis)
Johannes Pfeifer
Ferhat Mihoubi
Houtan Bastani
Marco Ratto
Michel Juillard
Michel Juillard