dynare/tests/ecb/SURGibbs/fulton_fish.mod

50 lines
1.2 KiB
Modula-2

// --+ options: json=compute +--
% Example from Section 6.1 of
% Ando, Tomohiro and Zellner, Arnold. 2010. Hierarchical Bayesian Analysis of the
% Seemingly Unrelated Regression and Simultaneous Equations Models Using a
% Combination of Direct Monte Carlo and Importance Sampling Techniques.
% Bayesian Analysis Volume 5, Number 1, pp. 65-96.
var qty, price;
varexo res_u, res_v, stormy, mixed;
parameters bq0, bp0, bq1, bp1, bp2;
bp0 = 8.5527;
bp1 = -0.5302;
bp2 = -0.3974;
bq0 = 6.7523;
bq1 = -0.7969;
model(linear);
qty = bq0 + bq1*price + res_u;
price = bp0 + bp1*stormy + bp2*mixed + res_v;
end;
% Estimate all parameters
%estparams = M_.param_names;
%estparamsval = M_.params;
% Estimate demand parameters
estparams = {'bq1' 'bq0'};
estparamsval = [bq1 bq0];
A = 0.0005.*eye(length(estparams));
simdata = surgibbs(dseries('fishdata.csv'), estparams, estparamsval, A, 20000, 5000, 7);
good = [6.791587808530124
8.552700000000000
-0.478275288902356
-0.530200000000000
-0.397400000000000];
if isoctave
tolerance = 1e-2;
else
tolerance = 2e-14;
end
if sum(abs(M_.params-good)) > tolerance
error(['sum of M_.params - good was: ' num2str(sum(abs(M_.params-good)))]);
end