221 lines
6.4 KiB
Modula-2
221 lines
6.4 KiB
Modula-2
// DGP
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@#ifndef RISKY_CALIBRATION
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@#define RISKY_CALIBRATION = 1
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@#endif
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@#ifndef EXTREME_CALIBRATION
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@#define EXTREME_CALIBRATION = 0
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@#endif
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@#ifndef BENCHMARK_CALIBRATION
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@#define BENCHMARK_CALIBRATION = 0
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@#endif
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// ALGORITHM
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@#ifndef LINEAR_KALMAN
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@#define LINEAR_KALMAN = 0
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@#endif
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@#ifndef NON_LINEAR_KALMAN
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@#define NON_LINEAR_KALMAN = 1
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@#endif
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@#ifndef ALGO_SIR
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@#define ALGO_SIR = 0
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@#endif
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@#ifndef ALGO_SISmoothR
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@#define ALGO_SISmoothR = 0
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@#endif
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@#ifndef ALGO_APF
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@#define ALGO_APF = 0
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@#endif
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@#ifndef ALGO_CPF
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@#define ALGO_CPF = 0
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@#endif
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@#ifndef ALGO_GPF
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@#define ALGO_GPF = 0
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@#endif
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@#ifndef ALGO_GCF
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@#define ALGO_GCF = 0
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@#endif
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@#ifndef ALGO_GUF
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@#define ALGO_GUF = 0
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@#endif
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@#ifndef ALGO_GMPF
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@#define ALGO_GMPF = 0
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@#endif
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@#ifndef ALGO_GMCF
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@#define ALGO_GMCF = 0
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@#endif
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@#ifndef ALGO_ONLINE_1
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@#define ALGO_ONLINE_1 = 0
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@#endif
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@#ifndef ALGO_ONLINE_2
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@#define ALGO_ONLINE_2 = 0
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@#endif
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@#ifndef MCMC
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@#define MCMC = 0
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@#endif
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var k A c l i y;
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varexo e_a;
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parameters alp bet tet tau delt rho ;
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alp = 0.4;
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bet = 0.99;
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tet = 0.357 ;
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tau = 50 ;
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delt = 0.02;
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rho = 0.95;
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model;
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c = ((1 - alp)*tet/(1-tet))*A*(1-l)*((k(-1)/l)^alp) ;
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y = A*(k(-1)^alp)*(l^(1-alp)) ;
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i = y-c ;
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k = (1-delt)*k(-1) + i ;
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log(A) = rho*log(A(-1)) + e_a ;
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(((c^(tet))*((1-l)^(1-tet)))^(1-tau))/c - bet*((((c(+1)^(tet))*((1-l(+1))^(1-tet)))^(1-tau))/c(+1))*(1 -delt+alp*(A(1)*(k^alp)*(l(1)^(1-alp)))/k)=0 ;
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end;
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steady_state_model;
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k = -(alp-1)*(alp^(1/(1-alp)))*(bet^(1/(1-alp)))*((bet*(delt-1)+1)^(alp/(alp-1)))*tet/(-alp*delt*bet+delt*bet+alp*tet*bet-bet-alp*tet+1);
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l = (alp-1)*(bet*(delt-1)+1)*tet/(alp*tet+bet*((alp-1)*delt-alp*tet+1)-1) ;
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y = (k^alp)*(l^(1-alp)) ;
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i = delt*k ;
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c = y - i ;
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A = 1;
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end;
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shocks;
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var e_a; stderr 0.035;
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end;
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steady;
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estimated_params;
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alp, uniform_pdf,,, 0.0001, 0.99;
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bet, uniform_pdf,,, 0.0001, 0.99999;
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tet, uniform_pdf,,, 0.0001, .999;
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tau, uniform_pdf,,, 0.0001, 100;
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delt, uniform_pdf,,, 0.0001, 0.05;
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rho, uniform_pdf,,, 0.0001, 0.9999;
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stderr e_a, uniform_pdf,,, 0.00001, 0.1;
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stderr y, uniform_pdf,,, 0.00001, 0.1;
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stderr l, uniform_pdf,,, 0.00001, 0.1;
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stderr i, uniform_pdf,,, 0.00001, 0.1;
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end;
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@#if EXTREME_CALIBRATION
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estimated_params_init;
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alp, 0.4;
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bet, 0.99;
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tet, 0.357;
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tau, 50;
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delt, 0.02;
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rho, 0.95;
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stderr e_a, .035;
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stderr y, .00158;
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stderr l, .0011;
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stderr i, .000866;
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end;
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@#endif
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@#if RISKY_CALIBRATION
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estimated_params_init;
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alp, 0.4;
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bet, 0.99;
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tet, 0.357;
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tau, 50;
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delt, 0.02;
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rho, 0.95;
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stderr e_a, .035;
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stderr y, .0175;
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stderr l, .00312;
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stderr i, .00465;
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end;
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@#endif
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varobs y l i ;
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options_.mode_check.neighbourhood_size = .1 ;
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options_.mode_check.number_of_points = 250;
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options_.threads.local_state_space_iteration_2 = 4;
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@#if EXTREME_CALIBRATION
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data(file='./extreme.m');
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@#endif
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@#if RISKY_CALIBRATION
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data(file='./risky.m');
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@#endif
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@#if BENCHMARK_CALIBRATION
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data(file='./benchmark.m');
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@#endif
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@#if LINEAR_KALMAN
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estimation(nograph,order=1,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer,mh_replic=0,mode_check);
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@#endif
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@#if NON_LINEAR_KALMAN
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estimation(nograph,order=2,filter_algorithm=nlkf,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer,mh_replic=0);
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@#endif
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@#if ALGO_SIR
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estimation(order=2,nograph,number_of_particles=1000,mh_replic=0,silent_optimizer,mode_compute=8);
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@#endif
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@#if ALGO_SISmoothR
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estimation(order=2,nograph,number_of_particles=1000,resampling_method=smooth,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer,mh_replic=0);
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estimation(order=2,nograph,number_of_particles=1000,resampling_method=smooth,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mh_replic=0);
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estimation(order=2,nograph,number_of_particles=1000,resampling_method=smooth,mode_compute=4,silent_optimizer,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mh_replic=0,mode_check);
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@#endif
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@#if ALGO_APF
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estimation(order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=apf,number_of_particles=10000,resampling=none,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer,mode_check);
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@#endif
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@#if ALGO_CPF
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estimation(order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=cpf,number_of_particles=10000,resampling=none,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer,mode_check);
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@#endif
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@#if ALGO_GPF
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estimation(order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,distribution_approximation=montecarlo,number_of_particles=1000,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer);
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estimation(order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,distribution_approximation=montecarlo,number_of_particles=1000,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=4,silent_optimizer,mode_check);
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@#endif
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@#if ALGO_GCF
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estimation(order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer);
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estimation(order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=4,silent_optimizer,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mode_check);
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@#endif
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@#if ALGO_GUF
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estimation(order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,proposal_approximation=unscented,distribution_approximation=unscented,mh_replic=0,silent_optimizer,mode_compute=8);
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estimation(order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,proposal_approximation=unscented,distribution_approximation=unscented,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer,mode_check);
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@#endif
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@#if ALGO_GMPF
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estimation(nograph,order=2,filter_algorithm=gmf,distribution_approximation=montecarlo,number_of_particles=1000,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer);
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estimation(nograph,order=2,filter_algorithm=gmf,distribution_approximation=montecarlo,number_of_particles=1000,mh_replic=0,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mode_compute=8);
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estimation(nograph,order=2,filter_algorithm=gmf,distribution_approximation=montecarlo,number_of_particles=1000,mh_replic=0,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mode_compute=4,mode_check);
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@#endif
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@#if ALGO_GMCF
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estimation(nograph,order=2,filter_algorithm=gmf,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer);
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estimation(nograph,order=2,filter_algorithm=gmf,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=4,silent_optimizer,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mode_check);
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@#endif
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@#if ALGO_ONLINE_2
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estimation(order=2,number_of_particles=1000,mode_compute=11,silent_optimizer,mh_replic=0,particle_filter_options=('liu_west_delta',0.9));
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@#endif
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@#if ALGO_ONLINE_1
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estimation(order=1,number_of_particles=1000,mode_compute=11,silent_optimizer,mh_replic=0,particle_filter_options=('liu_west_delta',0.9));
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@#endif
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@#if MCMC
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options_.mh_nblck = 10 ;
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options_.posterior_sampling_method = 'RWGMH';
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options_.rwgmh_scale_shock = (1e-5)*[10 10 1 1 10 10 10 1000 10 10] ;
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estimation(order=1,mh_replic=5000,mode_compute=0,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode);
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@#endif
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