// DGP @#ifndef RISKY_CALIBRATION @#define RISKY_CALIBRATION = 1 @#endif @#ifndef EXTREME_CALIBRATION @#define EXTREME_CALIBRATION = 0 @#endif @#ifndef BENCHMARK_CALIBRATION @#define BENCHMARK_CALIBRATION = 0 @#endif // ALGORITHM @#ifndef LINEAR_KALMAN @#define LINEAR_KALMAN = 0 @#endif @#ifndef NON_LINEAR_KALMAN @#define NON_LINEAR_KALMAN = 1 @#endif @#ifndef ALGO_SIR @#define ALGO_SIR = 0 @#endif @#ifndef ALGO_SISmoothR @#define ALGO_SISmoothR = 0 @#endif @#ifndef ALGO_APF @#define ALGO_APF = 0 @#endif @#ifndef ALGO_CPF @#define ALGO_CPF = 0 @#endif @#ifndef ALGO_GPF @#define ALGO_GPF = 0 @#endif @#ifndef ALGO_GCF @#define ALGO_GCF = 0 @#endif @#ifndef ALGO_GUF @#define ALGO_GUF = 0 @#endif @#ifndef ALGO_GMPF @#define ALGO_GMPF = 0 @#endif @#ifndef ALGO_GMCF @#define ALGO_GMCF = 0 @#endif @#ifndef ALGO_ONLINE_1 @#define ALGO_ONLINE_1 = 0 @#endif @#ifndef ALGO_ONLINE_2 @#define ALGO_ONLINE_2 = 0 @#endif @#ifndef MCMC @#define MCMC = 0 @#endif var k A c l i y; varexo e_a; parameters alp bet tet tau delt rho ; alp = 0.4; bet = 0.99; tet = 0.357 ; tau = 50 ; delt = 0.02; rho = 0.95; model; c = ((1 - alp)*tet/(1-tet))*A*(1-l)*((k(-1)/l)^alp) ; y = A*(k(-1)^alp)*(l^(1-alp)) ; i = y-c ; k = (1-delt)*k(-1) + i ; log(A) = rho*log(A(-1)) + e_a ; (((c^(tet))*((1-l)^(1-tet)))^(1-tau))/c - bet*((((c(+1)^(tet))*((1-l(+1))^(1-tet)))^(1-tau))/c(+1))*(1 -delt+alp*(A(1)*(k^alp)*(l(1)^(1-alp)))/k)=0 ; end; steady_state_model; k = -(alp-1)*(alp^(1/(1-alp)))*(bet^(1/(1-alp)))*((bet*(delt-1)+1)^(alp/(alp-1)))*tet/(-alp*delt*bet+delt*bet+alp*tet*bet-bet-alp*tet+1); l = (alp-1)*(bet*(delt-1)+1)*tet/(alp*tet+bet*((alp-1)*delt-alp*tet+1)-1) ; y = (k^alp)*(l^(1-alp)) ; i = delt*k ; c = y - i ; A = 1; end; shocks; var e_a; stderr 0.035; end; steady; estimated_params; alp, uniform_pdf,,, 0.0001, 0.99; bet, uniform_pdf,,, 0.0001, 0.99999; tet, uniform_pdf,,, 0.0001, .999; tau, uniform_pdf,,, 0.0001, 100; delt, uniform_pdf,,, 0.0001, 0.05; rho, uniform_pdf,,, 0.0001, 0.9999; stderr e_a, uniform_pdf,,, 0.00001, 0.1; stderr y, uniform_pdf,,, 0.00001, 0.1; stderr l, uniform_pdf,,, 0.00001, 0.1; stderr i, uniform_pdf,,, 0.00001, 0.1; end; @#if EXTREME_CALIBRATION estimated_params_init; alp, 0.4; bet, 0.99; tet, 0.357; tau, 50; delt, 0.02; rho, 0.95; stderr e_a, .035; stderr y, .00158; stderr l, .0011; stderr i, .000866; end; @#endif @#if RISKY_CALIBRATION estimated_params_init; alp, 0.4; bet, 0.99; tet, 0.357; tau, 50; delt, 0.02; rho, 0.95; stderr e_a, .035; stderr y, .0175; stderr l, .00312; stderr i, .00465; end; @#endif varobs y l i ; options_.mode_check.neighbourhood_size = .1 ; options_.mode_check.number_of_points = 250; options_.threads.local_state_space_iteration_2 = 4; @#if EXTREME_CALIBRATION data(file='./extreme.m'); @#endif @#if RISKY_CALIBRATION data(file='./risky.m'); @#endif @#if BENCHMARK_CALIBRATION data(file='./benchmark.m'); @#endif @#if LINEAR_KALMAN estimation(nograph,order=1,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer,mh_replic=0,mode_check); @#endif @#if NON_LINEAR_KALMAN estimation(nograph,order=2,filter_algorithm=nlkf,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer,mh_replic=0); @#endif @#if ALGO_SIR estimation(order=2,nograph,number_of_particles=1000,mh_replic=0,silent_optimizer,mode_compute=8); @#endif @#if ALGO_SISmoothR estimation(order=2,nograph,number_of_particles=1000,resampling_method=smooth,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer,mh_replic=0); estimation(order=2,nograph,number_of_particles=1000,resampling_method=smooth,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mh_replic=0); estimation(order=2,nograph,number_of_particles=1000,resampling_method=smooth,mode_compute=4,silent_optimizer,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mh_replic=0,mode_check); @#endif @#if ALGO_APF estimation(order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=apf,number_of_particles=10000,resampling=none,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer,mode_check); @#endif @#if ALGO_CPF estimation(order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=cpf,number_of_particles=10000,resampling=none,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer,mode_check); @#endif @#if ALGO_GPF estimation(order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,distribution_approximation=montecarlo,number_of_particles=1000,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer); estimation(order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,distribution_approximation=montecarlo,number_of_particles=1000,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=4,silent_optimizer,mode_check); @#endif @#if ALGO_GCF estimation(order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer); estimation(order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=4,silent_optimizer,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mode_check); @#endif @#if ALGO_GUF estimation(order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,proposal_approximation=unscented,distribution_approximation=unscented,mh_replic=0,silent_optimizer,mode_compute=8); estimation(order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,proposal_approximation=unscented,distribution_approximation=unscented,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer,mode_check); @#endif @#if ALGO_GMPF estimation(nograph,order=2,filter_algorithm=gmf,distribution_approximation=montecarlo,number_of_particles=1000,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer); estimation(nograph,order=2,filter_algorithm=gmf,distribution_approximation=montecarlo,number_of_particles=1000,mh_replic=0,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mode_compute=8); estimation(nograph,order=2,filter_algorithm=gmf,distribution_approximation=montecarlo,number_of_particles=1000,mh_replic=0,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mode_compute=4,mode_check); @#endif @#if ALGO_GMCF estimation(nograph,order=2,filter_algorithm=gmf,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8,silent_optimizer); estimation(nograph,order=2,filter_algorithm=gmf,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=4,silent_optimizer,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mode_check); @#endif @#if ALGO_ONLINE_2 estimation(order=2,number_of_particles=1000,mode_compute=11,silent_optimizer,mh_replic=0,particle_filter_options=('liu_west_delta',0.9)); @#endif @#if ALGO_ONLINE_1 estimation(order=1,number_of_particles=1000,mode_compute=11,silent_optimizer,mh_replic=0,particle_filter_options=('liu_west_delta',0.9)); @#endif @#if MCMC options_.mh_nblck = 10 ; options_.posterior_sampling_method = 'RWGMH'; options_.rwgmh_scale_shock = (1e-5)*[10 10 1 1 10 10 10 1000 10 10] ; estimation(order=1,mh_replic=5000,mode_compute=0,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode); @#endif