dynare/matlab/disp_moments.m

198 lines
7.5 KiB
Matlab

function oo_=disp_moments(y,var_list,M_,options_,oo_)
% function disp_moments(y,var_list,M_,options_,oo_)
% Displays moments of simulated variables
% INPUTS
% y [double] nvar*nperiods vector of simulated variables.
% var_list [char] nvar character array with names of variables.
% M_ [structure] Dynare's model structure
% oo_ [structure] Dynare's results structure
% options_ [structure] Dynare's options structure
%
% OUTPUTS
% oo_ [structure] Dynare's results structure,
% Copyright (C) 2001-2015 Dynare Team
%
% This file is part of Dynare.
%
% Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
% it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
% the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
% (at your option) any later version.
%
% Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
% but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
% MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the
% GNU General Public License for more details.
%
% You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
% along with Dynare. If not, see <http://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
warning_old_state = warning;
warning off
if size(var_list,1) == 0
var_list = M_.endo_names(1:M_.orig_endo_nbr, :);
end
nvar = size(var_list,1);
ivar=zeros(nvar,1);
for i=1:nvar
i_tmp = strmatch(var_list(i,:),M_.endo_names,'exact');
if isempty(i_tmp)
error (['One of the variable specified does not exist']) ;
else
ivar(i) = i_tmp;
end
end
y = y(ivar,options_.drop+1:end)';
m = mean(y);
% filter series
y=get_filtered_time_series(y,m,options_);
s2 = mean(y.*y);
s = sqrt(s2);
oo_.mean = transpose(m);
oo_.var = y'*y/size(y,1);
labels = deblank(M_.endo_names(ivar,:));
labels_TeX = deblank(M_.endo_names_tex(ivar,:));
if options_.nomoments == 0
z = [ m' s' s2' (mean(y.^3)./s2.^1.5)' (mean(y.^4)./(s2.*s2)-3)' ];
title='MOMENTS OF SIMULATED VARIABLES';
title=add_filter_subtitle(title,options_);
headers=char('VARIABLE','MEAN','STD. DEV.','VARIANCE','SKEWNESS', ...
'KURTOSIS');
dyntable(title,headers,labels,z,size(labels,2)+2,16,6);
if options_.TeX
dyn_latex_table(M_,title,'sim_moments',headers,labels_TeX,z,size(labels,2)+2,16,6);
end
end
if options_.nocorr == 0
corr = (y'*y/size(y,1))./(s'*s);
if options_.contemporaneous_correlation
oo_.contemporaneous_correlation = corr;
end
if options_.noprint == 0
title = 'CORRELATION OF SIMULATED VARIABLES';
title=add_filter_subtitle(title,options_);
headers = char('VARIABLE',M_.endo_names(ivar,:));
dyntable(title,headers,labels,corr,size(labels,2)+2,8,4);
if options_.TeX
headers = char('VARIABLE',M_.endo_names_tex(ivar,:));
lh = size(labels,2)+2;
dyn_latex_table(M_,title,'sim_corr_matrix',headers,labels_TeX,corr,size(labels,2)+2,8,4);
end
end
end
if options_.noprint == 0 && length(options_.conditional_variance_decomposition)
fprintf('\nSTOCH_SIMUL: conditional_variance_decomposition requires theoretical moments, i.e. periods=0.\n')
end
ar = options_.ar;
if ar > 0
autocorr = [];
for i=1:ar
oo_.autocorr{i} = y(ar+1:end,:)'*y(ar+1-i:end-i,:)./((size(y,1)-ar)*std(y(ar+1:end,:))'*std(y(ar+1-i:end-i,:)));
autocorr = [ autocorr diag(oo_.autocorr{i}) ];
end
if options_.noprint == 0
title = 'AUTOCORRELATION OF SIMULATED VARIABLES';
title=add_filter_subtitle(title,options_);
headers = char('VARIABLE',int2str([1:ar]'));
dyntable(title,headers,labels,autocorr,size(labels,2)+2,8,4);
if options_.TeX
headers = char('VARIABLE',int2str([1:ar]'));
lh = size(labels,2)+2;
dyn_latex_table(M_,title,'sim_autocorr_matrix',headers,labels_TeX,autocorr,size(labels_TeX,2)+2,8,4);
end
end
end
if ~options_.nodecomposition
if M_.exo_nbr == 1
oo_.variance_decomposition = 100*ones(nvar,1);
else
oo_.variance_decomposition=zeros(nvar,M_.exo_nbr);
%get starting values
if isempty(M_.endo_histval)
y0 = oo_.dr.ys;
else
y0 = M_.endo_histval;
end
%back out shock matrix used for generating y
i_exo_var = setdiff([1:M_.exo_nbr],find(diag(M_.Sigma_e) == 0)); % find shocks with 0 variance
chol_S = chol(M_.Sigma_e(i_exo_var,i_exo_var)); %decompose rest
shock_mat=zeros(options_.periods,M_.exo_nbr); %initialize
shock_mat(:,i_exo_var)=oo_.exo_simul(:,i_exo_var)/chol_S; %invert construction of oo_.exo_simul from simult.m
for shock_iter=1:length(i_exo_var)
temp_shock_mat=zeros(size(shock_mat));
temp_shock_mat(:,i_exo_var(shock_iter))=shock_mat(:,i_exo_var(shock_iter));
temp_shock_mat(:,i_exo_var) = temp_shock_mat(:,i_exo_var)*chol_S;
y_sim_one_shock = simult_(y0,oo_.dr,temp_shock_mat,options_.order);
y_sim_one_shock=y_sim_one_shock(ivar,1+options_.drop+1:end)';
y_sim_one_shock=get_filtered_time_series(y_sim_one_shock,mean(y_sim_one_shock),options_);
oo_.variance_decomposition(:,i_exo_var(shock_iter))=var(y_sim_one_shock)./s2*100;
end
if ~options_.noprint %options_.nomoments == 0
skipline()
title='VARIANCE DECOMPOSITION SIMULATING ONE SHOCK AT A TIME (in percent)';
title=add_filter_subtitle(title,options_);
headers = M_.exo_names;
headers(M_.exo_names_orig_ord,:) = headers;
headers = char(' ',headers);
lh = size(deblank(M_.endo_names(ivar,:)),2)+2;
dyntable(title,char(headers,'Tot. lin. contr.'),deblank(M_.endo_names(ivar,:)),[oo_.variance_decomposition sum(oo_.variance_decomposition,2)],lh,8,2);
if options_.TeX
headers=M_.exo_names_tex;
headers = char(' ',headers);
labels = deblank(M_.endo_names_tex(ivar,:));
lh = size(labels,2)+2;
dyn_latex_table(M_,title,'sim_var_decomp',char(headers,'Tot. lin. contr.'),labels_TeX,[oo_.variance_decomposition sum(oo_.variance_decomposition,2)],lh,8,2);
end
if options_.order == 1
fprintf('Note: numbers do not add up to 100 due to non-zero correlation of simulated shocks in small samples\n\n')
else
fprintf('Note: numbers do not add up to 100 due to i) non-zero correlation of simulated shocks in small samples and ii) nonlinearity\n\n')
end
end
end
end
warning(warning_old_state);
end
function y=get_filtered_time_series(y,m,options_)
if options_.hp_filter && ~options_.one_sided_hp_filter && ~options_.bandpass.indicator
[hptrend,y] = sample_hp_filter(y,options_.hp_filter);
elseif ~options_.hp_filter && options_.one_sided_hp_filter && ~options_.bandpass.indicator
[hptrend,y] = one_sided_hp_filter(y,options_.one_sided_hp_filter);
elseif ~options_.hp_filter && ~options_.one_sided_hp_filter && options_.bandpass.indicator
data_temp=dseries(y,'0q1');
data_temp=baxter_king_filter(data_temp,options_.bandpass.passband(1),options_.bandpass.passband(2),200);
y=data_temp.data;
elseif ~options_.hp_filter && ~options_.one_sided_hp_filter && ~options_.bandpass.indicator
y = bsxfun(@minus, y, m);
else
error('disp_moments:: You cannot use more than one filter at the same time')
end
end