2777 lines
127 KiB
Modula-2
2777 lines
127 KiB
Modula-2
var
|
|
CA_A CA_ACT CA_B CA_BT CA_C CA_COIL CA_CPI CA_CU CA_CURBAL CA_C_DI CA_C_PI CA_DLGDP CA_DLLF CA_ER CA_FACT CA_GDEF CA_GDP CA_GDP_FE CA_GE CA_GNP
|
|
CA_IM CA_INFL CA_INVEST CA_IOIL CA_IT CA_K CA_LF CA_M CA_MPC CA_MPCINV CA_MPK CA_NEER CA_NFA CA_P CA_PFM CA_PGNP CA_PGNPNO CA_PIM CA_PIMA CA_PIT
|
|
CA_PXM CA_PXT CA_Q CA_R CA_RCI CA_RL CA_RLR CA_RS CA_RSR CA_TAX CA_TAXH CA_TAXK CA_TB CA_TFP_FE CA_TRATE CA_UNR CA_UNR_A CA_W CA_WH CA_WH1 CA_WH2
|
|
CA_WH3 CA_WK CA_XM CA_XMA CA_XT CA_YD
|
|
DC_A DC_CTOT DC_DEBT DC_GDP DC_GDP_FE DC_IM DC_INVEST DC_INVESTC DC_INVESTM DC_IOIL DC_IT DC_K DC_KC DC_KM DC_NFA DC_NNPCAP DC_P DC_PGNP
|
|
DC_PIM DC_PIMA DC_PIT DC_PXM DC_PXT DC_QNT DC_XCOM DC_XM DC_XMA DC_XOIL DC_XSM DC_XT
|
|
FR_A FR_ACT FR_B FR_BT FR_C FR_COIL FR_CPI FR_CU FR_CURBAL FR_C_DI FR_C_PI FR_DLGDP FR_DLLF FR_ER FR_FACT FR_GDEF FR_GDP FR_GDP_FE FR_GE FR_GNP
|
|
FR_IM FR_INFL FR_INVEST FR_IOIL FR_IT FR_K FR_LF FR_M FR_MPC FR_MPCINV FR_MPK FR_NEER FR_NFA FR_P FR_PFM FR_PGNP FR_PGNPNO FR_PIM FR_PIMA FR_PIT
|
|
FR_PXM FR_PXT FR_Q FR_R FR_RCI FR_RL FR_RLR FR_RS FR_RSR FR_TAX FR_TAXH FR_TAXK FR_TB FR_TFP_FE FR_TRATE FR_UNR FR_UNR_A FR_W FR_WH FR_WH1 FR_WH2
|
|
FR_WH3 FR_WK FR_XM FR_XMA FR_XT FR_YD
|
|
GR_A GR_ACT GR_B GR_BT GR_C GR_COIL GR_CPI GR_CU GR_CURBAL GR_C_DI GR_C_PI GR_DLGDP GR_DLLF GR_ER GR_FACT GR_GDEF GR_GDP GR_GDP_FE GR_GE GR_GNP
|
|
GR_IM GR_INFL GR_INVEST GR_IOIL GR_IT GR_K GR_LF GR_M GR_MPC GR_MPCINV GR_MPK GR_NEER GR_NFA GR_P GR_PFM GR_PGNP GR_PGNPNO GR_PIM GR_PIMA GR_PIT
|
|
GR_PXM GR_PXT GR_Q GR_R GR_RCI GR_RL GR_RLR GR_RS GR_RSR GR_TAX GR_TAXH GR_TAXK GR_TB GR_TFP_FE GR_TRATE GR_UNR GR_UNR_A GR_W GR_WH GR_WH1 GR_WH2
|
|
GR_WH3 GR_WK GR_XM GR_XMA GR_XT GR_YD
|
|
HO_A HO_GDP HO_ICOM HO_IM HO_IT HO_NFA HO_PIT HO_PXT HO_XOIL HO_XT
|
|
IT_A IT_ACT IT_B IT_BT IT_C IT_COIL IT_CPI IT_CU IT_CURBAL IT_C_DI IT_C_PI IT_DLGDP IT_DLLF IT_ER IT_FACT IT_GDEF IT_GDP IT_GDP_FE IT_GE IT_GNP
|
|
IT_IM IT_INFL IT_INVEST IT_IOIL IT_IT IT_K IT_LF IT_M IT_MPC IT_MPCINV IT_MPK IT_NEER IT_NFA IT_P IT_PFM IT_PGNP IT_PGNPNO IT_PIM IT_PIMA IT_PIT
|
|
IT_PXM IT_PXT IT_Q IT_R IT_RCI IT_RL IT_RLR IT_RS IT_RSR IT_TAX IT_TAXH IT_TAXK IT_TB IT_TFP_FE IT_TRATE IT_UNR IT_UNR_A IT_W IT_WH IT_WH1 IT_WH2
|
|
IT_WH3 IT_WK IT_XM IT_XMA IT_XT IT_YD
|
|
JA_A JA_ACT JA_B JA_BT JA_C JA_COIL JA_CPI JA_CU JA_CURBAL JA_C_DI JA_C_PI JA_DLGDP JA_DLLF JA_ER JA_FACT JA_GDEF JA_GDP JA_GDP_FE JA_GE JA_GNP
|
|
JA_IM JA_INFL JA_INVEST JA_IOIL JA_IT JA_K JA_LF JA_M JA_MPC JA_MPCINV JA_MPK JA_NEER JA_NFA JA_P JA_PFM JA_PGNP JA_PGNPNO JA_PIM JA_PIMA JA_PIT
|
|
JA_PXM JA_PXT JA_Q JA_R JA_RCI JA_RL JA_RLR JA_RS JA_RSR JA_TAX JA_TAXH JA_TAXK JA_TB JA_TFP_FE JA_TRATE JA_UNR JA_UNR_A JA_W JA_WH JA_WH1 JA_WH2
|
|
JA_WH3 JA_WK JA_XM JA_XMA JA_XT JA_YD
|
|
PCOM POIL
|
|
RES_CA_ICOM
|
|
RES_FR_ICOM
|
|
RES_GR_ICOM
|
|
RES_IT_ICOM
|
|
RES_JA_ICOM
|
|
RES_SI_ICOM
|
|
RES_UK_ICOM
|
|
RES_US_ICOM
|
|
RW_FACT RW_IM RW_NEER RW_PFM RW_PIM RW_PIMA RW_PXM RW_RCI RW_XCOM RW_XM RW_XMA RW_XOIL
|
|
SI_A SI_ACT SI_B SI_BT SI_C SI_COIL SI_CPI SI_CU SI_CURBAL SI_C_DI SI_C_PI SI_DLGDP SI_DLLF SI_ER SI_FACT SI_GDEF SI_GDP SI_GDP_FE SI_GE SI_GNP
|
|
SI_IM SI_INFL SI_INVEST SI_IOIL SI_IT SI_K SI_LF SI_M SI_MPC SI_MPCINV SI_MPK SI_NEER SI_NFA SI_P SI_PFM SI_PGNP SI_PGNPNO SI_PIM SI_PIMA SI_PIT
|
|
SI_PXM SI_PXT SI_Q SI_R SI_RCI SI_RL SI_RLR SI_RS SI_RSR SI_TAX SI_TAXH SI_TAXK SI_TB SI_TFP_FE SI_TRATE SI_UNR SI_UNR_A SI_W SI_WH SI_WH1 SI_WH2
|
|
SI_WH3 SI_WK SI_XM SI_XMA SI_XT SI_YD
|
|
UK_A UK_ACT UK_B UK_BT UK_C UK_COIL UK_CPI UK_CU UK_CURBAL UK_C_DI UK_C_PI UK_DLGDP UK_DLLF UK_ER UK_FACT UK_GDEF UK_GDP UK_GDP_FE UK_GE UK_GNP
|
|
UK_IM UK_INFL UK_INVEST UK_IOIL UK_IT UK_K UK_LF UK_M UK_MPC UK_MPCINV UK_MPK UK_NEER UK_NFA UK_P UK_PFM UK_PGNP UK_PGNPNO UK_PIM UK_PIMA UK_PIT
|
|
UK_PXM UK_PXT UK_Q UK_R UK_RCI UK_RL UK_RLR UK_RS UK_RSR UK_TAX UK_TAXH UK_TAXK UK_TB UK_TFP_FE UK_TRATE UK_UNR UK_UNR_A UK_W UK_WH UK_WH1 UK_WH2
|
|
UK_WH3 UK_WK UK_XM UK_XMA UK_XT UK_YD
|
|
US_A US_ACT US_B US_BT US_C US_COIL US_CPI US_CU US_CURBAL US_C_DI US_C_PI US_DLGDP US_DLLF US_ER US_FACT US_GDEF US_GDP US_GDP_FE US_GE US_GNP
|
|
US_IM US_INFL US_INVEST US_IOIL US_IT US_K US_LF US_M US_MPC US_MPCINV US_MPK US_NEER US_NFA US_P US_PFM US_PGNP US_PGNPNO US_PIM US_PIMA US_PIT
|
|
US_PXM US_PXT US_Q US_R US_RCI US_RL US_RLR US_RR US_RS US_RSR US_TAX US_TAXH US_TAXK US_TB US_TFP_FE US_TRATE US_UNR US_UNR_A US_W US_WH US_WH1 US_WH2
|
|
US_WH3 US_WK US_XM US_XMA US_XT US_YD
|
|
WTRADE WTRADER
|
|
;
|
|
varexo
|
|
CA_ALPHA1 CA_ALPHA2 CA_ALPHA3 CA_BCHI1 CA_BCHI2 CA_BETA CA_BT_GDP_RAT CA_CPI_GAP_EXOG CA_CPI_TAR CA_DELTA CA_DELTA_SS CA_DEM3 CA_DLLF_SS CA_G CA_GDP_GAP_EXOG
|
|
CA_GEXOG CA_ICOM CA_LAMBDA CA_LAMBDA1 CA_LAMBDA2 CA_LAMBDA3 CA_MGROW CA_MT CA_NEER_PAR CA_NLIN CA_PAR CA_PART CA_PARUS CA_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG CA_PGNPNO_TAR
|
|
CA_PGNP_GAP_EXOG CA_PGNP_TAR CA_PHI CA_POP CA_PREM CA_PROB CA_PRODOIL CA_P_GAP_EXOG CA_P_TAR CA_RSCON CA_RSCON2 CA_RS_EXOG CA_SIGMA CA_TAXK_ALPHA CA_TAXK_SHAR
|
|
CA_TPREM CA_TRATEK CA_TRATE_ALPHA CA_TRATE_EXOG CA_UNR_FE CA_UNR_GAP_EXOG CA_XOIL CA_X_RS1 CA_X_RS2
|
|
DC_BETA DC_DELTA DC_INFL DC_KCOMSHR DC_OILSHR DC_PROD DC_XOILSHR DC_XTNDHIST
|
|
FR_ALPHA1 FR_ALPHA2 FR_ALPHA3 FR_BCHI1 FR_BCHI2 FR_BETA FR_BT_GDP_RAT FR_CPI_GAP_EXOG FR_CPI_TAR FR_DELTA FR_DELTA_SS FR_DEM3 FR_DLLF_SS FR_G FR_GDP_GAP_EXOG
|
|
FR_GEXOG FR_ICOM FR_LAMBDA FR_LAMBDA1 FR_LAMBDA2 FR_LAMBDA3 FR_MGROW FR_MT FR_NEER_PAR FR_NLIN FR_PAR FR_PART FR_PARUS FR_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG FR_PGNPNO_TAR
|
|
FR_PGNP_GAP_EXOG FR_PGNP_TAR FR_PHI FR_POP FR_PREM FR_PROB FR_PRODOIL FR_P_GAP_EXOG FR_P_TAR FR_RSCON FR_RSCON2 FR_RS_EXOG FR_SIGMA FR_TAXK_ALPHA FR_TAXK_SHAR
|
|
FR_TPREM FR_TRATEK FR_TRATE_ALPHA FR_TRATE_EXOG FR_UNR_FE FR_UNR_GAP_EXOG FR_XOIL FR_X_RS1 FR_X_RS2
|
|
GREAL GREAL_SS
|
|
GR_ALPHA1 GR_ALPHA2 GR_ALPHA3 GR_BCHI1 GR_BCHI2 GR_BETA GR_BT_GDP_RAT GR_CPI_GAP_EXOG GR_CPI_TAR GR_DELTA GR_DELTA_SS GR_DEM3 GR_DLLF_SS GR_G GR_GDP_GAP_EXOG
|
|
GR_GEXOG GR_ICOM GR_LAMBDA GR_LAMBDA1 GR_LAMBDA2 GR_LAMBDA3 GR_MGROW GR_MT GR_NEER_PAR GR_NLIN GR_PAR GR_PART GR_PARUS GR_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG GR_PGNPNO_TAR
|
|
GR_PGNP_GAP_EXOG GR_PGNP_TAR GR_PHI GR_POP GR_PREM GR_PROB GR_PRODOIL GR_P_GAP_EXOG GR_P_TAR GR_RSCON GR_RSCON2 GR_RS_EXOG GR_SIGMA GR_TAXK_ALPHA GR_TAXK_SHAR
|
|
GR_TPREM GR_TRATEK GR_TRATE_ALPHA GR_TRATE_EXOG GR_UNR_FE GR_UNR_GAP_EXOG GR_XOIL GR_X_RS1 GR_X_RS2
|
|
HO_IOIL HO_QNT HO_XM
|
|
IT_ALPHA1 IT_ALPHA2 IT_ALPHA3 IT_BCHI1 IT_BCHI2 IT_BETA IT_BT_GDP_RAT IT_CPI_GAP_EXOG IT_CPI_TAR IT_DELTA IT_DELTA_SS IT_DEM3 IT_DLLF_SS IT_G IT_GDP_GAP_EXOG
|
|
IT_GEXOG IT_ICOM IT_LAMBDA IT_LAMBDA1 IT_LAMBDA2 IT_LAMBDA3 IT_MGROW IT_MT IT_NEER_PAR IT_NLIN IT_PAR IT_PART IT_PARUS IT_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG IT_PGNPNO_TAR
|
|
IT_PGNP_GAP_EXOG IT_PGNP_TAR IT_PHI IT_POP IT_PREM IT_PROB IT_PRODOIL IT_P_GAP_EXOG IT_P_TAR IT_RSCON IT_RSCON2 IT_RS_EXOG IT_SIGMA IT_TAXK_ALPHA IT_TAXK_SHAR
|
|
IT_TPREM IT_TRATEK IT_TRATE_ALPHA IT_TRATE_EXOG IT_UNR_FE IT_UNR_GAP_EXOG IT_XOIL IT_X_RS1 IT_X_RS2
|
|
JA_ALPHA1 JA_ALPHA2 JA_ALPHA3 JA_BCHI1 JA_BCHI2 JA_BETA JA_BT_GDP_RAT JA_CPI_GAP_EXOG JA_CPI_TAR JA_DELTA JA_DELTA_SS JA_DEM3 JA_DLLF_SS JA_G JA_GDP_GAP_EXOG
|
|
JA_GEXOG JA_ICOM JA_LAMBDA JA_LAMBDA1 JA_LAMBDA2 JA_LAMBDA3 JA_MGROW JA_MT JA_NEER_PAR JA_NLIN JA_PAR JA_PART JA_PARUS JA_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG JA_PGNPNO_TAR
|
|
JA_PGNP_GAP_EXOG JA_PGNP_TAR JA_PHI JA_POP JA_PREM JA_PROB JA_PRODOIL JA_P_GAP_EXOG JA_P_TAR JA_RSCON JA_RSCON2 JA_RS_EXOG JA_SIGMA JA_TAXK_ALPHA JA_TAXK_SHAR
|
|
JA_TPREM JA_TRATEK JA_TRATE_ALPHA JA_TRATE_EXOG JA_UNR_FE JA_UNR_GAP_EXOG JA_XOIL JA_X_RS1 JA_X_RS2
|
|
RES_CA_COIL RES_CA_CPI RES_CA_C_DI RES_CA_ER RES_CA_GNP RES_CA_IM RES_CA_IOIL RES_CA_K RES_CA_M RES_CA_MPC RES_CA_NFA RES_CA_P RES_CA_PGNP RES_CA_PIM RES_CA_PXM
|
|
RES_CA_RL RES_CA_RS RES_CA_TFP_FE RES_CA_TRATE RES_CA_UNR_A RES_CA_WH1 RES_CA_WH2 RES_CA_WH3 RES_CA_WK RES_CA_XM
|
|
RES_DC_CTOT RES_DC_DEBT RES_DC_GDP_FE RES_DC_IT RES_DC_NFA RES_DC_PGNP RES_DC_PIM RES_DC_PIMA RES_DC_PXM RES_DC_QNT RES_DC_XOIL RES_DC_XSM
|
|
RES_FR_COIL RES_FR_CPI RES_FR_C_DI RES_FR_ER RES_FR_GNP RES_FR_IM RES_FR_IOIL RES_FR_K RES_FR_M RES_FR_MPC RES_FR_NFA RES_FR_P RES_FR_PGNP RES_FR_PIM RES_FR_PXM
|
|
RES_FR_RL RES_FR_RS RES_FR_TFP_FE RES_FR_TRATE RES_FR_UNR_A RES_FR_WH1 RES_FR_WH2 RES_FR_WH3 RES_FR_WK RES_FR_XM
|
|
RES_GR_COIL RES_GR_CPI RES_GR_C_DI RES_GR_ER RES_GR_GNP RES_GR_IM RES_GR_IOIL RES_GR_K RES_GR_M RES_GR_MPC RES_GR_NFA RES_GR_P RES_GR_PGNP RES_GR_PIM RES_GR_PXM
|
|
RES_GR_RL RES_GR_RS RES_GR_TFP_FE RES_GR_TRATE RES_GR_UNR_A RES_GR_WH1 RES_GR_WH2 RES_GR_WH3 RES_GR_WK RES_GR_XM
|
|
RES_HO_ICOM RES_HO_IM RES_HO_PIT RES_HO_PXT
|
|
RES_IT_COIL RES_IT_CPI RES_IT_C_DI RES_IT_ER RES_IT_GNP RES_IT_IM RES_IT_IOIL RES_IT_K RES_IT_M RES_IT_MPC RES_IT_NFA RES_IT_P RES_IT_PGNP RES_IT_PIM RES_IT_PXM
|
|
RES_IT_RL RES_IT_RS RES_IT_TFP_FE RES_IT_TRATE RES_IT_UNR_A RES_IT_WH1 RES_IT_WH2 RES_IT_WH3 RES_IT_WK RES_IT_XM
|
|
RES_JA_COIL RES_JA_CPI RES_JA_C_DI RES_JA_ER RES_JA_GNP RES_JA_IM RES_JA_IOIL RES_JA_K RES_JA_M RES_JA_MPC RES_JA_NFA RES_JA_P RES_JA_PGNP RES_JA_PIM RES_JA_PXM
|
|
RES_JA_RL RES_JA_RS RES_JA_TFP_FE RES_JA_TRATE RES_JA_UNR_A RES_JA_WH1 RES_JA_WH2 RES_JA_WH3 RES_JA_WK RES_JA_XM
|
|
RES_PCOM
|
|
RES_RW_PIM RES_RW_PXM RES_RW_XM
|
|
RES_SI_COIL RES_SI_CPI RES_SI_C_DI RES_SI_ER RES_SI_GNP RES_SI_IM RES_SI_IOIL RES_SI_K RES_SI_M RES_SI_MPC RES_SI_NFA RES_SI_P RES_SI_PGNP RES_SI_PIM RES_SI_PXM
|
|
RES_SI_RL RES_SI_RS RES_SI_TFP_FE RES_SI_TRATE RES_SI_UNR_A RES_SI_WH1 RES_SI_WH2 RES_SI_WH3 RES_SI_WK RES_SI_XM
|
|
RES_UK_COIL RES_UK_CPI RES_UK_C_DI RES_UK_ER RES_UK_GNP RES_UK_IM RES_UK_IOIL RES_UK_K RES_UK_M RES_UK_MPC RES_UK_NFA RES_UK_P RES_UK_PGNP RES_UK_PIM RES_UK_PXM
|
|
RES_UK_RL RES_UK_RS RES_UK_TFP_FE RES_UK_TRATE RES_UK_UNR_A RES_UK_WH1 RES_UK_WH2 RES_UK_WH3 RES_UK_WK RES_UK_XM
|
|
RES_US_COIL RES_US_CPI RES_US_C_DI RES_US_ER RES_US_GNP RES_US_IM RES_US_IOIL RES_US_K RES_US_M RES_US_MPC RES_US_NFA RES_US_P RES_US_PGNP RES_US_PIM RES_US_PXM
|
|
RES_US_RL RES_US_RS RES_US_TFP_FE RES_US_TRATE RES_US_UNR_A RES_US_WH1 RES_US_WH2 RES_US_WH3 RES_US_WK RES_US_XM
|
|
RES_WTRADE RES_WTRADER RPOIL
|
|
RW_ER RW_INFL
|
|
SI_ALPHA1 SI_ALPHA2 SI_ALPHA3 SI_BCHI1 SI_BCHI2 SI_BETA SI_BT_GDP_RAT SI_CPI_GAP_EXOG SI_CPI_TAR SI_DELTA SI_DELTA_SS SI_DEM3 SI_DLLF_SS SI_G SI_GDP_GAP_EXOG
|
|
SI_GEXOG SI_ICOM SI_LAMBDA SI_LAMBDA1 SI_LAMBDA2 SI_LAMBDA3 SI_MGROW SI_MT SI_NEER_PAR SI_NLIN SI_PAR SI_PART SI_PARUS SI_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG SI_PGNPNO_TAR
|
|
SI_PGNP_GAP_EXOG SI_PGNP_TAR SI_PHI SI_POP SI_PREM SI_PROB SI_PRODOIL SI_P_GAP_EXOG SI_P_TAR SI_RSCON SI_RSCON2 SI_RS_EXOG SI_SIGMA SI_TAXK_ALPHA SI_TAXK_SHAR
|
|
SI_TPREM SI_TRATEK SI_TRATE_ALPHA SI_TRATE_EXOG SI_UNR_FE SI_UNR_GAP_EXOG SI_XOIL SI_X_RS1 SI_X_RS2
|
|
TME
|
|
UK_ALPHA1 UK_ALPHA2 UK_ALPHA3 UK_BCHI1 UK_BCHI2 UK_BETA UK_BT_GDP_RAT UK_CPI_GAP_EXOG UK_CPI_TAR UK_DELTA UK_DELTA_SS UK_DEM3 UK_DLLF_SS UK_G UK_GDP_GAP_EXOG
|
|
UK_GEXOG UK_ICOM UK_LAMBDA UK_LAMBDA1 UK_LAMBDA2 UK_LAMBDA3 UK_MGROW UK_MT UK_NEER_PAR UK_NLIN UK_PAR UK_PART UK_PARUS UK_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG UK_PGNPNO_TAR
|
|
UK_PGNP_GAP_EXOG UK_PGNP_TAR UK_PHI UK_POP UK_PREM UK_PROB UK_PRODOIL UK_P_GAP_EXOG UK_P_TAR UK_RSCON UK_RSCON2 UK_RS_EXOG UK_SIGMA UK_TAXK_ALPHA UK_TAXK_SHAR
|
|
UK_TPREM UK_TRATEK UK_TRATE_ALPHA UK_TRATE_EXOG UK_UNR_FE UK_UNR_GAP_EXOG UK_XOIL UK_X_RS1 UK_X_RS2
|
|
US_ALPHA1 US_ALPHA2 US_ALPHA3 US_BCHI1 US_BCHI2 US_BETA US_BT_GDP_RAT US_CPI_GAP_EXOG US_CPI_TAR US_DELTA US_DELTA_SS US_DEM3 US_DLLF_SS US_G US_GDP_GAP_EXOG
|
|
US_GEXOG US_ICOM US_LAMBDA US_LAMBDA1 US_LAMBDA2 US_LAMBDA3 US_MGROW US_MT US_NEER_PAR US_NLIN US_PAR US_PART US_PARUS US_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG US_PGNPNO_TAR
|
|
US_PGNP_GAP_EXOG US_PGNP_TAR US_PHI US_POP US_PREM US_PROB US_PRODOIL US_P_GAP_EXOG US_P_TAR US_RRBAR US_RSCON US_RSCON2 US_RS_EXOG US_SIGMA US_TAXK_ALPHA
|
|
US_TAXK_SHAR US_TPREM US_TRATEK US_TRATE_ALPHA US_TRATE_EXOG US_UNR_FE US_UNR_GAP_EXOG US_XOIL US_X_RS1 US_X_RS2;
|
|
parameters
|
|
CA_CHI CA_COIL0 CA_COIL1 CA_COIL2 CA_COIL3 CA_COIL4 CA_CPI1 CA_CPI2 CA_C_MPROP CA_DELTA_PI CA_E96 CA_GAMMA CA_G_MPROP CA_IC0 CA_IC1 CA_IC2 CA_IC3 CA_IC4
|
|
CA_IC5 CA_IM0 CA_IM1 CA_IM2 CA_IM3 CA_INVEST_MPROP CA_K1 CA_K2 CA_M0 CA_M2 CA_M4 CA_PXM0 CA_PXM1 CA_PXM2 CA_RS1 CA_RS1PERM CA_RS2 CA_RS3 CA_RS4 CA_RS5
|
|
CA_RS6 CA_RTARC1 CA_RTARC2 CA_RTARC3 CA_RTARC4 CA_RTARF1 CA_RTARF2 CA_RTARF3 CA_RTARF4 CA_UNR_1 CA_UNR_2 CA_WT CA_XM0 CA_XM1 CA_XM2 CA_XM3 CA_XT_MPROP
|
|
DC_C0 DC_C1 DC_C2 DC_DEBT1 DC_DEBT2 DC_GDP_FE0
|
|
FR_CHI FR_COIL0 FR_COIL1 FR_COIL2 FR_COIL3 FR_COIL4 FR_CPI1 FR_CPI2 FR_C_MPROP FR_DELTA_PI FR_E96 FR_GAMMA FR_G_MPROP FR_IC0 FR_IC1 FR_IC2 FR_IC3 FR_IC4
|
|
FR_IC5 FR_IM0 FR_IM1 FR_IM2 FR_IM3 FR_INVEST_MPROP FR_K1 FR_K2 FR_M0 FR_M2 FR_M4 FR_PXM0 FR_PXM1 FR_PXM2 FR_RS1 FR_RS1PERM FR_RS2 FR_RS3 FR_RS4 FR_RS5
|
|
FR_RS6 FR_RTARC1 FR_RTARC2 FR_RTARC3 FR_RTARC4 FR_RTARF1 FR_RTARF2 FR_RTARF3 FR_RTARF4 FR_UNR_1 FR_UNR_2 FR_WT FR_XM0 FR_XM1 FR_XM2 FR_XM3 FR_XT_MPROP
|
|
GR_CHI GR_COIL0 GR_COIL1 GR_COIL2 GR_COIL3 GR_COIL4 GR_CPI1 GR_CPI2 GR_C_MPROP GR_DELTA_PI GR_E96 GR_GAMMA GR_G_MPROP GR_IC0 GR_IC1 GR_IC2 GR_IC3 GR_IC4
|
|
GR_IC5 GR_IM0 GR_IM1 GR_IM2 GR_IM3 GR_INVEST_MPROP GR_K1 GR_K2 GR_M0 GR_M2 GR_M4 GR_PXM0 GR_PXM1 GR_PXM2 GR_RS1 GR_RS1PERM GR_RS2 GR_RS3 GR_RS4 GR_RS5
|
|
GR_RS6 GR_RTARC1 GR_RTARC2 GR_RTARC3 GR_RTARC4 GR_RTARF1 GR_RTARF2 GR_RTARF3 GR_RTARF4 GR_UNR_1 GR_UNR_2 GR_WT GR_XM0 GR_XM1 GR_XM2 GR_XM3 GR_XT_MPROP
|
|
HO_A0 HO_A1 HO_IC2
|
|
ISR
|
|
IT_CHI IT_COIL0 IT_COIL1 IT_COIL2 IT_COIL3 IT_COIL4 IT_CPI1 IT_CPI2 IT_C_MPROP IT_DELTA_PI IT_E96 IT_GAMMA IT_G_MPROP IT_IC0 IT_IC1 IT_IC2 IT_IC3 IT_IC4
|
|
IT_IC5 IT_IM0 IT_IM1 IT_IM2 IT_IM3 IT_INVEST_MPROP IT_K1 IT_K2 IT_M0 IT_M2 IT_M4 IT_PXM0 IT_PXM1 IT_PXM2 IT_RS1 IT_RS1PERM IT_RS2 IT_RS3 IT_RS4 IT_RS5
|
|
IT_RS6 IT_RTARC1 IT_RTARC2 IT_RTARC3 IT_RTARC4 IT_RTARF1 IT_RTARF2 IT_RTARF3 IT_RTARF4 IT_UNR_1 IT_UNR_2 IT_WT IT_XM0 IT_XM1 IT_XM2 IT_XM3 IT_XT_MPROP
|
|
JA_CHI JA_COIL0 JA_COIL1 JA_COIL2 JA_COIL3 JA_COIL4 JA_CPI1 JA_CPI2 JA_C_MPROP JA_DELTA_PI JA_E96 JA_GAMMA JA_G_MPROP JA_IC0 JA_IC1 JA_IC2 JA_IC3 JA_IC4
|
|
JA_IC5 JA_IM0 JA_IM1 JA_IM2 JA_IM3 JA_INVEST_MPROP JA_K1 JA_K2 JA_M0 JA_M2 JA_M4 JA_PXM0 JA_PXM1 JA_PXM2 JA_RS1 JA_RS1PERM JA_RS2 JA_RS3 JA_RS4 JA_RS5
|
|
JA_RS6 JA_RTARC1 JA_RTARC2 JA_RTARC3 JA_RTARC4 JA_RTARF1 JA_RTARF2 JA_RTARF3 JA_RTARF4 JA_UNR_1 JA_UNR_2 JA_WT JA_XM0 JA_XM1 JA_XM2 JA_XM3 JA_XT_MPROP
|
|
RW_E96 RW_PXM1 RW_PXM2 RW_XCOM1 RW_XM0 RW_XM1 RW_XM2 RW_XM3 RW_XSM1
|
|
S0101 S0102 S0103 S0104 S0105 S0106 S0107 S0108 S0109
|
|
S0201 S0202 S0203 S0204 S0205 S0206 S0207 S0208 S0209
|
|
S0301 S0302 S0303 S0304 S0305 S0306 S0307 S0308 S0309
|
|
S0401 S0402 S0403 S0404 S0405 S0406 S0407 S0408 S0409
|
|
S0501 S0502 S0503 S0504 S0505 S0506 S0507 S0508 S0509
|
|
S0601 S0602 S0603 S0604 S0605 S0606 S0607 S0608 S0609
|
|
S0701 S0702 S0703 S0704 S0705 S0706 S0707 S0708 S0709
|
|
S0801 S0802 S0803 S0804 S0805 S0806 S0807 S0808 S0809
|
|
S0901 S0902 S0903 S0904 S0905 S0906 S0907 S0908 S0909
|
|
SI_CHI SI_COIL0 SI_COIL1 SI_COIL2 SI_COIL3 SI_COIL4 SI_CPI1 SI_CPI2 SI_C_MPROP SI_DELTA_PI SI_E96 SI_GAMMA SI_G_MPROP SI_IC0 SI_IC1 SI_IC2 SI_IC3 SI_IC4
|
|
SI_IC5 SI_IM0 SI_IM1 SI_IM2 SI_IM3 SI_INVEST_MPROP SI_K1 SI_K2 SI_M0 SI_M2 SI_M4 SI_PXM0 SI_PXM1 SI_PXM2 SI_RS1 SI_RS1PERM SI_RS2 SI_RS3 SI_RS4 SI_RS5
|
|
SI_RS6 SI_RTARC1 SI_RTARC2 SI_RTARC3 SI_RTARC4 SI_RTARF1 SI_RTARF2 SI_RTARF3 SI_RTARF4 SI_UNR_1 SI_UNR_2 SI_WT SI_XM0 SI_XM1 SI_XM2 SI_XM3 SI_XT_MPROP
|
|
T01 T02 T03 T04 T05 T06 T07 T08 T09
|
|
TAU1 TRDE TRDER
|
|
UK_CHI UK_COIL0 UK_COIL1 UK_COIL2 UK_COIL3 UK_COIL4 UK_CPI1 UK_CPI2 UK_C_MPROP UK_DELTA_PI UK_E96 UK_GAMMA UK_G_MPROP UK_IC0 UK_IC1 UK_IC2 UK_IC3 UK_IC4
|
|
UK_IC5 UK_IM0 UK_IM1 UK_IM2 UK_IM3 UK_INVEST_MPROP UK_K1 UK_K2 UK_M0 UK_M2 UK_M4 UK_PXM0 UK_PXM1 UK_PXM2 UK_RS1 UK_RS1PERM UK_RS2 UK_RS3 UK_RS4 UK_RS5
|
|
UK_RS6 UK_RTARC1 UK_RTARC2 UK_RTARC3 UK_RTARC4 UK_RTARF1 UK_RTARF2 UK_RTARF3 UK_RTARF4 UK_UNR_1 UK_UNR_2 UK_WT UK_XM0 UK_XM1 UK_XM2 UK_XM3 UK_XT_MPROP
|
|
US_CHI US_COIL0 US_COIL1 US_COIL2 US_COIL3 US_COIL4 US_CPI1 US_CPI2 US_C_MPROP US_DELTA_PI US_E96 US_GAMMA US_G_MPROP US_IC0 US_IC1 US_IC2 US_IC3 US_IC4
|
|
US_IC5 US_IM0 US_IM1 US_IM2 US_IM3 US_INVEST_MPROP US_K1 US_K2 US_M0 US_M2 US_M4 US_PXM0 US_PXM1 US_PXM2 US_RS1 US_RS1PERM US_RS2 US_RS3 US_RS4 US_RS5
|
|
US_RS6 US_RTARC1 US_RTARC2 US_RTARC3 US_RTARC4 US_RTARF1 US_RTARF2 US_RTARF3 US_RTARF4 US_UNR_1 US_UNR_2 US_WT US_XM0 US_XM1 US_XM2 US_XM3 US_XT_MPROP
|
|
V0102 V0103 V0104 V0105 V0106 V0107 V0108
|
|
V0201 V0203 V0204 V0205 V0206 V0207 V0208
|
|
V0301 V0302 V0304 V0305 V0306 V0307 V0308
|
|
V0401 V0402 V0403 V0405 V0406 V0407 V0408
|
|
V0501 V0502 V0503 V0504 V0506 V0507 V0508
|
|
V0601 V0602 V0603 V0604 V0605 V0607 V0608
|
|
V0701 V0702 V0703 V0704 V0705 V0706 V0708
|
|
V0801 V0802 V0803 V0804 V0805 V0806 V0807
|
|
W0101 W0102 W0103 W0104 W0105 W0106 W0107 W0108 W0109
|
|
W0201 W0202 W0203 W0204 W0205 W0206 W0207 W0208 W0209
|
|
W0301 W0302 W0303 W0304 W0305 W0306 W0307 W0308 W0309
|
|
W0401 W0402 W0403 W0404 W0405 W0406 W0407 W0408 W0409
|
|
W0501 W0502 W0503 W0504 W0505 W0506 W0507 W0508 W0509
|
|
W0601 W0602 W0603 W0604 W0605 W0606 W0607 W0608 W0609
|
|
W0701 W0702 W0703 W0704 W0705 W0706 W0707 W0708 W0709
|
|
W0801 W0802 W0803 W0804 W0805 W0806 W0807 W0808 W0809
|
|
W0901 W0902 W0903 W0904 W0905 W0906 W0907 W0908 W0909;
|
|
|
|
CA_CHI=12;
|
|
CA_COIL0=-0.23205499351;
|
|
CA_COIL1=0.971576988697;
|
|
CA_COIL2=-0.0460230000317;
|
|
CA_COIL3=-0.0477560013533;
|
|
CA_COIL4=0.0639569982886;
|
|
CA_CPI1=0.0885436907411;
|
|
CA_CPI2=0.584154784679;
|
|
CA_C_MPROP=0.178070038557;
|
|
CA_DELTA_PI=0.53;
|
|
CA_E96=0.733423769474;
|
|
CA_GAMMA=1.77305098623;
|
|
CA_G_MPROP=0.184400975704;
|
|
CA_IC0=-3.32013988495;
|
|
CA_IC1=2.43067002296;
|
|
CA_IC2=-1.11615002155;
|
|
CA_IC3=-0.562039971352;
|
|
CA_IC4=0.662097990513;
|
|
CA_IC5=-1;
|
|
CA_IM0=0.0133133819327;
|
|
CA_IM1=-0.339117258787;
|
|
CA_IM2=0.0625357478857;
|
|
CA_IM3=-0.991348028183;
|
|
CA_INVEST_MPROP=0.515719473362;
|
|
CA_K1=0.0328033864498;
|
|
CA_K2=0.0473355539143;
|
|
CA_M0=-0.0607150010765;
|
|
CA_M2=-0.0054020001553;
|
|
CA_M4=0.788931012154;
|
|
CA_PXM0=-0.0128829535097;
|
|
CA_PXM1=0.645817816257;
|
|
CA_PXM2=0.0349373221397;
|
|
CA_RS1=0.333;
|
|
CA_RS1PERM=0.333;
|
|
CA_RS2=0;
|
|
CA_RS3=0;
|
|
CA_RS4=0;
|
|
CA_RS5=0;
|
|
CA_RS6=0;
|
|
CA_RTARC1=0;
|
|
CA_RTARC2=0;
|
|
CA_RTARC3=0;
|
|
CA_RTARC4=0;
|
|
CA_RTARF1=0;
|
|
CA_RTARF2=0;
|
|
CA_RTARF3=0;
|
|
CA_RTARF4=0;
|
|
CA_UNR_1=-0.42063587904;
|
|
CA_UNR_2=0.32201731205;
|
|
CA_WT=6.36961058059e-006;
|
|
CA_XM0=-0.00616873381659;
|
|
CA_XM1=-0.419528901577;
|
|
CA_XM2=0.0101102301851;
|
|
CA_XM3=-1.74084436893;
|
|
CA_XT_MPROP=0.15729150176;
|
|
DC_C0=-0.433786988258;
|
|
DC_C1=0.366304010153;
|
|
DC_C2=0.372914999723;
|
|
DC_DEBT1=0.600000023842;
|
|
DC_DEBT2=0.15000000596;
|
|
DC_GDP_FE0=3.73925995827;
|
|
FR_CHI=12;
|
|
FR_COIL0=-0.234044000506;
|
|
FR_COIL1=2.4851899147;
|
|
FR_COIL2=-0.0460230000317;
|
|
FR_COIL3=-0.0477560013533;
|
|
FR_COIL4=0.0639569982886;
|
|
FR_CPI1=0.133349880576;
|
|
FR_CPI2=0.822861135006;
|
|
FR_C_MPROP=0.164363101125;
|
|
FR_DELTA_PI=1;
|
|
FR_E96=0.195483461022;
|
|
FR_GAMMA=1.13691873848;
|
|
FR_G_MPROP=0.0880697220564;
|
|
FR_IC0=-0.19662900269;
|
|
FR_IC1=1.18206000328;
|
|
FR_IC2=-0.317216992378;
|
|
FR_IC3=-0.126195997;
|
|
FR_IC4=0.271228998899;
|
|
FR_IC5=-0.513716995716;
|
|
FR_IM0=0.00227451790124;
|
|
FR_IM1=-0.339117258787;
|
|
FR_IM2=0.140992045403;
|
|
FR_IM3=-0.991348028183;
|
|
FR_INVEST_MPROP=0.330241620541;
|
|
FR_K1=0.0328033864498;
|
|
FR_K2=0.0473355539143;
|
|
FR_M0=0.125633999705;
|
|
FR_M2=-0.0054020001553;
|
|
FR_M4=0.788931012154;
|
|
FR_PXM0=-0.00220575975254;
|
|
FR_PXM1=0.705334246159;
|
|
FR_PXM2=0.0349373221397;
|
|
FR_RS1=0;
|
|
FR_RS1PERM=0.333;
|
|
FR_RS2=2000000;
|
|
FR_RS3=0;
|
|
FR_RS4=0;
|
|
FR_RS5=0;
|
|
FR_RS6=0;
|
|
FR_RTARC1=0;
|
|
FR_RTARC2=0;
|
|
FR_RTARC3=0;
|
|
FR_RTARC4=0;
|
|
FR_RTARF1=0;
|
|
FR_RTARF2=0;
|
|
FR_RTARF3=0;
|
|
FR_RTARF4=0;
|
|
FR_UNR_1=-0.295711427927;
|
|
FR_UNR_2=0.437749415636;
|
|
FR_WT=1.6754593069e-005;
|
|
FR_XM0=-0.00668761134148;
|
|
FR_XM1=-0.482208490372;
|
|
FR_XM2=0.014295168221;
|
|
FR_XM3=-1.74084436893;
|
|
FR_XT_MPROP=0.153821244836;
|
|
GR_CHI=12;
|
|
GR_COIL0=-0.235900998116;
|
|
GR_COIL1=1.66013002396;
|
|
GR_COIL2=-0.0460230000317;
|
|
GR_COIL3=-0.0477560013533;
|
|
GR_COIL4=0.0639569982886;
|
|
GR_CPI1=0.154569670558;
|
|
GR_CPI2=0.557855904102;
|
|
GR_C_MPROP=0.166775077581;
|
|
GR_DELTA_PI=0.53;
|
|
GR_E96=0.66455155611;
|
|
GR_GAMMA=0.819746218622;
|
|
GR_G_MPROP=0.0776999294758;
|
|
GR_IC0=-0.014525000006;
|
|
GR_IC1=1.10573005676;
|
|
GR_IC2=-0.48298099637;
|
|
GR_IC3=0;
|
|
GR_IC4=0;
|
|
GR_IC5=0;
|
|
GR_IM0=0.0129903983325;
|
|
GR_IM1=-0.339117258787;
|
|
GR_IM2=0.133345082402;
|
|
GR_IM3=-0.991348028183;
|
|
GR_INVEST_MPROP=0.197875678539;
|
|
GR_K1=0.0328033864498;
|
|
GR_K2=0.0473355539143;
|
|
GR_M0=0.136906996369;
|
|
GR_M2=-0.0054020001553;
|
|
GR_M4=0.788931012154;
|
|
GR_PXM0=-0.00301471399143;
|
|
GR_PXM1=0.808721482754;
|
|
GR_PXM2=0.0349373221397;
|
|
GR_RS1=0.333;
|
|
GR_RS1PERM=0.333;
|
|
GR_RS2=0;
|
|
GR_RS3=0;
|
|
GR_RS4=0;
|
|
GR_RS5=0;
|
|
GR_RS6=0;
|
|
GR_RTARC1=0;
|
|
GR_RTARC2=0;
|
|
GR_RTARC3=0;
|
|
GR_RTARC4=0;
|
|
GR_RTARF1=0;
|
|
GR_RTARF2=0;
|
|
GR_RTARF3=0;
|
|
GR_RTARF4=0;
|
|
GR_UNR_1=-0.337131500244;
|
|
GR_UNR_2=0.177726686001;
|
|
GR_WT=2.56170225665e-005;
|
|
GR_XM0=-0.00160425971262;
|
|
GR_XM1=-0.404824435711;
|
|
GR_XM2=0.0564797371626;
|
|
GR_XM3=-1.74084436893;
|
|
GR_XT_MPROP=0.248123139143;
|
|
HO_A0=0;
|
|
HO_A1=0.140000000596;
|
|
HO_IC2=-1.03489995003;
|
|
ISR=0.0299999993294;
|
|
IT_CHI=12;
|
|
IT_COIL0=-0.231263995171;
|
|
IT_COIL1=0.593788981438;
|
|
IT_COIL2=-0.0460230000317;
|
|
IT_COIL3=-0.0477560013533;
|
|
IT_COIL4=0.0639569982886;
|
|
IT_CPI1=0.0572924762964;
|
|
IT_CPI2=0.849322021008;
|
|
IT_C_MPROP=0.170956239104;
|
|
IT_DELTA_PI=1;
|
|
IT_E96=0.648110522889;
|
|
IT_GAMMA=2.30496358126;
|
|
IT_G_MPROP=0.0941127538681;
|
|
IT_IC0=-0.746583998203;
|
|
IT_IC1=2.10226988792;
|
|
IT_IC2=-0.430978000164;
|
|
IT_IC3=-0.278881013393;
|
|
IT_IC4=0.292979985476;
|
|
IT_IC5=-0.616999983788;
|
|
IT_IM0=-0.0256050173193;
|
|
IT_IM1=-0.339117258787;
|
|
IT_IM2=0.344494223595;
|
|
IT_IM3=-0.991348028183;
|
|
IT_INVEST_MPROP=0.166337579489;
|
|
IT_K1=0.0328033864498;
|
|
IT_K2=0.0473355539143;
|
|
IT_M0=0.161681994796;
|
|
IT_M2=-0.0054020001553;
|
|
IT_M4=0.788931012154;
|
|
IT_PXM0=0.000566755014006;
|
|
IT_PXM1=0.658845901489;
|
|
IT_PXM2=0.0349373221397;
|
|
IT_RS1=0;
|
|
IT_RS1PERM=0.333;
|
|
IT_RS2=2000000;
|
|
IT_RS3=0;
|
|
IT_RS4=0;
|
|
IT_RS5=0;
|
|
IT_RS6=0;
|
|
IT_RTARC1=0;
|
|
IT_RTARC2=0;
|
|
IT_RTARC3=0;
|
|
IT_RTARC4=0;
|
|
IT_RTARF1=0;
|
|
IT_RTARF2=0;
|
|
IT_RTARF3=0;
|
|
IT_RTARF4=0;
|
|
IT_UNR_1=-0.0943256691098;
|
|
IT_UNR_2=0.793544411659;
|
|
IT_WT=1.32181730735e-005;
|
|
IT_XM0=-0.0253433175385;
|
|
IT_XM1=-0.387458562851;
|
|
IT_XM2=0.17049998045;
|
|
IT_XM3=-1.74084436893;
|
|
IT_XT_MPROP=0.165393054485;
|
|
JA_CHI=12;
|
|
JA_COIL0=-0.320129007101;
|
|
JA_COIL1=1.22408998013;
|
|
JA_COIL2=-0.0460230000317;
|
|
JA_COIL3=-0.0477560013533;
|
|
JA_COIL4=0.0639569982886;
|
|
JA_CPI1=0.0650515928864;
|
|
JA_CPI2=0.791279554367;
|
|
JA_C_MPROP=0.0782259404659;
|
|
JA_DELTA_PI=0.53;
|
|
JA_E96=9.19294636697;
|
|
JA_GAMMA=9.10910964012;
|
|
JA_G_MPROP=0.0464610271156;
|
|
JA_IC0=-1.10236001015;
|
|
JA_IC1=0.436967998743;
|
|
JA_IC2=-0.423990011215;
|
|
JA_IC3=-0.337971001863;
|
|
JA_IC4=0.210978001356;
|
|
JA_IC5=-0.458155989647;
|
|
JA_IM0=-0.0712840557098;
|
|
JA_IM1=-0.339117258787;
|
|
JA_IM2=0.347616523504;
|
|
JA_IM3=-0.991348028183;
|
|
JA_INVEST_MPROP=0.0722297132015;
|
|
JA_K1=0.0328033864498;
|
|
JA_K2=0.0473355539143;
|
|
JA_M0=0.029030000791;
|
|
JA_M2=-0.0054020001553;
|
|
JA_M4=0.788931012154;
|
|
JA_PXM0=-0.00688820658252;
|
|
JA_PXM1=0.64994853735;
|
|
JA_PXM2=0.0349373221397;
|
|
JA_RS1=0.333;
|
|
JA_RS1PERM=0.333;
|
|
JA_RS2=0;
|
|
JA_RS3=0;
|
|
JA_RS4=0;
|
|
JA_RS5=0;
|
|
JA_RS6=0;
|
|
JA_RTARC1=0;
|
|
JA_RTARC2=0;
|
|
JA_RTARC3=0;
|
|
JA_RTARC4=0;
|
|
JA_RTARF1=0;
|
|
JA_RTARF2=0;
|
|
JA_RTARF3=0;
|
|
JA_RTARF4=0;
|
|
JA_UNR_1=-0.0611038096249;
|
|
JA_UNR_2=0.48595276475;
|
|
JA_WT=5.00687931675e-005;
|
|
JA_XM0=0.024151481688;
|
|
JA_XM1=-0.459041416645;
|
|
JA_XM2=0.364201933146;
|
|
JA_XM3=-1.74084436893;
|
|
JA_XT_MPROP=0.0883775576949;
|
|
RW_E96=1;
|
|
RW_PXM1=-0.40000000596;
|
|
RW_PXM2=-0.10000000149;
|
|
RW_XCOM1=0.300000011921;
|
|
RW_XM0=-0.00616873381659;
|
|
RW_XM1=-0.419528901577;
|
|
RW_XM2=0.0101102301851;
|
|
RW_XM3=-1.74084436893;
|
|
RW_XSM1=0.40000000596;
|
|
S0101=0;
|
|
S0102=0.211428981673;
|
|
S0103=0.0518315242932;
|
|
S0104=0.0499099911459;
|
|
S0105=0.0461929631515;
|
|
S0106=0.107709788268;
|
|
S0107=0.755355733991;
|
|
S0108=0.102362944882;
|
|
S0109=0.25825817487;
|
|
S0201=0.140730977983;
|
|
S0202=0;
|
|
S0203=0.0402535143414;
|
|
S0204=0.0186281396133;
|
|
S0205=0.0178380540457;
|
|
S0206=0.0435290672186;
|
|
S0207=0.0291917712961;
|
|
S0208=0.0498749237363;
|
|
S0209=0.206865929608;
|
|
S0301=0.0496485427176;
|
|
S0302=0.0441081698314;
|
|
S0303=0;
|
|
S0304=0.193178152483;
|
|
S0305=0.200114990415;
|
|
S0306=0.14276178335;
|
|
S0307=0.015950421856;
|
|
S0308=0.262332248098;
|
|
S0309=0.126014094315;
|
|
S0401=0.021532626072;
|
|
S0402=0.0167699758807;
|
|
S0403=0.108500266691;
|
|
S0404=0;
|
|
S0405=0.138882342615;
|
|
S0406=0.0935827744846;
|
|
S0407=0.0109323931691;
|
|
S0408=0.128842129226;
|
|
S0409=0.0649077327766;
|
|
S0501=0.0229825548319;
|
|
S0502=0.0174868984566;
|
|
S0503=0.0964474330303;
|
|
S0504=0.108455598703;
|
|
S0505=0;
|
|
S0506=0.0564481958061;
|
|
S0507=0.010383992488;
|
|
S0508=0.0836702594125;
|
|
S0509=0.0699498052739;
|
|
S0601=0.0391029180375;
|
|
S0602=0.0208742140953;
|
|
S0603=0.0650511176965;
|
|
S0604=0.0836065042775;
|
|
S0605=0.0602465540559;
|
|
S0606=0;
|
|
S0607=0.0175125547848;
|
|
S0608=0.116874153448;
|
|
S0609=0.0646555060199;
|
|
S0701=0.204879168808;
|
|
S0702=0.0233890814121;
|
|
S0703=0.00508720134929;
|
|
S0704=0.00419850099405;
|
|
S0705=0.00503869062909;
|
|
S0706=0.00975502690095;
|
|
S0707=0;
|
|
S0708=0.00782505967526;
|
|
S0709=0.0142728223294;
|
|
S0801=0.0670277430388;
|
|
S0802=0.0995331039443;
|
|
S0803=0.405142668132;
|
|
S0804=0.348010416891;
|
|
S0805=0.26853217235;
|
|
S0806=0.317507537454;
|
|
S0807=0.0434426679092;
|
|
S0808=0;
|
|
S0809=0.195075934808;
|
|
S0901=0.454095468511;
|
|
S0902=0.566409574707;
|
|
S0903=0.227686274466;
|
|
S0904=0.194012695892;
|
|
S0905=0.263154232738;
|
|
S0906=0.228705826518;
|
|
S0907=0.117230464506;
|
|
S0908=0.248218281522;
|
|
S0909=0;
|
|
SI_CHI=12;
|
|
SI_COIL0=-0.220861002803;
|
|
SI_COIL1=0.764611005783;
|
|
SI_COIL2=-0.0460230000317;
|
|
SI_COIL3=-0.0477560013533;
|
|
SI_COIL4=0.0639569982886;
|
|
SI_CPI1=0.0885436907411;
|
|
SI_CPI2=0.584154784679;
|
|
SI_C_MPROP=0.178070038557;
|
|
SI_DELTA_PI=0.53;
|
|
SI_E96=1;
|
|
SI_GAMMA=2.68042981625;
|
|
SI_G_MPROP=0.184400975704;
|
|
SI_IC0=-1.8622200489;
|
|
SI_IC1=1.95882999897;
|
|
SI_IC2=-0.451727002859;
|
|
SI_IC3=-0.135161995888;
|
|
SI_IC4=0.498308986425;
|
|
SI_IC5=-0.599273979664;
|
|
SI_IM0=0.0133133819327;
|
|
SI_IM1=-0.339117258787;
|
|
SI_IM2=0.0625357478857;
|
|
SI_IM3=-0.991348028183;
|
|
SI_INVEST_MPROP=0.515719473362;
|
|
SI_K1=0.0328033864498;
|
|
SI_K2=0.0473355539143;
|
|
SI_M0=-0.0292150005698;
|
|
SI_M2=-0.0054020001553;
|
|
SI_M4=0.788931012154;
|
|
SI_PXM0=-0.0128829535097;
|
|
SI_PXM1=0.645817816257;
|
|
SI_PXM2=0.0349373221397;
|
|
SI_RS1=0.333;
|
|
SI_RS1PERM=0.333;
|
|
SI_RS2=0;
|
|
SI_RS3=0;
|
|
SI_RS4=0;
|
|
SI_RS5=0;
|
|
SI_RS6=0;
|
|
SI_RTARC1=0;
|
|
SI_RTARC2=0;
|
|
SI_RTARC3=0;
|
|
SI_RTARC4=0;
|
|
SI_RTARF1=0;
|
|
SI_RTARF2=0;
|
|
SI_RTARF3=0;
|
|
SI_RTARF4=0;
|
|
SI_UNR_1=-0.414891779423;
|
|
SI_UNR_2=0.367525577545;
|
|
SI_WT=3.509713705e-005;
|
|
SI_XM0=-0.00616873381659;
|
|
SI_XM1=-0.419528901577;
|
|
SI_XM2=0.0101102301851;
|
|
SI_XM3=-1.74084436893;
|
|
SI_XT_MPROP=0.15729150176;
|
|
T01=0.16637001296;
|
|
T02=0.0851782429459;
|
|
T03=0.112577622798;
|
|
T04=0.0672679615184;
|
|
T05=0.051428852688;
|
|
T06=0.0635713068531;
|
|
T07=0.0437942590402;
|
|
T08=0.168281015113;
|
|
T09=0.241530726083;
|
|
TAU1=0.2;
|
|
TRDE=1000;
|
|
TRDER=1000;
|
|
UK_CHI=12;
|
|
UK_COIL0=-0.295890003443;
|
|
UK_COIL1=1.26555001736;
|
|
UK_COIL2=-0.0432269982994;
|
|
UK_COIL3=-0.0499509982765;
|
|
UK_COIL4=0.0755050033331;
|
|
UK_CPI1=0.135559409857;
|
|
UK_CPI2=0.739067137241;
|
|
UK_C_MPROP=0.236572146416;
|
|
UK_DELTA_PI=0.53;
|
|
UK_E96=1.56173992157;
|
|
UK_GAMMA=2.36357469112;
|
|
UK_G_MPROP=0.117712050676;
|
|
UK_IC0=-0.0400650016963;
|
|
UK_IC1=1.13595998287;
|
|
UK_IC2=-0.480706006289;
|
|
UK_IC3=0;
|
|
UK_IC4=0;
|
|
UK_IC5=0;
|
|
UK_IM0=-0.00298645487055;
|
|
UK_IM1=-0.339117258787;
|
|
UK_IM2=0.259559065104;
|
|
UK_IM3=-0.991348028183;
|
|
UK_INVEST_MPROP=0.326577752829;
|
|
UK_K1=0.0328033864498;
|
|
UK_K2=0.0473355539143;
|
|
UK_M0=-0.0982170030475;
|
|
UK_M2=-0.0054020001553;
|
|
UK_M4=0.788931012154;
|
|
UK_PXM0=-0.00295503181405;
|
|
UK_PXM1=0.63050109148;
|
|
UK_PXM2=0.0349373221397;
|
|
UK_RS1=0.333;
|
|
UK_RS1PERM=0.333;
|
|
UK_RS2=0;
|
|
UK_RS3=0;
|
|
UK_RS4=0;
|
|
UK_RS5=0;
|
|
UK_RS6=0;
|
|
UK_RTARC1=0;
|
|
UK_RTARC2=0;
|
|
UK_RTARC3=0;
|
|
UK_RTARC4=0;
|
|
UK_RTARF1=0;
|
|
UK_RTARF2=0;
|
|
UK_RTARF3=0;
|
|
UK_RTARF4=0;
|
|
UK_UNR_1=-0.33446392417;
|
|
UK_UNR_2=0.683579683304;
|
|
UK_WT=1.2619961324e-005;
|
|
UK_XM0=0.00526482798159;
|
|
UK_XM1=-0.451665729284;
|
|
UK_XM2=0.130913674831;
|
|
UK_XM3=-1.74084436893;
|
|
UK_XT_MPROP=0.15884745121;
|
|
US_CHI=12;
|
|
US_COIL0=-0.234869003296;
|
|
US_COIL1=0.851813018322;
|
|
US_COIL2=-0.0460230000317;
|
|
US_COIL3=-0.0477560013533;
|
|
US_COIL4=0.0639569982886;
|
|
US_CPI1=0.0600003153086;
|
|
US_CPI2=0.978459060192;
|
|
US_C_MPROP=0.0787769183517;
|
|
US_DELTA_PI=0.53;
|
|
US_E96=1;
|
|
US_GAMMA=1.25564420596;
|
|
US_G_MPROP=0.0697601884603;
|
|
US_IC0=-4.08905982971;
|
|
US_IC1=2.08457994461;
|
|
US_IC2=-0.722373008728;
|
|
US_IC3=-0.219500005245;
|
|
US_IC4=0.815505981445;
|
|
US_IC5=-0.823925971985;
|
|
US_IM0=0.0275149382651;
|
|
US_IM1=-0.339117258787;
|
|
US_IM2=0.0594643093646;
|
|
US_IM3=-0.991348028183;
|
|
US_INVEST_MPROP=0.174478381872;
|
|
US_K1=0.0328033864498;
|
|
US_K2=0.0473355539143;
|
|
US_M0=0.0839120000601;
|
|
US_M2=-0.0054020001553;
|
|
US_M4=0.788931012154;
|
|
US_PXM0=-0.00524724042043;
|
|
US_PXM1=0.638190448284;
|
|
US_PXM2=0.0349373221397;
|
|
US_RS1=0.333;
|
|
US_RS1PERM=0.333;
|
|
US_RS2=0;
|
|
US_RS3=0;
|
|
US_RS4=0;
|
|
US_RS5=0;
|
|
US_RS6=0;
|
|
US_RTARC1=0;
|
|
US_RTARC2=0;
|
|
US_RTARC3=0;
|
|
US_RTARC4=0;
|
|
US_RTARF1=0;
|
|
US_RTARF2=0;
|
|
US_RTARF3=0;
|
|
US_RTARF4=0;
|
|
US_UNR_1=-0.418832212687;
|
|
US_UNR_2=0.20457854867;
|
|
US_WT=8.31260528269e-005;
|
|
US_XM0=0.0335212536156;
|
|
US_XM1=-0.42607691884;
|
|
US_XM2=0.0847327336669;
|
|
US_XM3=-1.74084436893;
|
|
US_XT_MPROP=0.068832308054;
|
|
V0102=0.302939;
|
|
V0103=0.1149987;
|
|
V0104=0.05839044;
|
|
V0105=0.04559976;
|
|
V0106=0.0890599;
|
|
V0107=0.2508736;
|
|
V0108=0.1381385;
|
|
V0201=0.5340386;
|
|
V0203=0.1368557;
|
|
V0204=0.04634024;
|
|
V0205=0.03792391;
|
|
V0206=0.06666363;
|
|
V0207=0.03194354;
|
|
V0208=0.1462343;
|
|
V0301=0.1048398;
|
|
V0302=0.07077477;
|
|
V0304=0.1628517;
|
|
V0305=0.1299371;
|
|
V0306=0.1107158;
|
|
V0307=0.0077914;
|
|
V0308=0.4130895;
|
|
V0401=0.09336697;
|
|
V0402=0.04203319;
|
|
V0403=0.2856347;
|
|
V0405=0.143795;
|
|
V0406=0.1087066;
|
|
V0407=0.007638456;
|
|
V0408=0.3188251;
|
|
V0501=0.09431349;
|
|
V0502=0.04449457;
|
|
V0503=0.2947892;
|
|
V0504=0.185996;
|
|
V0506=0.09233788;
|
|
V0507=0.007625379;
|
|
V0508=0.2804435;
|
|
V0601=0.1649267;
|
|
V0602=0.07002937;
|
|
V0603=0.2248978;
|
|
V0604=0.1258964;
|
|
V0605=0.08267559;
|
|
V0607=0.01384079;
|
|
V0608=0.3177335;
|
|
V0701=0.8238854;
|
|
V0702=0.05950828;
|
|
V0703=0.0280669;
|
|
V0704=0.01568794;
|
|
V0705=0.01210771;
|
|
V0706=0.02454505;
|
|
V0708=0.03619872;
|
|
V0801=0.0269276;
|
|
V0802=0.0324527;
|
|
V0803=0.08555825;
|
|
V0804=0.06546576;
|
|
V0805=0.0516105;
|
|
V0806=0.05701964;
|
|
V0807=0.006865961;
|
|
W0101=-1;
|
|
W0102=0.158314128764;
|
|
W0103=0.144148080288;
|
|
W0104=0.078498145888;
|
|
W0105=0.0731862618008;
|
|
W0106=0.0770074545758;
|
|
W0107=0.013557730213;
|
|
W0108=0.212383102831;
|
|
W0109=0.242905095639;
|
|
W0201=0.198243776352;
|
|
W0202=-1;
|
|
W0203=0.13303216642;
|
|
W0204=0.0713086550403;
|
|
W0205=0.0695296751108;
|
|
W0206=0.0712296426923;
|
|
W0207=0.0765000899962;
|
|
W0208=0.187864186254;
|
|
W0209=0.192291808135;
|
|
W0301=0.158728054259;
|
|
W0302=0.10595582598;
|
|
W0303=-1;
|
|
W0304=0.107333239352;
|
|
W0305=0.0847327465098;
|
|
W0306=0.0981502409584;
|
|
W0307=0.0275220178134;
|
|
W0308=0.167795340239;
|
|
W0309=0.249782534889;
|
|
W0401=0.138316983506;
|
|
W0402=0.0938147168545;
|
|
W0403=0.168836924388;
|
|
W0404=-1;
|
|
W0405=0.0747207012628;
|
|
W0406=0.0813418537478;
|
|
W0407=0.0220610834413;
|
|
W0408=0.194651586757;
|
|
W0409=0.226256150043;
|
|
W0501=0.142928956526;
|
|
W0502=0.102467450391;
|
|
W0503=0.150092928257;
|
|
W0504=0.0835779316292;
|
|
W0505=-1;
|
|
W0506=0.078777445823;
|
|
W0507=0.0247664878133;
|
|
W0508=0.217768101495;
|
|
W0509=0.199620698065;
|
|
W0601=0.138720021274;
|
|
W0602=0.102439099154;
|
|
W0603=0.168900001338;
|
|
W0604=0.0888147938683;
|
|
W0605=0.0768422939279;
|
|
W0606=-1;
|
|
W0607=0.0347617704635;
|
|
W0608=0.164211166816;
|
|
W0609=0.225310853159;
|
|
W0701=0.0332804830561;
|
|
W0702=0.164136190858;
|
|
W0703=0.0742635886407;
|
|
W0704=0.0347684058849;
|
|
W0705=0.0347291240407;
|
|
W0706=0.0510638287607;
|
|
W0707=-1;
|
|
W0708=0.100630284767;
|
|
W0709=0.507128093992;
|
|
W0801=0.166407280379;
|
|
W0802=0.115122730336;
|
|
W0803=0.137316258214;
|
|
W0804=0.102276661523;
|
|
W0805=0.101929410645;
|
|
W0806=0.0783535439484;
|
|
W0807=0.0278301070227;
|
|
W0808=-1;
|
|
W0809=0.270764007932;
|
|
W0901=0.149822902292;
|
|
W0902=0.11592454783;
|
|
W0903=0.15042408861;
|
|
W0904=0.082470009466;
|
|
W0905=0.0666627750021;
|
|
W0906=0.0800069594276;
|
|
W0907=0.147854375051;
|
|
W0908=0.206834342322;
|
|
W0909=-1;
|
|
model(block, bytecode, mfs = 3, cutoff =0);
|
|
//model(SPARSE,markowitz=2.0);
|
|
//model;
|
|
( log(US_CPI)-(log(US_CPI(-1)))) = US_CPI1*( log(US_PIM)-(log(US_PIM(-1))))+US_CPI2*( log(US_PGNP)-(log(US_PGNP(-1))))+(1-US_CPI1-US_CPI2)*log(US_CPI(-1)/US_CPI(-2))+RES_US_CPI ;
|
|
US_UNR_A = US_UNR_FE+US_UNR_1*100*log(US_GDP/US_GDP_FE)+US_UNR_2*(US_UNR(-1)-US_UNR_FE(-1))+RES_US_UNR_A ;
|
|
US_UNR = /*MAX(US_UNR_A;0.1)*/US_UNR_A ;
|
|
( log(US_PGNPNO)-(log(US_PGNPNO(-1)))) = US_LAMBDA*(US_DELTA_PI*( log(US_PGNPNO(1))-(log(US_PGNPNO)))+(1-US_DELTA_PI)*( log(US_PGNPNO(-1))-(log(US_PGNPNO(-2)))))+(1-US_LAMBDA)*( log(US_PGNPNO(-1))-(log(US_PGNPNO(-2))))+US_GAMMA/100*(US_NLIN-US_UNR)/(US_UNR-US_PHI)+RES_US_PGNP ;
|
|
US_INFL = US_MGROW/GREAL ;
|
|
US_DLLF = log(US_LF/US_LF(-1)) ;
|
|
US_DLGDP = log(US_GDP/US_GDP(-1)) ;
|
|
US_C = US_C_DI+US_C_PI ;
|
|
US_MPC = 1/US_MPCINV ;
|
|
US_MPCINV(1) = US_MPCINV-1-((1-US_SIGMA)*(US_RSR+US_PROB)-(RES_US_MPC+US_PROB))*US_MPCINV/US_SIGMA ;
|
|
US_WH1(1) = US_WH1*(1+US_RSR+US_ALPHA1+RES_US_WH1+US_PROB+exp(US_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-US_BETA)*US_GDP*US_PGNP-US_TAXH)/US_P+RES_US_WK*US_WK) ;
|
|
US_WH2(1) = US_WH2*(1+US_RSR+US_ALPHA2+RES_US_WH2+US_PROB+exp(US_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-US_BETA)*US_GDP*US_PGNP-US_TAXH)/US_P+RES_US_WK*US_WK) ;
|
|
US_WH3(1) = US_WH3*(1+US_RSR+US_ALPHA3+RES_US_WH3+US_PROB+exp(US_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-US_BETA)*US_GDP*US_PGNP-US_TAXH)/US_P+RES_US_WK*US_WK) ;
|
|
US_C_DI = (US_LAMBDA1*US_BCHI1+US_LAMBDA2*US_BCHI2+US_LAMBDA3*(1-US_BCHI1-US_BCHI2))*((1-US_BETA)*US_GDP*US_PGNP-US_TAXH)/US_P+RES_US_C_DI*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
US_C_PI = US_MPC*(US_WK+(US_M+US_B+US_NFA/US_ER)/US_P+US_BCHI1*(1-US_LAMBDA1)*US_WH1+US_BCHI2*(1-US_LAMBDA2)*US_WH2+(1-US_BCHI1-US_BCHI2)*(1-US_LAMBDA3)*US_WH3) ;
|
|
US_WH = US_BCHI1*US_WH1+US_BCHI2*US_WH2+(1-US_BCHI1-US_BCHI2)*US_WH3 ;
|
|
( log(US_COIL)-(log(US_COIL(-1)))) = US_COIL0+US_COIL1*( log(US_GDP)-(log(US_GDP(-1))))+US_COIL2*( log(POIL/US_ER/US_PGNP)-(log(POIL(-1)/US_ER(-1)/US_PGNP(-1))))+US_COIL3*log(POIL(-1)/US_ER(-1)/US_PGNP(-1))+US_COIL4*log(US_GDP(-1)/US_COIL(-1))+RES_US_COIL ;
|
|
US_INVEST/US_K(-1)-(US_DELTA_SS+GREAL_SS-1) = US_K1*(US_WK/US_K(-1)-1)+US_K2*(US_WK(-1)/US_K(-2)-1)+RES_US_K ;
|
|
US_MPK = US_BETA*US_GDP/US_K ;
|
|
US_Q = US_CHI*(US_INVEST/US_K(-1)-(US_DELTA_SS+GREAL_SS-1))+1 ;
|
|
US_WK(1) = US_WK*(1+US_RSR+US_K/US_K(-1)-1+US_DELTA+RES_US_WK)-(US_BETA*US_GDP*US_PGNP-US_TAXK)/US_P+(US_CHI/2*((US_Q-1)/US_CHI)^2+US_INVEST/US_K(-1)*(US_Q-1))*US_K(-1)*US_PGNP/US_P ;
|
|
US_INVEST = ( US_K-(US_K(-1)))+US_DELTA*US_K(-1) ;
|
|
( log(US_XM)-(log(US_XM(-1)))) = US_XM0+( log(US_FACT)-(log(US_FACT(-1))))+US_XM1*( US_RCI-(US_RCI(-1)))+US_XM2*(US_XM3*US_RCI(-1)+log(US_FACT(-1))-log(US_XM(-1)))+RES_US_XM ;
|
|
US_XMA = US_XM+T01*(WTRADER-TRDER*GREAL^TME)/US_E96 ;
|
|
US_XT = US_XMA+US_XOIL ;
|
|
US_ACT = US_C_MPROP*US_C+US_INVEST_MPROP*US_INVEST+US_G_MPROP*US_G+US_XT_MPROP*US_XT ;
|
|
( log(US_IM)-(log(US_IM(-1)))) = US_IM0+( log(US_ACT)-(log(US_ACT(-1))))+US_IM1*( log(US_PIMA/US_PGNPNO)-(log(US_PIMA(-1)/US_PGNPNO(-1))))+US_IM2*(US_IM3*log(US_PIMA(-1)/US_PGNPNO(-1))+log(US_ACT(-1))-log(US_IM(-1)))+RES_US_IM ;
|
|
US_IOIL = US_COIL+US_XOIL-US_PRODOIL+RES_US_IOIL*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
( log(US_ICOM)-(log(US_ICOM(-1)))) = US_IC0+US_IC2*( log(PCOM/US_ER/US_PGNP)-(log(PCOM(-1)/US_ER(-1)/US_PGNP(-1))))+US_IC1*( log(US_GDP)-(log(US_GDP(-1))))+US_IC3*log(PCOM(-1)/US_ER(-1)/US_PGNP(-1))+US_IC4*log(US_GDP(-1))+US_IC5*log(US_ICOM(-1))+RES_US_ICOM-(US_IC4+US_IC5)*log(GREAL^TME) ;
|
|
US_IT = US_IM+US_IOIL+US_ICOM ;
|
|
US_A = US_C+US_INVEST+US_G ;
|
|
US_GDP = US_A+US_XT-US_IT ;
|
|
US_GNP = US_GDP+(US_R+(US_PREM(-3)+US_PREM(-2)+US_PREM(-1))/3)*US_NFA(-1)/US_ER/US_PGNP+RES_US_GNP*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
US_W = US_WH+US_WK+(US_M+US_B+US_NFA/US_ER)/US_P ;
|
|
US_YD = (US_GDP*US_PGNP-US_TAX)/US_P-US_DELTA*US_K(-1) ;
|
|
US_GE = US_P*US_G+US_R*US_B(-1)+US_GEXOG ;
|
|
US_TAX = US_TRATE*US_PGNP*US_GNP ;
|
|
US_TAXK = US_TAXK_ALPHA*US_TAXK_SHAR*US_TAX+(1-US_TAXK_ALPHA)*US_TRATEK*US_BETA*US_GDP*US_PGNP ;
|
|
US_TAXH = US_TAX-US_TAXK ;
|
|
US_TRATE = US_TRATE_EXOG*(1-US_TRATE_ALPHA)+US_TRATE_ALPHA*((US_TRATE(-2)/5+US_TRATE(-1)/5+US_TRATE(0)/5+US_TRATE(1)/5+US_TRATE(2)/5)+TAU1*(US_B(1)/(US_GNP(1)*US_PGNP(1))-US_BT_GDP_RAT(1))+RES_US_TRATE) ;
|
|
US_BT = US_BT_GDP_RAT*US_GNP*US_PGNP ;
|
|
( US_B-(US_B(-1)))+( US_M-(US_M(-1))) = US_R*US_B(-1)+US_P*US_G-US_TAX ;
|
|
US_GDEF = ( US_B+US_M-(US_B(-1)+US_M(-1))) ;
|
|
log(US_M/US_P) = US_M0+(1-US_M4)*log(US_A)+US_M2*US_RS+US_M4*log(US_M(-1)/US_P(-1))+RES_US_M ;
|
|
US_RS = (1-US_X_RS1)*US_RS_EXOG+US_X_RS1*(US_RS(-1)+US_RS1*log(US_MT/US_M)/US_M2+US_RS2*log(GR_ER/US_ER/US_PAR)+US_RS3*log(US_ER/US_ER/US_PARUS)+US_RS4*log(US_NEER/US_NEER_PAR)+US_RS5*(US_UNR_FE-US_UNR-US_UNR_GAP_EXOG)+US_RS6*100*(log(US_GDP)-log(US_GDP_FE)-US_GDP_GAP_EXOG)+US_X_RS2*(-US_RS(-1)+US_RSCON+100*( log(US_P(1))-(log(US_P))))+100*(US_RTARC1*(( log(US_P)-(log(US_P(-1))))-( log(US_P_TAR)-(log(US_P_TAR(-1))))-US_P_GAP_EXOG)+US_RTARC2*(( log(US_PGNP)-(log(US_PGNP(-1))))-( log(US_PGNP_TAR)-(log(US_PGNP_TAR(-1))))-US_PGNP_GAP_EXOG)+US_RTARC3*(( log(US_CPI)-(log(US_CPI(-1))))-( log(US_CPI_TAR)-(log(US_CPI_TAR(-1))))-US_CPI_GAP_EXOG)+US_RTARC4*(( log(US_PGNPNO)-(log(US_PGNPNO(-1))))-( log(US_PGNPNO_TAR)-(log(US_PGNPNO_TAR(-1))))-US_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG)+US_RTARF1*(( log(US_P(1))-(log(US_P)))-( log(US_P_TAR(1))-(log(US_P_TAR)))-US_P_GAP_EXOG(1))+US_RTARF2*(( log(US_PGNP(1))-(log(US_PGNP)))-( log(US_PGNP_TAR(1))-(log(US_PGNP_TAR)))-US_PGNP_GAP_EXOG(1))+US_RTARF3*(( log(US_CPI(1))-(log(US_CPI)))-( log(US_CPI_TAR(1))-(log(US_CPI_TAR)))-US_CPI_GAP_EXOG(1))+US_RTARF4*(( log(US_PGNPNO(1))-(log(US_PGNPNO)))-( log(US_PGNPNO_TAR(1))-(log(US_PGNPNO_TAR)))-US_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG(1)))+US_RSCON2+RES_US_RS)+US_RS1PERM*0 ;
|
|
US_RL/100 = ((1+US_RS/100)*(1+US_RS(1)/100)*(1+US_RS(2)/100)*(1+US_RS(3)/100)*(1+US_RS(4)/100)*(1+US_RS(5)/100)*(1+US_RS(6)/100)*(1+US_RS(7)/100)*(1+US_RS(8)/100)*(1+US_RS(9)/100))^0.1*(1+US_TPREM)-1+RES_US_RL ;
|
|
US_R = 0.5*US_RS(-1)/100+0.5*(US_RL(-3)/100+US_RL(-2)/100+US_RL(-1)/100)/3 ;
|
|
US_RLR = (1+US_RL/100)/(US_P(10)/US_P)^0.1-1 ;
|
|
US_RSR = (1+US_RS/100)/(US_P(1)/US_P)-1 ;
|
|
US_PGNPNO = (US_GDP*US_PGNP-US_PRODOIL*POIL/US_ER*US_E96)/(US_GDP-US_PRODOIL) ;
|
|
US_PGNP = (US_P*US_A+US_XT*US_PXT-US_IT*US_PIT)/US_GDP+RES_US_P*US_PGNP ;
|
|
( log(US_PXM)-(log(US_PXM(-1)))) = US_PXM0+US_PXM1*( log(US_PGNPNO)-(log(US_PGNPNO(-1))))+(1-US_PXM1)*( log(US_PFM)-(log(US_PFM(-1))))+US_PXM2*log(US_PGNPNO(-1)/US_PXM(-1))+RES_US_PXM ;
|
|
US_PXT = (US_XMA*US_PXM+POIL/US_ER*US_E96*US_XOIL)/US_XT ;
|
|
US_PIM = (S0101*US_PXM+S0201*JA_PXM*JA_ER/JA_E96+S0301*GR_PXM*GR_ER/GR_E96+S0401*FR_PXM*FR_ER/FR_E96+S0501*IT_PXM*IT_ER/IT_E96+S0601*UK_PXM*UK_ER/UK_E96+S0701*CA_PXM*CA_ER/CA_E96+S0801*SI_PXM*SI_ER/SI_E96+S0901*RW_PXM*RW_ER/RW_E96)/(US_ER/US_E96)*(1+RES_US_PIM) ;
|
|
US_PIMA = US_PIM+T01*(WTRADE-TRDE*GREAL^TME*US_INFL^TME)/US_ER/US_IM ;
|
|
US_PIT = (US_IM*US_PIMA+US_IOIL*POIL/US_ER*US_E96+US_ICOM*PCOM/US_ER*US_E96)/US_IT ;
|
|
//log(US_TFP_FE) = RES_US_TFP_FE ;
|
|
US_TFP_FE = exp(RES_US_TFP_FE) ;
|
|
US_GDP_FE = US_TFP_FE*US_K^US_BETA*((1-US_UNR_FE/100)*US_LF)^(1-US_BETA) ;
|
|
US_LF = US_POP*US_PART/(1+US_DEM3) ;
|
|
US_CU = 100*US_GDP/US_GDP_FE ;
|
|
( US_NFA-(US_NFA(-1))) = (US_XT*US_PXT-US_IT*US_PIT)*US_ER+(US_R+(US_PREM(-3)+US_PREM(-2)+US_PREM(-1))/3)*US_NFA(-1)+RES_US_NFA*US_INFL^TME*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
US_TB = US_XT*US_PXT-US_IT*US_PIT ;
|
|
US_CURBAL = ( US_NFA-(US_NFA(-1))) ;
|
|
US_ER = 1+RES_US_ER ;
|
|
US_RR = (0.8*US_RS(-1)+0.2*(US_RL(-3)+US_RL(-2)+US_RL(-1))/3)/100 ;
|
|
US_RCI = log(US_PXM)-log(US_PFM) ;
|
|
US_FACT = (US_IM*US_E96*S0101+JA_IM*JA_E96*S0102+GR_IM*GR_E96*S0103+FR_IM*FR_E96*S0104+IT_IM*IT_E96*S0105+UK_IM*UK_E96*S0106+CA_IM*CA_E96*S0107+SI_IM*SI_E96*S0108+(HO_IM+DC_IM)*RW_E96*S0109)/US_E96 ;
|
|
log(US_PFM) = W0101*log(US_ER/US_E96)+W0102*log(JA_PXM*JA_ER/JA_E96)+W0103*log(GR_PXM*GR_ER/GR_E96)+W0104*log(FR_PXM*FR_ER/FR_E96)+W0105*log(IT_PXM*IT_ER/IT_E96)+W0106*log(UK_PXM*UK_ER/UK_E96)+W0107*log(CA_PXM*CA_ER/CA_E96)+W0108*log(SI_PXM*SI_ER/SI_E96)+W0109*log(RW_PXM*RW_ER/RW_E96) ;
|
|
US_NEER = exp(+(log(US_ER/US_E96))-V0102*log(JA_ER/JA_E96)-V0103*log(GR_ER/GR_E96)-V0104*log(FR_ER/FR_E96)-V0105*log(IT_ER/IT_E96)-V0106*log(UK_ER/UK_E96)-V0107*log(CA_ER/CA_E96)-V0108*log(SI_ER/SI_E96)) ;
|
|
( log(JA_CPI)-(log(JA_CPI(-1)))) = JA_CPI1*( log(JA_PIM)-(log(JA_PIM(-1))))+JA_CPI2*( log(JA_PGNP)-(log(JA_PGNP(-1))))+(1-JA_CPI1-JA_CPI2)*log(JA_CPI(-1)/JA_CPI(-2))+RES_JA_CPI ;
|
|
JA_UNR_A = JA_UNR_FE+JA_UNR_1*100*log(JA_GDP/JA_GDP_FE)+JA_UNR_2*(JA_UNR(-1)-JA_UNR_FE(-1))+RES_JA_UNR_A ;
|
|
JA_UNR = JA_UNR_A/*MAX(JA_UNR_A;0.1)*/ ;
|
|
( log(JA_PGNPNO)-(log(JA_PGNPNO(-1)))) = JA_LAMBDA*(JA_DELTA_PI*( log(JA_PGNPNO(1))-(log(JA_PGNPNO)))+(1-JA_DELTA_PI)*( log(JA_PGNPNO(-1))-(log(JA_PGNPNO(-2)))))+(1-JA_LAMBDA)*( log(JA_PGNPNO(-1))-(log(JA_PGNPNO(-2))))+JA_GAMMA/100*(JA_NLIN-JA_UNR)/(JA_UNR-JA_PHI)+RES_JA_PGNP ;
|
|
JA_INFL = JA_MGROW/GREAL ;
|
|
JA_DLLF = log(JA_LF/JA_LF(-1)) ;
|
|
JA_DLGDP = log(JA_GDP/JA_GDP(-1)) ;
|
|
JA_C = JA_C_DI+JA_C_PI ;
|
|
JA_MPC = 1/JA_MPCINV ;
|
|
JA_MPCINV(1) = JA_MPCINV-1-((1-JA_SIGMA)*(JA_RSR+JA_PROB)-(RES_JA_MPC+JA_PROB))*JA_MPCINV/JA_SIGMA ;
|
|
JA_WH1(1) = JA_WH1*(1+JA_RSR+JA_ALPHA1+RES_JA_WH1+JA_PROB+exp(JA_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-JA_BETA)*JA_GDP*JA_PGNP-JA_TAXH)/JA_P+RES_JA_WK*JA_WK) ;
|
|
JA_WH2(1) = JA_WH2*(1+JA_RSR+JA_ALPHA2+RES_JA_WH2+JA_PROB+exp(JA_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-JA_BETA)*JA_GDP*JA_PGNP-JA_TAXH)/JA_P+RES_JA_WK*JA_WK) ;
|
|
JA_WH3(1) = JA_WH3*(1+JA_RSR+JA_ALPHA3+RES_JA_WH3+JA_PROB+exp(JA_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-JA_BETA)*JA_GDP*JA_PGNP-JA_TAXH)/JA_P+RES_JA_WK*JA_WK) ;
|
|
JA_C_DI = (JA_LAMBDA1*JA_BCHI1+JA_LAMBDA2*JA_BCHI2+JA_LAMBDA3*(1-JA_BCHI1-JA_BCHI2))*((1-JA_BETA)*JA_GDP*JA_PGNP-JA_TAXH)/JA_P+RES_JA_C_DI*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
JA_C_PI = JA_MPC*(JA_WK+(JA_M+JA_B+JA_NFA/JA_ER)/JA_P+JA_BCHI1*(1-JA_LAMBDA1)*JA_WH1+JA_BCHI2*(1-JA_LAMBDA2)*JA_WH2+(1-JA_BCHI1-JA_BCHI2)*(1-JA_LAMBDA3)*JA_WH3) ;
|
|
JA_WH = JA_BCHI1*JA_WH1+JA_BCHI2*JA_WH2+(1-JA_BCHI1-JA_BCHI2)*JA_WH3 ;
|
|
( log(JA_COIL)-(log(JA_COIL(-1)))) = JA_COIL0+JA_COIL1*( log(JA_GDP)-(log(JA_GDP(-1))))+JA_COIL2*( log(POIL/JA_ER/JA_PGNP)-(log(POIL(-1)/JA_ER(-1)/JA_PGNP(-1))))+JA_COIL3*log(POIL(-1)/JA_ER(-1)/JA_PGNP(-1))+JA_COIL4*log(JA_GDP(-1)/JA_COIL(-1))+RES_JA_COIL ;
|
|
JA_INVEST/JA_K(-1)-(JA_DELTA_SS+GREAL_SS-1) = JA_K1*(JA_WK/JA_K(-1)-1)+JA_K2*(JA_WK(-1)/JA_K(-2)-1)+RES_JA_K ;
|
|
JA_MPK = JA_BETA*JA_GDP/JA_K ;
|
|
JA_Q = JA_CHI*(JA_INVEST/JA_K(-1)-(JA_DELTA_SS+GREAL_SS-1))+1 ;
|
|
JA_WK(1) = JA_WK*(1+JA_RSR+JA_K/JA_K(-1)-1+JA_DELTA+RES_JA_WK)-(JA_BETA*JA_GDP*JA_PGNP-JA_TAXK)/JA_P+(JA_CHI/2*((JA_Q-1)/JA_CHI)^2+JA_INVEST/JA_K(-1)*(JA_Q-1))*JA_K(-1)*JA_PGNP/JA_P ;
|
|
JA_INVEST = ( JA_K-(JA_K(-1)))+JA_DELTA*JA_K(-1) ;
|
|
( log(JA_XM)-(log(JA_XM(-1)))) = JA_XM0+( log(JA_FACT)-(log(JA_FACT(-1))))+JA_XM1*( JA_RCI-(JA_RCI(-1)))+JA_XM2*(JA_XM3*JA_RCI(-1)+log(JA_FACT(-1))-log(JA_XM(-1)))+RES_JA_XM ;
|
|
JA_XMA = JA_XM+T02*(WTRADER-TRDER*GREAL^TME)/JA_E96 ;
|
|
JA_XT = JA_XMA+JA_XOIL ;
|
|
JA_ACT = JA_C_MPROP*JA_C+JA_INVEST_MPROP*JA_INVEST+JA_G_MPROP*JA_G+JA_XT_MPROP*JA_XT ;
|
|
( log(JA_IM)-(log(JA_IM(-1)))) = JA_IM0+( log(JA_ACT)-(log(JA_ACT(-1))))+JA_IM1*( log(JA_PIMA/JA_PGNPNO)-(log(JA_PIMA(-1)/JA_PGNPNO(-1))))+JA_IM2*(JA_IM3*log(JA_PIMA(-1)/JA_PGNPNO(-1))+log(JA_ACT(-1))-log(JA_IM(-1)))+RES_JA_IM ;
|
|
JA_IOIL = JA_COIL+JA_XOIL-JA_PRODOIL+RES_JA_IOIL*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
( log(JA_ICOM)-(log(JA_ICOM(-1)))) = JA_IC0+JA_IC2*( log(PCOM/JA_ER/JA_PGNP)-(log(PCOM(-1)/JA_ER(-1)/JA_PGNP(-1))))+JA_IC1*( log(JA_GDP)-(log(JA_GDP(-1))))+JA_IC3*log(PCOM(-1)/JA_ER(-1)/JA_PGNP(-1))+JA_IC4*log(JA_GDP(-1))+JA_IC5*log(JA_ICOM(-1))+RES_JA_ICOM-(JA_IC4+JA_IC5)*log(GREAL^TME) ;
|
|
JA_IT = JA_IM+JA_IOIL+JA_ICOM ;
|
|
JA_A = JA_C+JA_INVEST+JA_G ;
|
|
JA_GDP = JA_A+JA_XT-JA_IT ;
|
|
JA_GNP = JA_GDP+(US_R+(JA_PREM(-3)+JA_PREM(-2)+JA_PREM(-1))/3)*JA_NFA(-1)/JA_ER/JA_PGNP+RES_JA_GNP*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
JA_W = JA_WH+JA_WK+(JA_M+JA_B+JA_NFA/JA_ER)/JA_P ;
|
|
JA_YD = (JA_GDP*JA_PGNP-JA_TAX)/JA_P-JA_DELTA*JA_K(-1) ;
|
|
JA_GE = JA_P*JA_G+JA_R*JA_B(-1)+JA_GEXOG ;
|
|
JA_TAX = JA_TRATE*JA_PGNP*JA_GNP ;
|
|
JA_TAXK = JA_TAXK_ALPHA*JA_TAXK_SHAR*JA_TAX+(1-JA_TAXK_ALPHA)*JA_TRATEK*JA_BETA*JA_GDP*JA_PGNP ;
|
|
JA_TAXH = JA_TAX-JA_TAXK ;
|
|
JA_TRATE = JA_TRATE_EXOG*(1-JA_TRATE_ALPHA)+JA_TRATE_ALPHA*((JA_TRATE(-2)/5+JA_TRATE(-1)/5+JA_TRATE(0)/5+JA_TRATE(1)/5+JA_TRATE(2)/5)+TAU1*(JA_B(1)/(JA_GNP(1)*JA_PGNP(1))-JA_BT_GDP_RAT(1))+RES_JA_TRATE) ;
|
|
JA_BT = JA_BT_GDP_RAT*JA_GNP*JA_PGNP ;
|
|
( JA_B-(JA_B(-1)))+( JA_M-(JA_M(-1))) = JA_R*JA_B(-1)+JA_P*JA_G-JA_TAX ;
|
|
JA_GDEF = ( JA_B+JA_M-(JA_B(-1)+JA_M(-1))) ;
|
|
log(JA_M/JA_P) = JA_M0+(1-JA_M4)*log(JA_A)+JA_M2*JA_RS+JA_M4*log(JA_M(-1)/JA_P(-1))+RES_JA_M ;
|
|
JA_RS = (1-JA_X_RS1)*JA_RS_EXOG+JA_X_RS1*(JA_RS(-1)+JA_RS1*log(JA_MT/JA_M)/JA_M2+JA_RS2*log(GR_ER/JA_ER/JA_PAR)+JA_RS3*log(US_ER/JA_ER/JA_PARUS)+JA_RS4*log(JA_NEER/JA_NEER_PAR)+JA_RS5*(JA_UNR_FE-JA_UNR-JA_UNR_GAP_EXOG)+JA_RS6*100*(log(JA_GDP)-log(JA_GDP_FE)-JA_GDP_GAP_EXOG)+JA_X_RS2*(-JA_RS(-1)+JA_RSCON+100*( log(JA_P(1))-(log(JA_P))))+100*(JA_RTARC1*(( log(JA_P)-(log(JA_P(-1))))-( log(JA_P_TAR)-(log(JA_P_TAR(-1))))-JA_P_GAP_EXOG)+JA_RTARC2*(( log(JA_PGNP)-(log(JA_PGNP(-1))))-( log(JA_PGNP_TAR)-(log(JA_PGNP_TAR(-1))))-JA_PGNP_GAP_EXOG)+JA_RTARC3*(( log(JA_CPI)-(log(JA_CPI(-1))))-( log(JA_CPI_TAR)-(log(JA_CPI_TAR(-1))))-JA_CPI_GAP_EXOG)+JA_RTARC4*(( log(JA_PGNPNO)-(log(JA_PGNPNO(-1))))-( log(JA_PGNPNO_TAR)-(log(JA_PGNPNO_TAR(-1))))-JA_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG)+JA_RTARF1*(( log(JA_P(1))-(log(JA_P)))-( log(JA_P_TAR(1))-(log(JA_P_TAR)))-JA_P_GAP_EXOG(1))+JA_RTARF2*(( log(JA_PGNP(1))-(log(JA_PGNP)))-( log(JA_PGNP_TAR(1))-(log(JA_PGNP_TAR)))-JA_PGNP_GAP_EXOG(1))+JA_RTARF3*(( log(JA_CPI(1))-(log(JA_CPI)))-( log(JA_CPI_TAR(1))-(log(JA_CPI_TAR)))-JA_CPI_GAP_EXOG(1))+JA_RTARF4*(( log(JA_PGNPNO(1))-(log(JA_PGNPNO)))-( log(JA_PGNPNO_TAR(1))-(log(JA_PGNPNO_TAR)))-JA_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG(1)))+JA_RSCON2+RES_JA_RS)+JA_RS1PERM*0 ;
|
|
JA_RL/100 = ((1+JA_RS/100)*(1+JA_RS(1)/100)*(1+JA_RS(2)/100)*(1+JA_RS(3)/100)*(1+JA_RS(4)/100)*(1+JA_RS(5)/100)*(1+JA_RS(6)/100)*(1+JA_RS(7)/100)*(1+JA_RS(8)/100)*(1+JA_RS(9)/100))^0.1*(1+JA_TPREM)-1+RES_JA_RL ;
|
|
JA_R = 0.5*JA_RS(-1)/100+0.5*(JA_RL(-3)/100+JA_RL(-2)/100+JA_RL(-1)/100)/3 ;
|
|
JA_RLR = (1+JA_RL/100)/(JA_P(10)/JA_P)^0.1-1 ;
|
|
JA_RSR = (1+JA_RS/100)/(JA_P(1)/JA_P)-1 ;
|
|
JA_PGNPNO = (JA_GDP*JA_PGNP-JA_PRODOIL*POIL/JA_ER*JA_E96)/(JA_GDP-JA_PRODOIL) ;
|
|
JA_PGNP = (JA_P*JA_A+JA_XT*JA_PXT-JA_IT*JA_PIT)/JA_GDP+RES_JA_P*JA_PGNP ;
|
|
( log(JA_PXM)-(log(JA_PXM(-1)))) = JA_PXM0+JA_PXM1*( log(JA_PGNPNO)-(log(JA_PGNPNO(-1))))+(1-JA_PXM1)*( log(JA_PFM)-(log(JA_PFM(-1))))+JA_PXM2*log(JA_PGNPNO(-1)/JA_PXM(-1))+RES_JA_PXM ;
|
|
JA_PXT = (JA_XMA*JA_PXM+POIL/JA_ER*JA_E96*JA_XOIL)/JA_XT ;
|
|
JA_PIM = (S0102*US_PXM+S0202*JA_PXM*JA_ER/JA_E96+S0302*GR_PXM*GR_ER/GR_E96+S0402*FR_PXM*FR_ER/FR_E96+S0502*IT_PXM*IT_ER/IT_E96+S0602*UK_PXM*UK_ER/UK_E96+S0702*CA_PXM*CA_ER/CA_E96+S0802*SI_PXM*SI_ER/SI_E96+S0902*RW_PXM*RW_ER/RW_E96)/(JA_ER/JA_E96)*(1+RES_JA_PIM) ;
|
|
JA_PIMA = JA_PIM+T02*(WTRADE-TRDE*GREAL^TME*US_INFL^TME)/JA_ER/JA_IM ;
|
|
JA_PIT = (JA_IM*JA_PIMA+JA_IOIL*POIL/JA_ER*JA_E96+JA_ICOM*PCOM/JA_ER*JA_E96)/JA_IT ;
|
|
//log(JA_TFP_FE) = RES_JA_TFP_FE ;
|
|
JA_TFP_FE = exp(RES_JA_TFP_FE );
|
|
JA_GDP_FE = JA_TFP_FE*JA_K^JA_BETA*((1-JA_UNR_FE/100)*JA_LF)^(1-JA_BETA) ;
|
|
JA_LF = JA_POP*JA_PART/(1+JA_DEM3) ;
|
|
JA_CU = 100*JA_GDP/JA_GDP_FE ;
|
|
( JA_NFA-(JA_NFA(-1))) = (JA_XT*JA_PXT-JA_IT*JA_PIT)*JA_ER+(US_R+(JA_PREM(-3)+JA_PREM(-2)+JA_PREM(-1))/3)*JA_NFA(-1)+RES_JA_NFA*US_INFL^TME*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
JA_TB = JA_XT*JA_PXT-JA_IT*JA_PIT ;
|
|
JA_CURBAL = ( JA_NFA-(JA_NFA(-1))) ;
|
|
1+US_RS/100 = (1+JA_RS/100)*JA_ER(1)/JA_ER-JA_PREM+RES_JA_ER ;
|
|
JA_RCI = log(JA_PXM)-log(JA_PFM) ;
|
|
JA_FACT = (US_IM*US_E96*S0201+JA_IM*JA_E96*S0202+GR_IM*GR_E96*S0203+FR_IM*FR_E96*S0204+IT_IM*IT_E96*S0205+UK_IM*UK_E96*S0206+CA_IM*CA_E96*S0207+SI_IM*SI_E96*S0208+(HO_IM+DC_IM)*RW_E96*S0209)/JA_E96 ;
|
|
log(JA_PFM) = W0201*log(US_PXM*US_ER/US_E96)+W0202*log(JA_ER/JA_E96)+W0203*log(GR_PXM*GR_ER/GR_E96)+W0204*log(FR_PXM*FR_ER/FR_E96)+W0205*log(IT_PXM*IT_ER/IT_E96)+W0206*log(UK_PXM*UK_ER/UK_E96)+W0207*log(CA_PXM*CA_ER/CA_E96)+W0208*log(SI_PXM*SI_ER/SI_E96)+W0209*log(RW_PXM*RW_ER/RW_E96) ;
|
|
JA_NEER = exp(-V0201*log(US_ER/US_E96)+log(JA_ER/JA_E96)-V0203*log(GR_ER/GR_E96)-V0204*log(FR_ER/FR_E96)-V0205*log(IT_ER/IT_E96)-V0206*log(UK_ER/UK_E96)-V0207*log(CA_ER/CA_E96)-V0208*log(SI_ER/SI_E96)) ;
|
|
( log(GR_CPI)-(log(GR_CPI(-1)))) = GR_CPI1*( log(GR_PIM)-(log(GR_PIM(-1))))+GR_CPI2*( log(GR_PGNP)-(log(GR_PGNP(-1))))+(1-GR_CPI1-GR_CPI2)*log(GR_CPI(-1)/GR_CPI(-2))+RES_GR_CPI ;
|
|
GR_UNR_A = GR_UNR_FE+GR_UNR_1*100*log(GR_GDP/GR_GDP_FE)+GR_UNR_2*(GR_UNR(-1)-GR_UNR_FE(-1))+RES_GR_UNR_A ;
|
|
GR_UNR = GR_UNR_A/*MAX(GR_UNR_A;0.1)*/ ;
|
|
( log(GR_PGNPNO)-(log(GR_PGNPNO(-1)))) = GR_LAMBDA*(GR_DELTA_PI*( log(GR_PGNPNO(1))-(log(GR_PGNPNO)))+(1-GR_DELTA_PI)*( log(GR_PGNPNO(-1))-(log(GR_PGNPNO(-2)))))+(1-GR_LAMBDA)*( log(GR_PGNPNO(-1))-(log(GR_PGNPNO(-2))))+GR_GAMMA/100*(GR_NLIN-GR_UNR)/(GR_UNR-GR_PHI)+RES_GR_PGNP ;
|
|
GR_INFL = GR_MGROW/GREAL ;
|
|
GR_DLLF = log(GR_LF/GR_LF(-1)) ;
|
|
GR_DLGDP = log(GR_GDP/GR_GDP(-1)) ;
|
|
GR_C = GR_C_DI+GR_C_PI ;
|
|
GR_MPC = 1/GR_MPCINV ;
|
|
GR_MPCINV(1) = GR_MPCINV-1-((1-GR_SIGMA)*(GR_RSR+GR_PROB)-(RES_GR_MPC+GR_PROB))*GR_MPCINV/GR_SIGMA ;
|
|
GR_WH1(1) = GR_WH1*(1+GR_RSR+GR_ALPHA1+RES_GR_WH1+GR_PROB+exp(GR_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-GR_BETA)*GR_GDP*GR_PGNP-GR_TAXH)/GR_P+RES_GR_WK*GR_WK) ;
|
|
GR_WH2(1) = GR_WH2*(1+GR_RSR+GR_ALPHA2+RES_GR_WH2+GR_PROB+exp(GR_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-GR_BETA)*GR_GDP*GR_PGNP-GR_TAXH)/GR_P+RES_GR_WK*GR_WK) ;
|
|
GR_WH3(1) = GR_WH3*(1+GR_RSR+GR_ALPHA3+RES_GR_WH3+GR_PROB+exp(GR_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-GR_BETA)*GR_GDP*GR_PGNP-GR_TAXH)/GR_P+RES_GR_WK*GR_WK) ;
|
|
GR_C_DI = (GR_LAMBDA1*GR_BCHI1+GR_LAMBDA2*GR_BCHI2+GR_LAMBDA3*(1-GR_BCHI1-GR_BCHI2))*((1-GR_BETA)*GR_GDP*GR_PGNP-GR_TAXH)/GR_P+RES_GR_C_DI*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
GR_C_PI = GR_MPC*(GR_WK+(GR_M+GR_B+GR_NFA/GR_ER)/GR_P+GR_BCHI1*(1-GR_LAMBDA1)*GR_WH1+GR_BCHI2*(1-GR_LAMBDA2)*GR_WH2+(1-GR_BCHI1-GR_BCHI2)*(1-GR_LAMBDA3)*GR_WH3) ;
|
|
GR_WH = GR_BCHI1*GR_WH1+GR_BCHI2*GR_WH2+(1-GR_BCHI1-GR_BCHI2)*GR_WH3 ;
|
|
( log(GR_COIL)-(log(GR_COIL(-1)))) = GR_COIL0+GR_COIL1*( log(GR_GDP)-(log(GR_GDP(-1))))+GR_COIL2*( log(POIL/GR_ER/GR_PGNP)-(log(POIL(-1)/GR_ER(-1)/GR_PGNP(-1))))+GR_COIL3*log(POIL(-1)/GR_ER(-1)/GR_PGNP(-1))+GR_COIL4*log(GR_GDP(-1)/GR_COIL(-1))+RES_GR_COIL ;
|
|
GR_INVEST/GR_K(-1)-(GR_DELTA_SS+GREAL_SS-1) = GR_K1*(GR_WK/GR_K(-1)-1)+GR_K2*(GR_WK(-1)/GR_K(-2)-1)+RES_GR_K ;
|
|
GR_MPK = GR_BETA*GR_GDP/GR_K ;
|
|
GR_Q = GR_CHI*(GR_INVEST/GR_K(-1)-(GR_DELTA_SS+GREAL_SS-1))+1 ;
|
|
GR_WK(1) = GR_WK*(1+GR_RSR+GR_K/GR_K(-1)-1+GR_DELTA+RES_GR_WK)-(GR_BETA*GR_GDP*GR_PGNP-GR_TAXK)/GR_P+(GR_CHI/2*((GR_Q-1)/GR_CHI)^2+GR_INVEST/GR_K(-1)*(GR_Q-1))*GR_K(-1)*GR_PGNP/GR_P ;
|
|
GR_INVEST = ( GR_K-(GR_K(-1)))+GR_DELTA*GR_K(-1) ;
|
|
( log(GR_XM)-(log(GR_XM(-1)))) = GR_XM0+( log(GR_FACT)-(log(GR_FACT(-1))))+GR_XM1*( GR_RCI-(GR_RCI(-1)))+GR_XM2*(GR_XM3*GR_RCI(-1)+log(GR_FACT(-1))-log(GR_XM(-1)))+RES_GR_XM ;
|
|
GR_XMA = GR_XM+T03*(WTRADER-TRDER*GREAL^TME)/GR_E96 ;
|
|
GR_XT = GR_XMA+GR_XOIL ;
|
|
GR_ACT = GR_C_MPROP*GR_C+GR_INVEST_MPROP*GR_INVEST+GR_G_MPROP*GR_G+GR_XT_MPROP*GR_XT ;
|
|
( log(GR_IM)-(log(GR_IM(-1)))) = GR_IM0+( log(GR_ACT)-(log(GR_ACT(-1))))+GR_IM1*( log(GR_PIMA/GR_PGNPNO)-(log(GR_PIMA(-1)/GR_PGNPNO(-1))))+GR_IM2*(GR_IM3*log(GR_PIMA(-1)/GR_PGNPNO(-1))+log(GR_ACT(-1))-log(GR_IM(-1)))+RES_GR_IM ;
|
|
GR_IOIL = GR_COIL+GR_XOIL-GR_PRODOIL+RES_GR_IOIL*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
( log(GR_ICOM)-(log(GR_ICOM(-1)))) = GR_IC0+GR_IC2*( log(PCOM/GR_ER/GR_PGNP)-(log(PCOM(-1)/GR_ER(-1)/GR_PGNP(-1))))+GR_IC1*( log(GR_GDP)-(log(GR_GDP(-1))))+GR_IC3*log(PCOM(-1)/GR_ER(-1)/GR_PGNP(-1))+GR_IC4*log(GR_GDP(-1))+GR_IC5*log(GR_ICOM(-1))+RES_GR_ICOM-(GR_IC4+GR_IC5)*log(GREAL^TME) ;
|
|
GR_IT = GR_IM+GR_IOIL+GR_ICOM ;
|
|
GR_A = GR_C+GR_INVEST+GR_G ;
|
|
GR_GDP = GR_A+GR_XT-GR_IT ;
|
|
GR_GNP = GR_GDP+(US_R+(GR_PREM(-3)+GR_PREM(-2)+GR_PREM(-1))/3)*GR_NFA(-1)/GR_ER/GR_PGNP+RES_GR_GNP*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
GR_W = GR_WH+GR_WK+(GR_M+GR_B+GR_NFA/GR_ER)/GR_P ;
|
|
GR_YD = (GR_GDP*GR_PGNP-GR_TAX)/GR_P-GR_DELTA*GR_K(-1) ;
|
|
GR_GE = GR_P*GR_G+GR_R*GR_B(-1)+GR_GEXOG ;
|
|
GR_TAX = GR_TRATE*GR_PGNP*GR_GNP ;
|
|
GR_TAXK = GR_TAXK_ALPHA*GR_TAXK_SHAR*GR_TAX+(1-GR_TAXK_ALPHA)*GR_TRATEK*GR_BETA*GR_GDP*GR_PGNP ;
|
|
GR_TAXH = GR_TAX-GR_TAXK ;
|
|
GR_TRATE = GR_TRATE_EXOG*(1-GR_TRATE_ALPHA)+GR_TRATE_ALPHA*((GR_TRATE(-2)/5+GR_TRATE(-1)/5+GR_TRATE(0)/5+GR_TRATE(1)/5+GR_TRATE(2)/5)+TAU1*(GR_B(1)/(GR_GNP(1)*GR_PGNP(1))-GR_BT_GDP_RAT(1))+RES_GR_TRATE) ;
|
|
GR_BT = GR_BT_GDP_RAT*GR_GNP*GR_PGNP ;
|
|
( GR_B-(GR_B(-1)))+( GR_M-(GR_M(-1))) = GR_R*GR_B(-1)+GR_P*GR_G-GR_TAX ;
|
|
GR_GDEF = ( GR_B+GR_M-(GR_B(-1)+GR_M(-1))) ;
|
|
log(GR_M/GR_P) = GR_M0+(1-GR_M4)*log(GR_A)+GR_M2*GR_RS+GR_M4*log(GR_M(-1)/GR_P(-1))+RES_GR_M ;
|
|
GR_RS = (1-GR_X_RS1)*GR_RS_EXOG+GR_X_RS1*(GR_RS(-1)+GR_RS1*log(GR_MT/GR_M)/GR_M2+GR_RS2*log(GR_ER/GR_ER/GR_PAR)+GR_RS3*log(US_ER/GR_ER/GR_PARUS)+GR_RS4*log(GR_NEER/GR_NEER_PAR)+GR_RS5*(GR_UNR_FE-GR_UNR-GR_UNR_GAP_EXOG)+GR_RS6*100*(log(GR_GDP)-log(GR_GDP_FE)-GR_GDP_GAP_EXOG)+GR_X_RS2*(-GR_RS(-1)+GR_RSCON+100*( log(GR_P(1))-(log(GR_P))))+100*(GR_RTARC1*(( log(GR_P)-(log(GR_P(-1))))-( log(GR_P_TAR)-(log(GR_P_TAR(-1))))-GR_P_GAP_EXOG)+GR_RTARC2*(( log(GR_PGNP)-(log(GR_PGNP(-1))))-( log(GR_PGNP_TAR)-(log(GR_PGNP_TAR(-1))))-GR_PGNP_GAP_EXOG)+GR_RTARC3*(( log(GR_CPI)-(log(GR_CPI(-1))))-( log(GR_CPI_TAR)-(log(GR_CPI_TAR(-1))))-GR_CPI_GAP_EXOG)+GR_RTARC4*(( log(GR_PGNPNO)-(log(GR_PGNPNO(-1))))-( log(GR_PGNPNO_TAR)-(log(GR_PGNPNO_TAR(-1))))-GR_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG)+GR_RTARF1*(( log(GR_P(1))-(log(GR_P)))-( log(GR_P_TAR(1))-(log(GR_P_TAR)))-GR_P_GAP_EXOG(1))+GR_RTARF2*(( log(GR_PGNP(1))-(log(GR_PGNP)))-( log(GR_PGNP_TAR(1))-(log(GR_PGNP_TAR)))-GR_PGNP_GAP_EXOG(1))+GR_RTARF3*(( log(GR_CPI(1))-(log(GR_CPI)))-( log(GR_CPI_TAR(1))-(log(GR_CPI_TAR)))-GR_CPI_GAP_EXOG(1))+GR_RTARF4*(( log(GR_PGNPNO(1))-(log(GR_PGNPNO)))-( log(GR_PGNPNO_TAR(1))-(log(GR_PGNPNO_TAR)))-GR_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG(1)))+GR_RSCON2+RES_GR_RS)+GR_RS1PERM*0 ;
|
|
GR_RL/100 = ((1+GR_RS/100)*(1+GR_RS(1)/100)*(1+GR_RS(2)/100)*(1+GR_RS(3)/100)*(1+GR_RS(4)/100)*(1+GR_RS(5)/100)*(1+GR_RS(6)/100)*(1+GR_RS(7)/100)*(1+GR_RS(8)/100)*(1+GR_RS(9)/100))^0.1*(1+GR_TPREM)-1+RES_GR_RL ;
|
|
GR_R = 0.5*GR_RS(-1)/100+0.5*(GR_RL(-3)/100+GR_RL(-2)/100+GR_RL(-1)/100)/3 ;
|
|
GR_RLR = (1+GR_RL/100)/(GR_P(10)/GR_P)^0.1-1 ;
|
|
GR_RSR = (1+GR_RS/100)/(GR_P(1)/GR_P)-1 ;
|
|
GR_PGNPNO = (GR_GDP*GR_PGNP-GR_PRODOIL*POIL/GR_ER*GR_E96)/(GR_GDP-GR_PRODOIL) ;
|
|
GR_PGNP = (GR_P*GR_A+GR_XT*GR_PXT-GR_IT*GR_PIT)/GR_GDP+RES_GR_P*GR_PGNP ;
|
|
( log(GR_PXM)-(log(GR_PXM(-1)))) = GR_PXM0+GR_PXM1*( log(GR_PGNPNO)-(log(GR_PGNPNO(-1))))+(1-GR_PXM1)*( log(GR_PFM)-(log(GR_PFM(-1))))+GR_PXM2*log(GR_PGNPNO(-1)/GR_PXM(-1))+RES_GR_PXM ;
|
|
GR_PXT = (GR_XMA*GR_PXM+POIL/GR_ER*GR_E96*GR_XOIL)/GR_XT ;
|
|
GR_PIM = (S0103*US_PXM+S0203*JA_PXM*JA_ER/JA_E96+S0303*GR_PXM*GR_ER/GR_E96+S0403*FR_PXM*FR_ER/FR_E96+S0503*IT_PXM*IT_ER/IT_E96+S0603*UK_PXM*UK_ER/UK_E96+S0703*CA_PXM*CA_ER/CA_E96+S0803*SI_PXM*SI_ER/SI_E96+S0903*RW_PXM*RW_ER/RW_E96)/(GR_ER/GR_E96)*(1+RES_GR_PIM) ;
|
|
GR_PIMA = GR_PIM+T03*(WTRADE-TRDE*GREAL^TME*US_INFL^TME)/GR_ER/GR_IM ;
|
|
GR_PIT = (GR_IM*GR_PIMA+GR_IOIL*POIL/GR_ER*GR_E96+GR_ICOM*PCOM/GR_ER*GR_E96)/GR_IT ;
|
|
//log(GR_TFP_FE) = RES_GR_TFP_FE ;
|
|
GR_TFP_FE = exp(RES_GR_TFP_FE) ;
|
|
GR_GDP_FE = GR_TFP_FE*GR_K^GR_BETA*((1-GR_UNR_FE/100)*GR_LF)^(1-GR_BETA) ;
|
|
GR_LF = GR_POP*GR_PART/(1+GR_DEM3) ;
|
|
GR_CU = 100*GR_GDP/GR_GDP_FE ;
|
|
( GR_NFA-(GR_NFA(-1))) = (GR_XT*GR_PXT-GR_IT*GR_PIT)*GR_ER+(US_R+(GR_PREM(-3)+GR_PREM(-2)+GR_PREM(-1))/3)*GR_NFA(-1)+RES_GR_NFA*US_INFL^TME*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
GR_TB = GR_XT*GR_PXT-GR_IT*GR_PIT ;
|
|
GR_CURBAL = ( GR_NFA-(GR_NFA(-1))) ;
|
|
1+US_RS/100 = (1+GR_RS/100)*GR_ER(1)/GR_ER-GR_PREM+RES_GR_ER ;
|
|
GR_RCI = log(GR_PXM)-log(GR_PFM) ;
|
|
GR_FACT = (US_IM*US_E96*S0301+JA_IM*JA_E96*S0302+GR_IM*GR_E96*S0303+FR_IM*FR_E96*S0304+IT_IM*IT_E96*S0305+UK_IM*UK_E96*S0306+CA_IM*CA_E96*S0307+SI_IM*SI_E96*S0308+(HO_IM+DC_IM)*RW_E96*S0309)/GR_E96 ;
|
|
log(GR_PFM) = W0301*log(US_PXM*US_ER/US_E96)+W0302*log(JA_PXM*JA_ER/JA_E96)+W0303*log(GR_ER/GR_E96)+W0304*log(FR_PXM*FR_ER/FR_E96)+W0305*log(IT_PXM*IT_ER/IT_E96)+W0306*log(UK_PXM*UK_ER/UK_E96)+W0307*log(CA_PXM*CA_ER/CA_E96)+W0308*log(SI_PXM*SI_ER/SI_E96)+W0309*log(RW_PXM*RW_ER/RW_E96) ;
|
|
GR_NEER = exp(-V0301*log(US_ER/US_E96)-V0302*log(JA_ER/JA_E96)+log(GR_ER/GR_E96)-V0304*log(FR_ER/FR_E96)-V0305*log(IT_ER/IT_E96)-V0306*log(UK_ER/UK_E96)-V0307*log(CA_ER/CA_E96)-V0308*log(SI_ER/SI_E96)) ;
|
|
( log(FR_CPI)-(log(FR_CPI(-1)))) = FR_CPI1*( log(FR_PIM)-(log(FR_PIM(-1))))+FR_CPI2*( log(FR_PGNP)-(log(FR_PGNP(-1))))+(1-FR_CPI1-FR_CPI2)*log(FR_CPI(-1)/FR_CPI(-2))+RES_FR_CPI ;
|
|
FR_UNR_A = FR_UNR_FE+FR_UNR_1*100*log(FR_GDP/FR_GDP_FE)+FR_UNR_2*(FR_UNR(-1)-FR_UNR_FE(-1))+RES_FR_UNR_A ;
|
|
FR_UNR = FR_UNR_A/*MAX(FR_UNR_A;0.1)*/ ;
|
|
( log(FR_PGNPNO)-(log(FR_PGNPNO(-1)))) = FR_LAMBDA*(FR_DELTA_PI*( log(FR_PGNPNO(1))-(log(FR_PGNPNO)))+(1-FR_DELTA_PI)*( log(FR_PGNPNO(-1))-(log(FR_PGNPNO(-2)))))+(1-FR_LAMBDA)*( log(FR_PGNPNO(-1))-(log(FR_PGNPNO(-2))))+FR_GAMMA/100*(FR_NLIN-FR_UNR)/(FR_UNR-FR_PHI)+RES_FR_PGNP ;
|
|
FR_INFL = FR_MGROW/GREAL ;
|
|
FR_DLLF = log(FR_LF/FR_LF(-1)) ;
|
|
FR_DLGDP = log(FR_GDP/FR_GDP(-1)) ;
|
|
FR_C = FR_C_DI+FR_C_PI ;
|
|
FR_MPC = 1/FR_MPCINV ;
|
|
FR_MPCINV(1) = FR_MPCINV-1-((1-FR_SIGMA)*(FR_RSR+FR_PROB)-(RES_FR_MPC+FR_PROB))*FR_MPCINV/FR_SIGMA ;
|
|
FR_WH1(1) = FR_WH1*(1+FR_RSR+FR_ALPHA1+RES_FR_WH1+FR_PROB+exp(FR_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-FR_BETA)*FR_GDP*FR_PGNP-FR_TAXH)/FR_P+RES_FR_WK*FR_WK) ;
|
|
FR_WH2(1) = FR_WH2*(1+FR_RSR+FR_ALPHA2+RES_FR_WH2+FR_PROB+exp(FR_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-FR_BETA)*FR_GDP*FR_PGNP-FR_TAXH)/FR_P+RES_FR_WK*FR_WK) ;
|
|
FR_WH3(1) = FR_WH3*(1+FR_RSR+FR_ALPHA3+RES_FR_WH3+FR_PROB+exp(FR_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-FR_BETA)*FR_GDP*FR_PGNP-FR_TAXH)/FR_P+RES_FR_WK*FR_WK) ;
|
|
FR_C_DI = (FR_LAMBDA1*FR_BCHI1+FR_LAMBDA2*FR_BCHI2+FR_LAMBDA3*(1-FR_BCHI1-FR_BCHI2))*((1-FR_BETA)*FR_GDP*FR_PGNP-FR_TAXH)/FR_P+RES_FR_C_DI*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
FR_C_PI = FR_MPC*(FR_WK+(FR_M+FR_B+FR_NFA/FR_ER)/FR_P+FR_BCHI1*(1-FR_LAMBDA1)*FR_WH1+FR_BCHI2*(1-FR_LAMBDA2)*FR_WH2+(1-FR_BCHI1-FR_BCHI2)*(1-FR_LAMBDA3)*FR_WH3) ;
|
|
FR_WH = FR_BCHI1*FR_WH1+FR_BCHI2*FR_WH2+(1-FR_BCHI1-FR_BCHI2)*FR_WH3 ;
|
|
( log(FR_COIL)-(log(FR_COIL(-1)))) = FR_COIL0+FR_COIL1*( log(FR_GDP)-(log(FR_GDP(-1))))+FR_COIL2*( log(POIL/FR_ER/FR_PGNP)-(log(POIL(-1)/FR_ER(-1)/FR_PGNP(-1))))+FR_COIL3*log(POIL(-1)/FR_ER(-1)/FR_PGNP(-1))+FR_COIL4*log(FR_GDP(-1)/FR_COIL(-1))+RES_FR_COIL ;
|
|
FR_INVEST/FR_K(-1)-(FR_DELTA_SS+GREAL_SS-1) = FR_K1*(FR_WK/FR_K(-1)-1)+FR_K2*(FR_WK(-1)/FR_K(-2)-1)+RES_FR_K ;
|
|
FR_MPK = FR_BETA*FR_GDP/FR_K ;
|
|
FR_Q = FR_CHI*(FR_INVEST/FR_K(-1)-(FR_DELTA_SS+GREAL_SS-1))+1 ;
|
|
FR_WK(1) = FR_WK*(1+FR_RSR+FR_K/FR_K(-1)-1+FR_DELTA+RES_FR_WK)-(FR_BETA*FR_GDP*FR_PGNP-FR_TAXK)/FR_P+(FR_CHI/2*((FR_Q-1)/FR_CHI)^2+FR_INVEST/FR_K(-1)*(FR_Q-1))*FR_K(-1)*FR_PGNP/FR_P ;
|
|
FR_INVEST = ( FR_K-(FR_K(-1)))+FR_DELTA*FR_K(-1) ;
|
|
( log(FR_XM)-(log(FR_XM(-1)))) = FR_XM0+( log(FR_FACT)-(log(FR_FACT(-1))))+FR_XM1*( FR_RCI-(FR_RCI(-1)))+FR_XM2*(FR_XM3*FR_RCI(-1)+log(FR_FACT(-1))-log(FR_XM(-1)))+RES_FR_XM ;
|
|
FR_XMA = FR_XM+T04*(WTRADER-TRDER*GREAL^TME)/FR_E96 ;
|
|
FR_XT = FR_XMA+FR_XOIL ;
|
|
FR_ACT = FR_C_MPROP*FR_C+FR_INVEST_MPROP*FR_INVEST+FR_G_MPROP*FR_G+FR_XT_MPROP*FR_XT ;
|
|
( log(FR_IM)-(log(FR_IM(-1)))) = FR_IM0+( log(FR_ACT)-(log(FR_ACT(-1))))+FR_IM1*( log(FR_PIMA/FR_PGNPNO)-(log(FR_PIMA(-1)/FR_PGNPNO(-1))))+FR_IM2*(FR_IM3*log(FR_PIMA(-1)/FR_PGNPNO(-1))+log(FR_ACT(-1))-log(FR_IM(-1)))+RES_FR_IM ;
|
|
FR_IOIL = FR_COIL+FR_XOIL-FR_PRODOIL+RES_FR_IOIL*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
( log(FR_ICOM)-(log(FR_ICOM(-1)))) = FR_IC0+FR_IC2*( log(PCOM/FR_ER/FR_PGNP)-(log(PCOM(-1)/FR_ER(-1)/FR_PGNP(-1))))+FR_IC1*( log(FR_GDP)-(log(FR_GDP(-1))))+FR_IC3*log(PCOM(-1)/FR_ER(-1)/FR_PGNP(-1))+FR_IC4*log(FR_GDP(-1))+FR_IC5*log(FR_ICOM(-1))+RES_FR_ICOM-(FR_IC4+FR_IC5)*log(GREAL^TME) ;
|
|
FR_IT = FR_IM+FR_IOIL+FR_ICOM ;
|
|
FR_A = FR_C+FR_INVEST+FR_G ;
|
|
FR_GDP = FR_A+FR_XT-FR_IT ;
|
|
FR_GNP = FR_GDP+(US_R+(FR_PREM(-3)+FR_PREM(-2)+FR_PREM(-1))/3)*FR_NFA(-1)/FR_ER/FR_PGNP+RES_FR_GNP*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
FR_W = FR_WH+FR_WK+(FR_M+FR_B+FR_NFA/FR_ER)/FR_P ;
|
|
FR_YD = (FR_GDP*FR_PGNP-FR_TAX)/FR_P-FR_DELTA*FR_K(-1) ;
|
|
FR_GE = FR_P*FR_G+FR_R*FR_B(-1)+FR_GEXOG ;
|
|
FR_TAX = FR_TRATE*FR_PGNP*FR_GNP ;
|
|
FR_TAXK = FR_TAXK_ALPHA*FR_TAXK_SHAR*FR_TAX+(1-FR_TAXK_ALPHA)*FR_TRATEK*FR_BETA*FR_GDP*FR_PGNP ;
|
|
FR_TAXH = FR_TAX-FR_TAXK ;
|
|
FR_TRATE = FR_TRATE_EXOG*(1-FR_TRATE_ALPHA)+FR_TRATE_ALPHA*((FR_TRATE(-2)/5+FR_TRATE(-1)/5+FR_TRATE(0)/5+FR_TRATE(1)/5+FR_TRATE(2)/5)+TAU1*(FR_B(1)/(FR_GNP(1)*FR_PGNP(1))-FR_BT_GDP_RAT(1))+RES_FR_TRATE) ;
|
|
FR_BT = FR_BT_GDP_RAT*FR_GNP*FR_PGNP ;
|
|
( FR_B-(FR_B(-1)))+( FR_M-(FR_M(-1))) = FR_R*FR_B(-1)+FR_P*FR_G-FR_TAX ;
|
|
FR_GDEF = ( FR_B+FR_M-(FR_B(-1)+FR_M(-1))) ;
|
|
log(FR_M/FR_P) = FR_M0+(1-FR_M4)*log(FR_A)+FR_M2*FR_RS+FR_M4*log(FR_M(-1)/FR_P(-1))+RES_FR_M ;
|
|
FR_RS = (1-FR_X_RS1)*FR_RS_EXOG+FR_X_RS1*(FR_RS(-1)+FR_RS1*log(FR_MT/FR_M)/FR_M2+FR_RS2*log(GR_ER/FR_ER/FR_PAR)+FR_RS3*log(US_ER/FR_ER/FR_PARUS)+FR_RS4*log(FR_NEER/FR_NEER_PAR)+FR_RS5*(FR_UNR_FE-FR_UNR-FR_UNR_GAP_EXOG)+FR_RS6*100*(log(FR_GDP)-log(FR_GDP_FE)-FR_GDP_GAP_EXOG)+FR_X_RS2*(-FR_RS(-1)+FR_RSCON+100*( log(FR_P(1))-(log(FR_P))))+100*(FR_RTARC1*(( log(FR_P)-(log(FR_P(-1))))-( log(FR_P_TAR)-(log(FR_P_TAR(-1))))-FR_P_GAP_EXOG)+FR_RTARC2*(( log(FR_PGNP)-(log(FR_PGNP(-1))))-( log(FR_PGNP_TAR)-(log(FR_PGNP_TAR(-1))))-FR_PGNP_GAP_EXOG)+FR_RTARC3*(( log(FR_CPI)-(log(FR_CPI(-1))))-( log(FR_CPI_TAR)-(log(FR_CPI_TAR(-1))))-FR_CPI_GAP_EXOG)+FR_RTARC4*(( log(FR_PGNPNO)-(log(FR_PGNPNO(-1))))-( log(FR_PGNPNO_TAR)-(log(FR_PGNPNO_TAR(-1))))-FR_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG)+FR_RTARF1*(( log(FR_P(1))-(log(FR_P)))-( log(FR_P_TAR(1))-(log(FR_P_TAR)))-FR_P_GAP_EXOG(1))+FR_RTARF2*(( log(FR_PGNP(1))-(log(FR_PGNP)))-( log(FR_PGNP_TAR(1))-(log(FR_PGNP_TAR)))-FR_PGNP_GAP_EXOG(1))+FR_RTARF3*(( log(FR_CPI(1))-(log(FR_CPI)))-( log(FR_CPI_TAR(1))-(log(FR_CPI_TAR)))-FR_CPI_GAP_EXOG(1))+FR_RTARF4*(( log(FR_PGNPNO(1))-(log(FR_PGNPNO)))-( log(FR_PGNPNO_TAR(1))-(log(FR_PGNPNO_TAR)))-FR_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG(1)))+FR_RSCON2+RES_FR_RS)+FR_RS1PERM*0 ;
|
|
FR_RL/100 = ((1+FR_RS/100)*(1+FR_RS(1)/100)*(1+FR_RS(2)/100)*(1+FR_RS(3)/100)*(1+FR_RS(4)/100)*(1+FR_RS(5)/100)*(1+FR_RS(6)/100)*(1+FR_RS(7)/100)*(1+FR_RS(8)/100)*(1+FR_RS(9)/100))^0.1*(1+FR_TPREM)-1+RES_FR_RL ;
|
|
FR_R = 0.5*FR_RS(-1)/100+0.5*(FR_RL(-3)/100+FR_RL(-2)/100+FR_RL(-1)/100)/3 ;
|
|
FR_RLR = (1+FR_RL/100)/(FR_P(10)/FR_P)^0.1-1 ;
|
|
FR_RSR = (1+FR_RS/100)/(FR_P(1)/FR_P)-1 ;
|
|
FR_PGNPNO = (FR_GDP*FR_PGNP-FR_PRODOIL*POIL/FR_ER*FR_E96)/(FR_GDP-FR_PRODOIL) ;
|
|
FR_PGNP = (FR_P*FR_A+FR_XT*FR_PXT-FR_IT*FR_PIT)/FR_GDP+RES_FR_P*FR_PGNP ;
|
|
( log(FR_PXM)-(log(FR_PXM(-1)))) = FR_PXM0+FR_PXM1*( log(FR_PGNPNO)-(log(FR_PGNPNO(-1))))+(1-FR_PXM1)*( log(FR_PFM)-(log(FR_PFM(-1))))+FR_PXM2*log(FR_PGNPNO(-1)/FR_PXM(-1))+RES_FR_PXM ;
|
|
FR_PXT = (FR_XMA*FR_PXM+POIL/FR_ER*FR_E96*FR_XOIL)/FR_XT ;
|
|
FR_PIM = (S0104*US_PXM+S0204*JA_PXM*JA_ER/JA_E96+S0304*GR_PXM*GR_ER/GR_E96+S0404*FR_PXM*FR_ER/FR_E96+S0504*IT_PXM*IT_ER/IT_E96+S0604*UK_PXM*UK_ER/UK_E96+S0704*CA_PXM*CA_ER/CA_E96+S0804*SI_PXM*SI_ER/SI_E96+S0904*RW_PXM*RW_ER/RW_E96)/(FR_ER/FR_E96)*(1+RES_FR_PIM) ;
|
|
FR_PIMA = FR_PIM+T04*(WTRADE-TRDE*GREAL^TME*US_INFL^TME)/FR_ER/FR_IM ;
|
|
FR_PIT = (FR_IM*FR_PIMA+FR_IOIL*POIL/FR_ER*FR_E96+FR_ICOM*PCOM/FR_ER*FR_E96)/FR_IT ;
|
|
//log(FR_TFP_FE) = RES_FR_TFP_FE ;
|
|
FR_TFP_FE = exp(RES_FR_TFP_FE) ;
|
|
FR_GDP_FE = FR_TFP_FE*FR_K^FR_BETA*((1-FR_UNR_FE/100)*FR_LF)^(1-FR_BETA) ;
|
|
FR_LF = FR_POP*FR_PART/(1+FR_DEM3) ;
|
|
FR_CU = 100*FR_GDP/FR_GDP_FE ;
|
|
( FR_NFA-(FR_NFA(-1))) = (FR_XT*FR_PXT-FR_IT*FR_PIT)*FR_ER+(US_R+(FR_PREM(-3)+FR_PREM(-2)+FR_PREM(-1))/3)*FR_NFA(-1)+RES_FR_NFA*US_INFL^TME*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
FR_TB = FR_XT*FR_PXT-FR_IT*FR_PIT ;
|
|
FR_CURBAL = ( FR_NFA-(FR_NFA(-1))) ;
|
|
1+US_RS/100 = (1+FR_RS/100)*FR_ER(1)/FR_ER-FR_PREM+RES_FR_ER ;
|
|
FR_RCI = log(FR_PXM)-log(FR_PFM) ;
|
|
FR_FACT = (US_IM*US_E96*S0401+JA_IM*JA_E96*S0402+GR_IM*GR_E96*S0403+FR_IM*FR_E96*S0404+IT_IM*IT_E96*S0405+UK_IM*UK_E96*S0406+CA_IM*CA_E96*S0407+SI_IM*SI_E96*S0408+(HO_IM+DC_IM)*RW_E96*S0409)/FR_E96 ;
|
|
log(FR_PFM) = W0401*log(US_PXM*US_ER/US_E96)+W0402*log(JA_PXM*JA_ER/JA_E96)+W0403*log(GR_PXM*GR_ER/GR_E96)+W0404*log(FR_ER/FR_E96)+W0405*log(IT_PXM*IT_ER/IT_E96)+W0406*log(UK_PXM*UK_ER/UK_E96)+W0407*log(CA_PXM*CA_ER/CA_E96)+W0408*log(SI_PXM*SI_ER/SI_E96)+W0409*log(RW_PXM*RW_ER/RW_E96) ;
|
|
FR_NEER = exp(-V0401*log(US_ER/US_E96)-V0402*log(JA_ER/JA_E96)-V0403*log(GR_ER/GR_E96)+log(FR_ER/FR_E96)-V0405*log(IT_ER/IT_E96)-V0406*log(UK_ER/UK_E96)-V0407*log(CA_ER/CA_E96)-V0408*log(SI_ER/SI_E96)) ;
|
|
( log(IT_CPI)-(log(IT_CPI(-1)))) = IT_CPI1*( log(IT_PIM)-(log(IT_PIM(-1))))+IT_CPI2*( log(IT_PGNP)-(log(IT_PGNP(-1))))+(1-IT_CPI1-IT_CPI2)*log(IT_CPI(-1)/IT_CPI(-2))+RES_IT_CPI ;
|
|
IT_UNR_A = IT_UNR_FE+IT_UNR_1*100*log(IT_GDP/IT_GDP_FE)+IT_UNR_2*(IT_UNR(-1)-IT_UNR_FE(-1))+RES_IT_UNR_A ;
|
|
IT_UNR = IT_UNR_A/*MAX(IT_UNR_A;0.1)*/ ;
|
|
( log(IT_PGNPNO)-(log(IT_PGNPNO(-1)))) = IT_LAMBDA*(IT_DELTA_PI*( log(IT_PGNPNO(1))-(log(IT_PGNPNO)))+(1-IT_DELTA_PI)*( log(IT_PGNPNO(-1))-(log(IT_PGNPNO(-2)))))+(1-IT_LAMBDA)*( log(IT_PGNPNO(-1))-(log(IT_PGNPNO(-2))))+IT_GAMMA/100*(IT_NLIN-IT_UNR)/(IT_UNR-IT_PHI)+RES_IT_PGNP ;
|
|
IT_INFL = IT_MGROW/GREAL ;
|
|
IT_DLLF = log(IT_LF/IT_LF(-1)) ;
|
|
IT_DLGDP = log(IT_GDP/IT_GDP(-1)) ;
|
|
IT_C = IT_C_DI+IT_C_PI ;
|
|
IT_MPC = 1/IT_MPCINV ;
|
|
IT_MPCINV(1) = IT_MPCINV-1-((1-IT_SIGMA)*(IT_RSR+IT_PROB)-(RES_IT_MPC+IT_PROB))*IT_MPCINV/IT_SIGMA ;
|
|
IT_WH1(1) = IT_WH1*(1+IT_RSR+IT_ALPHA1+RES_IT_WH1+IT_PROB+exp(IT_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-IT_BETA)*IT_GDP*IT_PGNP-IT_TAXH)/IT_P+RES_IT_WK*IT_WK) ;
|
|
IT_WH2(1) = IT_WH2*(1+IT_RSR+IT_ALPHA2+RES_IT_WH2+IT_PROB+exp(IT_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-IT_BETA)*IT_GDP*IT_PGNP-IT_TAXH)/IT_P+RES_IT_WK*IT_WK) ;
|
|
IT_WH3(1) = IT_WH3*(1+IT_RSR+IT_ALPHA3+RES_IT_WH3+IT_PROB+exp(IT_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-IT_BETA)*IT_GDP*IT_PGNP-IT_TAXH)/IT_P+RES_IT_WK*IT_WK) ;
|
|
IT_C_DI = (IT_LAMBDA1*IT_BCHI1+IT_LAMBDA2*IT_BCHI2+IT_LAMBDA3*(1-IT_BCHI1-IT_BCHI2))*((1-IT_BETA)*IT_GDP*IT_PGNP-IT_TAXH)/IT_P+RES_IT_C_DI*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
IT_C_PI = IT_MPC*(IT_WK+(IT_M+IT_B+IT_NFA/IT_ER)/IT_P+IT_BCHI1*(1-IT_LAMBDA1)*IT_WH1+IT_BCHI2*(1-IT_LAMBDA2)*IT_WH2+(1-IT_BCHI1-IT_BCHI2)*(1-IT_LAMBDA3)*IT_WH3) ;
|
|
IT_WH = IT_BCHI1*IT_WH1+IT_BCHI2*IT_WH2+(1-IT_BCHI1-IT_BCHI2)*IT_WH3 ;
|
|
( log(IT_COIL)-(log(IT_COIL(-1)))) = IT_COIL0+IT_COIL1*( log(IT_GDP)-(log(IT_GDP(-1))))+IT_COIL2*( log(POIL/IT_ER/IT_PGNP)-(log(POIL(-1)/IT_ER(-1)/IT_PGNP(-1))))+IT_COIL3*log(POIL(-1)/IT_ER(-1)/IT_PGNP(-1))+IT_COIL4*log(IT_GDP(-1)/IT_COIL(-1))+RES_IT_COIL ;
|
|
IT_INVEST/IT_K(-1)-(IT_DELTA_SS+GREAL_SS-1) = IT_K1*(IT_WK/IT_K(-1)-1)+IT_K2*(IT_WK(-1)/IT_K(-2)-1)+RES_IT_K ;
|
|
IT_MPK = IT_BETA*IT_GDP/IT_K ;
|
|
IT_Q = IT_CHI*(IT_INVEST/IT_K(-1)-(IT_DELTA_SS+GREAL_SS-1))+1 ;
|
|
IT_WK(1) = IT_WK*(1+IT_RSR+IT_K/IT_K(-1)-1+IT_DELTA+RES_IT_WK)-(IT_BETA*IT_GDP*IT_PGNP-IT_TAXK)/IT_P+(IT_CHI/2*((IT_Q-1)/IT_CHI)^2+IT_INVEST/IT_K(-1)*(IT_Q-1))*IT_K(-1)*IT_PGNP/IT_P ;
|
|
IT_INVEST = ( IT_K-(IT_K(-1)))+IT_DELTA*IT_K(-1) ;
|
|
( log(IT_XM)-(log(IT_XM(-1)))) = IT_XM0+( log(IT_FACT)-(log(IT_FACT(-1))))+IT_XM1*( IT_RCI-(IT_RCI(-1)))+IT_XM2*(IT_XM3*IT_RCI(-1)+log(IT_FACT(-1))-log(IT_XM(-1)))+RES_IT_XM ;
|
|
IT_XMA = IT_XM+T05*(WTRADER-TRDER*GREAL^TME)/IT_E96 ;
|
|
IT_XT = IT_XMA+IT_XOIL ;
|
|
IT_ACT = IT_C_MPROP*IT_C+IT_INVEST_MPROP*IT_INVEST+IT_G_MPROP*IT_G+IT_XT_MPROP*IT_XT ;
|
|
( log(IT_IM)-(log(IT_IM(-1)))) = IT_IM0+( log(IT_ACT)-(log(IT_ACT(-1))))+IT_IM1*( log(IT_PIMA/IT_PGNPNO)-(log(IT_PIMA(-1)/IT_PGNPNO(-1))))+IT_IM2*(IT_IM3*log(IT_PIMA(-1)/IT_PGNPNO(-1))+log(IT_ACT(-1))-log(IT_IM(-1)))+RES_IT_IM ;
|
|
IT_IOIL = IT_COIL+IT_XOIL-IT_PRODOIL+RES_IT_IOIL*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
( log(IT_ICOM)-(log(IT_ICOM(-1)))) = IT_IC0+IT_IC2*( log(PCOM/IT_ER/IT_PGNP)-(log(PCOM(-1)/IT_ER(-1)/IT_PGNP(-1))))+IT_IC1*( log(IT_GDP)-(log(IT_GDP(-1))))+IT_IC3*log(PCOM(-1)/IT_ER(-1)/IT_PGNP(-1))+IT_IC4*log(IT_GDP(-1))+IT_IC5*log(IT_ICOM(-1))+RES_IT_ICOM-(IT_IC4+IT_IC5)*log(GREAL^TME) ;
|
|
IT_IT = IT_IM+IT_IOIL+IT_ICOM ;
|
|
IT_A = IT_C+IT_INVEST+IT_G ;
|
|
IT_GDP = IT_A+IT_XT-IT_IT ;
|
|
IT_GNP = IT_GDP+(US_R+(IT_PREM(-3)+IT_PREM(-2)+IT_PREM(-1))/3)*IT_NFA(-1)/IT_ER/IT_PGNP+RES_IT_GNP*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
IT_W = IT_WH+IT_WK+(IT_M+IT_B+IT_NFA/IT_ER)/IT_P ;
|
|
IT_YD = (IT_GDP*IT_PGNP-IT_TAX)/IT_P-IT_DELTA*IT_K(-1) ;
|
|
IT_GE = IT_P*IT_G+IT_R*IT_B(-1)+IT_GEXOG ;
|
|
IT_TAX = IT_TRATE*IT_PGNP*IT_GNP ;
|
|
IT_TAXK = IT_TAXK_ALPHA*IT_TAXK_SHAR*IT_TAX+(1-IT_TAXK_ALPHA)*IT_TRATEK*IT_BETA*IT_GDP*IT_PGNP ;
|
|
IT_TAXH = IT_TAX-IT_TAXK ;
|
|
IT_TRATE = IT_TRATE_EXOG*(1-IT_TRATE_ALPHA)+IT_TRATE_ALPHA*((IT_TRATE(-2)/5+IT_TRATE(-1)/5+IT_TRATE(0)/5+IT_TRATE(1)/5+IT_TRATE(2)/5)+TAU1*(IT_B(1)/(IT_GNP(1)*IT_PGNP(1))-IT_BT_GDP_RAT(1))+RES_IT_TRATE) ;
|
|
IT_BT = IT_BT_GDP_RAT*IT_GNP*IT_PGNP ;
|
|
( IT_B-(IT_B(-1)))+( IT_M-(IT_M(-1))) = IT_R*IT_B(-1)+IT_P*IT_G-IT_TAX ;
|
|
IT_GDEF = ( IT_B+IT_M-(IT_B(-1)+IT_M(-1))) ;
|
|
log(IT_M/IT_P) = IT_M0+(1-IT_M4)*log(IT_A)+IT_M2*IT_RS+IT_M4*log(IT_M(-1)/IT_P(-1))+RES_IT_M ;
|
|
IT_RS = (1-IT_X_RS1)*IT_RS_EXOG+IT_X_RS1*(IT_RS(-1)+IT_RS1*log(IT_MT/IT_M)/IT_M2+IT_RS2*log(GR_ER/IT_ER/IT_PAR)+IT_RS3*log(US_ER/IT_ER/IT_PARUS)+IT_RS4*log(IT_NEER/IT_NEER_PAR)+IT_RS5*(IT_UNR_FE-IT_UNR-IT_UNR_GAP_EXOG)+IT_RS6*100*(log(IT_GDP)-log(IT_GDP_FE)-IT_GDP_GAP_EXOG)+IT_X_RS2*(-IT_RS(-1)+IT_RSCON+100*( log(IT_P(1))-(log(IT_P))))+100*(IT_RTARC1*(( log(IT_P)-(log(IT_P(-1))))-( log(IT_P_TAR)-(log(IT_P_TAR(-1))))-IT_P_GAP_EXOG)+IT_RTARC2*(( log(IT_PGNP)-(log(IT_PGNP(-1))))-( log(IT_PGNP_TAR)-(log(IT_PGNP_TAR(-1))))-IT_PGNP_GAP_EXOG)+IT_RTARC3*(( log(IT_CPI)-(log(IT_CPI(-1))))-( log(IT_CPI_TAR)-(log(IT_CPI_TAR(-1))))-IT_CPI_GAP_EXOG)+IT_RTARC4*(( log(IT_PGNPNO)-(log(IT_PGNPNO(-1))))-( log(IT_PGNPNO_TAR)-(log(IT_PGNPNO_TAR(-1))))-IT_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG)+IT_RTARF1*(( log(IT_P(1))-(log(IT_P)))-( log(IT_P_TAR(1))-(log(IT_P_TAR)))-IT_P_GAP_EXOG(1))+IT_RTARF2*(( log(IT_PGNP(1))-(log(IT_PGNP)))-( log(IT_PGNP_TAR(1))-(log(IT_PGNP_TAR)))-IT_PGNP_GAP_EXOG(1))+IT_RTARF3*(( log(IT_CPI(1))-(log(IT_CPI)))-( log(IT_CPI_TAR(1))-(log(IT_CPI_TAR)))-IT_CPI_GAP_EXOG(1))+IT_RTARF4*(( log(IT_PGNPNO(1))-(log(IT_PGNPNO)))-( log(IT_PGNPNO_TAR(1))-(log(IT_PGNPNO_TAR)))-IT_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG(1)))+IT_RSCON2+RES_IT_RS)+IT_RS1PERM*0 ;
|
|
IT_RL/100 = ((1+IT_RS/100)*(1+IT_RS(1)/100)*(1+IT_RS(2)/100)*(1+IT_RS(3)/100)*(1+IT_RS(4)/100)*(1+IT_RS(5)/100)*(1+IT_RS(6)/100)*(1+IT_RS(7)/100)*(1+IT_RS(8)/100)*(1+IT_RS(9)/100))^0.1*(1+IT_TPREM)-1+RES_IT_RL ;
|
|
IT_R = 0.5*IT_RS(-1)/100+0.5*(IT_RL(-3)/100+IT_RL(-2)/100+IT_RL(-1)/100)/3 ;
|
|
IT_RLR = (1+IT_RL/100)/(IT_P(10)/IT_P)^0.1-1 ;
|
|
IT_RSR = (1+IT_RS/100)/(IT_P(1)/IT_P)-1 ;
|
|
IT_PGNPNO = (IT_GDP*IT_PGNP-IT_PRODOIL*POIL/IT_ER*IT_E96)/(IT_GDP-IT_PRODOIL) ;
|
|
IT_PGNP = (IT_P*IT_A+IT_XT*IT_PXT-IT_IT*IT_PIT)/IT_GDP+RES_IT_P*IT_PGNP ;
|
|
( log(IT_PXM)-(log(IT_PXM(-1)))) = IT_PXM0+IT_PXM1*( log(IT_PGNPNO)-(log(IT_PGNPNO(-1))))+(1-IT_PXM1)*( log(IT_PFM)-(log(IT_PFM(-1))))+IT_PXM2*log(IT_PGNPNO(-1)/IT_PXM(-1))+RES_IT_PXM ;
|
|
IT_PXT = (IT_XMA*IT_PXM+POIL/IT_ER*IT_E96*IT_XOIL)/IT_XT ;
|
|
IT_PIM = (S0105*US_PXM+S0205*JA_PXM*JA_ER/JA_E96+S0305*GR_PXM*GR_ER/GR_E96+S0405*FR_PXM*FR_ER/FR_E96+S0505*IT_PXM*IT_ER/IT_E96+S0605*UK_PXM*UK_ER/UK_E96+S0705*CA_PXM*CA_ER/CA_E96+S0805*SI_PXM*SI_ER/SI_E96+S0905*RW_PXM*RW_ER/RW_E96)/(IT_ER/IT_E96)*(1+RES_IT_PIM) ;
|
|
IT_PIMA = IT_PIM+T05*(WTRADE-TRDE*GREAL^TME*US_INFL^TME)/IT_ER/IT_IM ;
|
|
IT_PIT = (IT_IM*IT_PIMA+IT_IOIL*POIL/IT_ER*IT_E96+IT_ICOM*PCOM/IT_ER*IT_E96)/IT_IT ;
|
|
//log(IT_TFP_FE) = RES_IT_TFP_FE ;
|
|
IT_TFP_FE = exp(RES_IT_TFP_FE);
|
|
IT_GDP_FE = IT_TFP_FE*IT_K^IT_BETA*((1-IT_UNR_FE/100)*IT_LF)^(1-IT_BETA) ;
|
|
IT_LF = IT_POP*IT_PART/(1+IT_DEM3) ;
|
|
IT_CU = 100*IT_GDP/IT_GDP_FE ;
|
|
( IT_NFA-(IT_NFA(-1))) = (IT_XT*IT_PXT-IT_IT*IT_PIT)*IT_ER+(US_R+(IT_PREM(-3)+IT_PREM(-2)+IT_PREM(-1))/3)*IT_NFA(-1)+RES_IT_NFA*US_INFL^TME*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
IT_TB = IT_XT*IT_PXT-IT_IT*IT_PIT ;
|
|
IT_CURBAL = ( IT_NFA-(IT_NFA(-1))) ;
|
|
1+US_RS/100 = (1+IT_RS/100)*IT_ER(1)/IT_ER-IT_PREM+RES_IT_ER ;
|
|
IT_RCI = log(IT_PXM)-log(IT_PFM) ;
|
|
IT_FACT = (US_IM*US_E96*S0501+JA_IM*JA_E96*S0502+GR_IM*GR_E96*S0503+FR_IM*FR_E96*S0504+IT_IM*IT_E96*S0505+UK_IM*UK_E96*S0506+CA_IM*CA_E96*S0507+SI_IM*SI_E96*S0508+(HO_IM+DC_IM)*RW_E96*S0509)/IT_E96 ;
|
|
log(IT_PFM) = W0501*log(US_PXM*US_ER/US_E96)+W0502*log(JA_PXM*JA_ER/JA_E96)+W0503*log(GR_PXM*GR_ER/GR_E96)+W0504*log(FR_PXM*FR_ER/FR_E96)+W0505*log(IT_ER/IT_E96)+W0506*log(UK_PXM*UK_ER/UK_E96)+W0507*log(CA_PXM*CA_ER/CA_E96)+W0508*log(SI_PXM*SI_ER/SI_E96)+W0509*log(RW_PXM*RW_ER/RW_E96) ;
|
|
IT_NEER = exp(-V0501*log(US_ER/US_E96)-V0502*log(JA_ER/JA_E96)-V0503*log(GR_ER/GR_E96)-V0504*log(FR_ER/FR_E96)+log(IT_ER/IT_E96)-V0506*log(UK_ER/UK_E96)-V0507*log(CA_ER/CA_E96)-V0508*log(SI_ER/SI_E96)) ;
|
|
( log(UK_CPI)-(log(UK_CPI(-1)))) = UK_CPI1*( log(UK_PIM)-(log(UK_PIM(-1))))+UK_CPI2*( log(UK_PGNP)-(log(UK_PGNP(-1))))+(1-UK_CPI1-UK_CPI2)*log(UK_CPI(-1)/UK_CPI(-2))+RES_UK_CPI ;
|
|
UK_UNR_A = UK_UNR_FE+UK_UNR_1*100*log(UK_GDP/UK_GDP_FE)+UK_UNR_2*(UK_UNR(-1)-UK_UNR_FE(-1))+RES_UK_UNR_A ;
|
|
UK_UNR = UK_UNR_A/*MAX(UK_UNR_A;0.1)*/ ;
|
|
( log(UK_PGNPNO)-(log(UK_PGNPNO(-1)))) = UK_LAMBDA*(UK_DELTA_PI*( log(UK_PGNPNO(1))-(log(UK_PGNPNO)))+(1-UK_DELTA_PI)*( log(UK_PGNPNO(-1))-(log(UK_PGNPNO(-2)))))+(1-UK_LAMBDA)*( log(UK_PGNPNO(-1))-(log(UK_PGNPNO(-2))))+UK_GAMMA/100*(UK_NLIN-UK_UNR)/(UK_UNR-UK_PHI)+RES_UK_PGNP ;
|
|
UK_INFL = UK_MGROW/GREAL ;
|
|
UK_DLLF = log(UK_LF/UK_LF(-1)) ;
|
|
UK_DLGDP = log(UK_GDP/UK_GDP(-1)) ;
|
|
UK_C = UK_C_DI+UK_C_PI ;
|
|
UK_MPC = 1/UK_MPCINV ;
|
|
UK_MPCINV(1) = UK_MPCINV-1-((1-UK_SIGMA)*(UK_RSR+UK_PROB)-(RES_UK_MPC+UK_PROB))*UK_MPCINV/UK_SIGMA ;
|
|
UK_WH1(1) = UK_WH1*(1+UK_RSR+UK_ALPHA1+RES_UK_WH1+UK_PROB+exp(UK_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-UK_BETA)*UK_GDP*UK_PGNP-UK_TAXH)/UK_P+RES_UK_WK*UK_WK) ;
|
|
UK_WH2(1) = UK_WH2*(1+UK_RSR+UK_ALPHA2+RES_UK_WH2+UK_PROB+exp(UK_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-UK_BETA)*UK_GDP*UK_PGNP-UK_TAXH)/UK_P+RES_UK_WK*UK_WK) ;
|
|
UK_WH3(1) = UK_WH3*(1+UK_RSR+UK_ALPHA3+RES_UK_WH3+UK_PROB+exp(UK_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-UK_BETA)*UK_GDP*UK_PGNP-UK_TAXH)/UK_P+RES_UK_WK*UK_WK) ;
|
|
UK_C_DI = (UK_LAMBDA1*UK_BCHI1+UK_LAMBDA2*UK_BCHI2+UK_LAMBDA3*(1-UK_BCHI1-UK_BCHI2))*((1-UK_BETA)*UK_GDP*UK_PGNP-UK_TAXH)/UK_P+RES_UK_C_DI*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
UK_C_PI = UK_MPC*(UK_WK+(UK_M+UK_B+UK_NFA/UK_ER)/UK_P+UK_BCHI1*(1-UK_LAMBDA1)*UK_WH1+UK_BCHI2*(1-UK_LAMBDA2)*UK_WH2+(1-UK_BCHI1-UK_BCHI2)*(1-UK_LAMBDA3)*UK_WH3) ;
|
|
UK_WH = UK_BCHI1*UK_WH1+UK_BCHI2*UK_WH2+(1-UK_BCHI1-UK_BCHI2)*UK_WH3 ;
|
|
( log(UK_COIL)-(log(UK_COIL(-1)))) = UK_COIL0+UK_COIL1*( log(UK_GDP)-(log(UK_GDP(-1))))+UK_COIL2*( log(POIL/UK_ER/UK_PGNP)-(log(POIL(-1)/UK_ER(-1)/UK_PGNP(-1))))+UK_COIL3*log(POIL(-1)/UK_ER(-1)/UK_PGNP(-1))+UK_COIL4*log(UK_GDP(-1)/UK_COIL(-1))+RES_UK_COIL ;
|
|
UK_INVEST/UK_K(-1)-(UK_DELTA_SS+GREAL_SS-1) = UK_K1*(UK_WK/UK_K(-1)-1)+UK_K2*(UK_WK(-1)/UK_K(-2)-1)+RES_UK_K ;
|
|
UK_MPK = UK_BETA*UK_GDP/UK_K ;
|
|
UK_Q = UK_CHI*(UK_INVEST/UK_K(-1)-(UK_DELTA_SS+GREAL_SS-1))+1 ;
|
|
UK_WK(1) = UK_WK*(1+UK_RSR+UK_K/UK_K(-1)-1+UK_DELTA+RES_UK_WK)-(UK_BETA*UK_GDP*UK_PGNP-UK_TAXK)/UK_P+(UK_CHI/2*((UK_Q-1)/UK_CHI)^2+UK_INVEST/UK_K(-1)*(UK_Q-1))*UK_K(-1)*UK_PGNP/UK_P ;
|
|
UK_INVEST = ( UK_K-(UK_K(-1)))+UK_DELTA*UK_K(-1) ;
|
|
( log(UK_XM)-(log(UK_XM(-1)))) = UK_XM0+( log(UK_FACT)-(log(UK_FACT(-1))))+UK_XM1*( UK_RCI-(UK_RCI(-1)))+UK_XM2*(UK_XM3*UK_RCI(-1)+log(UK_FACT(-1))-log(UK_XM(-1)))+RES_UK_XM ;
|
|
UK_XMA = UK_XM+T06*(WTRADER-TRDER*GREAL^TME)/UK_E96 ;
|
|
UK_XT = UK_XMA+UK_XOIL ;
|
|
UK_ACT = UK_C_MPROP*UK_C+UK_INVEST_MPROP*UK_INVEST+UK_G_MPROP*UK_G+UK_XT_MPROP*UK_XT ;
|
|
( log(UK_IM)-(log(UK_IM(-1)))) = UK_IM0+( log(UK_ACT)-(log(UK_ACT(-1))))+UK_IM1*( log(UK_PIMA/UK_PGNPNO)-(log(UK_PIMA(-1)/UK_PGNPNO(-1))))+UK_IM2*(UK_IM3*log(UK_PIMA(-1)/UK_PGNPNO(-1))+log(UK_ACT(-1))-log(UK_IM(-1)))+RES_UK_IM ;
|
|
UK_IOIL = UK_COIL+UK_XOIL-UK_PRODOIL+RES_UK_IOIL*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
( log(UK_ICOM)-(log(UK_ICOM(-1)))) = UK_IC0+UK_IC2*( log(PCOM/UK_ER/UK_PGNP)-(log(PCOM(-1)/UK_ER(-1)/UK_PGNP(-1))))+UK_IC1*( log(UK_GDP)-(log(UK_GDP(-1))))+UK_IC3*log(PCOM(-1)/UK_ER(-1)/UK_PGNP(-1))+UK_IC4*log(UK_GDP(-1))+UK_IC5*log(UK_ICOM(-1))+RES_UK_ICOM-(UK_IC4+UK_IC5)*log(GREAL^TME) ;
|
|
UK_IT = UK_IM+UK_IOIL+UK_ICOM ;
|
|
UK_A = UK_C+UK_INVEST+UK_G ;
|
|
UK_GDP = UK_A+UK_XT-UK_IT ;
|
|
UK_GNP = UK_GDP+(US_R+(UK_PREM(-3)+UK_PREM(-2)+UK_PREM(-1))/3)*UK_NFA(-1)/UK_ER/UK_PGNP+RES_UK_GNP*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
UK_W = UK_WH+UK_WK+(UK_M+UK_B+UK_NFA/UK_ER)/UK_P ;
|
|
UK_YD = (UK_GDP*UK_PGNP-UK_TAX)/UK_P-UK_DELTA*UK_K(-1) ;
|
|
UK_GE = UK_P*UK_G+UK_R*UK_B(-1)+UK_GEXOG ;
|
|
UK_TAX = UK_TRATE*UK_PGNP*UK_GNP ;
|
|
UK_TAXK = UK_TAXK_ALPHA*UK_TAXK_SHAR*UK_TAX+(1-UK_TAXK_ALPHA)*UK_TRATEK*UK_BETA*UK_GDP*UK_PGNP ;
|
|
UK_TAXH = UK_TAX-UK_TAXK ;
|
|
UK_TRATE = UK_TRATE_EXOG*(1-UK_TRATE_ALPHA)+UK_TRATE_ALPHA*((UK_TRATE(-2)/5+UK_TRATE(-1)/5+UK_TRATE(0)/5+UK_TRATE(1)/5+UK_TRATE(2)/5)+TAU1*(UK_B(1)/(UK_GNP(1)*UK_PGNP(1))-UK_BT_GDP_RAT(1))+RES_UK_TRATE) ;
|
|
UK_BT = UK_BT_GDP_RAT*UK_GNP*UK_PGNP ;
|
|
( UK_B-(UK_B(-1)))+( UK_M-(UK_M(-1))) = UK_R*UK_B(-1)+UK_P*UK_G-UK_TAX ;
|
|
UK_GDEF = ( UK_B+UK_M-(UK_B(-1)+UK_M(-1))) ;
|
|
log(UK_M/UK_P) = UK_M0+(1-UK_M4)*log(UK_A)+UK_M2*UK_RS+UK_M4*log(UK_M(-1)/UK_P(-1))+RES_UK_M ;
|
|
UK_RS = (1-UK_X_RS1)*UK_RS_EXOG+UK_X_RS1*(UK_RS(-1)+UK_RS1*log(UK_MT/UK_M)/UK_M2+UK_RS2*log(GR_ER/UK_ER/UK_PAR)+UK_RS3*log(US_ER/UK_ER/UK_PARUS)+UK_RS4*log(UK_NEER/UK_NEER_PAR)+UK_RS5*(UK_UNR_FE-UK_UNR-UK_UNR_GAP_EXOG)+UK_RS6*100*(log(UK_GDP)-log(UK_GDP_FE)-UK_GDP_GAP_EXOG)+UK_X_RS2*(-UK_RS(-1)+UK_RSCON+100*( log(UK_P(1))-(log(UK_P))))+100*(UK_RTARC1*(( log(UK_P)-(log(UK_P(-1))))-( log(UK_P_TAR)-(log(UK_P_TAR(-1))))-UK_P_GAP_EXOG)+UK_RTARC2*(( log(UK_PGNP)-(log(UK_PGNP(-1))))-( log(UK_PGNP_TAR)-(log(UK_PGNP_TAR(-1))))-UK_PGNP_GAP_EXOG)+UK_RTARC3*(( log(UK_CPI)-(log(UK_CPI(-1))))-( log(UK_CPI_TAR)-(log(UK_CPI_TAR(-1))))-UK_CPI_GAP_EXOG)+UK_RTARC4*(( log(UK_PGNPNO)-(log(UK_PGNPNO(-1))))-( log(UK_PGNPNO_TAR)-(log(UK_PGNPNO_TAR(-1))))-UK_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG)+UK_RTARF1*(( log(UK_P(1))-(log(UK_P)))-( log(UK_P_TAR(1))-(log(UK_P_TAR)))-UK_P_GAP_EXOG(1))+UK_RTARF2*(( log(UK_PGNP(1))-(log(UK_PGNP)))-( log(UK_PGNP_TAR(1))-(log(UK_PGNP_TAR)))-UK_PGNP_GAP_EXOG(1))+UK_RTARF3*(( log(UK_CPI(1))-(log(UK_CPI)))-( log(UK_CPI_TAR(1))-(log(UK_CPI_TAR)))-UK_CPI_GAP_EXOG(1))+UK_RTARF4*(( log(UK_PGNPNO(1))-(log(UK_PGNPNO)))-( log(UK_PGNPNO_TAR(1))-(log(UK_PGNPNO_TAR)))-UK_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG(1)))+UK_RSCON2+RES_UK_RS)+UK_RS1PERM*0 ;
|
|
UK_RL/100 = ((1+UK_RS/100)*(1+UK_RS(1)/100)*(1+UK_RS(2)/100)*(1+UK_RS(3)/100)*(1+UK_RS(4)/100)*(1+UK_RS(5)/100)*(1+UK_RS(6)/100)*(1+UK_RS(7)/100)*(1+UK_RS(8)/100)*(1+UK_RS(9)/100))^0.1*(1+UK_TPREM)-1+RES_UK_RL ;
|
|
UK_R = 0.5*UK_RS(-1)/100+0.5*(UK_RL(-3)/100+UK_RL(-2)/100+UK_RL(-1)/100)/3 ;
|
|
UK_RLR = (1+UK_RL/100)/(UK_P(10)/UK_P)^0.1-1 ;
|
|
UK_RSR = (1+UK_RS/100)/(UK_P(1)/UK_P)-1 ;
|
|
UK_PGNPNO = (UK_GDP*UK_PGNP-UK_PRODOIL*POIL/UK_ER*UK_E96)/(UK_GDP-UK_PRODOIL) ;
|
|
UK_PGNP = (UK_P*UK_A+UK_XT*UK_PXT-UK_IT*UK_PIT)/UK_GDP+RES_UK_P*UK_PGNP ;
|
|
( log(UK_PXM)-(log(UK_PXM(-1)))) = UK_PXM0+UK_PXM1*( log(UK_PGNPNO)-(log(UK_PGNPNO(-1))))+(1-UK_PXM1)*( log(UK_PFM)-(log(UK_PFM(-1))))+UK_PXM2*log(UK_PGNPNO(-1)/UK_PXM(-1))+RES_UK_PXM ;
|
|
UK_PXT = (UK_XMA*UK_PXM+POIL/UK_ER*UK_E96*UK_XOIL)/UK_XT ;
|
|
UK_PIM = (S0106*US_PXM+S0206*JA_PXM*JA_ER/JA_E96+S0306*GR_PXM*GR_ER/GR_E96+S0406*FR_PXM*FR_ER/FR_E96+S0506*IT_PXM*IT_ER/IT_E96+S0606*UK_PXM*UK_ER/UK_E96+S0706*CA_PXM*CA_ER/CA_E96+S0806*SI_PXM*SI_ER/SI_E96+S0906*RW_PXM*RW_ER/RW_E96)/(UK_ER/UK_E96)*(1+RES_UK_PIM) ;
|
|
UK_PIMA = UK_PIM+T06*(WTRADE-TRDE*GREAL^TME*US_INFL^TME)/UK_ER/UK_IM ;
|
|
UK_PIT = (UK_IM*UK_PIMA+UK_IOIL*POIL/UK_ER*UK_E96+UK_ICOM*PCOM/UK_ER*UK_E96)/UK_IT ;
|
|
//log(UK_TFP_FE) = RES_UK_TFP_FE ;
|
|
UK_TFP_FE = exp(RES_UK_TFP_FE);
|
|
UK_GDP_FE = UK_TFP_FE*UK_K^UK_BETA*((1-UK_UNR_FE/100)*UK_LF)^(1-UK_BETA) ;
|
|
UK_LF = UK_POP*UK_PART/(1+UK_DEM3) ;
|
|
UK_CU = 100*UK_GDP/UK_GDP_FE ;
|
|
( UK_NFA-(UK_NFA(-1))) = (UK_XT*UK_PXT-UK_IT*UK_PIT)*UK_ER+(US_R+(UK_PREM(-3)+UK_PREM(-2)+UK_PREM(-1))/3)*UK_NFA(-1)+RES_UK_NFA*US_INFL^TME*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
UK_TB = UK_XT*UK_PXT-UK_IT*UK_PIT ;
|
|
UK_CURBAL = ( UK_NFA-(UK_NFA(-1))) ;
|
|
1+US_RS/100 = (1+UK_RS/100)*UK_ER(1)/UK_ER-UK_PREM+RES_UK_ER ;
|
|
UK_RCI = log(UK_PXM)-log(UK_PFM) ;
|
|
UK_FACT = (US_IM*US_E96*S0601+JA_IM*JA_E96*S0602+GR_IM*GR_E96*S0603+FR_IM*FR_E96*S0604+IT_IM*IT_E96*S0605+UK_IM*UK_E96*S0606+CA_IM*CA_E96*S0607+SI_IM*SI_E96*S0608+(HO_IM+DC_IM)*RW_E96*S0609)/UK_E96 ;
|
|
log(UK_PFM) = W0601*log(US_PXM*US_ER/US_E96)+W0602*log(JA_PXM*JA_ER/JA_E96)+W0603*log(GR_PXM*GR_ER/GR_E96)+W0604*log(FR_PXM*FR_ER/FR_E96)+W0605*log(IT_PXM*IT_ER/IT_E96)+W0606*log(UK_ER/UK_E96)+W0607*log(CA_PXM*CA_ER/CA_E96)+W0608*log(SI_PXM*SI_ER/SI_E96)+W0609*log(RW_PXM*RW_ER/RW_E96) ;
|
|
UK_NEER = exp(-V0601*log(US_ER/US_E96)-V0602*log(JA_ER/JA_E96)-V0603*log(GR_ER/GR_E96)-V0604*log(FR_ER/FR_E96)-V0605*log(IT_ER/IT_E96)+log(UK_ER/UK_E96)-V0607*log(CA_ER/CA_E96)-V0608*log(SI_ER/SI_E96)) ;
|
|
( log(CA_CPI)-(log(CA_CPI(-1)))) = CA_CPI1*( log(CA_PIM)-(log(CA_PIM(-1))))+CA_CPI2*( log(CA_PGNP)-(log(CA_PGNP(-1))))+(1-CA_CPI1-CA_CPI2)*log(CA_CPI(-1)/CA_CPI(-2))+RES_CA_CPI ;
|
|
CA_UNR_A = CA_UNR_FE+CA_UNR_1*100*log(CA_GDP/CA_GDP_FE)+CA_UNR_2*(CA_UNR(-1)-CA_UNR_FE(-1))+RES_CA_UNR_A ;
|
|
CA_UNR = CA_UNR_A/*MAX(CA_UNR_A;0.1)*/ ;
|
|
( log(CA_PGNPNO)-(log(CA_PGNPNO(-1)))) = CA_LAMBDA*(CA_DELTA_PI*( log(CA_PGNPNO(1))-(log(CA_PGNPNO)))+(1-CA_DELTA_PI)*( log(CA_PGNPNO(-1))-(log(CA_PGNPNO(-2)))))+(1-CA_LAMBDA)*( log(CA_PGNPNO(-1))-(log(CA_PGNPNO(-2))))+CA_GAMMA/100*(CA_NLIN-CA_UNR)/(CA_UNR-CA_PHI)+RES_CA_PGNP ;
|
|
CA_INFL = CA_MGROW/GREAL ;
|
|
CA_DLLF = log(CA_LF/CA_LF(-1)) ;
|
|
CA_DLGDP = log(CA_GDP/CA_GDP(-1)) ;
|
|
CA_C = CA_C_DI+CA_C_PI ;
|
|
CA_MPC = 1/CA_MPCINV ;
|
|
CA_MPCINV(1) = CA_MPCINV-1-((1-CA_SIGMA)*(CA_RSR+CA_PROB)-(RES_CA_MPC+CA_PROB))*CA_MPCINV/CA_SIGMA ;
|
|
CA_WH1(1) = CA_WH1*(1+CA_RSR+CA_ALPHA1+RES_CA_WH1+CA_PROB+exp(CA_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-CA_BETA)*CA_GDP*CA_PGNP-CA_TAXH)/CA_P+RES_CA_WK*CA_WK) ;
|
|
CA_WH2(1) = CA_WH2*(1+CA_RSR+CA_ALPHA2+RES_CA_WH2+CA_PROB+exp(CA_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-CA_BETA)*CA_GDP*CA_PGNP-CA_TAXH)/CA_P+RES_CA_WK*CA_WK) ;
|
|
CA_WH3(1) = CA_WH3*(1+CA_RSR+CA_ALPHA3+RES_CA_WH3+CA_PROB+exp(CA_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-CA_BETA)*CA_GDP*CA_PGNP-CA_TAXH)/CA_P+RES_CA_WK*CA_WK) ;
|
|
CA_C_DI = (CA_LAMBDA1*CA_BCHI1+CA_LAMBDA2*CA_BCHI2+CA_LAMBDA3*(1-CA_BCHI1-CA_BCHI2))*((1-CA_BETA)*CA_GDP*CA_PGNP-CA_TAXH)/CA_P+RES_CA_C_DI*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
CA_C_PI = CA_MPC*(CA_WK+(CA_M+CA_B+CA_NFA/CA_ER)/CA_P+CA_BCHI1*(1-CA_LAMBDA1)*CA_WH1+CA_BCHI2*(1-CA_LAMBDA2)*CA_WH2+(1-CA_BCHI1-CA_BCHI2)*(1-CA_LAMBDA3)*CA_WH3) ;
|
|
CA_WH = CA_BCHI1*CA_WH1+CA_BCHI2*CA_WH2+(1-CA_BCHI1-CA_BCHI2)*CA_WH3 ;
|
|
( log(CA_COIL)-(log(CA_COIL(-1)))) = CA_COIL0+CA_COIL1*( log(CA_GDP)-(log(CA_GDP(-1))))+CA_COIL2*( log(POIL/CA_ER/CA_PGNP)-(log(POIL(-1)/CA_ER(-1)/CA_PGNP(-1))))+CA_COIL3*log(POIL(-1)/CA_ER(-1)/CA_PGNP(-1))+CA_COIL4*log(CA_GDP(-1)/CA_COIL(-1))+RES_CA_COIL ;
|
|
CA_INVEST/CA_K(-1)-(CA_DELTA_SS+GREAL_SS-1) = CA_K1*(CA_WK/CA_K(-1)-1)+CA_K2*(CA_WK(-1)/CA_K(-2)-1)+RES_CA_K ;
|
|
CA_MPK = CA_BETA*CA_GDP/CA_K ;
|
|
CA_Q = CA_CHI*(CA_INVEST/CA_K(-1)-(CA_DELTA_SS+GREAL_SS-1))+1 ;
|
|
CA_WK(1) = CA_WK*(1+CA_RSR+CA_K/CA_K(-1)-1+CA_DELTA+RES_CA_WK)-(CA_BETA*CA_GDP*CA_PGNP-CA_TAXK)/CA_P+(CA_CHI/2*((CA_Q-1)/CA_CHI)^2+CA_INVEST/CA_K(-1)*(CA_Q-1))*CA_K(-1)*CA_PGNP/CA_P ;
|
|
CA_INVEST = ( CA_K-(CA_K(-1)))+CA_DELTA*CA_K(-1) ;
|
|
( log(CA_XM)-(log(CA_XM(-1)))) = CA_XM0+( log(CA_FACT)-(log(CA_FACT(-1))))+CA_XM1*( CA_RCI-(CA_RCI(-1)))+CA_XM2*(CA_XM3*CA_RCI(-1)+log(CA_FACT(-1))-log(CA_XM(-1)))+RES_CA_XM ;
|
|
CA_XMA = CA_XM+T07*(WTRADER-TRDER*GREAL^TME)/CA_E96 ;
|
|
CA_XT = CA_XMA+CA_XOIL ;
|
|
CA_ACT = CA_C_MPROP*CA_C+CA_INVEST_MPROP*CA_INVEST+CA_G_MPROP*CA_G+CA_XT_MPROP*CA_XT ;
|
|
( log(CA_IM)-(log(CA_IM(-1)))) = CA_IM0+( log(CA_ACT)-(log(CA_ACT(-1))))+CA_IM1*( log(CA_PIMA/CA_PGNPNO)-(log(CA_PIMA(-1)/CA_PGNPNO(-1))))+CA_IM2*(CA_IM3*log(CA_PIMA(-1)/CA_PGNPNO(-1))+log(CA_ACT(-1))-log(CA_IM(-1)))+RES_CA_IM ;
|
|
CA_IOIL = CA_COIL+CA_XOIL-CA_PRODOIL+RES_CA_IOIL*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
( log(CA_ICOM)-(log(CA_ICOM(-1)))) = CA_IC0+CA_IC2*( log(PCOM/CA_ER/CA_PGNP)-(log(PCOM(-1)/CA_ER(-1)/CA_PGNP(-1))))+CA_IC1*( log(CA_GDP)-(log(CA_GDP(-1))))+CA_IC3*log(PCOM(-1)/CA_ER(-1)/CA_PGNP(-1))+CA_IC4*log(CA_GDP(-1))+CA_IC5*log(CA_ICOM(-1))+RES_CA_ICOM-(CA_IC4+CA_IC5)*log(GREAL^TME) ;
|
|
CA_IT = CA_IM+CA_IOIL+CA_ICOM ;
|
|
CA_A = CA_C+CA_INVEST+CA_G ;
|
|
CA_GDP = CA_A+CA_XT-CA_IT ;
|
|
CA_GNP = CA_GDP+(US_R+(CA_PREM(-3)+CA_PREM(-2)+CA_PREM(-1))/3)*CA_NFA(-1)/CA_ER/CA_PGNP+RES_CA_GNP*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
CA_W = CA_WH+CA_WK+(CA_M+CA_B+CA_NFA/CA_ER)/CA_P ;
|
|
CA_YD = (CA_GDP*CA_PGNP-CA_TAX)/CA_P-CA_DELTA*CA_K(-1) ;
|
|
CA_GE = CA_P*CA_G+CA_R*CA_B(-1)+CA_GEXOG ;
|
|
CA_TAX = CA_TRATE*CA_PGNP*CA_GNP ;
|
|
CA_TAXK = CA_TAXK_ALPHA*CA_TAXK_SHAR*CA_TAX+(1-CA_TAXK_ALPHA)*CA_TRATEK*CA_BETA*CA_GDP*CA_PGNP ;
|
|
CA_TAXH = CA_TAX-CA_TAXK ;
|
|
CA_TRATE = CA_TRATE_EXOG*(1-CA_TRATE_ALPHA)+CA_TRATE_ALPHA*((CA_TRATE(-2)/5+CA_TRATE(-1)/5+CA_TRATE(0)/5+CA_TRATE(1)/5+CA_TRATE(2)/5)+TAU1*(CA_B(1)/(CA_GNP(1)*CA_PGNP(1))-CA_BT_GDP_RAT(1))+RES_CA_TRATE) ;
|
|
CA_BT = CA_BT_GDP_RAT*CA_GNP*CA_PGNP ;
|
|
( CA_B-(CA_B(-1)))+( CA_M-(CA_M(-1))) = CA_R*CA_B(-1)+CA_P*CA_G-CA_TAX ;
|
|
CA_GDEF = ( CA_B+CA_M-(CA_B(-1)+CA_M(-1))) ;
|
|
log(CA_M/CA_P) = CA_M0+(1-CA_M4)*log(CA_A)+CA_M2*CA_RS+CA_M4*log(CA_M(-1)/CA_P(-1))+RES_CA_M ;
|
|
CA_RS = (1-CA_X_RS1)*CA_RS_EXOG+CA_X_RS1*(CA_RS(-1)+CA_RS1*log(CA_MT/CA_M)/CA_M2+CA_RS2*log(GR_ER/CA_ER/CA_PAR)+CA_RS3*log(US_ER/CA_ER/CA_PARUS)+CA_RS4*log(CA_NEER/CA_NEER_PAR)+CA_RS5*(CA_UNR_FE-CA_UNR-CA_UNR_GAP_EXOG)+CA_RS6*100*(log(CA_GDP)-log(CA_GDP_FE)-CA_GDP_GAP_EXOG)+CA_X_RS2*(-CA_RS(-1)+CA_RSCON+100*( log(CA_P(1))-(log(CA_P))))+100*(CA_RTARC1*(( log(CA_P)-(log(CA_P(-1))))-( log(CA_P_TAR)-(log(CA_P_TAR(-1))))-CA_P_GAP_EXOG)+CA_RTARC2*(( log(CA_PGNP)-(log(CA_PGNP(-1))))-( log(CA_PGNP_TAR)-(log(CA_PGNP_TAR(-1))))-CA_PGNP_GAP_EXOG)+CA_RTARC3*(( log(CA_CPI)-(log(CA_CPI(-1))))-( log(CA_CPI_TAR)-(log(CA_CPI_TAR(-1))))-CA_CPI_GAP_EXOG)+CA_RTARC4*(( log(CA_PGNPNO)-(log(CA_PGNPNO(-1))))-( log(CA_PGNPNO_TAR)-(log(CA_PGNPNO_TAR(-1))))-CA_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG)+CA_RTARF1*(( log(CA_P(1))-(log(CA_P)))-( log(CA_P_TAR(1))-(log(CA_P_TAR)))-CA_P_GAP_EXOG(1))+CA_RTARF2*(( log(CA_PGNP(1))-(log(CA_PGNP)))-( log(CA_PGNP_TAR(1))-(log(CA_PGNP_TAR)))-CA_PGNP_GAP_EXOG(1))+CA_RTARF3*(( log(CA_CPI(1))-(log(CA_CPI)))-( log(CA_CPI_TAR(1))-(log(CA_CPI_TAR)))-CA_CPI_GAP_EXOG(1))+CA_RTARF4*(( log(CA_PGNPNO(1))-(log(CA_PGNPNO)))-( log(CA_PGNPNO_TAR(1))-(log(CA_PGNPNO_TAR)))-CA_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG(1)))+CA_RSCON2+RES_CA_RS)+CA_RS1PERM*0 ;
|
|
CA_RL/100 = ((1+CA_RS/100)*(1+CA_RS(1)/100)*(1+CA_RS(2)/100)*(1+CA_RS(3)/100)*(1+CA_RS(4)/100)*(1+CA_RS(5)/100)*(1+CA_RS(6)/100)*(1+CA_RS(7)/100)*(1+CA_RS(8)/100)*(1+CA_RS(9)/100))^0.1*(1+CA_TPREM)-1+RES_CA_RL ;
|
|
CA_R = 0.5*CA_RS(-1)/100+0.5*(CA_RL(-3)/100+CA_RL(-2)/100+CA_RL(-1)/100)/3 ;
|
|
CA_RLR = (1+CA_RL/100)/(CA_P(10)/CA_P)^0.1-1 ;
|
|
CA_RSR = (1+CA_RS/100)/(CA_P(1)/CA_P)-1 ;
|
|
CA_PGNPNO = (CA_GDP*CA_PGNP-CA_PRODOIL*POIL/CA_ER*CA_E96)/(CA_GDP-CA_PRODOIL) ;
|
|
CA_PGNP = (CA_P*CA_A+CA_XT*CA_PXT-CA_IT*CA_PIT)/CA_GDP+RES_CA_P*CA_PGNP ;
|
|
( log(CA_PXM)-(log(CA_PXM(-1)))) = CA_PXM0+CA_PXM1*( log(CA_PGNPNO)-(log(CA_PGNPNO(-1))))+(1-CA_PXM1)*( log(CA_PFM)-(log(CA_PFM(-1))))+CA_PXM2*log(CA_PGNPNO(-1)/CA_PXM(-1))+RES_CA_PXM ;
|
|
CA_PXT = (CA_XMA*CA_PXM+POIL/CA_ER*CA_E96*CA_XOIL)/CA_XT ;
|
|
CA_PIM = (S0107*US_PXM+S0207*JA_PXM*JA_ER/JA_E96+S0307*GR_PXM*GR_ER/GR_E96+S0407*FR_PXM*FR_ER/FR_E96+S0507*IT_PXM*IT_ER/IT_E96+S0607*UK_PXM*UK_ER/UK_E96+S0707*CA_PXM*CA_ER/CA_E96+S0807*SI_PXM*SI_ER/SI_E96+S0907*RW_PXM*RW_ER/RW_E96)/(CA_ER/CA_E96)*(1+RES_CA_PIM) ;
|
|
CA_PIMA = CA_PIM+T07*(WTRADE-TRDE*GREAL^TME*US_INFL^TME)/CA_ER/CA_IM ;
|
|
CA_PIT = (CA_IM*CA_PIMA+CA_IOIL*POIL/CA_ER*CA_E96+CA_ICOM*PCOM/CA_ER*CA_E96)/CA_IT ;
|
|
//log(CA_TFP_FE) = RES_CA_TFP_FE ;
|
|
CA_TFP_FE = exp(RES_CA_TFP_FE) ;
|
|
CA_GDP_FE = CA_TFP_FE*CA_K^CA_BETA*((1-CA_UNR_FE/100)*CA_LF)^(1-CA_BETA) ;
|
|
CA_LF = CA_POP*CA_PART/(1+CA_DEM3) ;
|
|
CA_CU = 100*CA_GDP/CA_GDP_FE ;
|
|
( CA_NFA-(CA_NFA(-1))) = (CA_XT*CA_PXT-CA_IT*CA_PIT)*CA_ER+(US_R+(CA_PREM(-3)+CA_PREM(-2)+CA_PREM(-1))/3)*CA_NFA(-1)+RES_CA_NFA*US_INFL^TME*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
CA_TB = CA_XT*CA_PXT-CA_IT*CA_PIT ;
|
|
CA_CURBAL = ( CA_NFA-(CA_NFA(-1))) ;
|
|
1+US_RS/100 = (1+CA_RS/100)*CA_ER(1)/CA_ER-CA_PREM+RES_CA_ER ;
|
|
CA_RCI = log(CA_PXM)-log(CA_PFM) ;
|
|
CA_FACT = (US_IM*US_E96*S0701+JA_IM*JA_E96*S0702+GR_IM*GR_E96*S0703+FR_IM*FR_E96*S0704+IT_IM*IT_E96*S0705+UK_IM*UK_E96*S0706+CA_IM*CA_E96*S0707+SI_IM*SI_E96*S0708+(HO_IM+DC_IM)*RW_E96*S0709)/CA_E96 ;
|
|
log(CA_PFM) = W0701*log(US_PXM*US_ER/US_E96)+W0702*log(JA_PXM*JA_ER/JA_E96)+W0703*log(GR_PXM*GR_ER/GR_E96)+W0704*log(FR_PXM*FR_ER/FR_E96)+W0705*log(IT_PXM*IT_ER/IT_E96)+W0706*log(UK_PXM*UK_ER/UK_E96)+W0707*log(CA_ER/CA_E96)+W0708*log(SI_PXM*SI_ER/SI_E96)+W0709*log(RW_PXM*RW_ER/RW_E96) ;
|
|
CA_NEER = exp(-V0701*log(US_ER/US_E96)-V0702*log(JA_ER/JA_E96)-V0703*log(GR_ER/GR_E96)-V0704*log(FR_ER/FR_E96)-V0705*log(IT_ER/IT_E96)-V0706*log(UK_ER/UK_E96)+log(CA_ER/CA_E96)-V0708*log(SI_ER/SI_E96)) ;
|
|
( log(SI_CPI)-(log(SI_CPI(-1)))) = SI_CPI1*( log(SI_PIM)-(log(SI_PIM(-1))))+SI_CPI2*( log(SI_PGNP)-(log(SI_PGNP(-1))))+(1-SI_CPI1-SI_CPI2)*log(SI_CPI(-1)/SI_CPI(-2))+RES_SI_CPI ;
|
|
SI_UNR_A = SI_UNR_FE+SI_UNR_1*100*log(SI_GDP/SI_GDP_FE)+SI_UNR_2*(SI_UNR(-1)-SI_UNR_FE(-1))+RES_SI_UNR_A ;
|
|
SI_UNR = SI_UNR_A/*MAX(SI_UNR_A;0.1)*/ ;
|
|
( log(SI_PGNPNO)-(log(SI_PGNPNO(-1)))) = SI_LAMBDA*(SI_DELTA_PI*( log(SI_PGNPNO(1))-(log(SI_PGNPNO)))+(1-SI_DELTA_PI)*( log(SI_PGNPNO(-1))-(log(SI_PGNPNO(-2)))))+(1-SI_LAMBDA)*( log(SI_PGNPNO(-1))-(log(SI_PGNPNO(-2))))+SI_GAMMA/100*(SI_NLIN-SI_UNR)/(SI_UNR-SI_PHI)+RES_SI_PGNP ;
|
|
SI_INFL = SI_MGROW/GREAL ;
|
|
SI_DLLF = log(SI_LF/SI_LF(-1)) ;
|
|
SI_DLGDP = log(SI_GDP/SI_GDP(-1)) ;
|
|
SI_C = SI_C_DI+SI_C_PI ;
|
|
SI_MPC = 1/SI_MPCINV ;
|
|
SI_MPCINV(1) = SI_MPCINV-1-((1-SI_SIGMA)*(SI_RSR+SI_PROB)-(RES_SI_MPC+SI_PROB))*SI_MPCINV/SI_SIGMA ;
|
|
SI_WH1(1) = SI_WH1*(1+SI_RSR+SI_ALPHA1+RES_SI_WH1+SI_PROB+exp(SI_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-SI_BETA)*SI_GDP*SI_PGNP-SI_TAXH)/SI_P+RES_SI_WK*SI_WK) ;
|
|
SI_WH2(1) = SI_WH2*(1+SI_RSR+SI_ALPHA2+RES_SI_WH2+SI_PROB+exp(SI_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-SI_BETA)*SI_GDP*SI_PGNP-SI_TAXH)/SI_P+RES_SI_WK*SI_WK) ;
|
|
SI_WH3(1) = SI_WH3*(1+SI_RSR+SI_ALPHA3+RES_SI_WH3+SI_PROB+exp(SI_DLLF_SS)-1)-(((1-SI_BETA)*SI_GDP*SI_PGNP-SI_TAXH)/SI_P+RES_SI_WK*SI_WK) ;
|
|
SI_C_DI = (SI_LAMBDA1*SI_BCHI1+SI_LAMBDA2*SI_BCHI2+SI_LAMBDA3*(1-SI_BCHI1-SI_BCHI2))*((1-SI_BETA)*SI_GDP*SI_PGNP-SI_TAXH)/SI_P+RES_SI_C_DI*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
SI_C_PI = SI_MPC*(SI_WK+(SI_M+SI_B+SI_NFA/SI_ER)/SI_P+SI_BCHI1*(1-SI_LAMBDA1)*SI_WH1+SI_BCHI2*(1-SI_LAMBDA2)*SI_WH2+(1-SI_BCHI1-SI_BCHI2)*(1-SI_LAMBDA3)*SI_WH3) ;
|
|
SI_WH = SI_BCHI1*SI_WH1+SI_BCHI2*SI_WH2+(1-SI_BCHI1-SI_BCHI2)*SI_WH3 ;
|
|
( log(SI_COIL)-(log(SI_COIL(-1)))) = SI_COIL0+SI_COIL1*( log(SI_GDP)-(log(SI_GDP(-1))))+SI_COIL2*( log(POIL/SI_ER/SI_PGNP)-(log(POIL(-1)/SI_ER(-1)/SI_PGNP(-1))))+SI_COIL3*log(POIL(-1)/SI_ER(-1)/SI_PGNP(-1))+SI_COIL4*log(SI_GDP(-1)/SI_COIL(-1))+RES_SI_COIL ;
|
|
SI_INVEST/SI_K(-1)-(SI_DELTA_SS+GREAL_SS-1) = SI_K1*(SI_WK/SI_K(-1)-1)+SI_K2*(SI_WK(-1)/SI_K(-2)-1)+RES_SI_K ;
|
|
SI_MPK = SI_BETA*SI_GDP/SI_K ;
|
|
SI_Q = SI_CHI*(SI_INVEST/SI_K(-1)-(SI_DELTA_SS+GREAL_SS-1))+1 ;
|
|
SI_WK(1) = SI_WK*(1+SI_RSR+SI_K/SI_K(-1)-1+SI_DELTA+RES_SI_WK)-(SI_BETA*SI_GDP*SI_PGNP-SI_TAXK)/SI_P+(SI_CHI/2*((SI_Q-1)/SI_CHI)^2+SI_INVEST/SI_K(-1)*(SI_Q-1))*SI_K(-1)*SI_PGNP/SI_P ;
|
|
SI_INVEST = ( SI_K-(SI_K(-1)))+SI_DELTA*SI_K(-1) ;
|
|
( log(SI_XM)-(log(SI_XM(-1)))) = SI_XM0+( log(SI_FACT)-(log(SI_FACT(-1))))+SI_XM1*( SI_RCI-(SI_RCI(-1)))+SI_XM2*(SI_XM3*SI_RCI(-1)+log(SI_FACT(-1))-log(SI_XM(-1)))+RES_SI_XM ;
|
|
SI_XMA = SI_XM+T08*(WTRADER-TRDER*GREAL^TME)/SI_E96 ;
|
|
SI_XT = SI_XMA+SI_XOIL ;
|
|
SI_ACT = SI_C_MPROP*SI_C+SI_INVEST_MPROP*SI_INVEST+SI_G_MPROP*SI_G+SI_XT_MPROP*SI_XT ;
|
|
( log(SI_IM)-(log(SI_IM(-1)))) = SI_IM0+( log(SI_ACT)-(log(SI_ACT(-1))))+SI_IM1*( log(SI_PIMA/SI_PGNPNO)-(log(SI_PIMA(-1)/SI_PGNPNO(-1))))+SI_IM2*(SI_IM3*log(SI_PIMA(-1)/SI_PGNPNO(-1))+log(SI_ACT(-1))-log(SI_IM(-1)))+RES_SI_IM ;
|
|
SI_IOIL = SI_COIL+SI_XOIL-SI_PRODOIL+RES_SI_IOIL*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
( log(SI_ICOM)-(log(SI_ICOM(-1)))) = SI_IC0+SI_IC2*( log(PCOM/SI_ER/SI_PGNP)-(log(PCOM(-1)/SI_ER(-1)/SI_PGNP(-1))))+SI_IC1*( log(SI_GDP)-(log(SI_GDP(-1))))+SI_IC3*log(PCOM(-1)/SI_ER(-1)/SI_PGNP(-1))+SI_IC4*log(SI_GDP(-1))+SI_IC5*log(SI_ICOM(-1))+RES_SI_ICOM-(SI_IC4+SI_IC5)*log(GREAL^TME) ;
|
|
SI_IT = SI_IM+SI_IOIL+SI_ICOM ;
|
|
SI_A = SI_C+SI_INVEST+SI_G ;
|
|
SI_GDP = SI_A+SI_XT-SI_IT ;
|
|
SI_GNP = SI_GDP+(US_R+(SI_PREM(-3)+SI_PREM(-2)+SI_PREM(-1))/3)*SI_NFA(-1)/SI_ER/SI_PGNP+RES_SI_GNP*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
SI_W = SI_WH+SI_WK+(SI_M+SI_B+SI_NFA/SI_ER)/SI_P ;
|
|
SI_YD = (SI_GDP*SI_PGNP-SI_TAX)/SI_P-SI_DELTA*SI_K(-1) ;
|
|
SI_GE = SI_P*SI_G+SI_R*SI_B(-1)+SI_GEXOG ;
|
|
SI_TAX = SI_TRATE*SI_PGNP*SI_GNP ;
|
|
SI_TAXK = SI_TAXK_ALPHA*SI_TAXK_SHAR*SI_TAX+(1-SI_TAXK_ALPHA)*SI_TRATEK*SI_BETA*SI_GDP*SI_PGNP ;
|
|
SI_TAXH = SI_TAX-SI_TAXK ;
|
|
SI_TRATE = SI_TRATE_EXOG*(1-SI_TRATE_ALPHA)+SI_TRATE_ALPHA*((SI_TRATE(-2)/5+SI_TRATE(-1)/5+SI_TRATE(0)/5+SI_TRATE(1)/5+SI_TRATE(2)/5)+TAU1*(SI_B(1)/(SI_GNP(1)*SI_PGNP(1))-SI_BT_GDP_RAT(1))+RES_SI_TRATE) ;
|
|
SI_BT = SI_BT_GDP_RAT*SI_GNP*SI_PGNP ;
|
|
( SI_B-(SI_B(-1)))+( SI_M-(SI_M(-1))) = SI_R*SI_B(-1)+SI_P*SI_G-SI_TAX ;
|
|
SI_GDEF = ( SI_B+SI_M-(SI_B(-1)+SI_M(-1))) ;
|
|
log(SI_M/SI_P) = SI_M0+(1-SI_M4)*log(SI_A)+SI_M2*SI_RS+SI_M4*log(SI_M(-1)/SI_P(-1))+RES_SI_M ;
|
|
SI_RS = (1-SI_X_RS1)*SI_RS_EXOG+SI_X_RS1*(SI_RS(-1)+SI_RS1*log(SI_MT/SI_M)/SI_M2+SI_RS2*log(GR_ER/SI_ER/SI_PAR)+SI_RS3*log(US_ER/SI_ER/SI_PARUS)+SI_RS4*log(SI_NEER/SI_NEER_PAR)+SI_RS5*(SI_UNR_FE-SI_UNR-SI_UNR_GAP_EXOG)+SI_RS6*100*(log(SI_GDP)-log(SI_GDP_FE)-SI_GDP_GAP_EXOG)+SI_X_RS2*(-SI_RS(-1)+SI_RSCON+100*( log(SI_P(1))-(log(SI_P))))+100*(SI_RTARC1*(( log(SI_P)-(log(SI_P(-1))))-( log(SI_P_TAR)-(log(SI_P_TAR(-1))))-SI_P_GAP_EXOG)+SI_RTARC2*(( log(SI_PGNP)-(log(SI_PGNP(-1))))-( log(SI_PGNP_TAR)-(log(SI_PGNP_TAR(-1))))-SI_PGNP_GAP_EXOG)+SI_RTARC3*(( log(SI_CPI)-(log(SI_CPI(-1))))-( log(SI_CPI_TAR)-(log(SI_CPI_TAR(-1))))-SI_CPI_GAP_EXOG)+SI_RTARC4*(( log(SI_PGNPNO)-(log(SI_PGNPNO(-1))))-( log(SI_PGNPNO_TAR)-(log(SI_PGNPNO_TAR(-1))))-SI_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG)+SI_RTARF1*(( log(SI_P(1))-(log(SI_P)))-( log(SI_P_TAR(1))-(log(SI_P_TAR)))-SI_P_GAP_EXOG(1))+SI_RTARF2*(( log(SI_PGNP(1))-(log(SI_PGNP)))-( log(SI_PGNP_TAR(1))-(log(SI_PGNP_TAR)))-SI_PGNP_GAP_EXOG(1))+SI_RTARF3*(( log(SI_CPI(1))-(log(SI_CPI)))-( log(SI_CPI_TAR(1))-(log(SI_CPI_TAR)))-SI_CPI_GAP_EXOG(1))+SI_RTARF4*(( log(SI_PGNPNO(1))-(log(SI_PGNPNO)))-( log(SI_PGNPNO_TAR(1))-(log(SI_PGNPNO_TAR)))-SI_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG(1)))+SI_RSCON2+RES_SI_RS)+SI_RS1PERM*0 ;
|
|
SI_RL/100 = ((1+SI_RS/100)*(1+SI_RS(1)/100)*(1+SI_RS(2)/100)*(1+SI_RS(3)/100)*(1+SI_RS(4)/100)*(1+SI_RS(5)/100)*(1+SI_RS(6)/100)*(1+SI_RS(7)/100)*(1+SI_RS(8)/100)*(1+SI_RS(9)/100))^0.1*(1+SI_TPREM)-1+RES_SI_RL ;
|
|
SI_R = 0.5*SI_RS(-1)/100+0.5*(SI_RL(-3)/100+SI_RL(-2)/100+SI_RL(-1)/100)/3 ;
|
|
SI_RLR = (1+SI_RL/100)/(SI_P(10)/SI_P)^0.1-1 ;
|
|
SI_RSR = (1+SI_RS/100)/(SI_P(1)/SI_P)-1 ;
|
|
SI_PGNPNO = (SI_GDP*SI_PGNP-SI_PRODOIL*POIL/SI_ER*SI_E96)/(SI_GDP-SI_PRODOIL) ;
|
|
SI_PGNP = (SI_P*SI_A+SI_XT*SI_PXT-SI_IT*SI_PIT)/SI_GDP+RES_SI_P*SI_PGNP ;
|
|
( log(SI_PXM)-(log(SI_PXM(-1)))) = SI_PXM0+SI_PXM1*( log(SI_PGNPNO)-(log(SI_PGNPNO(-1))))+(1-SI_PXM1)*( log(SI_PFM)-(log(SI_PFM(-1))))+SI_PXM2*log(SI_PGNPNO(-1)/SI_PXM(-1))+RES_SI_PXM ;
|
|
SI_PXT = (SI_XMA*SI_PXM+POIL/SI_ER*SI_E96*SI_XOIL)/SI_XT ;
|
|
SI_PIM = (S0108*US_PXM+S0208*JA_PXM*JA_ER/JA_E96+S0308*GR_PXM*GR_ER/GR_E96+S0408*FR_PXM*FR_ER/FR_E96+S0508*IT_PXM*IT_ER/IT_E96+S0608*UK_PXM*UK_ER/UK_E96+S0708*CA_PXM*CA_ER/CA_E96+S0808*SI_PXM*SI_ER/SI_E96+S0908*RW_PXM*RW_ER/RW_E96)/(SI_ER/SI_E96)*(1+RES_SI_PIM) ;
|
|
SI_PIMA = SI_PIM+T08*(WTRADE-TRDE*GREAL^TME*US_INFL^TME)/SI_ER/SI_IM ;
|
|
SI_PIT = (SI_IM*SI_PIMA+SI_IOIL*POIL/SI_ER*SI_E96+SI_ICOM*PCOM/SI_ER*SI_E96)/SI_IT ;
|
|
//log(SI_TFP_FE) = RES_SI_TFP_FE ;
|
|
SI_TFP_FE = exp(RES_SI_TFP_FE);
|
|
SI_GDP_FE = SI_TFP_FE*SI_K^SI_BETA*((1-SI_UNR_FE/100)*SI_LF)^(1-SI_BETA) ;
|
|
SI_LF = SI_POP*SI_PART/(1+SI_DEM3) ;
|
|
SI_CU = 100*SI_GDP/SI_GDP_FE ;
|
|
( SI_NFA-(SI_NFA(-1))) = (SI_XT*SI_PXT-SI_IT*SI_PIT)*SI_ER+(US_R+(SI_PREM(-3)+SI_PREM(-2)+SI_PREM(-1))/3)*SI_NFA(-1)+RES_SI_NFA*US_INFL^TME*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
SI_TB = SI_XT*SI_PXT-SI_IT*SI_PIT ;
|
|
SI_CURBAL = ( SI_NFA-(SI_NFA(-1))) ;
|
|
1+US_RS/100 = (1+SI_RS/100)*SI_ER(1)/SI_ER-SI_PREM+RES_SI_ER ;
|
|
SI_RCI = log(SI_PXM)-log(SI_PFM) ;
|
|
SI_FACT = (US_IM*US_E96*S0801+JA_IM*JA_E96*S0802+GR_IM*GR_E96*S0803+FR_IM*FR_E96*S0804+IT_IM*IT_E96*S0805+UK_IM*UK_E96*S0806+CA_IM*CA_E96*S0807+SI_IM*SI_E96*S0808+(HO_IM+DC_IM)*RW_E96*S0809)/SI_E96 ;
|
|
log(SI_PFM) = W0801*log(US_PXM*US_ER/US_E96)+W0802*log(JA_PXM*JA_ER/JA_E96)+W0803*log(GR_PXM*GR_ER/GR_E96)+W0804*log(FR_PXM*FR_ER/FR_E96)+W0805*log(IT_PXM*IT_ER/IT_E96)+W0806*log(UK_PXM*UK_ER/UK_E96)+W0807*log(CA_PXM*CA_ER/CA_E96)+W0808*log(SI_ER/SI_E96)+W0809*log(RW_PXM*RW_ER/RW_E96) ;
|
|
SI_NEER = exp(-V0801*log(US_ER/US_E96)-V0802*log(JA_ER/JA_E96)-V0803*log(GR_ER/GR_E96)-V0804*log(FR_ER/FR_E96)-V0805*log(IT_ER/IT_E96)-V0806*log(UK_ER/UK_E96)-V0807*log(CA_ER/CA_E96)+log(SI_ER/SI_E96)) ;
|
|
( log(DC_CTOT)-(log(DC_CTOT(-1)))) = DC_C0+DC_C1*( log(DC_GDP+DC_NFA(-1)*US_R/RW_ER/DC_P-DC_DELTA*DC_K(-1)+(DC_DEBT-DC_DEBT(-1))/DC_P/RW_ER)-(log(DC_GDP(-1)+DC_NFA(-2)*US_R(-1)/RW_ER(-1)/DC_P(-1)-DC_DELTA(-1)*DC_K(-2)+(DC_DEBT(-1)-DC_DEBT(-2))/DC_P(-1)/RW_ER(-1))))+DC_C2*log((DC_GDP(-1)+DC_NFA(-2)*US_R(-1)/RW_ER(-1)/DC_P(-1)-DC_DELTA(-1)*DC_K(-2)+( DC_DEBT(-1)-(DC_DEBT(-2)))/DC_P(-1)/RW_ER(-1))/DC_CTOT(-1))+RES_DC_CTOT ;
|
|
DC_INVEST = DC_GDP-(DC_XM+DC_XCOM+DC_XOIL)-DC_CTOT+DC_IT ;
|
|
DC_INVESTC = PCOM/RW_ER/DC_PXM*DC_KCOMSHR*DC_INVEST ;
|
|
DC_KC = DC_KC(-1)*(1-DC_DELTA)+DC_INVESTC ;
|
|
DC_K = DC_KC+DC_KM ;
|
|
DC_INVESTM = DC_INVEST-DC_INVESTC ;
|
|
DC_KM = DC_KM(-1)*(1-DC_DELTA)+DC_INVESTM ;
|
|
DC_XM = RW_XM-HO_XM ;
|
|
DC_XMA = RW_XMA-HO_XM ;
|
|
DC_XCOM = RW_XCOM+HO_ICOM ;
|
|
DC_XOIL = DC_XOILSHR*(RW_XOIL-DC_IOIL)+RES_DC_XOIL*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
DC_XT = DC_XCOM+DC_XOIL+DC_XMA ;
|
|
DC_IOIL = DC_OILSHR*DC_IT ;
|
|
DC_IT = DC_IM+DC_IOIL ;
|
|
DC_A = DC_CTOT+DC_INVEST ;
|
|
DC_GDP = DC_XM+DC_XCOM+DC_XOIL+DC_QNT ;
|
|
log(DC_QNT) = log(DC_GDP_FE)+RES_DC_QNT ;
|
|
DC_NNPCAP = DC_GDP_FE-DC_DELTA*DC_K(-1) ;
|
|
DC_P = (DC_PXM*DC_QNT+DC_PIT*DC_IT)/(DC_CTOT+DC_INVEST) ;
|
|
DC_PGNP = (DC_PXM*(DC_QNT+DC_XMA)+PCOM/RW_ER*DC_XCOM+POIL/RW_ER*DC_XOIL)/DC_GDP+RES_DC_PGNP*DC_PGNP ;
|
|
( RW_RCI-(RW_RCI(-1))) = RW_PXM1*RW_RCI(-1)+RW_PXM2*log(DC_XSM/DC_XM)+RES_DC_PXM ;
|
|
log(RW_PFM) = W0901*log(US_PXM*US_ER/US_E96)+W0902*log(JA_PXM*JA_ER/JA_E96)+W0903*log(GR_PXM*GR_ER/GR_E96)+W0904*log(FR_PXM*FR_ER/FR_E96)+W0905*log(IT_PXM*IT_ER/IT_E96)+W0906*log(UK_PXM*UK_ER/UK_E96)+W0907*log(CA_PXM*CA_ER/CA_E96)+W0908*log(SI_PXM*SI_ER/SI_E96)+W0909*log(RW_ER/RW_E96) ;
|
|
log(DC_XCOM) = RW_XCOM1*log(DC_KC(-1))+(1-RW_XCOM1)*log(1+DC_PROD)*TME+RES_PCOM ;
|
|
DC_PXT = (DC_PXM*DC_XMA+PCOM/RW_ER*DC_XCOM+POIL/RW_ER*DC_XOIL)/DC_XT ;
|
|
DC_PIM = RW_PIM+RES_DC_PIM*DC_INFL^TME ;
|
|
DC_PIMA = RW_PIMA+RES_DC_PIMA*DC_INFL^TME ;
|
|
DC_PIT = (DC_PIMA*DC_IM+POIL/RW_ER*DC_IOIL)/DC_IT ;
|
|
log(DC_XSM) = RW_XSM1*log(DC_KM(-1))+(1-RW_XSM1)*log(1+DC_PROD)*TME+RES_DC_XSM ;
|
|
DC_GDP_FE = exp(RES_DC_GDP_FE+DC_GDP_FE0+log(1+DC_PROD)*TME*(1-DC_BETA)+log(DC_K(-1))*DC_BETA) ;
|
|
( DC_DEBT-(DC_DEBT(-1))) = ((DC_XT(4)*DC_PXT(4)*RW_ER(4)/(DC_XT(-1)*DC_PXT(-1)*RW_ER(-1)))^(1/5)-1)*DC_XT(-1)*DC_PXT(-1)*RW_ER(-1)*DC_DEBT1+DC_DEBT2*(ISR*DC_PXT(-1)*DC_XT(-1)*RW_ER(-1)/US_RRBAR(-1)-DC_DEBT(-1))+DC_DEBT2/10*(ISR*DC_XTNDHIST(-1)/US_RR(-1)-DC_DEBT(-1))+RES_DC_DEBT*US_INFL^TME*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
DC_NFA = DC_NFA(-1)-( DC_DEBT-(DC_DEBT(-1)))+RES_DC_NFA*DC_PIT*RW_ER*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
( DC_NFA-(DC_NFA(-1)))/RW_ER = DC_PXM*DC_XMA+PCOM/RW_ER*DC_XCOM+POIL/RW_ER*DC_XOIL-DC_PIT*DC_IT+US_R*DC_NFA(-1)/RW_ER+RES_DC_IT*DC_PIT*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
HO_XOIL = RW_XOIL-DC_XOIL ;
|
|
HO_XT = HO_XOIL+HO_XM ;
|
|
log(HO_ICOM) = HO_IC2*log(PCOM/RW_ER/RW_PXM)+log(HO_GDP)+RES_HO_ICOM ;
|
|
HO_IM = HO_IT-HO_IOIL-HO_ICOM ;
|
|
HO_IT = HO_A+HO_XT-HO_GDP ;
|
|
HO_GDP = HO_XT+HO_QNT ;
|
|
( log(HO_A)-(log(HO_A(-1)))) = HO_A0+HO_A1*log((HO_QNT+HO_XT*HO_PXT/DC_PGNP+0.035*HO_NFA/RW_ER/DC_PGNP)/HO_A(-1))+RES_HO_IM ;
|
|
HO_PXT = (RW_PXM*HO_XM+POIL/RW_ER*HO_XOIL)/HO_XT*(1+RES_HO_PXT) ;
|
|
HO_PIT = (RW_PIMA*HO_IM+POIL/RW_ER*HO_IOIL+PCOM/RW_ER*HO_ICOM)/HO_IT*(1+RES_HO_PIT) ;
|
|
0 = HO_NFA+JA_NFA+CA_NFA+US_NFA+UK_NFA+IT_NFA+FR_NFA+GR_NFA+SI_NFA+DC_NFA ;
|
|
( log(RW_XM)-(log(RW_XM(-1)))) = RW_XM0+( log(RW_FACT)-(log(RW_FACT(-1))))+RW_XM1*( RW_RCI-(RW_RCI(-1)))+RW_XM2*(RW_XM3*RW_RCI(-1)+log(RW_FACT(-1))-log(RW_XM(-1)))+RES_RW_XM ;
|
|
RW_XMA = RW_XM+T09*(WTRADER-TRDER*GREAL^TME)/RW_E96 ;
|
|
RW_XCOM = US_ICOM+JA_ICOM*JA_E96+GR_ICOM*GR_E96+CA_ICOM*CA_E96+FR_ICOM*FR_E96+IT_ICOM*IT_E96+UK_ICOM*UK_E96+SI_ICOM*SI_E96 ;
|
|
RW_XOIL = -(US_XOIL-US_IOIL+(JA_XOIL-JA_IOIL)*JA_E96+(GR_XOIL-GR_IOIL)*GR_E96+(FR_XOIL-FR_IOIL)*FR_E96+(IT_XOIL-IT_IOIL)*IT_E96+(UK_XOIL-UK_IOIL)*UK_E96+(CA_XOIL-CA_IOIL)*CA_E96+(SI_XOIL-SI_IOIL)*SI_E96)/RW_E96+DC_IOIL+HO_IOIL ;
|
|
RW_IM = DC_IM+HO_IM ;
|
|
RW_PXM = DC_PXM+RES_RW_PXM*RW_INFL^TME ;
|
|
RW_PIM = (S0109*US_PXM+S0209*JA_PXM*JA_ER/JA_E96+S0309*GR_PXM*GR_ER/GR_E96+S0409*FR_PXM*FR_ER/FR_E96+S0509*IT_PXM*IT_ER/IT_E96+S0609*UK_PXM*UK_ER/UK_E96+S0709*CA_PXM*CA_ER/CA_E96+S0809*SI_PXM*SI_ER/SI_E96+S0909*RW_PXM*RW_ER/RW_E96)/(RW_ER/RW_E96)*(1+RES_RW_PIM) ;
|
|
RW_RCI = log(RW_PXM)-log(RW_PFM) ;
|
|
RW_NEER = exp(-(W0902*log(JA_ER/JA_E96)+W0903*log(GR_ER/GR_E96)+W0904*log(FR_ER/FR_E96)+W0905*log(IT_ER/IT_E96)+W0906*log(UK_ER/UK_E96)+W0907*log(CA_ER/CA_E96)+W0908*log(SI_ER/SI_E96)+W0909*log(RW_ER/RW_E96))) ;
|
|
RW_FACT = (US_IM*US_E96*S0901+JA_IM*JA_E96*S0902+GR_IM*GR_E96*S0903+FR_IM*FR_E96*S0904+IT_IM*IT_E96*S0905+UK_IM*UK_E96*S0906+CA_IM*CA_E96*S0907+SI_IM*SI_E96*S0908+(HO_IM+DC_IM)*RW_E96*S0909)/RW_E96 ;
|
|
RW_PIMA = RW_PIM+T09*(WTRADE-TRDE*GREAL^TME*US_INFL^TME)/RW_ER/RW_IM ;
|
|
WTRADE-TRDE*GREAL^TME*US_INFL^TME = US_XMA*US_PXM-US_IM*US_PIM+(JA_XMA*JA_PXM-JA_IM*JA_PIM)*JA_ER+(GR_XMA*GR_PXM-GR_IM*GR_PIM)*GR_ER+(FR_XMA*FR_PXM-FR_IM*FR_PIM)*FR_ER+(IT_XMA*IT_PXM-IT_IM*IT_PIM)*IT_ER+(UK_XMA*UK_PXM-UK_IM*UK_PIM)*UK_ER+(CA_XMA*CA_PXM-CA_IM*CA_PIM)*CA_ER+(SI_XMA*SI_PXM-SI_IM*SI_PIM)*SI_ER+(RW_XMA*RW_PXM-RW_IM*RW_PIM)*RW_ER+RES_WTRADE*GREAL^TME*US_INFL^TME ;
|
|
WTRADER-TRDER*GREAL^TME = US_IM-US_XM+(JA_IM-JA_XM)*JA_E96+(GR_IM-GR_XM)*GR_E96+(FR_IM-FR_XM)*FR_E96+(IT_IM-IT_XM)*IT_E96+(UK_IM-UK_XM)*UK_E96+(CA_IM-CA_XM)*CA_E96+(SI_IM-SI_XM)*SI_E96+(RW_IM-RW_XM)*RW_E96+RES_WTRADER*GREAL^TME ;
|
|
POIL = RPOIL*US_PGNP^US_WT*(JA_PGNP*JA_ER/JA_E96)^JA_WT*(GR_PGNP*GR_ER/GR_E96)^GR_WT*(FR_PGNP*FR_ER/FR_E96)^FR_WT*(IT_PGNP*IT_ER/IT_E96)^IT_WT*(UK_PGNP*UK_ER/UK_E96)^UK_WT*(SI_PGNP*SI_ER/SI_E96)^SI_WT*(CA_PGNP*CA_ER/CA_E96)^CA_WT ;
|
|
end;
|
|
|
|
initval;
|
|
CA_A=1258.37060606;
|
|
CA_ACT=349.585896649;
|
|
CA_ALPHA1=0.078;
|
|
CA_ALPHA2=0.121;
|
|
CA_ALPHA3=0.0911709766895;
|
|
CA_B=809.80955381;
|
|
CA_BCHI1=21.2121212121;
|
|
CA_BCHI2=5.91549295775;
|
|
CA_BETA=0.33;
|
|
CA_BT=809.80955381;
|
|
CA_BT_GDP_RAT=0.419976226386;
|
|
CA_C=905.688246476;
|
|
CA_COIL=24.7443625907;
|
|
CA_CPI=1.57958629296;
|
|
CA_CPI_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
CA_CPI_TAR=1.57958629296;
|
|
CA_CU=100;
|
|
CA_CURBAL=-18.4203759425;
|
|
CA_C_DI=693.928200938;
|
|
CA_C_PI=211.760045538;
|
|
CA_DELTA=0.025734401231;
|
|
CA_DELTA_SS=0.025734401231;
|
|
CA_DEM3=0.50966182372;
|
|
CA_DLGDP=0.0217614806134;
|
|
CA_DLLF=0.00144378024362;
|
|
CA_DLLF_SS=0;
|
|
CA_ER=0.74786657095;
|
|
CA_FACT=575.428338476;
|
|
CA_G=236.225701292;
|
|
CA_GDEF=42.179502634;
|
|
CA_GDP=1267.73017149;
|
|
CA_GDP_FE=1267.73017149;
|
|
CA_GDP_GAP_EXOG=8.881784197e-016;
|
|
CA_GE=423.620066068;
|
|
CA_GEXOG=0;
|
|
CA_GNP=1247.17158457;
|
|
CA_ICOM=7.85769143591;
|
|
CA_IM=511.06232766;
|
|
CA_INFL=1.0270000062;
|
|
CA_INVEST=116.456658295;
|
|
CA_IOIL=10.1521707873;
|
|
CA_IT=529.072189883;
|
|
CA_K=2493.27232399;
|
|
CA_LAMBDA=1;
|
|
CA_LAMBDA1=0.998452603746;
|
|
CA_LAMBDA2=0.999906905629;
|
|
CA_LAMBDA3=0.999345807356;
|
|
CA_LF=17618.8512388;
|
|
CA_M=82.8661220161;
|
|
CA_MGROW=1.04959399462;
|
|
CA_MPC=0.0754183988398;
|
|
CA_MPCINV=13.2593639667;
|
|
CA_MPK=0.167791922513;
|
|
CA_MT=82.8661220161;
|
|
CA_NEER=1.03344502186;
|
|
CA_NEER_PAR=1.03344502186;
|
|
CA_NFA=-389.843893754;
|
|
CA_NLIN=8.61938667297;
|
|
CA_P=1.54744635591;
|
|
CA_PAR=0.741890628438;
|
|
CA_PART=0.802174651456;
|
|
CA_PARUS=1.33713691565;
|
|
CA_PFM=1.35746485675;
|
|
CA_PGNP=1.54608006964;
|
|
CA_PGNPNO=1.55124422251;
|
|
CA_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
CA_PGNPNO_TAR=1.55124422251;
|
|
CA_PGNP_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
CA_PGNP_TAR=1.54608006964;
|
|
CA_PHI=4.61938697849;
|
|
CA_PIM=1.36171164077;
|
|
CA_PIMA=1.36171164077;
|
|
CA_PIT=1.36238623326;
|
|
CA_POP=33158;
|
|
CA_PREM=0;
|
|
CA_PROB=0.021;
|
|
CA_PRODOIL=31.8549893389;
|
|
CA_PXM=1.36287943551;
|
|
CA_PXT=1.36238623326;
|
|
CA_P_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
CA_P_TAR=1.54744635591;
|
|
CA_Q=1.00001954084;
|
|
CA_R=0.0752690064927;
|
|
CA_RCI=0.00398080928473;
|
|
CA_RL=8.04040065237;
|
|
CA_RLR=0.052;
|
|
CA_RS=7.01340064617;
|
|
CA_RSCON=4.34920694771;
|
|
CA_RSCON2=0;
|
|
CA_RSR=0.042;
|
|
CA_RS_EXOG=7.01340064617;
|
|
CA_SIGMA=2.46201848984;
|
|
CA_TAX=381.440563434;
|
|
CA_TAXH=255.565177501;
|
|
CA_TAXK=125.875385933;
|
|
CA_TAXK_ALPHA=0;
|
|
CA_TAXK_SHAR=0.33;
|
|
CA_TB=12.7513430893;
|
|
CA_TFP_FE=0.145718808234;
|
|
CA_TPREM=0.00959692898273;
|
|
CA_TRATE=0.19781931155;
|
|
CA_TRATEK=0.194611305933;
|
|
CA_TRATE_ALPHA=1;
|
|
CA_TRATE_EXOG=0.19781931155;
|
|
CA_UNR=8.61938697848;
|
|
CA_UNR_A=8.61938697848;
|
|
CA_UNR_FE=8.61938697849;
|
|
CA_UNR_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
CA_W=17287.6390819;
|
|
CA_WH=14607.985195;
|
|
CA_WH1=7183.72844482;
|
|
CA_WH2=5276.9364611;
|
|
CA_WH3=6467.8624197;
|
|
CA_WK=2439.64491168;
|
|
CA_XM=522.949752064;
|
|
CA_XMA=522.949752064;
|
|
CA_XOIL=15.4820032481;
|
|
CA_XT=538.431755312;
|
|
CA_X_RS1=1;
|
|
CA_X_RS2=0;
|
|
CA_YD=957.332488133;
|
|
DC_A=11536.0772211;
|
|
DC_BETA=0.393728;
|
|
DC_CTOT=8912.56873925;
|
|
DC_DEBT=4375.0594787;
|
|
DC_DELTA=0.09;
|
|
DC_GDP=11588.0236257;
|
|
DC_GDP_FE=11589.3955919;
|
|
DC_IM=2196.74507138;
|
|
DC_INFL=1.0270000062;
|
|
DC_INVEST=2623.5084819;
|
|
DC_INVESTC=66.9128177073;
|
|
DC_INVESTM=2556.59566419;
|
|
DC_IOIL=723.068926272;
|
|
DC_IT=2919.81399765;
|
|
DC_K=23256.8531664;
|
|
DC_KC=615.953408725;
|
|
DC_KCOMSHR=0.0267156084709;
|
|
DC_KM=22640.8997576;
|
|
DC_NFA=-3138.05919175;
|
|
DC_NNPCAP=9548.73512857;
|
|
DC_OILSHR=0.247642119277;
|
|
DC_P=1.5121496198;
|
|
DC_PGNP=1.60264450124;
|
|
DC_PIM=1.50779607912;
|
|
DC_PIMA=1.50779607912;
|
|
DC_PIT=1.47422355167;
|
|
DC_PROD=0.0219999885862;
|
|
DC_PXM=1.52500171841;
|
|
DC_PXT=1.47428483631;
|
|
DC_QNT=8616.26322349;
|
|
DC_XCOM=309.581102136;
|
|
DC_XM=1815.66020781;
|
|
DC_XMA=1815.66020781;
|
|
DC_XOIL=846.519092264;
|
|
DC_XOILSHR=0.909129264415;
|
|
DC_XSM=1815.66020781;
|
|
DC_XT=2971.76040221;
|
|
DC_XTNDHIST=4381.22129813;
|
|
FR_A=12428.3120854;
|
|
FR_ACT=2554.65167678;
|
|
FR_ALPHA1=0.078;
|
|
FR_ALPHA2=0.121;
|
|
FR_ALPHA3=0.0911709766895;
|
|
FR_B=8164.71454206;
|
|
FR_BCHI1=21.2121212121;
|
|
FR_BCHI2=5.91549295775;
|
|
FR_BETA=0.31;
|
|
FR_BT=8164.71454206;
|
|
FR_BT_GDP_RAT=0.42246434571;
|
|
FR_C=8559.94267961;
|
|
FR_COIL=115.462535562;
|
|
FR_CPI=1.55308652521;
|
|
FR_CPI_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
FR_CPI_TAR=1.55308652521;
|
|
FR_CU=100;
|
|
FR_CURBAL=25.8977049485;
|
|
FR_C_DI=5759.91516804;
|
|
FR_C_PI=2800.02751158;
|
|
FR_DELTA=0.0277164109602;
|
|
FR_DELTA_SS=0.0277164109602;
|
|
FR_DEM3=0.550387627392;
|
|
FR_DLGDP=0.0217614806135;
|
|
FR_DLLF=-0.00310730457315;
|
|
FR_DLLF_SS=0;
|
|
FR_ER=0.164628446102;
|
|
FR_FACT=3378.539512;
|
|
FR_G=2594.67863751;
|
|
FR_GDEF=421.959988213;
|
|
FR_GDP=12373.9712324;
|
|
FR_GDP_FE=12373.9712324;
|
|
FR_GDP_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
FR_GE=4594.93602206;
|
|
FR_GEXOG=0;
|
|
FR_GNP=12505.3276835;
|
|
FR_ICOM=87.5752466318;
|
|
FR_IM=3083.11857811;
|
|
FR_INFL=1.0270000062;
|
|
FR_INVEST=1273.69076828;
|
|
FR_IOIL=124.906863476;
|
|
FR_IT=3295.60068822;
|
|
FR_K=26180.57806;
|
|
FR_LAMBDA=0.752518355846;
|
|
FR_LAMBDA1=0.95979954587;
|
|
FR_LAMBDA2=0.990046224521;
|
|
FR_LAMBDA3=0.97378573951;
|
|
FR_LF=26401.37859;
|
|
FR_M=765.533425034;
|
|
FR_MGROW=1.04959399462;
|
|
FR_MPC=0.0537747019055;
|
|
FR_MPCINV=18.5961049446;
|
|
FR_MPK=0.146518196552;
|
|
FR_MT=765.533425034;
|
|
FR_NEER=0.944128414683;
|
|
FR_NEER_PAR=0.944128414683;
|
|
FR_NFA=548.092078464;
|
|
FR_NLIN=9.10357761383;
|
|
FR_P=1.54524876208;
|
|
FR_PAR=3.37022679523;
|
|
FR_PART=0.664648383729;
|
|
FR_PARUS=6.07428438813;
|
|
FR_PFM=1.58646640137;
|
|
FR_PGNP=1.5454532315;
|
|
FR_PGNPNO=1.54542290009;
|
|
FR_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
FR_PGNPNO_TAR=1.54542290009;
|
|
FR_PGNP_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
FR_PGNP_TAR=1.5454532315;
|
|
FR_PHI=5.10357726511;
|
|
FR_PIM=1.48685752168;
|
|
FR_PIMA=1.48685752168;
|
|
FR_PIT=1.49868897023;
|
|
FR_POP=61585;
|
|
FR_PREM=0;
|
|
FR_PROB=0.021;
|
|
FR_PRODOIL=4.46861579712;
|
|
FR_PXM=1.49797486646;
|
|
FR_PXT=1.49868897023;
|
|
FR_P_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
FR_P_TAR=1.54524876208;
|
|
FR_Q=1.00005197187;
|
|
FR_R=0.0752690064927;
|
|
FR_RCI=-0.0573950470952;
|
|
FR_RL=8.04040065237;
|
|
FR_RLR=0.052;
|
|
FR_RS=7.01340064617;
|
|
FR_RSCON=4.34920694771;
|
|
FR_RSCON2=0;
|
|
FR_RSR=0.042;
|
|
FR_RS_EXOG=7.01340064617;
|
|
FR_SIGMA=2.46201848984;
|
|
FR_TAX=4172.97603385;
|
|
FR_TAXH=2879.35346336;
|
|
FR_TAXK=1293.62257049;
|
|
FR_TAXK_ALPHA=0;
|
|
FR_TAXK_SHAR=0.31;
|
|
FR_TB=-81.4400370019;
|
|
FR_TFP_FE=0.501898498749;
|
|
FR_TPREM=0.00959692898273;
|
|
FR_TRATE=0.215921031988;
|
|
FR_TRATEK=0.218213151465;
|
|
FR_TRATE_ALPHA=1;
|
|
FR_TRATE_EXOG=0.215921031988;
|
|
FR_UNR=9.1035772651;
|
|
FR_UNR_A=9.1035772651;
|
|
FR_UNR_FE=9.10357726511;
|
|
FR_UNR_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
FR_W=168360.064296;
|
|
FR_WH=134808.153404;
|
|
FR_WH1=66294.232454;
|
|
FR_WH2=48697.6164374;
|
|
FR_WH3=59687.9431099;
|
|
FR_WK=25618.2270584;
|
|
FR_XM=3223.65007818;
|
|
FR_XMA=3223.65007818;
|
|
FR_XOIL=17.6097570464;
|
|
FR_XT=3241.25983523;
|
|
FR_X_RS1=1;
|
|
FR_X_RS2=0;
|
|
FR_YD=8965.07961638;
|
|
GREAL=1.02199998859;
|
|
GREAL_SS=1.02199998859;
|
|
GR_A=5547.54704742;
|
|
GR_ACT=1244.30607441;
|
|
GR_ALPHA1=0.078;
|
|
GR_ALPHA2=0.121;
|
|
GR_ALPHA3=0.0911709766895;
|
|
GR_B=2836.64063958;
|
|
GR_BCHI1=21.2121212121;
|
|
GR_BCHI2=5.91549295775;
|
|
GR_BETA=0.31;
|
|
GR_BT=2836.64063958;
|
|
GR_BT_GDP_RAT=0.327321201968;
|
|
GR_C=3764.15898979;
|
|
GR_COIL=47.8884655943;
|
|
GR_CPI=1.57327094041;
|
|
GR_CPI_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
GR_CPI_TAR=1.57327094041;
|
|
GR_CU=100;
|
|
GR_CURBAL=32.7810545775;
|
|
GR_C_DI=2362.84340677;
|
|
GR_C_PI=1401.31558301;
|
|
GR_DELTA=0.027325658516;
|
|
GR_DELTA_SS=0.027325658516;
|
|
GR_DEM3=0.517911346568;
|
|
GR_DLGDP=0.0217614806135;
|
|
GR_DLLF=-0.00533289129889;
|
|
GR_DLLF_SS=0;
|
|
GR_ER=0.55483520031;
|
|
GR_FACT=1752.82324912;
|
|
GR_G=1147.43001864;
|
|
GR_GDEF=171.997485885;
|
|
GR_GDP=5527.29510412;
|
|
GR_GDP_FE=5527.29510412;
|
|
GR_GDP_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
GR_GE=1986.46344565;
|
|
GR_GEXOG=0;
|
|
GR_GNP=5576.35538713;
|
|
GR_ICOM=51.2036719786;
|
|
GR_IM=1545.57558691;
|
|
GR_INFL=1.0270000062;
|
|
GR_INVEST=635.958039002;
|
|
GR_IOIL=41.791347602;
|
|
GR_IT=1638.57060649;
|
|
GR_K=13176.1632314;
|
|
GR_LAMBDA=0.743550360203;
|
|
GR_LAMBDA1=0.946223644928;
|
|
GR_LAMBDA2=0.984891127527;
|
|
GR_LAMBDA3=0.963549035564;
|
|
GR_LF=35257.118086;
|
|
GR_M=803.468000031;
|
|
GR_MGROW=1.04959399462;
|
|
GR_MPC=0.0534792245595;
|
|
GR_MPCINV=18.6988500345;
|
|
GR_MPK=0.130042520891;
|
|
GR_MT=803.468000031;
|
|
GR_NEER=0.925708703761;
|
|
GR_NEER_PAR=0.925708703761;
|
|
GR_NFA=693.76944302;
|
|
GR_NLIN=8.52112674713;
|
|
GR_P=1.55394301397;
|
|
GR_PAR=1;
|
|
GR_PART=0.688368121295;
|
|
GR_PARUS=1.80233698122;
|
|
GR_PFM=1.61278488747;
|
|
GR_PGNP=1.554102787;
|
|
GR_PGNPNO=1.55407854318;
|
|
GR_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
GR_PGNPNO_TAR=1.55407854318;
|
|
GR_PGNP_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
GR_PGNP_TAR=1.554102787;
|
|
GR_PHI=4.52112647046;
|
|
GR_PIM=1.49899942983;
|
|
GR_PIMA=1.49899942983;
|
|
GR_PIT=1.51033669586;
|
|
GR_POP=77745;
|
|
GR_PREM=0;
|
|
GR_PROB=0.021;
|
|
GR_PRODOIL=1.49721926483;
|
|
GR_PXM=1.5099118411;
|
|
GR_PXT=1.51033669586;
|
|
GR_P_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
GR_P_TAR=1.55394301397;
|
|
GR_Q=1.00002519661;
|
|
GR_R=0.0752690064927;
|
|
GR_RCI=-0.0659111627379;
|
|
GR_RL=8.04040065237;
|
|
GR_RLR=0.052;
|
|
GR_RS=7.01340064617;
|
|
GR_RSCON=4.34920694771;
|
|
GR_RSCON2=0;
|
|
GR_RSR=0.042;
|
|
GR_RS_EXOG=7.01340064617;
|
|
GR_SIGMA=2.46201848984;
|
|
GR_TAX=1814.46595976;
|
|
GR_TAXH=1251.98151224;
|
|
GR_TAXK=562.484447526;
|
|
GR_TAXK_ALPHA=0;
|
|
GR_TAXK_SHAR=0.31;
|
|
GR_TB=-30.5872531417;
|
|
GR_TFP_FE=0.22618636237;
|
|
GR_TPREM=0.00959692898273;
|
|
GR_TRATE=0.20937201935;
|
|
GR_TRATEK=0.211230405835;
|
|
GR_TRATE_ALPHA=1;
|
|
GR_TRATE_EXOG=0.20937201935;
|
|
GR_UNR=8.52112647046;
|
|
GR_UNR_A=8.52112647046;
|
|
GR_UNR_FE=8.52112647046;
|
|
GR_UNR_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
GR_W=75273.9837207;
|
|
GR_WH=59233.9926595;
|
|
GR_WH1=29129.3366121;
|
|
GR_WH2=21397.4762042;
|
|
GR_WH3=26226.5678653;
|
|
GR_WK=12892.8261271;
|
|
GR_XM=1613.17493703;
|
|
GR_XMA=1613.17493703;
|
|
GR_XOIL=5.14372615061;
|
|
GR_XT=1618.31866318;
|
|
GR_X_RS1=1;
|
|
GR_X_RS2=0;
|
|
GR_YD=4007.91448996;
|
|
HO_A=429.071306821;
|
|
HO_GDP=417.235790092;
|
|
HO_ICOM=9.8632080102;
|
|
HO_IM=183.858899853;
|
|
HO_IOIL=0.122354153306;
|
|
HO_IT=193.844462017;
|
|
HO_NFA=719.347820924;
|
|
HO_PIT=1.48676053562;
|
|
HO_PXT=1.48676053562;
|
|
HO_QNT=235.226844805;
|
|
HO_XM=97.3963213053;
|
|
HO_XOIL=84.6126239818;
|
|
HO_XT=182.008945287;
|
|
IT_A=2882.89903126;
|
|
IT_ACT=585.122270907;
|
|
IT_ALPHA1=0.078;
|
|
IT_ALPHA2=0.121;
|
|
IT_ALPHA3=0.0911709766895;
|
|
IT_B=4162.90203487;
|
|
IT_BCHI1=21.2121212121;
|
|
IT_BCHI2=5.91549295775;
|
|
IT_BETA=0.33;
|
|
IT_BT=4162.90203487;
|
|
IT_BT_GDP_RAT=0.893355068859;
|
|
IT_C=2085.39820473;
|
|
IT_COIL=32.313444431;
|
|
IT_CPI=1.57442961175;
|
|
IT_CPI_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
IT_CPI_TAR=1.57442961175;
|
|
IT_CU=100;
|
|
IT_CURBAL=22.5845089076;
|
|
IT_C_DI=1291.08423915;
|
|
IT_C_PI=794.313965584;
|
|
IT_DELTA=0.0228725129802;
|
|
IT_DELTA_SS=0.0228725129802;
|
|
IT_DEM3=0.549666865555;
|
|
IT_DLGDP=0.0217614806135;
|
|
IT_DLLF=-0.00734415718949;
|
|
IT_DLLF_SS=0;
|
|
IT_ER=0.56895200396;
|
|
IT_FACT=866.589830511;
|
|
IT_G=505.458099941;
|
|
IT_GDEF=217.885990105;
|
|
IT_GDP=2869.00970783;
|
|
IT_GDP_FE=2869.00970783;
|
|
IT_GDP_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
IT_GE=1110.16464714;
|
|
IT_GEXOG=0;
|
|
IT_GNP=2900.89911415;
|
|
IT_ICOM=27.9359136154;
|
|
IT_IM=746.307923056;
|
|
IT_INFL=1.0270000062;
|
|
IT_INVEST=292.042726587;
|
|
IT_IOIL=40.5418920294;
|
|
IT_IT=814.785728701;
|
|
IT_K=6651.22322272;
|
|
IT_LAMBDA=0.911613047123;
|
|
IT_LAMBDA1=0.96192072127;
|
|
IT_LAMBDA2=0.990790836676;
|
|
IT_LAMBDA3=0.975347367544;
|
|
IT_LF=21512.1047038;
|
|
IT_M=448.378594908;
|
|
IT_MGROW=1.04959399462;
|
|
IT_MPC=0.0560882113769;
|
|
IT_MPCINV=17.8290584679;
|
|
IT_MPK=0.142345726775;
|
|
IT_MT=448.378594908;
|
|
IT_NEER=0.993697877386;
|
|
IT_NEER_PAR=0.993697877386;
|
|
IT_NFA=477.972486476;
|
|
IT_NLIN=9.6763048172;
|
|
IT_P=1.60573655135;
|
|
IT_PAR=0.975188058832;
|
|
IT_PART=0.594839602944;
|
|
IT_PARUS=1.75761750208;
|
|
IT_PFM=1.5102439297;
|
|
IT_PGNP=1.60634734372;
|
|
IT_PGNPNO=1.60637099427;
|
|
IT_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
IT_PGNPNO_TAR=1.60637099427;
|
|
IT_PGNP_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
IT_PGNP_TAR=1.60634734372;
|
|
IT_PHI=5.67630449384;
|
|
IT_PIM=1.46833347211;
|
|
IT_PIMA=1.46833347211;
|
|
IT_PIT=1.4795699128;
|
|
IT_POP=56043;
|
|
IT_PREM=0;
|
|
IT_PROB=0.021;
|
|
IT_PRODOIL=1.56977411787;
|
|
IT_PXM=1.4786793971;
|
|
IT_PXT=1.4795699128;
|
|
IT_P_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
IT_P_TAR=1.60573655135;
|
|
IT_Q=1.00002007572;
|
|
IT_R=0.0752690064927;
|
|
IT_RCI=-0.0211217904449;
|
|
IT_RL=8.04040065237;
|
|
IT_RLR=0.052;
|
|
IT_RS=7.01340064617;
|
|
IT_RSCON=4.34920694771;
|
|
IT_RSCON2=0;
|
|
IT_RSR=0.042;
|
|
IT_RS_EXOG=7.01340064617;
|
|
IT_SIGMA=2.46201848984;
|
|
IT_TAX=892.278657033;
|
|
IT_TAXH=597.826700212;
|
|
IT_TAXK=294.451956821;
|
|
IT_TAXK_ALPHA=0;
|
|
IT_TAXK_SHAR=0.33;
|
|
IT_TB=-20.5502250652;
|
|
IT_TFP_FE=0.210324484098;
|
|
IT_TPREM=0.00959692898273;
|
|
IT_TRATE=0.191482205062;
|
|
IT_TRATEK=0.193610554027;
|
|
IT_TRATE_ALPHA=1;
|
|
IT_TRATE_EXOG=0.191482205062;
|
|
IT_UNR=9.67630449384;
|
|
IT_UNR_A=9.67630449384;
|
|
IT_UNR_FE=9.67630449384;
|
|
IT_UNR_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
IT_W=42237.362887;
|
|
IT_WH=32334.2602264;
|
|
IT_WH1=15900.9296512;
|
|
IT_WH2=11680.3128189;
|
|
IT_WH3=14316.3854423;
|
|
IT_WK=6508.16627893;
|
|
IT_XM=792.45269194;
|
|
IT_XMA=792.45269194;
|
|
IT_XOIL=8.44371332531;
|
|
IT_XT=800.896405265;
|
|
IT_X_RS1=1;
|
|
IT_X_RS2=0;
|
|
IT_YD=2165.56404681;
|
|
JA_A=783.056146905;
|
|
JA_ACT=63.5182611397;
|
|
JA_ALPHA1=0.078;
|
|
JA_ALPHA2=0.121;
|
|
JA_ALPHA3=0.0911709766895;
|
|
JA_B=259.101105567;
|
|
JA_BCHI1=21.2121212121;
|
|
JA_BCHI2=5.91549295775;
|
|
JA_BETA=0.43;
|
|
JA_BT=259.101105567;
|
|
JA_BT_GDP_RAT=0.22710463859;
|
|
JA_C=543.440832231;
|
|
JA_COIL=6.60124352681;
|
|
JA_CPI=1.46659153746;
|
|
JA_CPI_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
JA_CPI_TAR=1.46659153746;
|
|
JA_CU=100;
|
|
JA_CURBAL=151.027332837;
|
|
JA_C_DI=163.365868119;
|
|
JA_C_PI=380.074964113;
|
|
JA_DELTA=0.0353191039248;
|
|
JA_DELTA_SS=0.0353191039248;
|
|
JA_DEM3=0.638269939189;
|
|
JA_DLGDP=0.0217614806135;
|
|
JA_DLLF=-0.0101586915738;
|
|
JA_DLLF_SS=0;
|
|
JA_ER=9.25925280899;
|
|
JA_FACT=99.1282294501;
|
|
JA_G=133.195640388;
|
|
JA_GDEF=18.4718577163;
|
|
JA_GDP=775.773443241;
|
|
JA_GDP_FE=775.773443241;
|
|
JA_GDP_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
JA_GE=210.49870329;
|
|
JA_GEXOG=0;
|
|
JA_GNP=790.355189354;
|
|
JA_ICOM=8.10471508424;
|
|
JA_IM=73.6209617483;
|
|
JA_INFL=1.0270000062;
|
|
JA_INVEST=106.419674286;
|
|
JA_IOIL=6.25649765204;
|
|
JA_IT=87.9821744845;
|
|
JA_K=1897.42378099;
|
|
JA_LAMBDA=1;
|
|
JA_LAMBDA1=0.781339016115;
|
|
JA_LAMBDA2=0.887019030794;
|
|
JA_LAMBDA3=0.82137824171;
|
|
JA_LF=62800.2277851;
|
|
JA_M=131.832334634;
|
|
JA_MGROW=1.04959399462;
|
|
JA_MPC=0.0606503031206;
|
|
JA_MPCINV=16.4879637619;
|
|
JA_MPK=0.175808158375;
|
|
JA_MT=131.832334634;
|
|
JA_NEER=1.06586189299;
|
|
JA_NEER_PAR=1.06586189299;
|
|
JA_NFA=3196.30194739;
|
|
JA_NLIN=2.62369418144;
|
|
JA_P=1.44087235439;
|
|
JA_PAR=0.059922243377;
|
|
JA_PART=0.808249735683;
|
|
JA_PARUS=0.108000075236;
|
|
JA_PFM=1.33811031428;
|
|
JA_PGNP=1.44351384028;
|
|
JA_PGNPNO=1.44351605851;
|
|
JA_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
JA_PGNPNO_TAR=1.44351605851;
|
|
JA_PGNP_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
JA_PGNP_TAR=1.44351384028;
|
|
JA_PHI=0;
|
|
JA_PIM=1.11076764325;
|
|
JA_PIMA=1.11076764325;
|
|
JA_PIT=1.15949407771;
|
|
JA_POP=127292;
|
|
JA_PREM=0;
|
|
JA_PROB=0.021;
|
|
JA_PRODOIL=0.0212147508622;
|
|
JA_PXM=1.15875219126;
|
|
JA_PXT=1.15949407771;
|
|
JA_P_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
JA_P_TAR=1.44087235439;
|
|
JA_Q=1.00001538804;
|
|
JA_R=0.0752690064927;
|
|
JA_RCI=-0.143914676498;
|
|
JA_RL=8.04040065237;
|
|
JA_RLR=0.052;
|
|
JA_RS=7.01340064617;
|
|
JA_RSCON=4.34920694771;
|
|
JA_RSCON2=0;
|
|
JA_RSR=0.042;
|
|
JA_RS_EXOG=7.01340064617;
|
|
JA_SIGMA=2.46201848984;
|
|
JA_TAX=192.026845573;
|
|
JA_TAXH=109.455301977;
|
|
JA_TAXK=82.5715435966;
|
|
JA_TAXK_ALPHA=0;
|
|
JA_TAXK_SHAR=0.43;
|
|
JA_TB=-8.44425176742;
|
|
JA_TFP_FE=0.0564765253676;
|
|
JA_TPREM=0.00959692898273;
|
|
JA_TRATE=0.16831339746;
|
|
JA_TRATEK=0.171477083005;
|
|
JA_TRATE_ALPHA=1;
|
|
JA_TRATE_EXOG=0.16831339746;
|
|
JA_UNR=2.62369409684;
|
|
JA_UNR_A=2.62369409684;
|
|
JA_UNR_FE=2.62369409684;
|
|
JA_UNR_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
JA_W=10917.9054016;
|
|
JA_WH=8550.40523148;
|
|
JA_WH1=4204.80911339;
|
|
JA_WH2=3088.71788415;
|
|
JA_WH3=3785.79550374;
|
|
JA_WK=1856.60530237;
|
|
JA_XM=80.4054846447;
|
|
JA_XMA=80.4054846447;
|
|
JA_XOIL=0.29398617645;
|
|
JA_XT=80.6994708212;
|
|
JA_X_RS1=1;
|
|
JA_X_RS2=0;
|
|
JA_YD=578.351766744;
|
|
PCOM=1.45590188668;
|
|
POIL=1.37222734974;
|
|
RES_CA_COIL=-0.0109079988152;
|
|
RES_CA_CPI=1.45716771982e-016;
|
|
RES_CA_C_DI=6.37971312724;
|
|
RES_CA_ER=2.22044604925e-016;
|
|
RES_CA_GNP=1.07016091968;
|
|
RES_CA_ICOM=0.33019785665;
|
|
RES_CA_IM=0.00235525414693;
|
|
RES_CA_IOIL=0.526458158973;
|
|
RES_CA_K=1.71000399694e-008;
|
|
RES_CA_M=-0.550565119176;
|
|
RES_CA_MPC=0.0725757835938;
|
|
RES_CA_NFA=-1.35976046915e-015;
|
|
RES_CA_P=-3.22528117171e-016;
|
|
RES_CA_PGNP=1.35421873758e-009;
|
|
RES_CA_PIM=0.0236040516254;
|
|
RES_CA_PXM=0.00836005025292;
|
|
RES_CA_RL=4.02455846427e-016;
|
|
RES_CA_RS=-1.41372510865e-025;
|
|
RES_CA_TFP_FE=-1.92607648534;
|
|
RES_CA_TRATE=-2.51618067138e-017;
|
|
RES_CA_UNR_A=5.67903297341e-014;
|
|
RES_CA_WH1=-2.98068141344e-007;
|
|
RES_CA_WH2=-4.05773425957e-007;
|
|
RES_CA_WH3=-3.31058461917e-007;
|
|
RES_CA_WK=0.0702500610208;
|
|
RES_CA_XM=0.00527196299678;
|
|
RES_DC_CTOT=0.422387255093;
|
|
RES_DC_DEBT=32.1888401163;
|
|
RES_DC_GDP_FE=0.931068718221;
|
|
RES_DC_IT=-3.51105481552e-014;
|
|
RES_DC_NFA=11.720990544;
|
|
RES_DC_PGNP=0.0565622498116;
|
|
RES_DC_PIM=0.000335349354246;
|
|
RES_DC_PIMA=0.000335349354246;
|
|
RES_DC_PXM=0.0667624996576;
|
|
RES_DC_QNT=-0.296439016955;
|
|
RES_DC_XOIL=194.336977011;
|
|
RES_DC_XSM=2.77221679942;
|
|
RES_FR_COIL=-0.0167592386654;
|
|
RES_FR_CPI=-1.38777878078e-016;
|
|
RES_FR_C_DI=176.647308119;
|
|
RES_FR_ER=2.22044604925e-016;
|
|
RES_FR_GNP=-6.83765577133;
|
|
RES_FR_ICOM=-0.146270714655;
|
|
RES_FR_IM=0.0188358301561;
|
|
RES_FR_IOIL=-1.09289296157;
|
|
RES_FR_K=4.02123033244e-008;
|
|
RES_FR_M=-0.750716274859;
|
|
RES_FR_MPC=0.0192892161783;
|
|
RES_FR_NFA=-2.9084127087e-015;
|
|
RES_FR_P=1.42177072593e-016;
|
|
RES_FR_PGNP=-9.91177872979e-010;
|
|
RES_FR_PIM=-0.0589379247028;
|
|
RES_FR_PXM=0.00111629219566;
|
|
RES_FR_RL=1.80411241502e-016;
|
|
RES_FR_RS=-1.0504879353e-025;
|
|
RES_FR_TFP_FE=-0.689357373461;
|
|
RES_FR_TRATE=-1.02390673979e-017;
|
|
RES_FR_UNR_A=-1.22338250303e-014;
|
|
RES_FR_WH1=-1.05051439415e-006;
|
|
RES_FR_WH2=-1.43011199597e-006;
|
|
RES_FR_WH3=-1.16678581671e-006;
|
|
RES_FR_WK=0.0473543323484;
|
|
RES_FR_XM=0.00458843620038;
|
|
RES_GR_COIL=-0.0599808385464;
|
|
RES_GR_CPI=-2.01227923213e-016;
|
|
RES_GR_C_DI=56.1113704318;
|
|
RES_GR_ER=2.22044604925e-016;
|
|
RES_GR_GNP=-2.55379408086;
|
|
RES_GR_ICOM=0.0122241574252;
|
|
RES_GR_IM=0.0111511469269;
|
|
RES_GR_IOIL=-2.88051845816;
|
|
RES_GR_K=2.00019476797e-008;
|
|
RES_GR_M=-0.582712538577;
|
|
RES_GR_MPC=0.0185606904822;
|
|
RES_GR_NFA=-2.24957186463e-015;
|
|
RES_GR_P=1.41759807568e-016;
|
|
RES_GR_PGNP=-5.67002899152e-010;
|
|
RES_GR_PIM=-0.0621848991172;
|
|
RES_GR_PXM=0.0020074176271;
|
|
RES_GR_RL=1.80411241502e-016;
|
|
RES_GR_RS=2.83313491133e-025;
|
|
RES_GR_TFP_FE=-1.48639600726;
|
|
RES_GR_TRATE=-2.93586865643e-017;
|
|
RES_GR_UNR_A=-1.00673945799e-014;
|
|
RES_GR_WH1=-5.67239752245e-007;
|
|
RES_GR_WH2=-7.7220871869e-007;
|
|
RES_GR_WH3=-6.30022112363e-007;
|
|
RES_GR_WK=0.0355104120004;
|
|
RES_GR_XM=-0.0095654330276;
|
|
RES_HO_ICOM=-3.79494263097;
|
|
RES_HO_IM=0.021778181942;
|
|
RES_HO_PIT=-0.0112362204049;
|
|
RES_HO_PXT=0.0213732250159;
|
|
RES_IT_COIL=-0.027413074423;
|
|
RES_IT_CPI=-4.85722573274e-017;
|
|
RES_IT_C_DI=23.2453468402;
|
|
RES_IT_ER=4.4408920985e-016;
|
|
RES_IT_GNP=-1.6599777279;
|
|
RES_IT_ICOM=0.172465314805;
|
|
RES_IT_IM=0.0787416293833;
|
|
RES_IT_IOIL=0.400434794101;
|
|
RES_IT_K=2.04877417533e-008;
|
|
RES_IT_M=-0.599367064131;
|
|
RES_IT_MPC=0.024983903402;
|
|
RES_IT_NFA=5.20512673071e-017;
|
|
RES_IT_P=-4.03009782146e-017;
|
|
RES_IT_PGNP=-1.86335704269e-009;
|
|
RES_IT_PIM=-0.0394139247307;
|
|
RES_IT_PXM=-0.00346055065303;
|
|
RES_IT_RL=1.80411241502e-016;
|
|
RES_IT_RS=-9.56044004053e-026;
|
|
RES_IT_TFP_FE=-1.55910377843;
|
|
RES_IT_TRATE=5.12930108144e-017;
|
|
RES_IT_UNR_A=-2.49703172526e-015;
|
|
RES_IT_WH1=-2.80708934474e-007;
|
|
RES_IT_WH2=-3.82141564777e-007;
|
|
RES_IT_WH3=-3.11777929959e-007;
|
|
RES_IT_WK=0.0524795286111;
|
|
RES_IT_XM=0.00382575709651;
|
|
RES_JA_COIL=-0.098310587964;
|
|
RES_JA_CPI=-1.97758476261e-016;
|
|
RES_JA_C_DI=9.19437254995;
|
|
RES_JA_ER=2.22044604925e-016;
|
|
RES_JA_GNP=-0.759041216713;
|
|
RES_JA_ICOM=-0.386447875848;
|
|
RES_JA_IM=0.0322950153553;
|
|
RES_JA_IOIL=-0.182557313543;
|
|
RES_JA_K=5.87450491463e-009;
|
|
RES_JA_M=-0.427124000253;
|
|
RES_JA_MPC=0.0362152885381;
|
|
RES_JA_NFA=-8.09336819432e-016;
|
|
RES_JA_P=1.45181614284e-016;
|
|
RES_JA_PGNP=-2.93727895115e-009;
|
|
RES_JA_PIM=-0.221200305623;
|
|
RES_JA_PXM=-0.000788854755803;
|
|
RES_JA_RL=-2.63677968348e-016;
|
|
RES_JA_RS=-8.13538550497e-026;
|
|
RES_JA_TFP_FE=-2.87393020739;
|
|
RES_JA_TRATE=-5.14825168766e-017;
|
|
RES_JA_UNR_A=3.81337021603e-015;
|
|
RES_JA_WH1=-5.41207974696e-007;
|
|
RES_JA_WH2=-7.36770500828e-007;
|
|
RES_JA_WH3=-6.01109125171e-007;
|
|
RES_JA_WK=0.071815561682;
|
|
RES_JA_XM=-0.191635175395;
|
|
RES_PCOM=2.96142508204;
|
|
RES_RW_PIM=0.179918124325;
|
|
RES_RW_PXM=0.000701519557326;
|
|
RES_RW_XM=0.00757522099654;
|
|
RES_SI_COIL=-0.0561108572625;
|
|
RES_SI_CPI=4.57966997658e-016;
|
|
RES_SI_C_DI=55.784039885;
|
|
RES_SI_ER=2.22044604925e-016;
|
|
RES_SI_GNP=-1.95141273136;
|
|
RES_SI_ICOM=-0.0689147298982;
|
|
RES_SI_IM=-0.00718032410169;
|
|
RES_SI_IOIL=-4.22515210093;
|
|
RES_SI_K=9.31431864482e-009;
|
|
RES_SI_M=-0.478584774363;
|
|
RES_SI_MPC=0.0226014551092;
|
|
RES_SI_NFA=2.63739383605e-015;
|
|
RES_SI_P=-1.38492650462e-016;
|
|
RES_SI_PGNP=9.74854052457e-010;
|
|
RES_SI_PIM=-0.0771624065748;
|
|
RES_SI_PXM=0.00971162329178;
|
|
RES_SI_RL=1.80411241502e-016;
|
|
RES_SI_RS=2.15290279144e-025;
|
|
RES_SI_TFP_FE=-2.00372760211;
|
|
RES_SI_TRATE=3.43291264805e-017;
|
|
RES_SI_UNR_A=-6.51192381672e-017;
|
|
RES_SI_WH1=-2.63320724475e-007;
|
|
RES_SI_WH2=-3.58470220651e-007;
|
|
RES_SI_WH3=-2.92465184612e-007;
|
|
RES_SI_WK=0.0389567669552;
|
|
RES_SI_XM=0.00581089017958;
|
|
RES_UK_COIL=-0.0806931765756;
|
|
RES_UK_CPI=9.02056207508e-017;
|
|
RES_UK_C_DI=-8.62271098965;
|
|
RES_UK_ER=2.22044604925e-016;
|
|
RES_UK_GNP=-0.9114566915;
|
|
RES_UK_ICOM=0.0371063111646;
|
|
RES_UK_IM=-0.000837070829134;
|
|
RES_UK_IOIL=-2.41279576534;
|
|
RES_UK_K=3.50187874409e-008;
|
|
RES_UK_M=-0.529762438429;
|
|
RES_UK_MPC=0.0444559224021;
|
|
RES_UK_NFA=-5.57685810744e-015;
|
|
RES_UK_P=-1.79670262479e-016;
|
|
RES_UK_PGNP=6.81994717598e-010;
|
|
RES_UK_PIM=0.0587561474127;
|
|
RES_UK_PXM=-0.00424513169106;
|
|
RES_UK_RL=1.80411241502e-016;
|
|
RES_UK_RS=-6.88768018652e-026;
|
|
RES_UK_TFP_FE=-2.47600195449;
|
|
RES_UK_TRATE=-9.43272633968e-018;
|
|
RES_UK_UNR_A=2.95170244024e-014;
|
|
RES_UK_WH1=-5.27106184031e-007;
|
|
RES_UK_WH2=-7.17573106004e-007;
|
|
RES_UK_WH3=-5.85446541819e-007;
|
|
RES_UK_WK=0.0308395179277;
|
|
RES_UK_XM=0.0108137902997;
|
|
RES_US_COIL=-0.0349556083001;
|
|
RES_US_CPI=-7.97972798949e-017;
|
|
RES_US_C_DI=-93.8135046341;
|
|
RES_US_ER=0;
|
|
RES_US_GNP=7.18062984233;
|
|
RES_US_ICOM=-0.094132087951;
|
|
RES_US_IM=-0.0175610612422;
|
|
RES_US_IOIL=2.19014971638;
|
|
RES_US_K=-5.62109347086e-008;
|
|
RES_US_M=-0.613986121855;
|
|
RES_US_MPC=0.0876209985143;
|
|
RES_US_NFA=-1.53995030743e-014;
|
|
RES_US_P=-4.20291712167e-017;
|
|
RES_US_PGNP=7.35968716581e-010;
|
|
RES_US_PIM=-0.0442566864737;
|
|
RES_US_PXM=-0.00187707613244;
|
|
RES_US_RL=1.80411241502e-016;
|
|
RES_US_RS=-2.40604412419e-025;
|
|
RES_US_TFP_FE=-1.8369647179;
|
|
RES_US_TRATE=-8.38593190783e-017;
|
|
RES_US_UNR_A=-4.47527360645e-015;
|
|
RES_US_WH1=-1.46913990487e-006;
|
|
RES_US_WH2=-2.000005534e-006;
|
|
RES_US_WH3=-1.63174499393e-006;
|
|
RES_US_WK=0.100484836793;
|
|
RES_US_XM=-0.00368724829424;
|
|
RES_WTRADE=-4.55499885022e-014;
|
|
RES_WTRADER=-4.486587131;
|
|
RPOIL=1.37209440777;
|
|
RW_ER=1;
|
|
RW_FACT=2225.86319145;
|
|
RW_IM=2380.60397123;
|
|
RW_INFL=1.0270000062;
|
|
RW_NEER=1.07755126355;
|
|
RW_PFM=1.29321620968;
|
|
RW_PIM=1.5063051999;
|
|
RW_PIMA=1.5063051999;
|
|
RW_PXM=1.52812049863;
|
|
RW_RCI=0.166906246657;
|
|
RW_XCOM=299.717894126;
|
|
RW_XM=1913.05652912;
|
|
RW_XMA=1913.05652912;
|
|
RW_XOIL=931.131716246;
|
|
SI_A=5117.76377531;
|
|
SI_ACT=1401.01452561;
|
|
SI_ALPHA1=0.078;
|
|
SI_ALPHA2=0.121;
|
|
SI_ALPHA3=0.0911709766895;
|
|
SI_B=2898.55852703;
|
|
SI_BCHI1=21.2121212121;
|
|
SI_BCHI2=5.91549295775;
|
|
SI_BETA=0.31;
|
|
SI_BT=2898.55852703;
|
|
SI_BT_GDP_RAT=0.351078837384;
|
|
SI_C=3549.9723216;
|
|
SI_COIL=62.0827158115;
|
|
SI_CPI=1.60754202926;
|
|
SI_CPI_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
SI_CPI_TAR=1.60754202926;
|
|
SI_CU=100;
|
|
SI_CURBAL=39.9640389591;
|
|
SI_C_DI=2222.98337367;
|
|
SI_C_PI=1326.98894793;
|
|
SI_DELTA=0.0276156380992;
|
|
SI_DELTA_SS=0.0276156380992;
|
|
SI_DEM3=0.522070543645;
|
|
SI_DLGDP=0.0217614806135;
|
|
SI_DLLF=-0.00284483828482;
|
|
SI_DLLF_SS=0;
|
|
SI_ER=0.85627815444;
|
|
SI_FACT=1607.96515637;
|
|
SI_G=988.882067352;
|
|
SI_GDEF=163.945930821;
|
|
SI_GDP=5101.35487684;
|
|
SI_GDP_FE=5101.35487684;
|
|
SI_GDP_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
SI_GE=1796.19136277;
|
|
SI_GEXOG=0;
|
|
SI_GNP=5138.84296627;
|
|
SI_ICOM=60.7931978894;
|
|
SI_IM=1701.62918621;
|
|
SI_INFL=1.0270000062;
|
|
SI_INVEST=578.909386351;
|
|
SI_IOIL=84.7602832535;
|
|
SI_IT=1847.18266735;
|
|
SI_K=11924.3496871;
|
|
SI_LAMBDA=0.87110388279;
|
|
SI_LAMBDA1=0.945988405976;
|
|
SI_LAMBDA2=0.98479623869;
|
|
SI_LAMBDA3=0.963368318818;
|
|
SI_LF=69787.1739395;
|
|
SI_M=571.14916167;
|
|
SI_MGROW=1.04959399462;
|
|
SI_MPC=0.0551206864881;
|
|
SI_MPCINV=18.142009175;
|
|
SI_MPK=0.132621069771;
|
|
SI_MT=571.14916167;
|
|
SI_NEER=0.882725108922;
|
|
SI_NEER_PAR=0.882725108922;
|
|
SI_NFA=845.78819708;
|
|
SI_NLIN=8.92256450653;
|
|
SI_P=1.60618595958;
|
|
SI_PAR=0.647961410008;
|
|
SI_PART=0.684748986472;
|
|
SI_PARUS=1.16784481166;
|
|
SI_PFM=1.57681314987;
|
|
SI_PGNP=1.60661595608;
|
|
SI_PGNPNO=1.60664357831;
|
|
SI_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
SI_PGNPNO_TAR=1.60664357831;
|
|
SI_PGNP_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
SI_PGNP_TAR=1.60661595608;
|
|
SI_PHI=4.92256465201;
|
|
SI_PIM=1.45788972496;
|
|
SI_PIMA=1.45788972496;
|
|
SI_PIT=1.47250454613;
|
|
SI_POP=155124;
|
|
SI_PREM=0;
|
|
SI_PROB=0.021;
|
|
SI_PRODOIL=34.410559154;
|
|
SI_PXM=1.46722854834;
|
|
SI_PXT=1.47250454613;
|
|
SI_P_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
SI_P_TAR=1.60618595958;
|
|
SI_Q=1.00001195585;
|
|
SI_R=0.0752690064927;
|
|
SI_RCI=-0.0720305363805;
|
|
SI_RL=8.04040065237;
|
|
SI_RLR=0.052;
|
|
SI_RS=7.01340064617;
|
|
SI_RSCON=4.34920694771;
|
|
SI_RSCON2=0;
|
|
SI_RSR=0.042;
|
|
SI_RS_EXOG=7.01340064617;
|
|
SI_SIGMA=2.46201848984;
|
|
SI_TAX=1632.24543195;
|
|
SI_TAXH=1126.24934805;
|
|
SI_TAXK=505.996083905;
|
|
SI_TAXK_ALPHA=0;
|
|
SI_TAXK_SHAR=0.31;
|
|
SI_TB=-24.1621775859;
|
|
SI_TFP_FE=0.134831746225;
|
|
SI_TPREM=0.00959692898273;
|
|
SI_TRATE=0.197700623683;
|
|
SI_TRATEK=0.199153457065;
|
|
SI_TRATE_ALPHA=1;
|
|
SI_TRATE_EXOG=0.197700623683;
|
|
SI_UNR=8.92256465201;
|
|
SI_UNR_A=8.92256465201;
|
|
SI_UNR_FE=8.92256465201;
|
|
SI_UNR_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
SI_W=70393.2746601;
|
|
SI_WH=55950.3040857;
|
|
SI_WH1=27514.5261713;
|
|
SI_WH2=20211.2882576;
|
|
SI_WH3=24772.6749676;
|
|
SI_WK=11667.7893945;
|
|
SI_XM=1759.39366752;
|
|
SI_XMA=1759.39366752;
|
|
SI_XOIL=71.3801013646;
|
|
SI_XT=1830.77376889;
|
|
SI_X_RS1=1;
|
|
SI_X_RS2=0;
|
|
SI_YD=3764.28653477;
|
|
TME=56;
|
|
UK_A=1155.31070583;
|
|
UK_ACT=319.829953313;
|
|
UK_ALPHA1=0.078;
|
|
UK_ALPHA2=0.121;
|
|
UK_ALPHA3=0.0911709766895;
|
|
UK_B=582.359396161;
|
|
UK_BCHI1=21.2121212121;
|
|
UK_BCHI2=5.91549295775;
|
|
UK_BETA=0.31;
|
|
UK_BT=582.359396161;
|
|
UK_BT_GDP_RAT=0.303201156422;
|
|
UK_C=787.282698991;
|
|
UK_COIL=13.2084645927;
|
|
UK_CPI=1.65344105214;
|
|
UK_CPI_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
UK_CPI_TAR=1.65344105214;
|
|
UK_CU=100;
|
|
UK_CURBAL=36.6047768844;
|
|
UK_C_DI=415.845695136;
|
|
UK_C_PI=371.437003854;
|
|
UK_DELTA=0.0223378842507;
|
|
UK_DELTA_SS=0.0223378842507;
|
|
UK_DEM3=0.554484700166;
|
|
UK_DLGDP=0.0217614806135;
|
|
UK_DLLF=-0.002770417422;
|
|
UK_DLLF_SS=0;
|
|
UK_ER=1.63522100449;
|
|
UK_FACT=374.750092695;
|
|
UK_G=237.429954234;
|
|
UK_GDEF=31.0530122626;
|
|
UK_GDP=1146.69203206;
|
|
UK_GDP_FE=1146.69203206;
|
|
UK_GDP_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
UK_GE=432.934454507;
|
|
UK_GEXOG=0;
|
|
UK_GNP=1164.20179276;
|
|
UK_ICOM=11.251733102;
|
|
UK_IM=387.212098441;
|
|
UK_INFL=1.0270000062;
|
|
UK_INVEST=130.598052604;
|
|
UK_IOIL=6.64851932886;
|
|
UK_IT=405.112350872;
|
|
UK_K=3010.13959234;
|
|
UK_LAMBDA=1;
|
|
UK_LAMBDA1=0.943609109433;
|
|
UK_LAMBDA2=0.983826472125;
|
|
UK_LAMBDA3=0.961534659433;
|
|
UK_LF=28680.2495054;
|
|
UK_M=74.8382229877;
|
|
UK_MGROW=1.04959399462;
|
|
UK_MPC=0.0639968766536;
|
|
UK_MPCINV=15.625762573;
|
|
UK_MPK=0.118092373803;
|
|
UK_MT=74.8382229877;
|
|
UK_NEER=1.18232335241;
|
|
UK_NEER_PAR=1.18232335241;
|
|
UK_NFA=774.693675913;
|
|
UK_NLIN=6.24795866013;
|
|
UK_P=1.64752593728;
|
|
UK_PAR=0.339302882477;
|
|
UK_PART=0.743682280824;
|
|
UK_PARUS=0.611538132923;
|
|
UK_PFM=1.26531412293;
|
|
UK_PGNP=1.64980254779;
|
|
UK_PGNPNO=1.65412657552;
|
|
UK_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
UK_PGNPNO_TAR=1.65412657552;
|
|
UK_PGNP_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
UK_PGNP_TAR=1.64980254779;
|
|
UK_PHI=2.24795877554;
|
|
UK_PIM=1.34388143146;
|
|
UK_PIMA=1.34388143146;
|
|
UK_PIT=1.34462885652;
|
|
UK_POP=59949;
|
|
UK_PREM=0;
|
|
UK_PROB=0.021;
|
|
UK_PRODOIL=14.4321078551;
|
|
UK_PXM=1.3460644352;
|
|
UK_PXT=1.34462885652;
|
|
UK_P_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
UK_P_TAR=1.64752593728;
|
|
UK_Q=1.00003342951;
|
|
UK_R=0.0752690064927;
|
|
UK_RCI=0.0618646918253;
|
|
UK_RL=8.04040065237;
|
|
UK_RLR=0.052;
|
|
UK_RS=7.01340064617;
|
|
UK_RSCON=4.34920694771;
|
|
UK_RSCON2=0;
|
|
UK_RSR=0.042;
|
|
UK_RS_EXOG=7.01340064617;
|
|
UK_SIGMA=2.46201848984;
|
|
UK_TAX=401.881442244;
|
|
UK_TAXH=277.298195149;
|
|
UK_TAXK=124.583247096;
|
|
UK_TAXK_ALPHA=0;
|
|
UK_TAXK_SHAR=0.31;
|
|
UK_TB=-11.5889174594;
|
|
UK_TFP_FE=0.0840787050036;
|
|
UK_TPREM=0.00959692898273;
|
|
UK_TRATE=0.209236630913;
|
|
UK_TRATEK=0.212431632914;
|
|
UK_TRATE_ALPHA=1;
|
|
UK_TRATE_EXOG=0.209236630913;
|
|
UK_UNR=6.24795877554;
|
|
UK_UNR_A=6.24795877554;
|
|
UK_UNR_FE=6.24795877554;
|
|
UK_UNR_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
UK_W=15847.0975967;
|
|
UK_WH=12215.2101092;
|
|
UK_WH1=6007.04006404;
|
|
UK_WH2=4412.57892481;
|
|
UK_WH3=5408.43226219;
|
|
UK_WK=2945.43253236;
|
|
UK_XM=380.460005673;
|
|
UK_XMA=380.460005673;
|
|
UK_XOIL=16.0336714261;
|
|
UK_XT=396.493677099;
|
|
UK_X_RS1=1;
|
|
UK_X_RS2=0;
|
|
UK_YD=838.553773434;
|
|
US_A=11697.616118;
|
|
US_ACT=1151.05134833;
|
|
US_ALPHA1=0.078;
|
|
US_ALPHA2=0.121;
|
|
US_ALPHA3=0.0911709766895;
|
|
US_B=5527.77752688;
|
|
US_BCHI1=21.2121212121;
|
|
US_BCHI2=5.91549295775;
|
|
US_BETA=0.29;
|
|
US_BT=5527.77752688;
|
|
US_BT_GDP_RAT=0.288490863185;
|
|
US_C=8506.90300877;
|
|
US_COIL=188.736419346;
|
|
US_CPI=1.68517625161;
|
|
US_CPI_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
US_CPI_TAR=1.68517625161;
|
|
US_CU=100;
|
|
US_CURBAL=-176.153365647;
|
|
US_C_DI=2451.73706272;
|
|
US_C_PI=6055.16594605;
|
|
US_DELTA=0.0683597148338;
|
|
US_DELTA_SS=0.0683597148338;
|
|
US_DEM3=0.528818264493;
|
|
US_DLGDP=0.0217614806134;
|
|
US_DLLF=0.00299350231857;
|
|
US_DLLF_SS=0;
|
|
US_ER=1;
|
|
US_FACT=1386.00982925;
|
|
US_G=1982.34035843;
|
|
US_GDEF=318.199955986;
|
|
US_GDP=11765.3659437;
|
|
US_GDP_FE=11765.3659437;
|
|
US_GDP_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
US_GE=3666.60708292;
|
|
US_GEXOG=0;
|
|
US_GNP=11627.4207057;
|
|
US_ICOM=71.8306349189;
|
|
US_IM=1673.26974695;
|
|
US_INFL=1.0270000062;
|
|
US_INVEST=1208.37275081;
|
|
US_IOIL=101.663326142;
|
|
US_IT=1846.76370801;
|
|
US_K=13666.6579593;
|
|
US_LAMBDA=0.690045535564;
|
|
US_LAMBDA1=0.80851637383;
|
|
US_LAMBDA2=0.90660357866;
|
|
US_LAMBDA3=0.846316827896;
|
|
US_LF=156293.686043;
|
|
US_M=1206.52095982;
|
|
US_MGROW=1.04959399462;
|
|
US_MPC=0.0815299669132;
|
|
US_MPCINV=12.265428748;
|
|
US_MPK=0.249655485185;
|
|
US_MT=1206.52095982;
|
|
US_NEER=1.04811209443;
|
|
US_NEER_PAR=1.04811209443;
|
|
US_NFA=-3728.06256376;
|
|
US_NLIN=5.86949110031;
|
|
US_P=1.64966441717;
|
|
US_PAR=0.55483520031;
|
|
US_PART=0.779438419387;
|
|
US_PARUS=1;
|
|
US_PFM=1.31987785254;
|
|
US_PGNP=1.64791613615;
|
|
US_PGNPNO=1.65037395412;
|
|
US_PGNPNO_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
US_PGNPNO_TAR=1.65037395412;
|
|
US_PGNP_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
US_PGNP_TAR=1.64791613615;
|
|
US_PHI=1.86949133476;
|
|
US_PIM=1.33975449819;
|
|
US_PIMA=1.33975449819;
|
|
US_PIT=1.34605971131;
|
|
US_POP=306560;
|
|
US_PREM=0;
|
|
US_PROB=0.021;
|
|
US_PRODOIL=103.96361969;
|
|
US_PXM=1.34592946401;
|
|
US_PXT=1.34605971131;
|
|
US_P_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
US_P_TAR=1.64966441717;
|
|
US_Q=1.00004024078;
|
|
US_R=0.0752690064927;
|
|
US_RCI=0.0195456293399;
|
|
US_RL=8.04040065237;
|
|
US_RLR=0.052;
|
|
US_RR=0.0721880064741;
|
|
US_RRBAR=0.0721880064741;
|
|
US_RS=7.01340064617;
|
|
US_RSCON=4.34920694771;
|
|
US_RSCON2=0;
|
|
US_RSR=0.042;
|
|
US_RS_EXOG=7.01340064617;
|
|
US_SIGMA=2.46201848984;
|
|
US_TAX=3348.40712693;
|
|
US_TAXH=2377.36906012;
|
|
US_TAXK=971.038066811;
|
|
US_TAXK_ALPHA=0;
|
|
US_TAXK_SHAR=0.29;
|
|
US_TB=91.1953108477;
|
|
US_TFP_FE=0.159300214125;
|
|
US_TPREM=0.00959692898273;
|
|
US_TRATE=0.174751038306;
|
|
US_TRATEK=0.172702137006;
|
|
US_TRATE_ALPHA=1;
|
|
US_TRATE_EXOG=0.174751038306;
|
|
US_UNR=5.86949133476;
|
|
US_UNR_A=5.86949133476;
|
|
US_UNR_FE=5.86949133476;
|
|
US_UNR_GAP_EXOG=0;
|
|
US_W=156126.123679;
|
|
US_WH=140930.833736;
|
|
US_WH1=69305.1660137;
|
|
US_WH2=50909.3516395;
|
|
US_WH3=62398.834003;
|
|
US_WK=13372.9581449;
|
|
US_XM=1905.03139485;
|
|
US_XMA=1905.03139485;
|
|
US_XOIL=9.48213887322;
|
|
US_XT=1914.51353373;
|
|
US_X_RS1=1;
|
|
US_X_RS2=0;
|
|
US_YD=8809.01195636;
|
|
WTRADE=15038.166239;
|
|
WTRADER=3382.59414741;
|
|
end;
|
|
|
|
|
|
//steady(solve_algo=1);
|
|
//check;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
options_.slowc = 1.0;
|
|
options_.dynatol = 1e-4;
|
|
options_.maxit_ = 5;
|
|
|
|
|
|
simul(periods=80,datafile=mark3,markowitz=3);
|
|
|
|
|
|
//simul(periods=10,datafile=mark3, method=lu);
|
|
//simul(periods=10,datafile=mark3 /*, method=BICGSTAB*/);
|
|
|
|
oo_.endo_simul_ss=oo_.endo_simul;
|
|
|
|
shocks;
|
|
var US_G;
|
|
periods 1;
|
|
values 4330.714737;
|
|
end;
|
|
/*simul(periods=10);
|
|
|
|
oo_.endo_simul_sim=oo_.endo_simul;
|
|
|
|
oo_.endo_simul=(oo_.endo_simul_sim./oo_.endo_simul_ss-1)*100;
|
|
|
|
rplot WTRADER;
|
|
rplot US_GDP;
|
|
*/ |