dynare/tests/model-inversion/bk-9/msm1.mod

105 lines
2.8 KiB
Modula-2

// --+ options: stochastic +--
/* © 2022 Dynare Team
*
* This file is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
* it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
* the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
* (at your option) any later version.
*
* It is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but
* WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
* MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the
* GNU General Public License for more details.
*
* You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
* along with the file. If not, see <http://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
*/
@#define fake_backward = 1
var y1 y2 y3 ;
@#if fake_backward
var z ;
@#endif
varexo e1 e2 e3 ;
parameters a b c ;
a = .1;
b = .2;
c = .3;
model;
@#if fake_backward
z = a*z(-1) ;
@#endif
y1 = y2*y3+exp(e1) ;
y2 = 1 + y1*exp(e2) ;
y3 = e3 ;
end;
@#if fake_backward
histval;
z(0) = .0 ;
end;
@#endif
shocks;
var e1 = .01;
var e2 = .01;
var e3 = .02;
end;
TrueData = simul_backward_model([], 1000);
// Set the periods where some of the endogenous variables will be constrained.
subsample = 2Y:101Y;
// Load the generated data
SimulatedData = copy(TrueData);
// Set the constrained paths for the endogenous variables.
constrainedpaths = SimulatedData{'y1','y2','y3'}(subsample);
// Set the instruments (innovations used to control the paths for the endogenous variables).
exogenousvariables = dseries([NaN(100, 3)], '2Y', M_.exo_names);
/* REMARK
**
** Here we will control y1, y2, and y3 with e1, e2 and e3.
**
*/
// Invert the model by calling the model_inversion routine.
options_.dynatol.f = 1e-9;
[endogenousvariables, exogenousvariables] = model_inversion(constrainedpaths, exogenousvariables, SimulatedData, M_, options_, oo_);
// Check that all the constraints are satisfied.
if max(abs(constrainedpaths(subsample).y1.data-endogenousvariables(subsample).y1.data))>1e-12
error('Constraint on y1 path is not satisfied!')
end
if max(abs(constrainedpaths(subsample).y2.data-endogenousvariables(subsample).y2.data))>1e-12
error('Constraint on y2 path is not satisfied!')
end
if max(abs(constrainedpaths(subsample).y3.data-endogenousvariables(subsample).y3.data))>1e-12
error('Constraint on y3 path is not satisfied!')
end
// Check consistency of the results.
if max(abs(exogenousvariables(subsample).e1.data-SimulatedData(subsample).e1.data))>1e-8
error('Model inversion is not consistent with true innovations (e1)')
end
if max(abs(exogenousvariables(subsample).e2.data-SimulatedData(subsample).e2.data))>1e-8
error('Model inversion is not consistent with true innovations (e2)')
end
if max(abs(exogenousvariables(subsample).e3.data-SimulatedData(subsample).e3.data))>1e-8
error('Model inversion is not consistent with true innovations (e3)')
end