dynare/matlab/conditional_variance_decomp...

83 lines
4.2 KiB
Matlab

function oo_ = conditional_variance_decomposition_posterior_analysis(NumberOfSimulations, dname, fname, ...
Steps, exonames, exo, vartan, var, mh_conf_sig, oo_)
% Copyright (C) 2009 Dynare Team
%
% This file is part of Dynare.
%
% Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
% it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
% the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
% (at your option) any later version.
%
% Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
% but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
% MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the
% GNU General Public License for more details.
%
% You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
% along with Dynare. If not, see <http://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
indx = check_name(vartan,var);
if isempty(indx)
disp(['posterior_analysis:: ' var ' is not a stationary endogenous variable!'])
return
end
endogenous_variable_index = sum(1:indx);
exogenous_variable_index = check_name(exonames,exo);
if isempty(exogenous_variable_index)
disp(['posterior_analysis:: ' exo ' is not a declared exogenous variable!'])
return
end
tmp = dir([ dname '/metropolis/' fname '_PosteriorConditionalVarianceDecomposition*.mat']);
NumberOfFiles = length(tmp);
i1 = 1; tmp = zeros(NumberOfSimulations,length(Steps));
for file = 1:NumberOfFiles
load([dname '/metropolis/' fname '_PosteriorConditionalVarianceDecomposition' int2str(file) '.mat']);
% (endovar,time,exovar,simul)
i2 = i1 + size(Conditional_decomposition_array,4) - 1;
tmp(i1:i2,:) = transpose(dynare_squeeze(Conditional_decomposition_array(endogenous_variable_index,:,exogenous_variable_index,:)));
i1 = i2+1;
end
name = [ var '.' exo ];
if isfield(oo_,'PosteriorTheoreticalMoments')
if isfield(oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments,'dsge')
if isfield(oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge,'ConditionalVarianceDecomposition')
if isfield(oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.VarianceDecomposition.mean,name)
if sum(Steps-oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.VarianceDecomposition.mean.(name)(1,:)) == 0
% Nothing (new) to do here...
return
end
end
end
end
end
posterior_mean = NaN(2,length(Steps));
posterior_mean(1,:) = Steps;
posterior_median = NaN(1,length(Steps));
posterior_variance = NaN(1,length(Steps));
posterior_deciles = NaN(9,length(Steps));
posterior_density = NaN(2^9,2,length(Steps));
posterior_hpdinf = NaN(1,length(Steps));
posterior_hpdsup = NaN(1,length(Steps));
for i=1:length(Steps)
if ~isconst(tmp(:,i))
[post_mean, post_median, post_var, hpd_interval, post_deciles, density] = ...
posterior_moments(tmp(:,i),1,mh_conf_sig);
posterior_mean(2,i) = post_mean;
posterior_median(i) = post_median;
posterior_variance(i) = post_var;
posterior_deciles(:,i) = post_deciles;
posterior_hpdinf(i) = hpd_interval(1);
posterior_hpdinf(i) = hpd_interval(2);
posterior_density(:,:,i) = density;
end
end
eval(['oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecomposition.mean.' name ' = posterior_mean;']);
eval(['oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecomposition.median.' name ' = posterior_median;']);
eval(['oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecomposition.variance.' name ' = posterior_variance;']);
eval(['oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecomposition.hpdinf.' name ' = posterior_hpdinf;']);
eval(['oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecomposition.hpdsup.' name ' = posterior_hpdsup;']);
eval(['oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecomposition.deciles.' name ' = posterior_deciles;']);
eval(['oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecomposition.density.' name ' = posterior_density;']);