dynare/tests/deterministic_simulations/simul_ZLB_purely_forward.mod

98 lines
1.6 KiB
Modula-2

var c, h, pi, w, R, r_e, y, gdp, gdp_hat, k, u, g, c_hat, w_hat, y_hat, h_hat;
varexo d, z, eta;
parameters alpha, beta, sigma, gamma, theta, ni, tau_w, phi_p, phi_y;
beta = 0.997;
sigma = 2;
gamma = 25;
theta = 7.67;
tau_w = 0.2;
ni = 0.28;
phi_p = 1.5;
phi_y = 0.125;
alpha = 0.064;
model;
// log-deviation of _ from its steady state value
gdp_hat=log(gdp)-log(steady_state(gdp));
c_hat=log(c)-log(steady_state(c));
w_hat=log(w)-log(steady_state(w));
y_hat=log(y)-log(steady_state(y));
h_hat=log(h)-log(steady_state(h));
// real interest rate
r_e=1/(beta*d(+1))-1;
//FOC labor
c^sigma*h^ni=w*(1-tau_w);
//Euler equation 1
1=beta*d(+1)*(1+R)/(1+pi(+1))*(c/c(+1))^sigma;
//Euler equation 2
0=1/(1-alpha)*(steady_state(w)/z)*h^alpha-1-gamma/theta*pi*(1+pi)+beta*d(+1)*(c/c(+1))^sigma * y(+1)/y*gamma/theta*pi(+1)*(1+pi(+1));
// Taylor rule with ZLB
R=max(0,r_e+phi_p*pi+phi_y*gdp_hat);
//output
y=z*h^(1-alpha);
//aggregate resource constraint
c=(1-k-eta)*y;
// resource cost of price adjustment
k=(gamma/2)*(pi^2);
//government purchases
g=eta*y;
// GDP
gdp=(1-k)*y;
//utility
u=(c^(1-sigma))/(1-sigma)-(h^(1+ni))/(1+ni);
end;
initval;
z=1;
d=1;
pi=0;
k=(gamma/2)*(pi^2);
r_e=1/(beta*d)-1;
eta=0.2;
h=1;
y=z*h;
g=eta*y;
c=(1-k-eta)*y;
w=z;
gdp=(1-k)*y;
R=r_e;
end;
steady;
check;
shocks;
//5% preference shock
var d;
periods 1:10;
values 1.05;
//technology shock
var z;
periods 1:10;
values 1.05;
end;
perfect_foresight_setup(periods=40);
perfect_foresight_solver(maxit=1000);
rplot gdp_hat;
rplot R;
if oo_.deterministic_simulation.status~=1
error('This model has no solution');
end