dynare/tests/stochastic-backward-models/solow_cd_with_steadystate.mod

68 lines
2.4 KiB
Modula-2

var Efficiency // $A$
EfficiencyGrowth // $X$
Population // $L$
PopulationGrowth // $N$
Output // $Y$
PhysicalCapitalStock ; // $K$
varexo e_x // $\varepsilon_x$
e_n ; // $\varepsilon_n$
parameters alpha // $\alpha$
delta // $\delta$
s // $s$
rho_x // $\rho_x$
rho_n // $\rho_n$
EfficiencyGrowth_ss // $X^{\star}$
PopulationGrowth_ss ; // $N^{\star}$
alpha = .33;
delta = .02;
s = .20;
rho_x = .90;
rho_n = .95;
EfficiencyGrowth_ss = 1.00; // Do not change this calibration
PopulationGrowth_ss = 1.00; // Do not change this calibration
model;
Efficiency = EfficiencyGrowth*Efficiency(-1);
EfficiencyGrowth/EfficiencyGrowth_ss = (EfficiencyGrowth(-1)/EfficiencyGrowth_ss)^(rho_x)*exp(e_x);
Population = PopulationGrowth*Population(-1);
PopulationGrowth/PopulationGrowth_ss = (PopulationGrowth(-1)/PopulationGrowth_ss)^(rho_n)*exp(e_n);
Output = PhysicalCapitalStock(-1)^alpha*(Efficiency*Population)^(1-alpha);
PhysicalCapitalStock = (1-delta)*PhysicalCapitalStock(-1) + s*Output;
end;
histval;
Efficiency(0) = .5;
EfficiencyGrowth(0) = 1.02;
Population(0) = 1;
PopulationGrowth(0) = 1.02;
PhysicalCapitalStock(0) = 1;
end;
LongRunEfficiency = M_.endo_histval(1)*M_.endo_histval(2)^(rho_x/(1-rho_x));
LongRunPopulation = M_.endo_histval(3)*M_.endo_histval(4)^(rho_n/(1-rho_n));
LongRunEfficiencyGrowth = EfficiencyGrowth_ss;
LongRunPopulationGrowth = PopulationGrowth_ss;
LongRunIntensiveCapitalStock = LongRunEfficiencyGrowth*LongRunPopulationGrowth*(s/(LongRunEfficiencyGrowth*LongRunPopulationGrowth-1+delta))^(1/(1-alpha));
precision = 1e-6;
T = 5*floor(log(precision)/log(max(rho_x, rho_n)));
oo_ = simul_backward_model(M_.endo_histval, T, options_, M_, oo_, zeros(T+1,2));
if abs(oo_.endo_simul(1,end)-LongRunEfficiency)>1e-10
error('Wrong long run level!')
end
if abs(oo_.endo_simul(3,end)-LongRunPopulation)>1e-10
error('Wrong long run level!')
end
IntensiveCapitalStock = oo_.endo_simul(6,1:end)./(oo_.endo_simul(1,1:end).*oo_.endo_simul(3,1:end));
if abs(IntensiveCapitalStock-LongRunIntensiveCapitalStock)>1e-6
error('Wrong long run level!')
end