dynare/tests/var-expectations/8/example1.mod

63 lines
1.7 KiB
Modula-2

// --+ options: stochastic,json=compute +--
var foo z x y;
varexo e_x e_y e_z;
parameters a b c d e f beta ;
a = .9;
b = -.2;
c = .3;
f = .8;
d = .5;
e = .4;
beta = 1/(1+.02);
// Define a VAR model from a subset of equations in the model block.
var_model(model_name = toto, eqtags = [ 'X' 'Y' 'Z' ]);
// Define a VAR_EXPECTATION_MODEL
var_expectation_model(model_name = varexp, expression = diff(log(x)), auxiliary_model_name = toto, horizon = 1, discount = beta) ;
model;
[ name = 'X' ]
diff(log(x)) = a*diff(log(x(-1))) + b*diff(log(x(-2))) + c*diff(z(-2)) + e_x;
[ name = 'Z' ]
diff(z) = f*diff(z(-1)) + e_z;
[ name = 'Y' ]
log(y) = d*log(y(-2)) + e*diff(z(-1)) + e_y;
foo = .5*foo(-1) + var_expectation(varexp);
end;
// Initialize the VAR expectation model, will build the companion matrix of the VAR.
var_expectation.initialize('varexp')
// Update VAR_EXPECTATION reduced form parameters
var_expectation.update('varexp');
// Print expanded VAR_EXPECTATION expression in a file (to be included in substitution.mod).
var_expectation.print('varexp');
shocks;
var e_x = .01;
var e_y = .01;
var e_z = .01;
end;
verbatim;
initialconditions =zeros(3,4);
initialconditions(3,1) = .1; % foo(-1)
initialconditions(:,2) = .2; % y(-1)
initialconditions(3,3) = .3; % z(-1)
initialconditions(2,3) = .4; % z(-2)
initialconditions(3,4) = .5; % x(-1)
initialconditions(2,4) = .6; % x(-2)
initialconditions(1,4) = .7; % x(-3)
initialconditions = ...
dseries(initialconditions, dates('2000Q1'), {'foo', 'y','z', 'x'});
set_dynare_seed('default');
ts = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 100);
foo = ts.foo.data;
save('example1.mat', 'foo');
end;