dynare/matlab/optimize_prior.m

74 lines
2.8 KiB
Matlab

function optimize_prior(options_, M_, oo_, bayestopt_, estim_params_)
% optimize_prior(options_, M_, oo_, bayestopt_, estim_params_)
% This routine computes the mode of the prior density using an optimization algorithm.
%
% INPUTS
% options_ [structure] describing the options
% M_ [structure] describing the model
% oo_ [structure] storing the results
% bayestopt_ [structure] describing the priors
% estim_params_ [structure] characterizing parameters to be estimated
% Copyright © 2015-2023 Dynare Team
%
% This file is part of Dynare.
%
% Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
% it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
% the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
% (at your option) any later version.
%
% Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
% but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
% MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the
% GNU General Public License for more details.
%
% You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
% along with Dynare. If not, see <https://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
% Initialize to the prior mean
oo_.dr = set_state_space(oo_.dr,M_);
xparam1 = bayestopt_.p1;
% Pertubation of the initial condition.
look_for_admissible_initial_condition = 1; scale = 1.0; iter = 0;
while look_for_admissible_initial_condition
xinit = xparam1+scale*randn(size(xparam1));
if all(xinit(:)>bayestopt_.p3) && all(xinit(:)<bayestopt_.p4)
M_ = set_all_parameters(xinit,estim_params_,M_);
[oo_.dr,INFO,M_.params] = resol(0,M_,options_,oo_.dr,oo_.steady_state, oo_.exo_steady_state, oo_.exo_det_steady_state);
if ~INFO(1)
look_for_admissible_initial_condition = 0;
end
else
if iter == 2000
scale = scale/1.1;
iter = 0;
else
iter = iter+1;
end
end
end
% Maximization of the prior density
[xparams, lpd, hessian_mat] = ...
maximize_prior_density(xinit, bayestopt_.pshape, ...
bayestopt_.p6, ...
bayestopt_.p7, ...
bayestopt_.p3, ...
bayestopt_.p4,options_,M_,bayestopt_,estim_params_,oo_);
% Display the results.
skipline(2)
disp('------------------')
disp('PRIOR OPTIMIZATION')
disp('------------------')
skipline()
for i = 1:length(xparams)
disp(['deep parameter ' int2str(i) ': ' get_the_name(i,0,M_,estim_params_,options_) '.'])
disp([' Initial condition ....... ' num2str(xinit(i)) '.'])
disp([' Prior mode .............. ' num2str(bayestopt_.p5(i)) '.'])
disp([' Optimized prior mode .... ' num2str(xparams(i)) '.'])
skipline()
end
skipline()