dynare/matlab/backward/simul_backward_linear_model.m

81 lines
3.6 KiB
Matlab

function DynareOutput = simul_backward_linear_model(varargin)
% Simulates a stochastic linear backward looking model.
%
% INPUTS
% - initialconditions [double] n*1 vector, initial conditions for the endogenous variables.
% - samplesize [integer] scalar, number of periods for the simulation.
% - DynareOptions [struct] Dynare's options_ global structure.
% - DynareModel [struct] Dynare's M_ global structure.
% - DynareOutput [struct] Dynare's oo_ global structure.
% - innovations [double] T*q matrix, innovations to be used for the simulation.
%
% OUTPUTS
% - DynareOutput [struct] Dynare's oo_ global structure.
%
% REMARKS
% [1] The innovations used for the simulation are saved in DynareOutput.exo_simul, and the resulting paths for the endogenous
% variables are saved in DynareOutput.endo_simul.
% [2] The last input argument is not mandatory. If absent we use random draws and rescale them with the informations provided
% through the shocks block.
% [3] If the first input argument is empty, the endogenous variables are initialized with 0, or if available with the informations
% provided thrtough the histval block.
% Copyright (C) 2012-2017 Dynare Team
%
% This file is part of Dynare.
%
% Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
% it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
% the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
% (at your option) any later version.
%
% Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
% but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
% MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the
% GNU General Public License for more details.
%
% You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
% along with Dynare. If not, see <http://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
[initialconditions, samplesize, innovations, DynareOptions, DynareModel, DynareOutput, nx, ny1, iy1, jdx, model_dynamic, y] = ...
simul_backward_model_init(varargin{:});
% initialization of the returned simulations.
DynareOutput.endo_simul = NaN(DynareModel.endo_nbr,samplesize);
if isempty(initialconditions)
if isfield(DynareModel,'endo_histval') && ~isempty(DynareModel.endo_histval)
DynareOutput.endo_simul = [DynareModel.endo_histval, DynareOutput.endo_simul];
else
DynareOutput.endo_simul = [zeros(DynareModel.endo_nbr, DynareModel.max_lag_orig), DynareOutput.endo_simul];
end
else
if ~isequal(size(initialconditions, 2), DynareModel.max_lag_orig)
error(['simul_backward_linear_model:: First argument should have %s columns!'], DynareModel.max_lag_orig)
end
DynareOutput.endo_simul = [initialconditions, DynareOutput.endo_simul];
end
Y = DynareOutput.endo_simul;
if ~DynareModel.max_exo_lag_orig
if DynareModel.max_endo_lag_orig>1
DynareOutput.exo_simul = [ zeros(DynareModel.max_endo_lag_orig-1, DynareModel.exo_nbr); DynareOutput.exo_simul];
end
end
% Get coefficients
[cst, jacob] = model_dynamic(zeros(DynareModel.endo_nbr+ny1,1), ...
zeros(DynareModel.max_lag_orig+1,DynareModel.exo_nbr), ...
DynareModel.params, ...
DynareOutput.steady_state, DynareModel.max_lag_orig+1);
A0inv = inv(jacob(:,jdx));
A1 = jacob(:,nonzeros(DynareModel.lead_lag_incidence(1,:)));
B = jacob(:,end-nx+1:end);
% Simulations
for it = DynareModel.max_lag_orig+(1:samplesize)
Y(:,it) = -A0inv*(cst + A1*Y(iy1,it-1) + B*DynareOutput.exo_simul(it,:)');
end
DynareOutput.endo_simul = Y;