dynare/matlab/+occbin/irf.m

124 lines
4.8 KiB
Matlab

function irfs = irf(M_,oo_,options_)
% irfs = irf(M_,oo_,options_)
% Calls a minimizer
%
% INPUTS
% - M_ [structure] Matlab's structure describing the model
% - oo_ [structure] Matlab's structure containing the results
% - options_ [structure] Matlab's structure describing the current options
%
% OUTPUTS
% - irfs [structure] IRF results
%
% SPECIAL REQUIREMENTS
% none.
%
%
% Copyright © 2022-2023 Dynare Team
%
% This file is part of Dynare.
%
% Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
% it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
% the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
% (at your option) any later version.
%
% Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
% but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
% MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the
% GNU General Public License for more details.
%
% You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
% along with Dynare. If not, see <https://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
shocknames = options_.occbin.irf.exo_names;
shocksigns = options_.occbin.irf.shocksigns; %'pos','neg'
shocksize = options_.occbin.irf.shocksize;
t_0 = options_.occbin.irf.t0;
%% set simulation options based on IRF options
options_.occbin.simul.init_regime = options_.occbin.irf.init_regime;
options_.occbin.simul.check_ahead_periods = options_.occbin.irf.check_ahead_periods;
options_.occbin.simul.maxit = options_.occbin.irf.maxit;
options_.occbin.simul.periods = options_.irf;
%% Run initial conditions + other shocks
if t_0 == 0
shocks_base = zeros(options_.occbin.simul.periods+1,M_.exo_nbr);
options_.occbin.simul.endo_init = [];
else
if ~isfield(oo_.occbin,'smoother')
error('occbin.irfs: smoother must be run before requesting GIRFs based on smoothed results')
end
% GIRF conditional on smoothed states in t_0 and shocks in t_0+1
shocks_base= [oo_.occbin.smoother.etahat(:,t_0+1)'; zeros(options_.occbin.simul.periods,M_.exo_nbr)];
options_.occbin.simul.SHOCKS=shocks_base;
options_.occbin.simul.endo_init = oo_.occbin.smoother.alphahat(oo_.dr.inv_order_var,t_0);
end
options_.occbin.simul.SHOCKS=shocks_base;
[~, out_base] = occbin.solver(M_,options_,oo_.dr,oo_.steady_state,oo_.exo_steady_state,oo_.exo_det_steady_state);
if out_base.error_flag
error('occbin.irfs: could not compute the solution')
end
irfs.linear = struct();
irfs.piecewise = struct();
% Get indices of shocks of interest
exo_index =zeros(size(shocknames,1),1);
for i=1:length(shocknames)
exo_index(i) = strmatch(shocknames{i},M_.exo_names,'exact');
end
% cs=get_lower_cholesky_covariance(M_.Sigma_e,options_.add_tiny_number_to_cholesky);
% irf_shocks_indx = getIrfShocksIndx(M_, options_);
% Set shock size
if isempty(shocksize)
shocksize = sqrt(diag(M_.Sigma_e(exo_index,exo_index)));
if any(shocksize < 1.e-9)
shocksize(shocksize < 1.e-9) = 0.01;
end
end
if numel(shocksize)==1
shocksize=repmat(shocksize,[length(shocknames),1]);
end
% Run IRFs
for sign_iter=1:length(shocksigns)
for IRF_counter = 1:length(exo_index)
jexo = exo_index(IRF_counter);
if ~options_.noprint && options_.debug
fprintf('occbin.irf: Producing GIRFs for shock %s. Simulation %d out of %d. \n',M_.exo_names{jexo},IRF_counter,size(exo_index,1));
end
shocks1=shocks_base;
if ismember('pos',shocksigns{sign_iter})
shocks1(1,jexo)=shocks_base(1,jexo)+shocksize(IRF_counter);
elseif ismember('neg',shocksigns{sign_iter})
shocks1(1,jexo)=shocks_base(1,jexo)-shocksize(IRF_counter);
end
options_.occbin.simul.SHOCKS=shocks1;
if t_0 == 0
options_.occbin.simul.endo_init = [];
else
options_.occbin.simul.endo_init = oo_.occbin.smoother.alphahat(oo_.dr.inv_order_var,t_0);
end
[~, out_sim] = occbin.solver(M_,options_,oo_.dr,oo_.steady_state,oo_.exo_steady_state,oo_.exo_det_steady_state);
if out_sim.error_flag
warning('occbin.irfs: simulation failed')
skip
end
% Substract inital conditions + other shocks
zdiff.linear.(shocksigns{sign_iter}) = out_sim.linear-out_base.linear;
zdiff.piecewise.(shocksigns{sign_iter}) = out_sim.piecewise-out_base.piecewise;
for j_endo=1:M_.endo_nbr
if ismember('pos',shocksigns)
irfs.piecewise.([M_.endo_names{j_endo} '_' M_.exo_names{jexo} '_' shocksigns{sign_iter}]) = zdiff.piecewise.(shocksigns{sign_iter})(:,j_endo);
irfs.linear.([M_.endo_names{j_endo} '_' M_.exo_names{jexo} '_' shocksigns{sign_iter}]) = zdiff.linear.(shocksigns{sign_iter})(:,j_endo);
end
end
end
end