106 lines
3.6 KiB
Matlab
106 lines
3.6 KiB
Matlab
function pdraw = prior_draw_gsa(init,rdraw)
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% Draws from the prior distributions
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% Adapted by M. Ratto from prior_draw (of DYNARE, copyright M. Juillard),
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% for use with Sensitivity Toolbox for DYNARE
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%
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%
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% INPUTS
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% o init [integer] scalar equal to 1 (first call) or 0.
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% o rdraw
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%
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% OUTPUTS
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% o pdraw [double] draw from the joint prior density.
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%
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% ALGORITHM
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% ...
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%
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% SPECIAL REQUIREMENTS
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% MATLAB Statistics Toolbox
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%
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%
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% Part of the Sensitivity Analysis Toolbox for DYNARE
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%
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% Written by Marco Ratto, 2006
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% Joint Research Centre, The European Commission,
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% (http://eemc.jrc.ec.europa.eu/),
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% marco.ratto@jrc.it
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%
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% Disclaimer: This software is not subject to copyright protection and is in the public domain.
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% It is an experimental system. The Joint Research Centre of European Commission
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% assumes no responsibility whatsoever for its use by other parties
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% and makes no guarantees, expressed or implied, about its quality, reliability, or any other
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% characteristic. We would appreciate acknowledgement if the software is used.
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% Reference:
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% M. Ratto, Global Sensitivity Analysis for Macroeconomic models, MIMEO, 2006.
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%
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% global M_ options_ estim_params_ bayestopt_
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global bayestopt_
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persistent npar pshape p6 p7 p3 p4 lbcum ubcum
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if init
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pshape = bayestopt_.pshape;
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p6 = bayestopt_.p6;
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p7 = bayestopt_.p7;
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p3 = bayestopt_.p3;
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p4 = bayestopt_.p4;
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npar = length(p6);
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pdraw = zeros(npar,1);
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lbcum = zeros(npar,1);
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ubcum = ones(npar,1);
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% set bounds for cumulative probabilities
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for i = 1:npar
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switch pshape(i)
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case 5% Uniform prior.
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p4(i) = min(p4(i),bayestopt_.ub(i));
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p3(i) = max(p3(i),bayestopt_.lb(i));
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case 3% Gaussian prior.
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lbcum(i) = 0.5 * erfc(-(bayestopt_.lb(i)-p6(i))/p7(i) ./ sqrt(2));;
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ubcum(i) = 0.5 * erfc(-(bayestopt_.ub(i)-p6(i))/p7(i) ./ sqrt(2));;
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case 2% Gamma prior.
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lbcum(i) = gamcdf(bayestopt_.lb(i)-p3(i),p6(i),p7(i));
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ubcum(i) = gamcdf(bayestopt_.ub(i)-p3(i),p6(i),p7(i));
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case 1% Beta distribution (TODO: generalized beta distribution)
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lbcum(i) = betainc((bayestopt_.lb(i)-p3(i))./(p4(i)-p3(i)),p6(i),p7(i));
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ubcum(i) = betainc((bayestopt_.ub(i)-p3(i))./(p4(i)-p3(i)),p6(i),p7(i));
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case 4% INV-GAMMA1 distribution
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% TO BE CHECKED
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lbcum(i) = gamcdf(1/(bayestopt_.ub(i)-p3(i))^2,p7(i)/2,2/p6(i));
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ubcum(i) = gamcdf(1/(bayestopt_.lb(i)-p3(i))^2,p7(i)/2,2/p6(i));
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case 6% INV-GAMMA2 distribution
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% TO BE CHECKED
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lbcum(i) = gamcdf(1/(bayestopt_.ub(i)-p3(i)),p7(i)/2,2/p6(i));
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ubcum(i) = gamcdf(1/(bayestopt_.lb(i)-p3(i)),p7(i)/2,2/p6(i));
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otherwise
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% Nothing to do here.
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end
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end
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return
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end
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for i = 1:npar
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rdraw(:,i) = rdraw(:,i).*(ubcum(i)-lbcum(i))+lbcum(i);
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switch pshape(i)
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case 5% Uniform prior.
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pdraw(:,i) = rdraw(:,i)*(p4(i)-p3(i)) + p3(i);
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case 3% Gaussian prior.
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pdraw(:,i) = norminv(rdraw(:,i),p6(i),p7(i));
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case 2% Gamma prior.
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pdraw(:,i) = gaminv(rdraw(:,i),p6(i),p7(i))+p3(i);
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case 1% Beta distribution (TODO: generalized beta distribution)
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pdraw(:,i) = betainv(rdraw(:,i),p6(i),p7(i))*(p4(i)-p3(i))+p3(i);
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case 4% INV-GAMMA1 distribution
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% TO BE CHECKED
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pdraw(:,i) = sqrt(1./gaminv(rdraw(:,i),p7(i)/2,2/p6(i)))+p3(i);
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case 6% INV-GAMMA2 distribution
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% TO BE CHECKED
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pdraw(:,i) = 1./gaminv(rdraw(:,i),p7(i)/2,2/p6(i))+p3(i);
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otherwise
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% Nothing to do here.
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end
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end
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