dynare/matlab/prior_bounds.m

164 lines
5.8 KiB
Matlab

function bounds = prior_bounds(bayestopt, prior_trunc)
%@info:
%! @deftypefn {Function File} {@var{bounds} =} prior_bounds (@var{bayesopt},@var{option})
%! @anchor{prior_bounds}
%! @sp 1
%! Returns bounds for the prior densities. For each estimated parameter the lower and upper bounds
%! are such that the defined intervals contains a probability mass equal to 1-2*@var{option}.prior_trunc. The
%! default value for @var{option}.prior_trunc is 1e-10 (set in @ref{global_initialization}).
%! @sp 2
%! @strong{Inputs}
%! @sp 1
%! @table @ @var
%! @item bayestopt
%! Matlab's structure describing the prior distribution (initialized by @code{dynare}).
%! @item option
%! Matlab's structure describing the options (initialized by @code{dynare}).
%! @end table
%! @sp 2
%! @strong{Outputs}
%! @sp 1
%! @table @ @var
%! @item bounds
%! A structure with two fields lb and up (p*1 vectors of doubles, where p is the number of estimated parameters) for the lower and upper bounds.
%! @end table
%! @sp 2
%! @strong{This function is called by:}
%! @sp 1
%! @ref{get_prior_info}, @ref{dynare_estimation_1}, @ref{dynare_estimation_init}
%! @sp 2
%! @strong{This function calls:}
%! @sp 1
%! None.
%! @end deftypefn
%@eod:
% function bounds = prior_bounds(bayestopt)
% computes bounds for prior density.
%
% INPUTS
% bayestopt [structure] characterizing priors (shape, mean, p1..p4)
%
% OUTPUTS
% bounds [double] structure specifying prior bounds (lb and ub fields)
%
% SPECIAL REQUIREMENTS
% none
% Copyright © 2003-2017 Dynare Team
%
% This file is part of Dynare.
%
% Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
% it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
% the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
% (at your option) any later version.
%
% Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
% but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
% MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the
% GNU General Public License for more details.
%
% You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
% along with Dynare. If not, see <https://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
pshape = bayestopt.pshape;
p3 = bayestopt.p3;
p4 = bayestopt.p4;
p6 = bayestopt.p6;
p7 = bayestopt.p7;
bounds.lb = zeros(length(p6),1);
bounds.ub = zeros(length(p6),1);
for i=1:length(p6)
switch pshape(i)
case 1
if prior_trunc == 0
bounds.lb(i) = p3(i);
bounds.ub(i) = p4(i);
else
bounds.lb(i) = betainv(prior_trunc,p6(i),p7(i))*(p4(i)-p3(i))+p3(i);
bounds.ub(i) = betainv(1-prior_trunc,p6(i),p7(i))*(p4(i)-p3(i))+p3(i);
end
case 2
if prior_trunc == 0
bounds.lb(i) = p3(i);
bounds.ub(i) = Inf;
else
try
bounds.lb(i) = gaminv(prior_trunc,p6(i),p7(i))+p3(i);
bounds.ub(i) = gaminv(1-prior_trunc,p6(i),p7(i))+p3(i);
catch
% Workaround for ticket #161, see http://savannah.gnu.org/bugs/?52569
if isoctave
error(['Due to a computational limitation in Octave, the prior bounds cannot be computed. You must either use prior_trunc=0 or choose other values for mean and/or variance of your prior on ' bayestopt.name{i} ', or use another shape'])
else
rethrow(lasterror)
end
end
end
case 3
if prior_trunc == 0
bounds.lb(i) = -Inf;
bounds.ub(i) = Inf;
else
bounds.lb(i) = norminv(prior_trunc,p6(i),p7(i));
bounds.ub(i) = norminv(1-prior_trunc,p6(i),p7(i));
end
case 4
if prior_trunc == 0
bounds.lb(i) = p3(i);
bounds.ub(i) = Inf;
else
try
bounds.lb(i) = 1/sqrt(gaminv(1-prior_trunc, p7(i)/2, 2/p6(i)))+p3(i);
bounds.ub(i) = 1/sqrt(gaminv(prior_trunc, p7(i)/2, 2/p6(i)))+p3(i);
catch
% Workaround for ticket #161, see http://savannah.gnu.org/bugs/?52569
if isoctave
error(['Due to a computational limitation in Octave, the prior bounds cannot be computed. You must either use prior_trunc=0 or choose other values for mean and/or variance of your prior on ' bayestopt.name{i} ', or use another shape'])
else
rethrow(lasterror)
end
end
end
case 5
if prior_trunc == 0
bounds.lb(i) = p6(i);
bounds.ub(i) = p7(i);
else
bounds.lb(i) = p6(i)+(p7(i)-p6(i))*prior_trunc;
bounds.ub(i) = p7(i)-(p7(i)-p6(i))*prior_trunc;
end
case 6
if prior_trunc == 0
bounds.lb(i) = p3(i);
bounds.ub(i) = Inf;
else
try
bounds.lb(i) = 1/gaminv(1-prior_trunc, p7(i)/2, 2/p6(i))+p3(i);
bounds.ub(i) = 1/gaminv(prior_trunc, p7(i)/2, 2/p6(i))+ p3(i);
catch
% Workaround for ticket #161, see http://savannah.gnu.org/bugs/?52569
if isoctave
error(['Due to a computational limitation in Octave, the prior bounds cannot be computed. You must either use prior_trunc=0 or choose other values for mean and/or variance of your prior on ' bayestopt.name{i} ', or use another shape'])
else
rethrow(lasterror)
end
end
end
case 8
if prior_trunc == 0
bounds.lb(i) = p3(i);
bounds.ub(i) = Inf;
else
bounds.lb(i) = p3(i)+wblinv(prior_trunc,p6(i),p7(i));
bounds.ub(i) = p3(i)+wblinv(1-prior_trunc,p6(i),p7(i));
end
otherwise
error(sprintf('prior_bounds: unknown distribution shape (index %d, type %d)', i, pshape(i)));
end
end