dynare/matlab/compute_moments_varendo.m

304 lines
15 KiB
Matlab

function oo_ = compute_moments_varendo(type, options_, M_, oo_, var_list_)
% Computes the second order moments (autocorrelation function, covariance
% matrix and variance decomposition) distributions for all the endogenous variables selected in
% var_list_. The results are saved in oo_
%
% INPUTS:
% type [string] 'posterior' or 'prior'
% options_ [structure] Dynare structure.
% M_ [structure] Dynare structure (related to model definition).
% oo_ [structure] Dynare structure (results).
% var_list_ [cell of char arrays] Endogenous variable names.
%
% OUTPUTS
% oo_ [structure] Dynare structure (results).
%
% SPECIAL REQUIREMENTS
% none
% Copyright (C) 2008-2021 Dynare Team
%
% This file is part of Dynare.
%
% Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
% it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
% the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
% (at your option) any later version.
%
% Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
% but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
% MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the
% GNU General Public License for more details.
%
% You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
% along with Dynare. If not, see <http://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
fprintf('Estimation::compute_moments_varendo: I''m computing endogenous moments (this may take a while)... \n');
if options_.order==1
if options_.one_sided_hp_filter
fprintf('Estimation::compute_moments_varendo: theoretical moments incompatible with one-sided HP filter. Skipping computations.\n')
return
end
else
if ~options_.pruning
fprintf('Estimation::compute_moments_varendo: theoretical moments at order>1 require pruning. Skipping computations.\n')
return
else
if options_.one_sided_hp_filter || options_.hp_filter || options_.bandpass.indicator
fprintf(['Estimation::compute_moments_varendo: theoretical pruned moments incompatible with filtering. Skipping computations\n'])
end
end
end
if strcmpi(type,'posterior')
posterior = 1;
if nargin==4
var_list_ = options_.varobs;
end
if isfield(oo_,'PosteriorTheoreticalMoments')
oo_=rmfield(oo_,'PosteriorTheoreticalMoments');
end
elseif strcmpi(type,'prior')
posterior = 0;
if nargin==4
var_list_ = options_.prior_analysis_endo_var_list;
if isempty(var_list_)
options_.prior_analysis_var_list = options_.varobs;
end
end
if isfield(oo_,'PriorTheoreticalMoments')
oo_=rmfield(oo_,'PriorTheoreticalMoments');
end
else
error('compute_moments_varendo:: Unknown type!')
end
NumberOfEndogenousVariables = length(var_list_);
NumberOfExogenousVariables = M_.exo_nbr;
NumberOfLags = options_.ar;
NoDecomposition = options_.nodecomposition;
if isfield(options_,'conditional_variance_decomposition')
Steps = options_.conditional_variance_decomposition;
else
Steps = 0;
end
if options_.TeX
var_list_tex={};
for var_iter = 1:length(var_list_)
var_list_tex = vertcat(var_list_tex, M_.endo_names_tex{strmatch(var_list_{var_iter}, M_.endo_names, 'exact')});
end
end
% COVARIANCE MATRIX.
if posterior
for i=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables
for j=i:NumberOfEndogenousVariables
oo_ = posterior_analysis('variance', var_list_{i}, var_list_{j}, [], options_, M_, oo_);
end
end
else
for i=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables
for j=i:NumberOfEndogenousVariables
oo_ = prior_analysis('variance', var_list_{i}, var_list_{j}, [], options_, M_, oo_);
end
end
end
% CORRELATION FUNCTION.
if posterior
for h=NumberOfLags:-1:1
for i=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables
for j=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables
oo_ = posterior_analysis('correlation', var_list_{i}, var_list_{j}, h, options_, M_, oo_);
end
end
end
else
for h=NumberOfLags:-1:1
for i=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables
for j=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables
oo_ = prior_analysis('correlation', var_list_{i}, var_list_{j}, h, options_, M_, oo_);
end
end
end
end
% VARIANCE DECOMPOSITION.
if options_.order==1
if M_.exo_nbr > 1
if ~NoDecomposition
temp=NaN(NumberOfEndogenousVariables,NumberOfExogenousVariables);
if posterior
for i=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables
for j=1:NumberOfExogenousVariables
oo_ = posterior_analysis('decomposition', var_list_{i}, M_.exo_names{j}, [], options_, M_, oo_);
temp(i,j) = oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.VarianceDecomposition.Mean.(var_list_{i}).(M_.exo_names{j});
end
end
title='Posterior mean variance decomposition (in percent)';
save_name_string='dsge_post_mean_var_decomp_uncond';
else
for i=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables
for j=1:NumberOfExogenousVariables
oo_ = prior_analysis('decomposition', var_list_{i}, M_.exo_names{j}, [], options_, M_, oo_);
temp(i,j)=oo_.PriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.VarianceDecomposition.Mean.(var_list_{i}).(M_.exo_names{j});
end
end
title='Prior mean variance decomposition (in percent)';
save_name_string='dsge_prior_mean_var_decomp_uncond';
end
title=add_filter_subtitle(title, options_);
headers = M_.exo_names;
headers(M_.exo_names_orig_ord) = headers;
headers = vertcat(' ', headers);
lh = cellofchararraymaxlength(var_list_)+2;
dyntable(options_, title, headers, var_list_, 100*temp, lh, 8, 2);
if options_.TeX
headers = M_.exo_names_tex;
headers = vertcat(' ', headers);
labels = var_list_tex;
lh = size(labels,2)+2;
dyn_latex_table(M_, options_, title, save_name_string, headers, labels, 100*temp, lh, 8, 2);
end
skipline();
end
skipline();
if ~all(diag(M_.H)==0)
[observable_name_requested_vars, varlist_pos] = intersect(var_list_, options_.varobs, 'stable');
if ~isempty(observable_name_requested_vars)
NumberOfObservedEndogenousVariables = length(observable_name_requested_vars);
temp = NaN(NumberOfObservedEndogenousVariables, NumberOfExogenousVariables+1);
if posterior
for i=1:NumberOfObservedEndogenousVariables
for j=1:NumberOfExogenousVariables
temp(i,j,:) = oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.VarianceDecompositionME.Mean.(observable_name_requested_vars{i}).(M_.exo_names{j});
end
endo_index_varlist = strmatch(observable_name_requested_vars{i}, var_list_, 'exact');
oo_ = posterior_analysis('decomposition', var_list_{endo_index_varlist}, 'ME', [], options_, M_, oo_);
temp(i,j+1,:) = oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.VarianceDecompositionME.Mean.(observable_name_requested_vars{i}).('ME');
end
title='Posterior mean variance decomposition (in percent) with measurement error';
save_name_string='dsge_post_mean_var_decomp_uncond_ME';
else
for i=1:NumberOfObservedEndogenousVariables
for j=1:NumberOfExogenousVariables
temp(i,j,:) = oo_.PriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.VarianceDecompositionME.Mean.(observable_name_requested_vars{i}).(M_.exo_names{j});
end
endo_index_varlist = strmatch(observable_name_requested_vars{i}, var_list_, 'exact');
oo_ = prior_analysis('decomposition', var_list_{endo_index_varlist}, 'ME', [], options_, M_, oo_);
temp(i,j+1,:) = oo_.PriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.VarianceDecompositionME.Mean.(observable_name_requested_vars{i}).('ME');
end
title='Prior mean variance decomposition (in percent) with measurement error';
save_name_string='dsge_prior_mean_var_decomp_uncond_ME';
end
title=add_filter_subtitle(title, options_);
headers = M_.exo_names;
headers(M_.exo_names_orig_ord) = headers;
headers = vertcat(' ', headers, 'ME');
lh = cellofchararraymaxlength(var_list_)+2;
dyntable(options_, title, headers, observable_name_requested_vars,100*temp,lh,8,2);
if options_.TeX
headers = M_.exo_names_tex;
headers = vertcat(' ', headers, 'ME');
labels = var_list_tex(varlist_pos);
lh = cellofchararraymaxlength(labels)+2;
dyn_latex_table(M_, options_, title, save_name_string, headers, labels, 100*temp, lh, 8, 2);
end
skipline();
end
end
% CONDITIONAL VARIANCE DECOMPOSITION.
if Steps
temp = NaN(NumberOfEndogenousVariables, NumberOfExogenousVariables, length(Steps));
if posterior
for i=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables
for j=1:NumberOfExogenousVariables
oo_ = posterior_analysis('conditional decomposition', var_list_{i}, M_.exo_names{j}, Steps, options_, M_, oo_);
temp(i,j,:) = oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecomposition.Mean.(var_list_{i}).(M_.exo_names{j});
end
end
title = 'Posterior mean conditional variance decomposition (in percent)';
save_name_string = 'dsge_post_mean_var_decomp_cond_h';
else
for i=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables
for j=1:NumberOfExogenousVariables
oo_ = prior_analysis('conditional decomposition', var_list_{i}, M_.exo_names{j}, Steps, options_, M_, oo_);
temp(i,j,:) = oo_.PriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecomposition.Mean.(var_list_{i}).(M_.exo_names{j});
end
end
title = 'Prior mean conditional variance decomposition (in percent)';
save_name_string = 'dsge_prior_mean_var_decomp_cond_h';
end
for step_iter=1:length(Steps)
title_print=[title, ' Period ' int2str(Steps(step_iter))];
headers = M_.exo_names;
headers(M_.exo_names_orig_ord) = headers;
headers = vertcat(' ', headers);
lh = cellofchararraymaxlength(var_list_)+2;
dyntable(options_,title_print,headers, var_list_,100* ...
temp(:,:,step_iter),lh,8,2);
if options_.TeX
headers = M_.exo_names_tex;
headers = vertcat(' ', headers);
labels = var_list_tex;
lh = cellofchararraymaxlength(labels)+2;
dyn_latex_table(M_, options_, title_print, [save_name_string, int2str(Steps(step_iter))], headers, labels, 100*temp(:,:,step_iter), lh, 8, 2);
end
end
skipline();
if ~all(diag(M_.H)==0)
if ~isempty(observable_name_requested_vars)
NumberOfObservedEndogenousVariables = length(observable_name_requested_vars);
temp=NaN(NumberOfObservedEndogenousVariables,NumberOfExogenousVariables+1,length(Steps));
if posterior
for i=1:NumberOfObservedEndogenousVariables
for j=1:NumberOfExogenousVariables
temp(i,j,:) = oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecompositionME.Mean.(observable_name_requested_vars{i}).(M_.exo_names{j});
end
endo_index_varlist = strmatch(observable_name_requested_vars{i}, var_list_, 'exact');
oo_ = posterior_analysis('conditional decomposition', var_list_{endo_index_varlist}, 'ME', Steps, options_, M_, oo_);
temp(i,j+1,:) = oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecompositionME.Mean.(observable_name_requested_vars{i}).('ME');
end
title = 'Posterior mean conditional variance decomposition (in percent) with measurement error';
save_name_string = 'dsge_post_mean_var_decomp_ME_cond_h';
else
for i=1:NumberOfObservedEndogenousVariables
for j=1:NumberOfExogenousVariables
temp(i,j,:) = oo_.PriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecompositionME.Mean.(observable_name_requested_vars{i}).(M_.exo_names{j});
end
endo_index_varlist = strmatch(observable_name_requested_vars{i}, var_list_, 'exact');
oo_ = prior_analysis('conditional decomposition', var_list_{endo_index_varlist}, 'ME', Steps, options_, M_, oo_);
temp(i,j+1,:) = oo_.PriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecompositionME.Mean.(observable_name_requested_vars{i}).('ME');
end
title = 'Prior mean conditional variance decomposition (in percent) with measurement error';
save_name_string = 'dsge_prior_mean_var_decomp_ME_cond_h';
end
for step_iter=1:length(Steps)
title_print = [title, ' Period ' int2str(Steps(step_iter))];
headers = M_.exo_names;
headers(M_.exo_names_orig_ord) = headers;
headers = vertcat(' ', headers, 'ME');
lh = cellofchararraymaxlength(var_list_)+2;
dyntable(options_, title_print, headers, observable_name_requested_vars, 100*temp(:,:,step_iter), lh, 8, 2);
if options_.TeX
headers = M_.exo_names_tex;
headers = vertcat(' ', headers, 'ME');
labels = var_list_tex(varlist_pos);
lh = cellofchararraymaxlength(labels)+2;
dyn_latex_table(M_, options_, title_print, [save_name_string, int2str(Steps(step_iter))], headers, labels, 100*temp(:,:,step_iter), lh, 8, 2);
end
end
skipline();
end
end
end
end
else
fprintf(['Estimation::compute_moments_varendo: (conditional) variance decomposition only available at order=1. Skipping computations\n'])
end
fprintf('Done!\n\n');