dynare/matlab/redform_map.m

315 lines
11 KiB
Matlab

function redform_map(dirname)
%function redform_map(dirname)
% inputs (from opt_gsa structure
% anamendo = options_gsa_.namendo;
% anamlagendo = options_gsa_.namlagendo;
% anamexo = options_gsa_.namexo;
% iload = options_gsa_.load_redform;
% pprior = options_gsa_.pprior;
% ilog = options_gsa_.logtrans_redform;
% threshold = options_gsa_.threshold_redform;
% ksstat = options_gsa_.ksstat_redform;
% alpha2 = options_gsa_.alpha2_redform;
%
% Part of the Sensitivity Analysis Toolbox for DYNARE
%
% Written by Marco Ratto, 2006
% Joint Research Centre, The European Commission,
% (http://eemc.jrc.ec.europa.eu/),
% marco.ratto@jrc.it
%
% Disclaimer: This software is not subject to copyright protection and is in the public domain.
% It is an experimental system. The Joint Research Centre of European Commission
% assumes no responsibility whatsoever for its use by other parties
% and makes no guarantees, expressed or implied, about its quality, reliability, or any other
% characteristic. We would appreciate acknowledgement if the software is used.
% Reference:
% M. Ratto, Global Sensitivity Analysis for Macroeconomic models, MIMEO, 2006.
%
global M_ oo_ estim_params_ options_ bayestopt_
options_gsa_ = options_.opt_gsa;
anamendo = options_gsa_.namendo;
anamlagendo = options_gsa_.namlagendo;
anamexo = options_gsa_.namexo;
iload = options_gsa_.load_redform;
pprior = options_gsa_.pprior;
ilog = options_gsa_.logtrans_redform;
threshold = options_gsa_.threshold_redform;
ksstat = options_gsa_.ksstat_redform;
alpha2 = options_gsa_.alpha2_redform;
pnames = M_.param_names(estim_params_.param_vals(:,1),:);
if nargin==0,
dirname='';
end
if pprior
load([dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_prior']);
adir=[dirname '\redform_stab'];
else
load([dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_mc']);
adir=[dirname '\redform_mc'];
end
if isempty(dir(adir))
mkdir(adir)
end
adir0=pwd;
%cd(adir)
nspred=size(T,2)-M_.exo_nbr;
x0=lpmat(istable,:);
[kn, np]=size(x0);
offset = length(bayestopt_.pshape)-np;
pshape = bayestopt_.pshape(offset+1:end);
pd = [bayestopt_.p1(offset+1:end) bayestopt_.p2(offset+1:end) bayestopt_.p3(offset+1:end) bayestopt_.p4(offset+1:end)];
nsok = length(find(M_.lead_lag_incidence(M_.maximum_lag,:)));
clear lpmat lpmat0 egg iunstable yys
js=0;
for j=1:size(anamendo,1)
namendo=deblank(anamendo(j,:));
iendo=strmatch(namendo,M_.endo_names(oo_.dr.order_var,:),'exact');
ifig=0;
iplo=0;
for jx=1:size(anamexo,1)
namexo=deblank(anamexo(jx,:));
iexo=strmatch(namexo,M_.exo_names,'exact');
if ~isempty(iexo),
%y0=squeeze(T(iendo,iexo+nspred,istable));
y0=squeeze(T(iendo,iexo+nspred,:));
if (max(y0)-min(y0))>1.e-10,
if mod(iplo,9)==0,
ifig=ifig+1;
figure('name',[namendo,' vs. shocks ',int2str(ifig)]),
iplo=0;
end
iplo=iplo+1;
js=js+1;
xdir0 = [adir,'\',namendo,'_vs_', namexo];
if ilog==0,
if isempty(threshold)
si(:,js) = redform_private(x0, y0, pshape, pd, iload, pnames, namendo, namexo, xdir0);
else
iy=find( (y0>threshold(1)) & (y0<threshold(2)));
iyc=find( (y0<=threshold(1)) | (y0>=threshold(2)));
xdir = [xdir0,'_cut'];
si(:,js) = redform_private(x0(iy,:), y0(iy), pshape, pd, iload, pnames, namendo, namexo, xdir);
delete([xdir, '\*cut*.*'])
[proba, dproba] = stab_map_1(x0, iy, iyc, 'cut',0);
indsmirnov = find(dproba>ksstat);
stab_map_1(x0, iy, iyc, 'cut',1,indsmirnov,xdir);
stab_map_2(x0(iy,:),alpha2,'cut',xdir)
stab_map_2(x0(iyc,:),alpha2,'trim',xdir)
end
else
[yy, xdir] = log_trans_(y0,xdir0);
silog(:,js) = redform_private(x0, yy, pshape, pd, iload, pnames, namendo, namexo, xdir);
end
subplot(3,3,iplo),
if ilog,
[saso, iso] = sort(-silog(:,js));
bar([silog(iso(1:10),js)])
logflag='log';
else
[saso, iso] = sort(-si(:,js));
bar(si(iso(1:10),js))
logflag='';
end
%set(gca,'xticklabel',pnames(iso(1:10),:),'fontsize',8)
set(gca,'xticklabel',' ','fontsize',10)
set(gca,'xlim',[0.5 10.5])
for ip=1:10,
text(ip,-0.02,deblank(pnames(iso(ip),:)),'rotation',90,'HorizontalAlignment','right','interpreter','none')
end
title([logflag,' ',namendo,' vs. ',namexo],'interpreter','none')
if iplo==9,
saveas(gcf,[dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_redform_', namendo,'_vs_shocks_',logflag,num2str(ifig)])
eval(['print -depsc2 ' dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_redform_', namendo,'_vs_shocks_',logflag,num2str(ifig)]);
eval(['print -dpdf ' dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_redform_', namendo,'_vs_shocks_',logflag,num2str(ifig)]);
close(gcf)
end
end
end
end
if iplo<9 & iplo>0 & ifig,
saveas(gcf,[dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_redform_', namendo,'_vs_shocks_',logflag,num2str(ifig)])
eval(['print -depsc2 ' dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_redform_', namendo,'_vs_shocks_',logflag,num2str(ifig)]);
eval(['print -dpdf ' dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_redform_', namendo,'_vs_shocks_',logflag,num2str(ifig)]);
close(gcf)
end
ifig=0;
iplo=0;
for je=1:size(anamlagendo,1)
namlagendo=deblank(anamlagendo(je,:));
ilagendo=strmatch(namlagendo,M_.endo_names(oo_.dr.order_var(oo_.dr.nstatic+1:oo_.dr.nstatic+nsok),:),'exact');
if ~isempty(ilagendo),
%y0=squeeze(T(iendo,ilagendo,istable));
y0=squeeze(T(iendo,ilagendo,:));
if (max(y0)-min(y0))>1.e-10,
if mod(iplo,9)==0,
ifig=ifig+1;
figure('name',[namendo,' vs. lags ',int2str(ifig)]),
iplo=0;
end
iplo=iplo+1;
js=js+1;
xdir0 = [adir,'\',namendo,'_vs_', namlagendo];
if ilog==0,
if isempty(threshold)
si(:,js) = redform_private(x0, y0, pshape, pd, iload, pnames, namendo, namlagendo, xdir0);
else
iy=find( (y0>threshold(1)) & (y0<threshold(2)));
iyc=find( (y0<=threshold(1)) | (y0>=threshold(2)));
xdir = [xdir0,'_cut'];
si(:,js) = redform_private(x0(iy,:), y0(iy), pshape, pd, iload, pnames, namendo, namlagendo, xdir);
delete([xdir, '\*cut*.*'])
[proba, dproba] = stab_map_1(x0, iy, iyc, 'cut',0);
indsmirnov = find(dproba>ksstat);
stab_map_1(x0, iy, iyc, 'cut',1,indsmirnov,xdir);
stab_map_2(x0(iy,:),alpha2,'cut',xdir)
stab_map_2(x0(iyc,:),alpha2,'trim',xdir)
end
else
[yy, xdir] = log_trans_(y0,xdir0);
silog(:,js) = redform_private(x0, yy, pshape, pd, iload, pnames, namendo, namlagendo, xdir);
end
subplot(3,3,iplo),
if ilog,
[saso, iso] = sort(-silog(:,js));
bar([silog(iso(1:10),js)])
logflag='log';
else
[saso, iso] = sort(-si(:,js));
bar(si(iso(1:10),js))
logflag='';
end
%set(gca,'xticklabel',pnames(iso(1:10),:),'fontsize',8)
set(gca,'xticklabel',' ','fontsize',10)
set(gca,'xlim',[0.5 10.5])
for ip=1:10,
text(ip,-0.02,deblank(pnames(iso(ip),:)),'rotation',90,'HorizontalAlignment','right','interpreter','none')
end
title([logflag,' ',namendo,' vs. ',namlagendo,'(-1)'],'interpreter','none')
if iplo==9,
saveas(gcf,[dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_redform_', namendo,'_vs_lags_',logflag,num2str(ifig)])
eval(['print -depsc2 ' dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_redform_', namendo,'_vs_lags_',logflag,num2str(ifig)]);
eval(['print -dpdf ' dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_redform_', namendo,'_vs_lags_',logflag,num2str(ifig)]);
close(gcf)
end
end
end
end
if iplo<9 & iplo>0 & ifig,
saveas(gcf,[dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_redform_', namendo,'_vs_lags_',logflag,num2str(ifig)])
eval(['print -depsc2 ' dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_redform_', namendo,'_vs_lags_',logflag,num2str(ifig)]);
eval(['print -dpdf ' dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_redform_', namendo,'_vs_lags_',logflag,num2str(ifig)]);
close(gcf)
end
end
if ilog==0,
figure, bar(si)
set(gca,'xticklabel',' ','fontsize',10,'xtick',[1:np])
set(gca,'xlim',[0.5 np+0.5])
set(gca,'position',[0.13 0.2 0.775 0.7])
for ip=1:np,
text(ip,-0.02,deblank(pnames(ip,:)),'rotation',90,'HorizontalAlignment','right','interpreter','none')
end
title('Reduced form GSA')
saveas(gcf,[dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_redform_gsa'])
eval(['print -depsc2 ' dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_redform_gsa']);
eval(['print -dpdf ' dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_redform_gsa']);
else
figure, bar(silog)
set(gca,'xticklabel',' ','fontsize',10,'xtick',[1:np])
set(gca,'xlim',[0.5 np+0.5])
set(gca,'position',[0.13 0.2 0.775 0.7])
for ip=1:np,
text(ip,-0.02,deblank(pnames(ip,:)),'rotation',90,'HorizontalAlignment','right','interpreter','none')
end
title('Reduced form GSA - Log-transformed elements')
saveas(gcf,[dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_redform_gsa_log'])
eval(['print -depsc2 ' dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_redform_gsa_log']);
eval(['print -dpdf ' dirname,'\',M_.fname,'_redform_gsa_log']);
end
function si = redform_private(x0, y0, pshape, pd, iload, pnames, namy, namx, xdir)
global bayestopt_
fname=[xdir,'\map'];
if iload==0,
figure, hist(y0,30), title([namy,' vs. ', namx])
if isempty(dir(xdir))
mkdir(xdir)
end
saveas(gcf,[xdir,'\', namy,'_vs_', namx])
eval(['print -depsc2 ' xdir,'\', namy,'_vs_', namx]);
eval(['print -dpdf ' xdir,'\', namy,'_vs_', namx]);
close(gcf)
gsa_ = gsa_sdp_dyn(y0, x0, -2, [],[],[],1,fname, pnames);
else
gsa_ = gsa_sdp_dyn(y0, x0, 0, [],[],[],0,fname, pnames);
end
si = gsa_.multivariate.si;
function [yy, xdir]=log_trans_(y0,xdir0)
f=inline('skewness(log(y+lam))','lam','y');
if ~(max(y0)<0 | min(y0)>0)
isig=1;
if skewness(y0)<0,
isig=-1;
y0=-y0;
end
n=hist(y0,10);
if n(1)>20*n(end),
try lam=fzero(f,[-min(y0)+10*eps -min(y0)+abs(median(y0))],[],y0);
catch
yl(1)=f(-min(y0)+10*eps,y0);
yl(2)=f(-min(y0)+abs(median(y0)),y0);
if abs(yl(1))<abs(yl(2))
lam=-min(y0)+eps;
else
lam = -min(y0)+abs(median(y0)); %abs(100*(1+min(y0)));
end
end
yy = log(y0+lam);
xdir=[xdir0,'_logskew'];
else
yy = log(y0.^2);
xdir=[xdir0,'_logsquared'];
end
else
if max(y0)<0
y0=-y0;
%yy=log(-y0);
xdir=[xdir0,'_minuslog'];
elseif min(y0)>0
%yy=log(y0);
xdir=[xdir0,'_log'];
end
try lam=fzero(f,[-min(y0)+10*eps -min(y0)+median(y0)],[],y0);
catch
yl(1)=f(-min(y0)+10*eps,y0);
yl(2)=f(-min(y0)+abs(median(y0)),y0);
if abs(yl(1))<abs(yl(2))
lam=-min(y0)+eps;
else
lam = -min(y0)+abs(median(y0)); %abs(100*(1+min(y0)));
end
end
yy = log(y0+lam);
end