dynare/tests/estimation/fs2000_calibrated_covarianc...

93 lines
2.2 KiB
Modula-2

//two covariances are calibrated and one covariance of the ME. One of the calibrated covariances is superseded by estimation
var m P c e W R k d n l gy_obs gp_obs y dA;
varexo e_a e_m;
parameters alp bet gam mst rho psi del;
alp = 0.33;
bet = 0.99;
gam = 0.003;
mst = 1.011;
rho = 0.7;
psi = 0.787;
del = 0.02;
model;
dA = exp(gam+e_a);
log(m) = (1-rho)*log(mst) + rho*log(m(-1))+e_m;
-P/(c(+1)*P(+1)*m)+bet*P(+1)*(alp*exp(-alp*(gam+log(e(+1))))*k^(alp-1)*n(+1)^(1-alp)+(1-del)*exp(-(gam+log(e(+1)))))/(c(+2)*P(+2)*m(+1))=0;
W = l/n;
-(psi/(1-psi))*(c*P/(1-n))+l/n = 0;
R = P*(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(-alp)/W;
1/(c*P)-bet*P*(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)/(m*l*c(+1)*P(+1)) = 0;
c+k = exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)+(1-del)*exp(-(gam+e_a))*k(-1);
P*c = m;
m-1+d = l;
e = exp(e_a);
y = k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a));
gy_obs = dA*y/y(-1);
gp_obs = (P/P(-1))*m(-1)/dA;
end;
steady_state_model;
dA = exp(gam);
gst = 1/dA;
m = mst;
khst = ( (1-gst*bet*(1-del)) / (alp*gst^alp*bet) )^(1/(alp-1));
xist = ( ((khst*gst)^alp - (1-gst*(1-del))*khst)/mst )^(-1);
nust = psi*mst^2/( (1-alp)*(1-psi)*bet*gst^alp*khst^alp );
n = xist/(nust+xist);
P = xist + nust;
k = khst*n;
l = psi*mst*n/( (1-psi)*(1-n) );
c = mst/P;
d = l - mst + 1;
y = k^alp*n^(1-alp)*gst^alp;
R = mst/bet;
W = l/n;
ist = y-c;
q = 1 - d;
e = 1;
gp_obs = m/dA;
gy_obs = dA;
end;
varobs gp_obs gy_obs;
shocks;
var e_a; stderr 0.01;
var gy_obs; stderr 0.01;
var gy_obs, gp_obs= 0.00005;
var e_a, e_m = 0.00005;
end;
steady;
check;
estimated_params;
stderr e_m, 0.008862;
corr e_a, e_m, 0.5;
stderr gp_obs, 0.035449;
end;
estimated_params_init;
stderr e_m, 0.5;
corr e_a, e_m, 0.5;
stderr gp_obs, 0.5;
end;
estimation(order=1,datafile=fsdat_simul,nobs=192,silent_optimizer, loglinear, mh_replic=0, mh_nblocks=1, mh_jscale=0.8,moments_varendo,consider_all_endogenous);
if isequal(M_.Sigma_e(2,1),5e-5) || isequal(M_.Sigma_e(1,2),5e-5)
error('Problem in overriding calibrated covariance of structural shocks by estimated correlation')
end
if ~isequal(M_.H(2,1),5e-5) || ~isequal(M_.H(1,2),5e-5)
error('Problem in setting calibrated covariance of measurement errors')
end
stoch_simul(order=1,periods=1000);