dynare/matlab/+gsa/map_identification.m

306 lines
12 KiB
Matlab

function map_identification(OutputDirectoryName,opt_gsa,M_,oo_,options_,estim_params_,bayestopt_)
% map_identification(OutputDirectoryName,opt_gsa,M_,oo_,options_,estim_params_,bayestopt_)
% Inputs
% - OutputDirectoryName [string] name of the output directory
% - opt_gsa [structure] GSA options structure
% - M_ [structure] Matlab's structure describing the model
% - oo_ [structure] Matlab's structure describing the results
% - options_ [structure] Matlab's structure describing the current options
% - estim_params_ [structure] characterizing parameters to be estimated
% - bayestopt_ [structure] describing the priors
% Written by Marco Ratto
% Joint Research Centre, The European Commission,
% marco.ratto@ec.europa.eu
% Copyright © 2012-2016 European Commission
% Copyright © 2012-2023 Dynare Team
%
% This file is part of Dynare.
%
% Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
% it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
% the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
% (at your option) any later version.
%
% Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
% but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
% MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the
% GNU General Public License for more details.
%
% You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
% along with Dynare. If not, see <https://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
fname_ = M_.fname;
dr=oo_.dr;
nliv = opt_gsa.morris_nliv;
itrans = opt_gsa.trans_ident;
np = size(estim_params_.param_vals,1);
pnames = M_.param_names(estim_params_.param_vals(:,1));
if opt_gsa.pprior
filetoload=[OutputDirectoryName '/' fname_ '_prior'];
else
filetoload=[OutputDirectoryName '/' fname_ '_mc'];
end
load(filetoload,'lpmat','lpmat0','istable','T','yys')
if ~isempty(lpmat0)
lpmatx=lpmat0(istable,:);
else
lpmatx=[];
end
Nsam = size(lpmat,1);
nshock = size(lpmat0,2);
npT = np+nshock;
fname_ = M_.fname;
if opt_gsa.load_ident_files==0
mss = yys(bayestopt_.mfys,:);
mss = gsa.teff(mss(:,istable),Nsam,istable);
yys = gsa.teff(yys(dr.order_var,istable),Nsam,istable);
if exist('T','var')
[vdec, cc, ac] = gsa.monte_carlo_moments(T, lpmatx, dr, M_, options_, estim_params_);
else
return
end
if opt_gsa.morris==2
pdraws = identification.run(M_,oo_,options_,bayestopt_,estim_params_,options_.options_ident,[lpmatx lpmat(istable,:)]);
if ~isempty(pdraws) && max(max(abs(pdraws-[lpmatx lpmat(istable,:)])))==0
disp(['Sample check OK. Largest difference: ', num2str(max(max(abs(pdraws-[lpmatx lpmat(istable,:)]))))]),
clear pdraws;
end
clear GAM gas
end
if opt_gsa.morris~=1 && M_.exo_nbr>1
ifig=0;
for j=1:M_.exo_nbr
if mod(j,6)==1
hh_fig=dyn_figure(options_.nodisplay,'name','Variance decomposition shocks');
ifig=ifig+1;
iplo=0;
end
iplo=iplo+1;
subplot(2,3,iplo)
gsa.boxplot(squeeze(vdec(:,j,:))',[],'.',[],10)
set(gca,'xticklabel',' ','fontsize',10,'xtick',1:size(options_.varobs,1))
set(gca,'xlim',[0.5 size(options_.varobs,1)+0.5])
set(gca,'ylim',[-2 102])
for ip=1:size(options_.varobs,1)
if options_.TeX
text(ip,-4,deblank(opt_gsa.varobs_tex(ip,:)),'rotation',90,'HorizontalAlignment','right','interpreter','latex')
else
text(ip,-4,deblank(options_.varobs(ip,:)),'rotation',90,'HorizontalAlignment','right','interpreter','none')
end
end
xlabel(' ')
ylabel(' ')
title(M_.exo_names{j},'interpreter','none')
if mod(j,6)==0 || j==M_.exo_nbr
dyn_saveas(hh_fig,[OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_vdec_exo_',int2str(ifig)],options_.nodisplay,options_.graph_format);
create_TeX_loader(options_,[OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_vdec_exo_',int2str(ifig)],ifig,'Variance decomposition shocks','vdec_exo',options_.figures.textwidth*min(iplo/3,1))
end
end
end
for j=1:size(cc,1)
cc(j,j,:)=gsa.standardize_columns(squeeze(log(cc(j,j,:))))./2;
end
[vdec, ~, ir_vdec, ic_vdec] = gsa.teff(vdec,Nsam,istable);
[cc, ~, ir_cc, ic_cc] = gsa.teff(cc,Nsam,istable);
[ac, ~, ir_ac, ic_ac] = gsa.teff(ac,Nsam,istable);
nc1= size(T,2);
endo_nbr = M_.endo_nbr;
nstatic = M_.nstatic;
nspred = M_.nspred;
iv = (1:endo_nbr)';
ic = [ nstatic+(1:nspred) endo_nbr+(1:size(dr.ghx,2)-nspred) ]';
dr.ghx = T(:, 1:(nc1-M_.exo_nbr),1);
dr.ghu = T(:, (nc1-M_.exo_nbr+1):end, 1);
[Aa,Bb] = kalman_transition_matrix(dr,iv,ic);
A = zeros(size(Aa,1),size(Aa,2)+size(Aa,1),length(istable));
if ~isempty(lpmatx)
M_=gsa.set_shocks_param(M_,estim_params_,lpmatx(1,:));
end
A(:,:,1)=[Aa, triu(Bb*M_.Sigma_e*Bb')];
for j=2:length(istable)
dr.ghx = T(:, 1:(nc1-M_.exo_nbr),j);
dr.ghu = T(:, (nc1-M_.exo_nbr+1):end, j);
[Aa,Bb] = kalman_transition_matrix(dr, iv, ic);
if ~isempty(lpmatx)
M_=gsa.set_shocks_param(M_,estim_params_,lpmatx(j,:));
end
A(:,:,j)=[Aa, triu(Bb*M_.Sigma_e*Bb')];
end
clear T
clear lpmatx
[yt, j0]=gsa.teff(A,Nsam,istable);
yt = [yys yt];
if opt_gsa.morris==2
clear TAU A
else
clear A
end
save([OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_main_eff.mat'],'ac','cc','vdec','yt','mss')
else %load identification files
load([OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_main_eff.mat'],'ac','cc','vdec','yt','mss')
end
if opt_gsa.morris==1
if ~isempty(vdec)
if opt_gsa.load_ident_files==0
SAMorris=NaN(npT,3,size(vdec,2));
for i=1:size(vdec,2)
[~, SAMorris(:,:,i)] = gsa.Morris_Measure_Groups(npT, [lpmat0 lpmat], vdec(:,i),nliv);
end
SAvdec = squeeze(SAMorris(:,1,:))';
save([OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_morris_IDE.mat'],'SAvdec','vdec','ir_vdec','ic_vdec')
else
load([OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_morris_IDE.mat'],'SAvdec')
end
hh_fig = dyn_figure(options_.nodisplay,'name','Screening identification: variance decomposition');
gsa.boxplot(SAvdec,[],'.',[],10)
set(gca,'xticklabel',' ','fontsize',10,'xtick',1:npT)
set(gca,'xlim',[0.5 npT+0.5])
ydum = get(gca,'ylim');
set(gca,'ylim',[0 ydum(2)])
set(gca,'position',[0.13 0.2 0.775 0.7])
for ip=1:npT
if options_.TeX
[~, param_name_tex_temp]= get_the_name(ip,options_.TeX,M_,estim_params_,options_.varobs);
text(ip,-2,param_name_tex_temp,'rotation',90,'HorizontalAlignment','right','interpreter','latex')
else
text(ip,-2,bayestopt_.name{ip},'rotation',90,'HorizontalAlignment','right','interpreter','none')
end
end
xlabel(' ')
title('Elementary effects variance decomposition')
dyn_saveas(hh_fig,[OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_morris_vdec'],options_.nodisplay,options_.graph_format);
create_TeX_loader(options_,[OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_morris_vdec'],1,'Screening identification: variance decomposition','morris_vdec',1)
else
save([OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_morris_IDE.mat'],'vdec')
end
if opt_gsa.load_ident_files==0
ccac = [mss cc ac];
SAMorris=NaN(npT,3,size(ccac,2));
for i=1:size(ccac,2)
[~, SAMorris(:,:,i)] = gsa.Morris_Measure_Groups(npT, [lpmat0 lpmat], [ccac(:,i)],nliv);
end
SAcc = squeeze(SAMorris(:,1,:))';
SAcc = SAcc./(max(SAcc,[],2)*ones(1,npT));
save([OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_morris_IDE.mat'],'SAcc','cc','ir_cc','ic_cc','-append')
save([OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_morris_IDE.mat'],'ac','ir_ac','ic_ac','-append')
else
load([OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_morris_IDE'],'SAcc','cc','ir_cc','ic_cc')
load([OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_morris_IDE'],'ac','ir_ac','ic_ac')
end
hh_fig=dyn_figure(options_.nodisplay,'name','Screening identification: theoretical moments');
gsa.boxplot(SAcc,[],'.',[],10)
set(gca,'xticklabel',' ','fontsize',10,'xtick',1:npT)
set(gca,'xlim',[0.5 npT+0.5])
set(gca,'ylim',[0 1])
set(gca,'position',[0.13 0.2 0.775 0.7])
for ip=1:npT
if options_.TeX
[~, param_name_tex_temp]= get_the_name(ip,options_.TeX,M_,estim_params_,options_.varobs);
text(ip,-0.02,param_name_tex_temp,'rotation',90,'HorizontalAlignment','right','interpreter','latex')
else
text(ip,-0.02,bayestopt_.name{ip},'rotation',90,'HorizontalAlignment','right','interpreter','none')
end
end
xlabel(' ')
title('Elementary effects in the moments')
dyn_saveas(hh_fig,[OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_morris_moments'],options_.nodisplay,options_.graph_format);
create_TeX_loader(options_,[OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_morris_moments'],1,'Screening identification: theoretical moments','morris_moments',1)
if opt_gsa.load_ident_files==0
SAMorris=NaN(npT,3,j0);
for j=1:j0
[~, SAMorris(:,:,j)] = gsa.Morris_Measure_Groups(npT, [lpmat0 lpmat], yt(:,j),nliv);
end
SAM = squeeze(SAMorris(1:end,1,:));
SAnorm=NaN(npT,j0);
irex=NaN(j0);
for j=1:j0
SAnorm(:,j)=SAM(:,j)./max(SAM(:,j));
irex(j)=length(find(SAnorm(:,j)>0.01));
end
SAMmu = squeeze(SAMorris(1:end,2,:));
SAmunorm=NaN(npT,j0);
for j=1:j0
SAmunorm(:,j)=SAMmu(:,j)./max(SAM(:,j)); % normalised w.r.t. mu*
end
SAMsig = squeeze(SAMorris(1:end,3,:));
SAsignorm=NaN(npT,j0);
for j=1:j0
SAsignorm(:,j)=SAMsig(:,j)./max(SAMsig(:,j));
end
save([OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_morris_IDE.mat'],'SAnorm','SAmunorm','SAsignorm','-append')
else
load([OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_morris_IDE'],'SAnorm')
end
hh_fig=dyn_figure(options_.nodisplay,'name','Screening identification: model');
gsa.boxplot(SAnorm',[],'.',[],10)
set(gca,'xticklabel',' ','fontsize',10,'xtick',1:npT)
set(gca,'xlim',[0.5 npT+0.5])
set(gca,'ylim',[0 1])
set(gca,'position',[0.13 0.2 0.775 0.7])
xlabel(' ')
for ip=1:npT
if options_.TeX
[~, param_name_tex_temp]= get_the_name(ip,options_.TeX,M_,estim_params_,options_.varobs);
text(ip,-0.02,param_name_tex_temp,'rotation',90,'HorizontalAlignment','right','interpreter','latex')
else
text(ip,-0.02,bayestopt_.name{ip},'rotation',90,'HorizontalAlignment','right','interpreter','none')
end
end
xlabel(' ')
title('Elementary effects in the model')
dyn_saveas(hh_fig,[OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_morris_par'],options_.nodisplay,options_.graph_format);
create_TeX_loader(options_,[OutputDirectoryName,'/',fname_,'_morris_par'],1,'Screening identification: model','morris_par',1)
elseif opt_gsa.morris==3
return
elseif opt_gsa.morris==2 % ISKREV stuff
return
else
error('gsa/map_identification: unsupported option morris=%u',opt_gsa.morris)
end
function []=create_TeX_loader(options_,figpath,ifig_number,caption,label_name,scale_factor)
if nargin<6
scale_factor=1;
end
if options_.TeX && any(strcmp('eps',cellstr(options_.graph_format)))
fidTeX = fopen([figpath '.tex'],'w');
fprintf(fidTeX,'%% TeX eps-loader file generated by map_ident_.m (Dynare).\n');
fprintf(fidTeX,['%% ' datestr(now,0) '\n\n']);
fprintf(fidTeX,'\\begin{figure}[H]\n');
fprintf(fidTeX,'\\centering \n');
fprintf(fidTeX,'\\includegraphics[width=%2.2f\\textwidth]{%s}\n',scale_factor,strrep(figpath,'\','/'));
fprintf(fidTeX,'\\caption{%s.}',caption);
fprintf(fidTeX,'\\label{Fig:%s:%u}\n',label_name,ifig_number);
fprintf(fidTeX,'\\end{figure}\n\n');
fprintf(fidTeX,'%% End Of TeX file. \n');
fclose(fidTeX);
end
function yr = trank(y)
% yr is the rank transformation of y
yr=NaN(size(y));
[nr, nc] = size(y);
for j=1:nc
[~, is]=sort(y(:,j));
yr(is,j)=[1:nr]'./nr;
end