var y yp z mu; varexo ez eyp emu; parameters alpha; alpha = .889; model(linear); y = yp + z; yp = mu + yp(-1) + eyp; mu = mu(-1) + emu; z = alpha*z(-1) + ez; end; initval; y=8.655680; z=0; yp=8.655680; mu=0; end; steady(nocheck); estimated_params; stderr emu , inv_gamma_pdf, 0.002 , inf; stderr eyp , inv_gamma_pdf, 0.002 , inf; stderr ez , inv_gamma_pdf, 0.06 , inf; alpha, normal_pdf, 0.9, 0.1; end; varobs y; estimation(datafile=trend_cycle_decomposition_data,nobs=82, mh_replic=2000, mode_compute=4, mh_nblocks=1, mh_jscale=0.3, filtered_vars, smoother, diffuse_filter) yp z;