var a b; varexo epsil ; parameters betta; betta = 0.97; model; a = betta*a(+1)+epsil; b = a; end; initval; a=0; end; steady; shocks; var epsil; stderr .2; end; steady; check; stoch_simul(periods=0, irf=30, order=1); stoch_simul(periods=2000, irf=30, order=1); stoch_simul(periods=0, irf=30, order=1,hp_filter=1600); stoch_simul(periods=2000, irf=30, order=1,hp_filter=1600);