// --+ options: stochastic +-- /* © 2022 Dynare Team * * This file is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify * it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by * the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or * (at your option) any later version. * * It is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but * WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of * MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the * GNU General Public License for more details. * * You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License * along with the file. If not, see . */ var y1 y2 y3 ; varexo e1 e2 e3 u1 u2 u3 ; parameters a11 a12 a13 a21 a22 a23 a31 a32 a33 b11 b12 b13 b22 b23 b33 ; /* ** Simulate the elements of the first order autoregressive matrix (we impose stability of the model, note that ** inversion fails if the model is explosive, ie the autoregressive matrix has at least one root greater than ** one in modulus) probably because of the propagation of roundoff errors. */ D = diag([.9 .7 .8]); P = randn(3,3); A = P*D*inv(P); a11 = A(1,1); a12 = A(1,2); a13 = A(1,3); a21 = A(2,1); a22 = A(2,2); a23 = A(2,3); a31 = A(3,1); a32 = A(3,2); a33 = A(3,3); b11 = .10; b12 = -.30; b13 = .05; b22 = .20; b23 = -.05; b33 = .10; model(linear); y1 = a11*y1(-1) + a12*y2(-1) + a13*y3(-1) + b11*e1 + b12*e2 + b13*e3 + u1 + .1*y3(-2); y2 = a21*y1(-1) + a22*y2(-1) + a23*y3(-1) + b22*e2 + b23*e3 + u2 ; y3 = a31*y1(-1) + a32*y2(-1) + a33*y3(-1) + b33*e3 + u3 ; end; histval; y1(0) = .1; y2(0) = .2; y3(0) = .3; y3(-1) = .4; end; shocks; var e1 = 1.0; var e2 = 1.0; var e3 = 1.0; var u1 = .1; var u2 = .3; var u3 = .2; end; steady; check; TrueData = simul_backward_model([], 200); // Set the periods where some of the endogenous variables will be constrained. subsample = 3Y:100Y; // Copy the generated data SimulatedData = copy(TrueData); // Set the constrained paths for the endogenous variables (Output and PhysicalCapitalStock). constrainedpaths = SimulatedData{'y1','y2','y3'}(subsample); // Set the instruments (innovations used to control the paths for the endogenous variables). exogenousvariables = dseries([NaN(100, 3) TrueData{'u1','u2','u3'}.data(1:100,:)], '1Y', M_.exo_names); /* REMARK ** ** Here we will control y1, y2, and y3 with e1, e2 and e3, u1, u2 and u3 are treated as observed ** exogenous variables. */ // Invert the model by calling the model_inversion routine. options_.dynatol.f = 1e-8; [endogenousvariables, exogenousvariables] = model_inversion(constrainedpaths, exogenousvariables, SimulatedData, M_, options_, oo_); // Check that all the constraints are satisfied. if max(abs(constrainedpaths(subsample).y1.data-endogenousvariables(subsample).y1.data))>1e-12 error('Constraint on y1 path is not satisfied!') end if max(abs(constrainedpaths(subsample).y2.data-endogenousvariables(subsample).y2.data))>1e-12 error('Constraint on y2 path is not satisfied!') end if max(abs(constrainedpaths(subsample).y3.data-endogenousvariables(subsample).y3.data))>1e-12 error('Constraint on y3 path is not satisfied!') end if max(abs(exogenousvariables(subsample).u1.data-SimulatedData(subsample).u1.data))>1e-12 error('Constraint on u1 path is not satisfied!') end if max(abs(exogenousvariables(subsample).u2.data-SimulatedData(subsample).u2.data))>1e-12 error('Constraint on u2 path is not satisfied!') end if max(abs(exogenousvariables(subsample).u3.data-SimulatedData(subsample).u3.data))>1e-12 error('Constraint on u3 path is not satisfied!') end // Check consistency of the results. if max(abs(exogenousvariables(subsample).e1.data-SimulatedData(subsample).e1.data))>1e-12 error('Model inversion is not consistent with true innovations (e1)') end if max(abs(exogenousvariables(subsample).e2.data-SimulatedData(subsample).e2.data))>1e-12 error('Model inversion is not consistent with true innovations (e3)') end if max(abs(exogenousvariables(subsample).e3.data-SimulatedData(subsample).e3.data))>1e-12 error('Model inversion is not consistent with true innovations (e3)') end