function perfect_foresight_with_expectation_errors_solver % Copyright © 2021-2023 Dynare Team % % This file is part of Dynare. % % Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify % it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by % the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or % (at your option) any later version. % % Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, % but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of % MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the % GNU General Public License for more details. % % You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License % along with Dynare. If not, see . global M_ oo_ options_ % Same for periods (it will be modified before calling perfect_foresight_solver if constants_simulation_length option is false) periods = options_.periods; % Save some options orig_homotopy_max_completion_share = options_.simul.homotopy_max_completion_share; orig_endval_steady = options_.simul.endval_steady; % Retrieve initial paths built by pfwee_setup % (the versions in oo_ will be truncated before calling perfect_foresight_solver) endo_simul = oo_.endo_simul; exo_simul = oo_.exo_simul; % Enforce the endval steady option in pf_solver if M_.maximum_lead > 0 options_.simul.endval_steady = true; end % Start main loop around informational periods info_period = 1; increment = 0; while info_period <= periods if ~options_.noprint fprintf('perfect_foresight_with_expectations_errors_solver: computing solution for information available at period %d\n', info_period) end % Compute terminal steady state as anticipated oo_.exo_steady_state = oo_.pfwee.terminal_info(:, info_period); % oo_.steady_state will be updated by pf_solver (since endval_steady=true) if options_.pfwee.constant_simulation_length && increment > 0 % Use previous terminal steady state as guess value for: simulation periods that don’t yet have an initial guess (i.e. are NaNs at this point); and also for the terminal steady state endo_simul = [ endo_simul repmat(oo_.steady_state, 1, increment)]; exo_simul = [ exo_simul; NaN(increment, M_.exo_nbr)]; end oo_.endo_simul = endo_simul(:, info_period:end); % Take initial conditions + guess values from previous simulation if options_.pfwee.constant_simulation_length sim_length = periods; else sim_length = periods - info_period + 1; end oo_.exo_simul = exo_simul(info_period:end, :); oo_.exo_simul(M_.maximum_lag+(1:periods-info_period+1), :) = oo_.pfwee.shocks_info(:, info_period:end, info_period)'; oo_.exo_simul(M_.maximum_lag+periods-info_period+2:end, :) = repmat(oo_.exo_steady_state', sim_length+M_.maximum_lead-(periods-info_period+1), 1); options_.periods = sim_length; if info_period > 1 && homotopy_completion_share < 1 && options_.simul.homotopy_marginal_linearization_fallback > 0 marginal_linearization_previous_raw_sims.sim1.endo_simul = oo_.deterministic_simulation.sim1.endo_simul(:, info_period:end); marginal_linearization_previous_raw_sims.sim1.exo_simul = oo_.deterministic_simulation.sim1.exo_simul(info_period:end, :); marginal_linearization_previous_raw_sims.sim1.homotopy_completion_share = oo_.deterministic_simulation.sim1.homotopy_completion_share; marginal_linearization_previous_raw_sims.sim2.endo_simul = oo_.deterministic_simulation.sim2.endo_simul(:, info_period:end); marginal_linearization_previous_raw_sims.sim2.exo_simul = oo_.deterministic_simulation.sim2.exo_simul(info_period:end, :); marginal_linearization_previous_raw_sims.sim2.homotopy_completion_share = oo_.deterministic_simulation.sim2.homotopy_completion_share; else marginal_linearization_previous_raw_sims = []; end perfect_foresight_solver(true, marginal_linearization_previous_raw_sims); if ~oo_.deterministic_simulation.status error('perfect_foresight_with_expectation_errors_solver: failed to compute solution for information available at period %d\n', info_period) end if info_period == 1 homotopy_completion_share = oo_.deterministic_simulation.homotopy_completion_share; options_.simul.homotopy_max_completion_share = homotopy_completion_share; elseif oo_.deterministic_simulation.homotopy_completion_share ~= homotopy_completion_share error('perfect_foresight_solver_with_expectation_errors: could not find a solution for information available at period %d with the same homotopy completion share as period 1\n', info_period) end endo_simul(:, info_period:end) = oo_.endo_simul; exo_simul(info_period:end, :) = oo_.exo_simul; % Increment info_period (as much as possible, if information set does not change for some time) increment = 1; while info_period+increment <= periods && ... all(oo_.pfwee.terminal_info(:, info_period) == oo_.pfwee.terminal_info(:, info_period+increment)) && ... all(all(oo_.pfwee.shocks_info(:, info_period+increment:end, info_period) == oo_.pfwee.shocks_info(:, info_period+increment:end, info_period+increment))) increment = increment + 1; end info_period = info_period + increment; end % Set final paths oo_.endo_simul = endo_simul; oo_.exo_simul = exo_simul; % Restore some options options_.periods = periods; options_.simul.homotopy_max_completion_share = orig_homotopy_max_completion_share; options_.simul.endval_steady = orig_endval_steady;