function [alphahat,epsilonhat,etahat,atilde,P,aK,PK,decomp] = missing_DiffuseKalmanSmootherH1_Z(T,Z,R,Q,H,Pinf1,Pstar1,Y,pp,mm,smpl,data_index,nk,kalman_tol,decomp_flag) % function [alphahat,epsilonhat,etahat,a,aK,PK,decomp] = DiffuseKalmanSmoother1(T,Z,R,Q,H,Pinf1,Pstar1,Y,pp,mm,smpl,data_index,nk,kalman_tol,decomp_flag) % Computes the diffuse kalman smoother without measurement error, in the case of a non-singular var-cov matrix % % INPUTS % T: mm*mm matrix % Z: pp*mm matrix % R: mm*rr matrix % Q: rr*rr matrix % H: pp*pp matrix variance of measurement errors % Pinf1: mm*mm diagonal matrix with with q ones and m-q zeros % Pstar1: mm*mm variance-covariance matrix with stationary variables % Y: pp*1 vector % pp: number of observed variables % mm: number of state variables % smpl: sample size % data_index [cell] 1*smpl cell of column vectors of indices. % nk number of forecasting periods % kalman_tol tolerance for reciprocal condition number % decomp_flag if true, compute filter decomposition % % OUTPUTS % alphahat: smoothed variables (a_{t|T}) % epsilonhat:smoothed measurement errors % etahat: smoothed shocks % atilde: matrix of updated variables (a_{t|t}) % aK: 3D array of k step ahead filtered state variables (a_{t+k|t) % (meaningless for periods 1:d) % P: 3D array of one-step ahead forecast error variance % matrices % PK: 4D array of k-step ahead forecast error variance % matrices (meaningless for periods 1:d) % decomp: decomposition of the effect of shocks on filtered values % % SPECIAL REQUIREMENTS % See "Filtering and Smoothing of State Vector for Diffuse State Space % Models", S.J. Koopman and J. Durbin (2003, in Journal of Time Series % Analysis, vol. 24(1), pp. 85-98). % Copyright (C) 2004-2011 Dynare Team % % This file is part of Dynare. % % Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify % it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by % the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or % (at your option) any later version. % % Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, % but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of % MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the % GNU General Public License for more details. % % You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License % along with Dynare. If not, see . % modified by M. Ratto: % new output argument aK (1-step to k-step predictions) % new options_.nk: the max step ahed prediction in aK (default is 4) % new crit1 value for rank of Pinf % it is assured that P is symmetric d = 0; decomp = []; spinf = size(Pinf1); spstar = size(Pstar1); v = zeros(pp,smpl); a = zeros(mm,smpl+1); atilde = zeros(mm,smpl); aK = zeros(nk,mm,smpl+nk); PK = zeros(nk,mm,mm,smpl+nk); iF = zeros(pp,pp,smpl); Fstar = zeros(pp,pp,smpl); iFinf = zeros(pp,pp,smpl); K = zeros(mm,pp,smpl); L = zeros(mm,mm,smpl); Linf = zeros(mm,mm,smpl); Kstar = zeros(mm,pp,smpl); P = zeros(mm,mm,smpl+1); Pstar = zeros(spstar(1),spstar(2),smpl+1); Pstar(:,:,1) = Pstar1; Pinf = zeros(spinf(1),spinf(2),smpl+1); Pinf(:,:,1) = Pinf1; crit1 = 1.e-8; steady = smpl; rr = size(Q,1); QQ = R*Q*transpose(R); QRt = Q*transpose(R); alphahat = zeros(mm,smpl); etahat = zeros(rr,smpl); epsilonhat = zeros(rr,smpl); r = zeros(mm,smpl+1); t = 0; while rank(Pinf(:,:,t+1),crit1) && t1 aK(jnk,:,t+jnk) = T*dynare_squeeze(aK(jnk-1,:,t+jnk-1)); end end % notsteady = ~(max(max(abs(P(:,:,t+1)-P(:,:,t))))d+1 t = t-1; di = data_index{t}; if isempty(di) r(:,t) = L(:,:,t)'*r(:,t+1); else ZZ = Z(di,:); r(:,t) = ZZ'*iF(di,di,t)*v(di,t) + L(:,:,t)'*r(:,t+1); end alphahat(:,t) = a(:,t) + P(:,:,t)*r(:,t); etahat(:,t) = QRt*r(:,t); end if d r0 = zeros(mm,d+1); r0(:,d+1) = r(:,d+1); r1 = zeros(mm,d+1); for t = d:-1:1 r0(:,t) = Linf(:,:,t)'*r0(:,t+1); di = data_index{t}; if isempty(di) r1(:,t) = Linf(:,:,t)'*r1(:,t+1); else r1(:,t) = Z(di,:)'*(iFinf(di,di,t)*v(di,t)-Kstar(:,di,t)'*r0(:,t+1)) ... + Linf(:,:,t)'*r1(:,t+1); end alphahat(:,t) = a(:,t) + Pstar(:,:,t)*r0(:,t) + Pinf(:,:,t)*r1(:,t); etahat(:,t) = QRt*r0(:,t); end end if decomp_flag decomp = zeros(nk,mm,rr,smpl+nk); ZRQinv = inv(Z*QQ*Z'); for t = max(d,1):smpl di = data_index{t}; % calculate eta_tm1t eta_tm1t = QRt*Z(di,:)'*iF(di,di,t)*v(di,t); AAA = P(:,:,t)*Z(di,:)'*ZRQinv(di,di)*bsxfun(@times,Z(di,:)*R,eta_tm1t'); % calculate decomposition Ttok = eye(mm,mm); decomp(1,:,:,t+1) = AAA; for h = 2:nk AAA = T*AAA; decomp(h,:,:,t+h) = AAA; end end end epsilonhat = Y-Z*alphahat;