// this program solves and simulates the model in // "The Demand for Money during Hyperinflations under Rational Expectations: I" by T. Sargent, IER 1977 // this program mainly serves as the data generating process for the estimation of the model in sargent77ML.mod and sargent77Bayes.mod // variables are defined as follows: // x=p_t-p_{t-1}, p being the log of the price level // mu=m_t-m_{t-1}, m being the log of money supply // note that in contrast to the paper eta and epsilon have variance 1 (they are multiplied by the standard deviations) var x mu a1 a2; varexo epsilon eta; parameters alpha lambda sig_eta sig_epsilon; lambda=.5921; alpha=-2.344; sig_eta= .001; sig_epsilon= .001; // the model equations are taken from equation (27) on page 69 of the paper model; x=x(-1)-lambda*a1(-1)+(1/(lambda+alpha*(1-lambda)))*sig_epsilon*epsilon-(1/(lambda+alpha*(1-lambda)))*sig_eta*eta; mu=(1-lambda)*x(-1)+lambda*mu(-1)-lambda*a2(-1)+(1+alpha*(1-lambda))/(lambda+alpha*(1-lambda))*sig_epsilon*epsilon-(1-lambda)/(lambda+alpha*(1-lambda))*sig_eta*eta; a1=(1/(lambda+alpha*(1-lambda)))*sig_epsilon*epsilon-(1/(lambda+alpha*(1-lambda)))*sig_eta*eta; a2=(1+alpha*(1-lambda))/(lambda+alpha*(1-lambda))*sig_epsilon*epsilon-(1-lambda)/(lambda+alpha*(1-lambda))*sig_eta*eta; end; steady; shocks; var eta; stderr 1; var epsilon; stderr 1; end; stoch_simul(dr_algo=1,drop=0, order=1, periods=33, irf=0); save data_hyperinfl.mat x mu;