/* * Example 1 from F. Collard (2001): "Stochastic simulations with DYNARE: * A practical guide" (see "guide.pdf" in the documentation directory). */ /* * Copyright © 2001-2020 Dynare Team * * This file is part of Dynare. * * Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify * it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by * the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or * (at your option) any later version. * * Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, * but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of * MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the * GNU General Public License for more details. * * You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License * along with Dynare. If not, see . */ var y, c, k, a, h, b; varexo e, u; parameters beta, rho, alpha, delta, theta, psi, tau; alpha = 0.36; rho = 0.95; tau = 0.025; beta = 0.99; delta = 0.025; psi = 0; theta = 2.95; phi = 0.1; model; c*theta*h^(1+psi)=(1-alpha)*y; k = beta*(((exp(b)*c)/(exp(b(+1))*c(+1))) *(exp(b(+1))*alpha*y(+1)+(1-delta)*k)); y = exp(a)*(k(-1)^alpha)*(h^(1-alpha)); k = exp(b)*(y-c)+(1-delta)*k(-1); a = rho*a(-1)+tau*b(-1) + e; b = tau*a(-1)+rho*b(-1) + u; end; initval; y = 1.08068253095672; c = 0.80359242014163; h = 0.29175631001732; k = 11.08360443260358; a = 0; b = 0; e = 0; u = 0; end; shocks; var e; stderr 0.009; var u; stderr 0.009; var e, u = phi*0.009*0.009; end; steady(solve_algo=4,maxit=1000); stoch_simul(order=1,nofunctions,hp_filter=1600,irf=0,filtered_theoretical_moments_grid=8192); total_var_filtered=diag(oo_.var); oo_filtered_all_shocks=oo_; stoch_simul(order=1,nofunctions,hp_filter=0,periods=2500000,nomoments); send_endogenous_variables_to_workspace; options_.nomoments=0; oo_unfiltered_all_shocks=oo_; [junk, y_filtered]=sample_hp_filter(y,1600); [junk, c_filtered]=sample_hp_filter(c,1600); [junk, k_filtered]=sample_hp_filter(k,1600); [junk, a_filtered]=sample_hp_filter(a,1600); [junk, h_filtered]=sample_hp_filter(h,1600); [junk, b_filtered]=sample_hp_filter(b,1600); verbatim; total_std_all_shocks_filtered_sim=std([y_filtered c_filtered k_filtered a_filtered h_filtered b_filtered]); cov_filtered_all_shocks=cov([y_filtered c_filtered k_filtered a_filtered h_filtered b_filtered]); acf = zeros(6); [junk, acf(:,1)] = sample_autocovariance([y_filtered ],5); [junk, acf(:,2)] = sample_autocovariance([c_filtered ],5); [junk, acf(:,3)] = sample_autocovariance([k_filtered ],5); [junk, acf(:,4)] = sample_autocovariance([a_filtered ],5); [junk, acf(:,5)] = sample_autocovariance([h_filtered ],5); [junk, acf(:,6)] = sample_autocovariance([b_filtered ],5); autocorr_filtered_all_shocks=acf(2:end,:)'; end; shocks; var e; stderr 0; var u; stderr 0.009; var e, u = phi*0.009*0; end; stoch_simul(order=1,nofunctions,hp_filter=1600,irf=0,periods=0); total_var_filtered_one_shock=diag(oo_.var); oo_filtered_one_shock=oo_; stoch_simul(order=1,nofunctions,hp_filter=0,periods=2500000,nomoments); send_endogenous_variables_to_workspace; oo_unfiltered_one_shock=oo_; [junk, y_filtered]=sample_hp_filter(y,1600); [junk, c_filtered]=sample_hp_filter(c,1600); [junk, k_filtered]=sample_hp_filter(k,1600); [junk, a_filtered]=sample_hp_filter(a,1600); [junk, h_filtered]=sample_hp_filter(h,1600); [junk, b_filtered]=sample_hp_filter(b,1600); verbatim; total_std_one_shock_filtered_sim=std([y_filtered c_filtered k_filtered a_filtered h_filtered b_filtered]); cov_filtered_one_shock=cov([y_filtered c_filtered k_filtered a_filtered h_filtered b_filtered]); acf = zeros(6); [junk, acf(:,1)] = sample_autocovariance([y_filtered ],5); [junk, acf(:,2)] = sample_autocovariance([c_filtered ],5); [junk, acf(:,3)] = sample_autocovariance([k_filtered ],5); [junk, acf(:,4)] = sample_autocovariance([a_filtered ],5); [junk, acf(:,5)] = sample_autocovariance([h_filtered ],5); [junk, acf(:,6)] = sample_autocovariance([b_filtered ],5); autocorr_filtered_one_shock=acf(2:end,:)'; end; if max(abs((1-(total_std_one_shock_filtered_sim.^2)./(total_std_all_shocks_filtered_sim.^2))*100-oo_filtered_all_shocks.variance_decomposition(:,1)'))>2 error('Variance Decomposition wrong') end if max(max(abs(oo_filtered_all_shocks.var-cov_filtered_all_shocks)))>1e-4; error('Covariance wrong') end if max(max(abs(oo_filtered_one_shock.var-cov_filtered_one_shock)))>5e-5; error('Covariance wrong') end for ii=1:options_.ar autocorr_model_all_shocks(:,ii)=diag(oo_filtered_all_shocks.autocorr{ii}); autocorr_model_one_shock(:,ii)=diag(oo_filtered_one_shock.autocorr{ii}); end if max(max(abs(autocorr_model_all_shocks-autocorr_filtered_all_shocks)))>1e-2; error('Covariance wrong') end if max(max(abs(autocorr_model_one_shock-autocorr_filtered_one_shock)))>1e-2; error('Covariance wrong') end