function [nvar,vartan,CovarFileNumber] = dsge_simulated_theoretical_covariance(SampleSize,M_,options_,oo_,type) % function [nvar,vartan,CovarFileNumber] = dsge_simulated_theoretical_covariance(SampleSize,M_,options_,oo_,type) % This function computes the posterior or prior distribution of the endogenous % variables second order moments. % % INPUTS % SampleSize [integer] scalar, number of simulations. % M_ [structure] Dynare structure describing the model. % options_ [structure] Dynare structure defining global options. % oo_ [structure] Dynare structure where the results are saved. % type [string] 'prior' or 'posterior' % % % OUTPUTS % nvar [integer] nvar is the number of stationary variables. % vartan [char] array of characters (with nvar rows). % CovarFileNumber [integer] scalar, number of prior or posterior data files (for covariance). % Copyright (C) 2007-2017 Dynare Team % % This file is part of Dynare. % % Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify % it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by % the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or % (at your option) any later version. % % Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, % but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of % MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the % GNU General Public License for more details. % % You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License % along with Dynare. If not, see . nodecomposition = 1; % Get informations about the _posterior_draws files. if strcmpi(type,'posterior') DrawsFiles = dir([M_.dname '/metropolis/' M_.fname '_' type '_draws*' ]); posterior = 1; elseif strcmpi(type,'prior') DrawsFiles = dir([M_.dname '/prior/draws/' type '_draws*' ]); CheckPath('prior/moments',M_.dname); posterior = 0; else disp('dsge_simulated_theoretical_covariance:: Unknown type!') error(); end NumberOfDrawsFiles = length(DrawsFiles); %delete old stale files before creating new ones if posterior delete_stale_file([M_.dname '/metropolis/' M_.fname '_Posterior2ndOrderMoments*']) else delete_stale_file([M_.dname '/prior/moments/' M_.fname '_Prior2ndOrderMoments*']) end % Set varlist (vartan) if ~posterior if isfield(options_,'varlist') temp = options_.varlist; end options_.varlist = options_.prior_analysis_endo_var_list; end [ivar,vartan] = get_variables_list(options_,M_); if ~posterior if exist('temp','var') options_.varlist = temp; end end nvar = length(ivar); % Set the size of the auto-correlation function to zero. nar = options_.ar; options_.ar = 0; % Number of lines in posterior data files. MaXNumberOfCovarLines = ceil(options_.MaxNumberOfBytes/(nvar*(nvar+1)/2)/8); if SampleSize<=MaXNumberOfCovarLines Covariance_matrix = zeros(SampleSize,nvar*(nvar+1)/2); NumberOfCovarFiles = 1; else Covariance_matrix = zeros(MaXNumberOfCovarLines,nvar*(nvar+1)/2); NumberOfLinesInTheLastCovarFile = mod(SampleSize,MaXNumberOfCovarLines); NumberOfCovarFiles = ceil(SampleSize/MaXNumberOfCovarLines); end NumberOfCovarLines = rows(Covariance_matrix); CovarFileNumber = 1; % Compute 2nd order moments and save them in *_[Posterior, Prior]2ndOrderMoments* files linea = 0; for file = 1:NumberOfDrawsFiles if posterior load([M_.dname '/metropolis/' DrawsFiles(file).name ],'pdraws'); else load([M_.dname '/prior/draws/' DrawsFiles(file).name ],'pdraws'); end NumberOfDraws = rows(pdraws); isdrsaved = columns(pdraws)-1; for linee = 1:NumberOfDraws linea = linea+1; if isdrsaved dr = pdraws{linee,2}; else M_=set_parameters_locally(M_,pdraws{linee,1}); [dr,info,M_,options_,oo_] = resol(0,M_,options_,oo_); end tmp = th_autocovariances(dr,ivar,M_,options_,nodecomposition); for i=1:nvar for j=i:nvar Covariance_matrix(linea,symmetric_matrix_index(i,j,nvar)) = tmp{1}(i,j); end end if linea == NumberOfCovarLines if posterior save([ M_.dname '/metropolis/' M_.fname '_Posterior2ndOrderMoments' int2str(CovarFileNumber) '.mat' ],'Covariance_matrix'); else save([ M_.dname '/prior/moments/' M_.fname '_Prior2ndOrderMoments' int2str(CovarFileNumber) '.mat' ],'Covariance_matrix'); end CovarFileNumber = CovarFileNumber + 1; linea = 0; test = CovarFileNumber-NumberOfCovarFiles; if ~test% Prepare the last round... Covariance_matrix = zeros(NumberOfLinesInTheLastCovarFile,nvar*(nvar+1)/2); NumberOfCovarLines = NumberOfLinesInTheLastCovarFile; elseif test<0 Covariance_matrix = zeros(MaXNumberOfCovarLines,nvar*(nvar+1)/2); else clear('Covariance_matrix'); end end end end options_.ar = nar;