function [nvar,vartan,CovarFileNumber] = dsge_posterior_theoretical_covariance(SampleSize,M_,options_,oo_) % This function estimates the posterior density of the endogenous % variables second order moments. % % INPUTS % SampleSize [integer] % % % % OUTPUTS % None. % % SPECIAL REQUIREMENTS % Other matlab routines distributed with Dynare: set_stationary_variables_list.m % CheckPath.m % selec_posterior_draws.m % set_parameters.m % resol.m % th_autocovariances.m % posterior_moments.m % Copyright (C) 2007-2009 Dynare Team % % This file is part of Dynare. % % Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify % it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by % the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or % (at your option) any later version. % % Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, % but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of % MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the % GNU General Public License for more details. % % You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License % along with Dynare. If not, see . type = 'posterior'; nodecomposition = 1; % Set varlist (vartan) [ivar,vartan] = set_stationary_variables_list; nvar = length(ivar); % Set the size of the auto-correlation function to zero. nar = options_.ar; options_.ar = 0; % Get informations about the _posterior_draws files. DrawsFiles = dir([M_.dname '/metropolis/' M_.fname '_' type '_draws*' ]); NumberOfDrawsFiles = length(DrawsFiles); % Number of lines in posterior data files. MaXNumberOfCovarLines = ceil(options_.MaxNumberOfBytes/(nvar*(nvar+1)/2)/8); if SampleSize<=MaXNumberOfCovarLines Covariance_matrix = zeros(SampleSize,nvar*(nvar+1)/2); NumberOfCovarFiles = 1; else Covariance_matrix = zeros(MaXNumberOfCovarLines,nvar*(nvar+1)/2); NumberOfLinesInTheLastCovarFile = mod(SampleSize,MaXNumberOfCovarLines); NumberOfCovarFiles = ceil(SampleSize/MaXNumberOfCovarLines); end NumberOfCovarLines = rows(Covariance_matrix); CovarFileNumber = 1; % Compute 2nd order moments and save them in *_Posterior2ndOrderMoments* files linea = 0; for file = 1:NumberOfDrawsFiles load([M_.dname '/metropolis/' DrawsFiles(file).name ],'pdraws'); NumberOfDraws = rows(pdraws); isdrsaved = columns(pdraws)-1; for linee = 1:NumberOfDraws linea = linea+1; if isdrsaved dr = pdraws{linee,2}; else set_parameters(pdraws{linee,1}); [dr,info] = resol(oo_.steady_state,0); end tmp = th_autocovariances(dr,ivar,M_,options_,nodecomposition); for i=1:nvar for j=i:nvar Covariance_matrix(linea,symmetric_matrix_index(i,j,nvar)) = tmp{1}(i,j); end end if linea == NumberOfCovarLines save([ M_.dname '/metropolis/' M_.fname '_Posterior2ndOrderMoments' int2str(CovarFileNumber) '.mat' ],'Covariance_matrix'); CovarFileNumber = CovarFileNumber + 1; linea = 0; test = CovarFileNumber-NumberOfCovarFiles; if ~test% Prepare the last round... Covariance_matrix = zeros(NumberOfLinesInTheLastCovarFile,nvar*(nvar+1)/2); NumberOfCovarLines = NumberOfLinesInTheLastCovarFile; CovarFileNumber = CovarFileNumber - 1; elseif test<0 Covariance_matrix = zeros(MaXNumberOfCovarLines,nvar*(nvar+1)/2); else clear('Covariance_matrix'); end end end end options_.ar = nar;