function oo = evaluate_smoother(parameters) % Evaluate the smoother at parameters. % % INPUTS % o parameters a string ('posterior mode','posterior mean','posterior median','prior mode','prior mean') or a vector of values for % the (estimated) parameters of the model. % % % OUTPUTS % o oo [structure] results: % - SmoothedVariables % - SmoothedShocks % - SmoothedVariables % - SmoothedVariables % - SmoothedVariables % - SmoothedVariables % - SmoothedVariables % - SmoothedVariables % % SPECIAL REQUIREMENTS % None % % REMARKS % [1] This function use persistent variables for the dataset and the description of the missing observations. Consequently, if this function % is called more than once (by changing the value of parameters) the sample *must not* change. % Copyright (C) 2010-2011 Dynare Team % % This file is part of Dynare. % % Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify % it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by % the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or % (at your option) any later version. % % Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, % but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of % MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the % GNU General Public License for more details. % % You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License % along with Dynare. If not, see . global options_ M_ bayestopt_ oo_ persistent load_data persistent gend data data_index number_of_observations no_more_missing_observations if nargin==0 parameters = 'posterior_mode'; end if ischar(parameters) switch parameters case 'posterior_mode' parameters = get_posterior_parameters('mode'); case 'posterior_mean' parameters = get_posterior_parameters('mean'); case 'posterior_median' parameters = get_posterior_parameters('median'); case 'prior_mode' parameters = bayestopt_.p5(:); case 'prior_mean' parameters = bayestopt_.p1; case 'calibration' parameters = []; otherwise disp('evaluate_smoother:: If the input argument is a string, then it has to be equal to:') disp(' ''posterior_mode'', ') disp(' ''posterior_mean'', ') disp(' ''posterior_median'', ') disp(' ''prior_mode'' or') disp(' ''prior_mean''.') disp(' ''calibration''.') error end end if isempty(load_data) % Get the data. n_varobs = size(options_.varobs,1); rawdata = read_variables(options_.datafile,options_.varobs,[],options_.xls_sheet,options_.xls_range); options_ = set_default_option(options_,'nobs',size(rawdata,1)-options_.first_obs+1); gend = options_.nobs; rawdata = rawdata(options_.first_obs:options_.first_obs+gend-1,:); % Transform the data. if options_.loglinear if ~options_.logdata rawdata = log(rawdata); end end % Test if the data set is real. if ~isreal(rawdata) error('There are complex values in the data! Probably a wrong transformation') end % Detrend the data. options_.missing_data = any(any(isnan(rawdata))); if options_.prefilter == 1 if options_.missing_data bayestopt_.mean_varobs = zeros(n_varobs,1); for variable=1:n_varobs rdx = find(~isnan(rawdata(:,variable))); m = mean(rawdata(rdx,variable)); rawdata(rdx,variable) = rawdata(rdx,variable)-m; bayestopt_.mean_varobs(variable) = m; end else bayestopt_.mean_varobs = mean(rawdata,1)'; rawdata = rawdata-repmat(bayestopt_.mean_varobs',gend,1); end end data = transpose(rawdata); % Handle the missing observations. [data_index,number_of_observations,no_more_missing_observations] = describe_missing_data(data,gend,n_varobs); missing_value = ~(number_of_observations == gend*n_varobs); % Determine if a constant is needed. if options_.steadystate_flag% if the *_steadystate.m file is provided. [ys,tchek] = feval([M_.fname '_steadystate'],... [zeros(M_.exo_nbr,1);... oo_.exo_det_steady_state]); if size(ys,1) < M_.endo_nbr if length(M_.aux_vars) > 0 ys = add_auxiliary_variables_to_steadystate(ys,M_.aux_vars,... M_.fname,... zeros(M_.exo_nbr,1),... oo_.exo_det_steady_state,... M_.params,... options_.bytecode); else error([M_.fname '_steadystate.m doesn''t match the model']); end end oo_.steady_state = ys; else% if the steady state file is not provided. [dd,info,M_,options_,oo_] = resol(0,M_,options_,oo_); oo_.steady_state = dd.ys; clear('dd'); end if all(abs(oo_.steady_state(bayestopt_.mfys))<1e-9) options_.noconstant = 1; else options_.noconstant = 0; end load_data = 1; end pshape_original = bayestopt_.pshape; bayestopt_.pshape = Inf(size(bayestopt_.pshape)); clear('priordens')% [atT,innov,measurement_error,updated_variables,ys,trend_coeff,aK,T,R,P,PK,decomp] ... = DsgeSmoother(parameters,gend,data,data_index,missing_value); oo.Smoother.SteadyState = ys; oo.Smoother.TrendCoeffs = trend_coeff; if options_.filter_covariance oo.Smoother.variance = P; end i_endo = bayestopt_.smoother_saved_var_list; if options_.nk ~= 0 oo.FilteredVariablesKStepAhead = ... aK(options_.filter_step_ahead,i_endo,:); if ~isempty(PK) oo.FilteredVariablesKStepAheadVariances = ... PK(options_.filter_step_ahead,i_endo,i_endo,:); end if ~isempty(decomp) oo.FilteredVariablesShockDecomposition = ... decomp(options_.filter_step_ahead,i_endo,:,:); end end dr = oo_.dr; order_var = oo_.dr.order_var; for i=bayestopt_.smoother_saved_var_list' i1 = order_var(bayestopt_.smoother_var_list(i)); eval(['oo.SmoothedVariables.' deblank(M_.endo_names(i1,:)) ' = atT(i,:)'';']); eval(['oo.FilteredVariables.' deblank(M_.endo_names(i1,:)) ' = squeeze(aK(1,i,:));']); eval(['oo.UpdatedVariables.' deblank(M_.endo_names(i1,:)) ' = updated_variables(i,:)'';']); end for i=1:M_.exo_nbr eval(['oo.SmoothedShocks.' deblank(M_.exo_names(i,:)) ' = innov(i,:)'';']); end oo.dr = oo_.dr; bayestopt_.pshape = pshape_original;