function DynareOutput = simul_backward_nonlinear_model(sample_size,DynareOptions,DynareModel,DynareOutput) %@info: %! @deftypefn {Function File} {@var{DynareOutput} =} simul_backward_nonlinear_model (@var{sample_size},@var{DynareOptions}, @var{DynareModel}, @var{DynareOutput}) %! @anchor{@simul_backward_nonlinear_model} %! @sp 1 %! Simulates a stochastic non linear backward looking model with arbitrary precision (a deterministic solver is used). %! @sp 2 %! @strong{Inputs} %! @sp 1 %! @table @ @var %! @item sample_size %! Scalar integer, size of the sample to be generated. %! @item DynareOptions %! Matlab/Octave structure (Options used by Dynare). %! @item DynareDynareModel %! Matlab/Octave structure (Description of the model). %! @item DynareOutput %! Matlab/Octave structure (Results reported by Dynare). %! @end table %! @sp 1 %! @strong{Outputs} %! @sp 1 %! @table @ @var %! @item DynareOutput %! Matlab/Octave structure (Results reported by Dynare). %! @end table %! @sp 2 %! @strong{This function is called by:} %! @sp 2 %! @strong{This function calls:} %! @ref{dynTime} %! %! @end deftypefn %@eod: % Copyright (C) 2012 Dynare Team % % This file is part of Dynare. % % Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify % it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by % the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or % (at your option) any later version. % % Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, % but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of % MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the % GNU General Public License for more details. % % You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License % along with Dynare. If not, see . % Original author: stephane DOT adjemian AT univ DASH lemans DOT fr if DynareModel.maximum_lead error(['simul_backward_nonlinear_model:: The specified model is not backward looking!']) end % Set the covariance matrix of the structural innovations. variances = diag(DynareModel.Sigma_e); number_of_shocks = length(DynareModel.Sigma_e); positive_var_indx = find(variances>0); effective_number_of_shocks = length(positive_var_indx); covariance_matrix = DynareModel.Sigma_e(positive_var_indx,positive_var_indx); covariance_matrix_upper_cholesky = chol(covariance_matrix); % Set seed to its default state. if DynareOptions.bnlms.set_dynare_seed_to_default set_dynare_seed('default'); end % Simulate structural innovations. switch DynareOptions.bnlms.innovation_distribution case 'gaussian' DynareOutput.bnlms.shocks = randn(sample_size,effective_number_of_shocks)*covariance_matrix_upper_cholesky; otherwise error(['simul_backward_nonlinear_model:: ' DynareOption.bnlms.innovation_distribution ' distribution for the structural innovations is not (yet) implemented!']) end % Put the simulated innovations in DynareOutput.exo_simul. DynareOutput.exo_simul = zeros(sample_size,number_of_shocks); DynareOutput.exo_simul(:,positive_var_indx) = DynareOutput.bnlms.shocks; DynareOutput.exo_simul = [zeros(1,number_of_shocks); DynareOutput.exo_simul]; % Get usefull vector of indices. ny0 = nnz(DynareModel.lead_lag_incidence(2,:)); ny1 = nnz(DynareModel.lead_lag_incidence(1,:)); iy1 = find(DynareModel.lead_lag_incidence(1,:)>0); idx = 1:DynareModel.endo_nbr; jdx = idx+ny1; hdx = 1:ny1; % Get the name of the dynamic model routine. model_dynamic = str2func([DynareModel.fname,'_dynamic']); % initialization of vector y. y = NaN(length(idx)+ny1,1); % initialization of the returned simulations. DynareOutput.endo_simul = NaN(DynareModel.endo_nbr,sample_size+1); DynareOutput.endo_simul(:,1) = DynareOutput.steady_state; % Simulations (call a Newton-like algorithm for each period). for it = 2:sample_size+1 y(jdx) = DynareOutput.endo_simul(:,it-1); % A good guess for the initial conditions is the previous values for the endogenous variables. y(hdx) = y(jdx(iy1)); % Set lagged variables. y(jdx) = solve1(model_dynamic, y, idx, jdx, 1, DynareOptions.gstep, ... DynareOptions.solve_tolf,DynareOptions.solve_tolx, ... DynareOptions.simul.maxit,DynareOptions.debug, ... DynareOutput.exo_simul, DynareModel.params, ... DynareOutput.steady_state, it); DynareOutput.endo_simul(:,it) = y(jdx); end