// --+ options: stochastic,json=compute +-- var foo z x y; varexo e_x e_y e_z; parameters a b c d e f beta ; a = .9; b = -.2; c = .3; f = .8; d = .5; e = .4; beta = 1/(1+.02); // Define a VAR model from a subset of equations in the model block. var_model(model_name = toto, eqtags = [ 'X' 'Y' 'Z' ]); // Define a VAR_EXPECTATION_MODEL var_expectation_model(model_name = varexp, expression = diff(x), auxiliary_model_name = toto, horizon = 1, discount = beta) ; model; [ name = 'X' ] diff(x) = a*diff(x(-1)) + b*diff(x(-2)) + c*z(-2) + e_x; [ name = 'Z' ] z = f*z(-1) + e_z; [ name = 'Y' ] log(y) = d*log(y(-2)) + e*z(-1) + e_y; foo = .5*foo(-1) + var_expectation(varexp); end; // Initialize the VAR expectation model, will build the companion matrix of the VAR. var_expectation.initialize('varexp') // Update VAR_EXPECTATION reduced form parameters var_expectation.update('varexp'); // Print expanded VAR_EXPECTATION expression in a file (to be included in substitution.mod). var_expectation.print('varexp'); shocks; var e_x = .01; var e_y = .01; var e_z = .01; end; verbatim; initialconditions =zeros(3,4); initialconditions(3,1) = .1; % foo(-1) initialconditions(:,2) = .2; % y(-1) initialconditions(3,3) = .3; % z(-1) initialconditions(2,3) = .4; % z(-2) initialconditions(3,4) = .5; % x(-1) initialconditions(2,4) = .6; % x(-2) initialconditions(1,4) = .7; % x(-3) initialconditions = ... dseries(initialconditions, dates('2000Q1'), {'foo', 'y','z', 'x'}); set_dynare_seed('default'); ts = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 100); foo = ts.foo.data; save('example1.mat', 'foo'); end;