function [oo_,M_] = shock_decomposition(M_,oo_,options_,varlist,bayestopt_,estim_params_) % function z = shock_decomposition(M_,oo_,options_,varlist) % Computes shocks contribution to a simulated trajectory. The field set is % oo_.shock_decomposition. It is a n_var by nshock+2 by nperiods array. The % first nshock columns store the respective shock contributions, column n+1 % stores the role of the initial conditions, while column n+2 stores the % value of the smoothed variables. Both the variables and shocks are stored % in the order of declaration, i.e. M_.endo_names and M_.exo_names, respectively. % % INPUTS % M_: [structure] Definition of the model % oo_: [structure] Storage of results % options_: [structure] Options % varlist: [char] List of variables % bayestopt_: [structure] describing the priors % estim_params_: [structure] characterizing parameters to be estimated % % OUTPUTS % oo_: [structure] Storage of results % M_: [structure] Definition of the model; makes sure that % M_.params is correctly updated % % SPECIAL REQUIREMENTS % none % Copyright © 2009-2020 Dynare Team % % This file is part of Dynare. % % Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify % it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by % the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or % (at your option) any later version. % % Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, % but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of % MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the % GNU General Public License for more details. % % You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License % along with Dynare. If not, see . % indices of endogenous variables if isfield(oo_,'shock_decomposition_info') && isfield(oo_.shock_decomposition_info,'i_var') if isfield (oo_,'realtime_conditional_shock_decomposition') ... || isfield (oo_,'realtime_forecast_shock_decomposition') ... || isfield (oo_,'realtime_shock_decomposition') ... || isfield (oo_,'conditional_shock_decomposition') ... || isfield (oo_,'initval_decomposition') error('shock_decomposition::squeezed shock decompositions are already stored in oo_') end end with_epilogue = options_.shock_decomp.with_epilogue; if isempty(varlist) varlist = M_.endo_names(1:M_.orig_endo_nbr); end [~, ~,index_uniques] = varlist_indices(varlist, M_.endo_names); varlist = varlist(index_uniques); % number of variables endo_nbr = M_.endo_nbr; % number of shocks nshocks = M_.exo_nbr; % parameter set parameter_set = options_.parameter_set; if isempty(parameter_set) if isfield(oo_,'posterior_mean') parameter_set = 'posterior_mean'; elseif isfield(oo_,'mle_mode') parameter_set = 'mle_mode'; elseif isfield(oo_,'posterior') parameter_set = 'posterior_mode'; else error(['shock_decomposition: option parameter_set is not specified ' ... 'and posterior mode is not available']) end end options_.selected_variables_only = 0; %make sure all variables are stored options_.plot_priors=0; [oo_, M_, ~, ~, Smoothed_Variables_deviation_from_mean, initial_date] = evaluate_smoother(parameter_set, varlist, M_, oo_, options_, bayestopt_, estim_params_); options_.initial_date=initial_date; % reduced form dr = oo_.dr; % data reordering order_var = dr.order_var; inv_order_var = dr.inv_order_var; % coefficients A = dr.ghx; B = dr.ghu; % initialization gend = size(oo_.SmoothedShocks.(M_.exo_names{1}),1); epsilon=NaN(nshocks,gend); for i=1:nshocks epsilon(i,:) = oo_.SmoothedShocks.(M_.exo_names{i}); end z = zeros(endo_nbr,nshocks+2,gend); z(:,end,:) = Smoothed_Variables_deviation_from_mean; maximum_lag = M_.maximum_lag; k2 = dr.kstate(find(dr.kstate(:,2) <= maximum_lag+1),[1 2]); i_state = order_var(k2(:,1))+(min(i,maximum_lag)+1-k2(:,2))*M_.endo_nbr; for i=1:gend if i > 1 && i <= maximum_lag+1 lags = min(i-1,maximum_lag):-1:1; end if i > 1 tempx = permute(z(:,1:nshocks,lags),[1 3 2]); m = min(i-1,maximum_lag); tempx = [reshape(tempx,endo_nbr*m,nshocks); zeros(endo_nbr*(maximum_lag-i+1),nshocks)]; z(:,1:nshocks,i) = A(inv_order_var,:)*tempx(i_state,:); lags = lags+1; end if i > options_.shock_decomp.init_state z(:,1:nshocks,i) = z(:,1:nshocks,i) + B(inv_order_var,:).*repmat(epsilon(:,i)',endo_nbr,1); end z(:,nshocks+1,i) = z(:,nshocks+2,i) - sum(z(:,1:nshocks,i),2); end if with_epilogue [z, oo_.shock_decomposition_info.epilogue_steady_state] = epilogue_shock_decomposition(z, M_, oo_); end oo_.shock_decomposition = z; if ~options_.no_graph.shock_decomposition oo_ = plot_shock_decomposition(M_,oo_,options_,varlist); end oo_.gui.ran_shock_decomposition = true;