function [nvar,vartan,NumberOfDecompFiles] = ... dsge_simulated_theoretical_variance_decomposition(SampleSize,M_,options_,oo_,type) % function [nvar,vartan,NumberOfDecompFiles] = ... % dsge_simulated_theoretical_variance_decomposition(SampleSize,M_,options_,oo_,type) % This function computes the posterior or prior distribution of the variance % decomposition of the observed endogenous variables. % % INPUTS % SampleSize [integer] scalar, number of simulations. % M_ [structure] Dynare structure describing the model. % options_ [structure] Dynare structure defining global options. % oo_ [structure] Dynare structure where the results are saved. % type [string] 'prior' or 'posterior' % % % OUTPUTS % nvar [integer] nvar is the number of stationary variables. % vartan [char] array of characters (with nvar rows). % CovarFileNumber [integer] scalar, number of prior or posterior data files (for covariance). % Copyright © 2007-2021 Dynare Team % % This file is part of Dynare. % % Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify % it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by % the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or % (at your option) any later version. % % Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, % but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of % MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the % GNU General Public License for more details. % % You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License % along with Dynare. If not, see . nodecomposition = 0; % Get informations about the _posterior_draws files. if strcmpi(type,'posterior') NumberOfDrawsFiles = length(dir([M_.dname '/metropolis/' M_.fname '_' type '_draws*' ])); posterior = 1; elseif strcmpi(type,'prior') NumberOfDrawsFiles = length(dir([M_.dname '/prior/draws/' type '_draws*' ])); CheckPath('prior/moments',M_.dname); posterior = 0; else disp('dsge_simulated_theoretical_variance_decomposition:: Unknown type!') error() end %delete old stale files before creating new ones if posterior delete_stale_file([M_.dname '/metropolis/' M_.fname '_PosteriorVarianceDecomposition*']); delete_stale_file([M_.dname '/metropolis/' M_.fname '_PosteriorVarianceDecompME*']); else delete_stale_file([M_.dname '/prior/moments/' M_.fname '_PriorVarianceDecomposition*']); delete_stale_file([M_.dname '/prior/moments/' M_.fname '_PriorVarianceDecompME*']);end % Set varlist (vartan) if ~posterior if isfield(options_,'varlist') temp = options_.varlist; end options_.varlist = options_.prior_analysis_endo_var_list; end [ivar,vartan,options_] = get_variables_list(options_,M_); endo_names=options_.varlist; if ~posterior if exist('temp','var') options_.varlist = temp; end end nvar = length(ivar); % Set the size of the auto-correlation function to zero. nar = options_.ar; options_.ar = 0; nexo = M_.exo_nbr; NumberOfSavedElementsPerSimulation = nvar*(nexo+1); MaXNumberOfDecompLines = ceil(options_.MaxNumberOfBytes/NumberOfSavedElementsPerSimulation/8); ME_present=0; if ~all(diag(M_.H)==0) [observable_pos_requested_vars,index_subset,index_observables]=intersect(ivar,options_.varobs_id,'stable'); if ~isempty(observable_pos_requested_vars) ME_present=1; nobs_ME=length(observable_pos_requested_vars); NumberOfSavedElementsPerSimulation_ME = nobs_ME*(nexo+1); MaXNumberOfDecompLines_ME = ceil(options_.MaxNumberOfBytes/NumberOfSavedElementsPerSimulation_ME/8); end end if SampleSize<=MaXNumberOfDecompLines Decomposition_array = zeros(SampleSize,nvar*nexo); NumberOfDecompFiles = 1; else Decomposition_array = zeros(MaXNumberOfDecompLines,nvar*nexo); NumberOfLinesInTheLastDecompFile = mod(SampleSize,MaXNumberOfDecompLines); NumberOfDecompFiles = ceil(SampleSize/MaXNumberOfDecompLines); end NumberOfDecompLines = rows(Decomposition_array); DecompFileNumber = 1; if ME_present if SampleSize<=MaXNumberOfDecompLines_ME Decomposition_array_ME = zeros(SampleSize,nobs_ME*(nexo+1)); NumberOfDecompFiles_ME = 1; else Decomposition_array_ME = zeros(MaXNumberOfDecompLines_ME,nobs_ME*(nexo+1)); NumberOfLinesInTheLastDecompFile_ME = mod(SampleSize,MaXNumberOfDecompLines_ME); NumberOfDecompFiles_ME = ceil(SampleSize/MaXNumberOfDecompLines_ME); end NumberOfDecompLines_ME = rows(Decomposition_array_ME); DecompFileNumber_ME = 1; end % Compute total variances (covariances are not saved) and variances % implied by each structural shock. linea = 0; linea_ME = 0; only_non_stationary_vars=0; for file = 1:NumberOfDrawsFiles if posterior temp=load([M_.dname '/metropolis/' M_.fname '_' type '_draws' num2str(file) ]); else temp=load([M_.dname '/prior/draws/' type '_draws' num2str(file) ]); end isdrsaved = columns(temp.pdraws)-1; NumberOfDraws = rows(temp.pdraws); for linee = 1:NumberOfDraws linea = linea+1; linea_ME = linea_ME+1; if isdrsaved M_=set_parameters_locally(M_,temp.pdraws{linee,1});% Needed to update the covariance matrix of the state innovations. dr = temp.pdraws{linee,2}; else M_=set_parameters_locally(M_,temp.pdraws{linee,1}); [dr,info,M_,oo_] = compute_decision_rules(M_,options_,oo_); end if file==1 && linee==1 [tmp, stationary_vars] = th_autocovariances(dr,ivar,M_,options_,nodecomposition); if isempty(stationary_vars) fprintf('\ndsge_simulated_theoretical_variance_decomposition:: All requested endogenous variables have a unit root and thus infinite variance.\n') fprintf('dsge_simulated_theoretical_variance_decomposition:: No decomposition is performed.\n') only_non_stationary_vars=1; end end if only_non_stationary_vars Decomposition_array(linea,:) = NaN; else tmp = th_autocovariances(dr,ivar,M_,options_,nodecomposition); for i=1:nvar for j=1:nexo Decomposition_array(linea,(i-1)*nexo+j) = tmp{2}(i,j); end end if ME_present M_ = set_measurement_errors(temp.pdraws{linee,1},temp.estim_params_,M_); ME_Variance=diag(M_.H); tmp_ME=NaN(nobs_ME,nexo+1); tmp_ME(:,1:end-1)=tmp{2}(index_subset,:).*repmat(diag(tmp{1}(index_subset,index_subset))./(diag(tmp{1}(index_subset,index_subset))+ME_Variance(index_observables)),1,nexo); tmp_ME(:,end)=1-sum(tmp_ME(:,1:end-1),2); for i=1:nobs_ME for j=1:nexo+1 Decomposition_array_ME(linea,(i-1)*(nexo+1)+j) = tmp_ME(i,j); end end end end if linea == NumberOfDecompLines if posterior save([M_.dname '/metropolis/' M_.fname '_PosteriorVarianceDecomposition' int2str(DecompFileNumber) '.mat' ],'Decomposition_array','endo_names'); else save([M_.dname '/prior/moments/' M_.fname '_PriorVarianceDecomposition' int2str(DecompFileNumber) '.mat' ],'Decomposition_array','endo_names'); end DecompFileNumber = DecompFileNumber + 1; linea = 0; test = DecompFileNumber-NumberOfDecompFiles; if ~test% Prepare the last round... Decomposition_array = zeros(NumberOfLinesInTheLastDecompFile,nvar*nexo); NumberOfDecompLines = NumberOfLinesInTheLastDecompFile; elseif test<0 Decomposition_array = zeros(MaXNumberOfDecompLines,nvar*nexo); else clear('Decomposition_array'); end end if ME_present if linea_ME == NumberOfDecompLines_ME if posterior save([M_.dname '/metropolis/' M_.fname '_PosteriorVarianceDecompME' int2str(DecompFileNumber_ME) '.mat' ],'Decomposition_array_ME','endo_names'); else save([M_.dname '/prior/moments/' M_.fname '_PriorVarianceDecompME' int2str(DecompFileNumber_ME) '.mat' ],'Decomposition_array_ME','endo_names'); end DecompFileNumber_ME = DecompFileNumber_ME + 1; linea_ME = 0; test = DecompFileNumber_ME-NumberOfDecompFiles_ME; if ~test% Prepare the last round... Decomposition_array_ME = zeros(NumberOfLinesInTheLastDecompFile_ME,nobs_ME*(nexo+1)); NumberOfDecompLines_ME = NumberOfLinesInTheLastDecompFile_ME; elseif test<0 Decomposition_array_ME = zeros(MaXNumberOfDecompLines_ME,nobs_ME*(nexo+1)); else clear('Decomposition_array_ME'); end end end end end options_.ar = nar;