function [ConditionalVarianceDecomposition, ConditionalVarianceDecomposition_ME]= conditional_variance_decomposition(StateSpaceModel, Steps, SubsetOfVariables,sigma_e_is_diagonal) % This function computes the conditional variance decomposition of a given state space model % for a subset of endogenous variables. % % INPUTS % StateSpaceModel [structure] Specification of the state space model. % Steps [integer] 1*h vector of dates. % SubsetOfVariables [integer] 1*q vector of indices (declaration order). % % OUTPUTS % ConditionalVarianceDecomposition [double] [n h p] array, where % n is equal to length(SubsetOfVariables) % h is the number of Steps % p is the number of state innovations and % ConditionalVarianceDecomposition_ME [double] [m h p] array, where % m is equal to length(intersect(SubsetOfVariables,varobs)) % h is the number of Steps % p is the number of state innovations and % Copyright © 2010-2021 Dynare Team % % This file is part of Dynare. % % Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify % it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by % the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or % (at your option) any later version. % % Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, % but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of % MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the % GNU General Public License for more details. % % You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License % along with Dynare. If not, see . if any(Steps <= 0) error(['Conditional variance decomposition: All periods must be strictly ' ... 'positive']) end number_of_state_innovations = ... StateSpaceModel.number_of_state_innovations; transition_matrix = StateSpaceModel.transition_matrix; number_of_state_equations = ... StateSpaceModel.number_of_state_equations; order_var = StateSpaceModel.order_var; nSteps = length(Steps); ConditionalVariance = zeros(number_of_state_equations,nSteps,number_of_state_innovations); if StateSpaceModel.sigma_e_is_diagonal B = StateSpaceModel.impulse_matrix.* ... repmat(sqrt(diag(StateSpaceModel.state_innovations_covariance_matrix)'),... number_of_state_equations,1); else B = StateSpaceModel.impulse_matrix*chol(StateSpaceModel.state_innovations_covariance_matrix)'; end for i=1:number_of_state_innovations BB = B(:,i)*B(:,i)'; V = zeros(number_of_state_equations,number_of_state_equations); m = 1; for h = 1:max(Steps) V = transition_matrix*V*transition_matrix'+BB; if h == Steps(m) ConditionalVariance(order_var,m,i) = diag(V); m = m+1; end end end ConditionalVariance = ConditionalVariance(SubsetOfVariables,:,:); NumberOfVariables = length(SubsetOfVariables); SumOfVariances = zeros(NumberOfVariables,nSteps); for h = 1:length(Steps) SumOfVariances(:,h) = sum(ConditionalVariance(:,h,:),3); end ConditionalVarianceDecomposition = zeros(NumberOfVariables,length(Steps),number_of_state_innovations); for i=1:number_of_state_innovations for h = 1:length(Steps) ConditionalVarianceDecomposition(:,h,i) = squeeze(ConditionalVariance(:,h,i))./SumOfVariances(:,h); end end % get intersection of requested variables and observed variables with % Measurement error if ~all(diag(StateSpaceModel.measurement_error)==0) [observable_pos,index_subset,index_observables]=intersect(SubsetOfVariables,StateSpaceModel.observable_pos,'stable'); ME_Variance=diag(StateSpaceModel.measurement_error); ConditionalVarianceDecomposition_ME = zeros(length(observable_pos),length(Steps),number_of_state_innovations+1); for i=1:number_of_state_innovations for h = 1:length(Steps) ConditionalVarianceDecomposition_ME(:,h,i) = squeeze(ConditionalVariance(index_subset,h,i))./(SumOfVariances(index_subset,h)+ME_Variance(index_observables)); end end ConditionalVarianceDecomposition_ME(:,:,number_of_state_innovations+1)=1-sum(ConditionalVarianceDecomposition_ME(:,:,1:number_of_state_innovations),3); else ConditionalVarianceDecomposition_ME=[]; end