function oo_ = compute_moments_varendo(type, options_, M_, oo_, var_list_) % Computes the second order moments (autocorrelation function, covariance % matrix and variance decomposition) distributions for all the endogenous variables selected in % var_list_. The results are saved in oo_ % % INPUTS: % type [string] 'posterior' or 'prior' % options_ [structure] Dynare structure. % M_ [structure] Dynare structure (related to model definition). % oo_ [structure] Dynare structure (results). % var_list_ [cell of char arrays] Endogenous variable names. % % OUTPUTS % oo_ [structure] Dynare structure (results). % % SPECIAL REQUIREMENTS % none % Copyright © 2008-2021 Dynare Team % % This file is part of Dynare. % % Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify % it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by % the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or % (at your option) any later version. % % Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, % but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of % MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the % GNU General Public License for more details. % % You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License % along with Dynare. If not, see . fprintf('Estimation::compute_moments_varendo: I''m computing endogenous moments (this may take a while)... \n'); if options_.order==1 if options_.one_sided_hp_filter fprintf('Estimation::compute_moments_varendo: theoretical moments incompatible with one-sided HP filter. Skipping computations.\n') return end else if ~options_.pruning fprintf('Estimation::compute_moments_varendo: theoretical moments at order>1 require pruning. Skipping computations.\n') return else if options_.one_sided_hp_filter || options_.hp_filter || options_.bandpass.indicator fprintf(['Estimation::compute_moments_varendo: theoretical pruned moments incompatible with filtering. Skipping computations\n']) end end end if strcmpi(type,'posterior') posterior = 1; if nargin==4 var_list_ = options_.varobs; end if isfield(oo_,'PosteriorTheoreticalMoments') oo_=rmfield(oo_,'PosteriorTheoreticalMoments'); end elseif strcmpi(type,'prior') posterior = 0; if nargin==4 var_list_ = options_.prior_analysis_endo_var_list; if isempty(var_list_) options_.prior_analysis_var_list = options_.varobs; end end if isfield(oo_,'PriorTheoreticalMoments') oo_=rmfield(oo_,'PriorTheoreticalMoments'); end else error('compute_moments_varendo:: Unknown type!') end NumberOfEndogenousVariables = length(var_list_); NumberOfExogenousVariables = M_.exo_nbr; NumberOfLags = options_.ar; NoDecomposition = options_.nodecomposition; if isfield(options_,'conditional_variance_decomposition') Steps = options_.conditional_variance_decomposition; else Steps = 0; end if options_.TeX var_list_tex={}; for var_iter = 1:length(var_list_) var_list_tex = vertcat(var_list_tex, M_.endo_names_tex{strmatch(var_list_{var_iter}, M_.endo_names, 'exact')}); end end % COVARIANCE MATRIX. if posterior for i=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables for j=i:NumberOfEndogenousVariables oo_ = posterior_analysis('variance', var_list_{i}, var_list_{j}, NumberOfLags, options_, M_, oo_); end end else for i=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables for j=i:NumberOfEndogenousVariables oo_ = prior_analysis('variance', var_list_{i}, var_list_{j}, [], options_, M_, oo_); end end end % CORRELATION FUNCTION. if posterior for h=NumberOfLags:-1:1 for i=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables for j=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables oo_ = posterior_analysis('correlation', var_list_{i}, var_list_{j}, h, options_, M_, oo_); end end end else for h=NumberOfLags:-1:1 for i=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables for j=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables oo_ = prior_analysis('correlation', var_list_{i}, var_list_{j}, h, options_, M_, oo_); end end end end % VARIANCE DECOMPOSITION. if options_.order==1 if M_.exo_nbr > 1 if ~NoDecomposition temp=NaN(NumberOfEndogenousVariables,NumberOfExogenousVariables); if posterior for i=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables for j=1:NumberOfExogenousVariables oo_ = posterior_analysis('decomposition', var_list_{i}, M_.exo_names{j}, [], options_, M_, oo_); temp(i,j) = oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.VarianceDecomposition.Mean.(var_list_{i}).(M_.exo_names{j}); end end title='Posterior mean variance decomposition (in percent)'; save_name_string='dsge_post_mean_var_decomp_uncond'; else for i=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables for j=1:NumberOfExogenousVariables oo_ = prior_analysis('decomposition', var_list_{i}, M_.exo_names{j}, [], options_, M_, oo_); temp(i,j)=oo_.PriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.VarianceDecomposition.Mean.(var_list_{i}).(M_.exo_names{j}); end end title='Prior mean variance decomposition (in percent)'; save_name_string='dsge_prior_mean_var_decomp_uncond'; end title=add_filter_subtitle(title, options_); headers = M_.exo_names; headers(M_.exo_names_orig_ord) = headers; headers = vertcat(' ', headers); lh = cellofchararraymaxlength(var_list_)+2; dyntable(options_, title, headers, var_list_, 100*temp, lh, 8, 2); if options_.TeX headers = M_.exo_names_tex; headers = vertcat(' ', headers); labels = var_list_tex; lh = size(labels,2)+2; dyn_latex_table(M_, options_, title, save_name_string, headers, labels, 100*temp, lh, 8, 2); end skipline(); end skipline(); if ~all(diag(M_.H)==0) [observable_name_requested_vars, varlist_pos] = intersect(var_list_, options_.varobs, 'stable'); if ~isempty(observable_name_requested_vars) NumberOfObservedEndogenousVariables = length(observable_name_requested_vars); temp = NaN(NumberOfObservedEndogenousVariables, NumberOfExogenousVariables+1); if posterior for i=1:NumberOfObservedEndogenousVariables for j=1:NumberOfExogenousVariables temp(i,j,:) = oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.VarianceDecompositionME.Mean.(observable_name_requested_vars{i}).(M_.exo_names{j}); end endo_index_varlist = strmatch(observable_name_requested_vars{i}, var_list_, 'exact'); oo_ = posterior_analysis('decomposition', var_list_{endo_index_varlist}, 'ME', [], options_, M_, oo_); temp(i,j+1,:) = oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.VarianceDecompositionME.Mean.(observable_name_requested_vars{i}).('ME'); end title='Posterior mean variance decomposition (in percent) with measurement error'; save_name_string='dsge_post_mean_var_decomp_uncond_ME'; else for i=1:NumberOfObservedEndogenousVariables for j=1:NumberOfExogenousVariables temp(i,j,:) = oo_.PriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.VarianceDecompositionME.Mean.(observable_name_requested_vars{i}).(M_.exo_names{j}); end endo_index_varlist = strmatch(observable_name_requested_vars{i}, var_list_, 'exact'); oo_ = prior_analysis('decomposition', var_list_{endo_index_varlist}, 'ME', [], options_, M_, oo_); temp(i,j+1,:) = oo_.PriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.VarianceDecompositionME.Mean.(observable_name_requested_vars{i}).('ME'); end title='Prior mean variance decomposition (in percent) with measurement error'; save_name_string='dsge_prior_mean_var_decomp_uncond_ME'; end title=add_filter_subtitle(title, options_); headers = M_.exo_names; headers(M_.exo_names_orig_ord) = headers; headers = vertcat(' ', headers, 'ME'); lh = cellofchararraymaxlength(var_list_)+2; dyntable(options_, title, headers, observable_name_requested_vars,100*temp,lh,8,2); if options_.TeX headers = M_.exo_names_tex; headers = vertcat(' ', headers, 'ME'); labels = var_list_tex(varlist_pos); lh = cellofchararraymaxlength(labels)+2; dyn_latex_table(M_, options_, title, save_name_string, headers, labels, 100*temp, lh, 8, 2); end skipline(); end end % CONDITIONAL VARIANCE DECOMPOSITION. if Steps temp = NaN(NumberOfEndogenousVariables, NumberOfExogenousVariables, length(Steps)); if posterior for i=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables for j=1:NumberOfExogenousVariables oo_ = posterior_analysis('conditional decomposition', var_list_{i}, M_.exo_names{j}, Steps, options_, M_, oo_); temp(i,j,:) = oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecomposition.Mean.(var_list_{i}).(M_.exo_names{j}); end end title = 'Posterior mean conditional variance decomposition (in percent)'; save_name_string = 'dsge_post_mean_var_decomp_cond_h'; else for i=1:NumberOfEndogenousVariables for j=1:NumberOfExogenousVariables oo_ = prior_analysis('conditional decomposition', var_list_{i}, M_.exo_names{j}, Steps, options_, M_, oo_); temp(i,j,:) = oo_.PriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecomposition.Mean.(var_list_{i}).(M_.exo_names{j}); end end title = 'Prior mean conditional variance decomposition (in percent)'; save_name_string = 'dsge_prior_mean_var_decomp_cond_h'; end for step_iter=1:length(Steps) title_print=[title, ' Period ' int2str(Steps(step_iter))]; headers = M_.exo_names; headers(M_.exo_names_orig_ord) = headers; headers = vertcat(' ', headers); lh = cellofchararraymaxlength(var_list_)+2; dyntable(options_,title_print,headers, var_list_,100* ... temp(:,:,step_iter),lh,8,2); if options_.TeX headers = M_.exo_names_tex; headers = vertcat(' ', headers); labels = var_list_tex; lh = cellofchararraymaxlength(labels)+2; dyn_latex_table(M_, options_, title_print, [save_name_string, int2str(Steps(step_iter))], headers, labels, 100*temp(:,:,step_iter), lh, 8, 2); end end skipline(); if ~all(diag(M_.H)==0) if ~isempty(observable_name_requested_vars) NumberOfObservedEndogenousVariables = length(observable_name_requested_vars); temp=NaN(NumberOfObservedEndogenousVariables,NumberOfExogenousVariables+1,length(Steps)); if posterior for i=1:NumberOfObservedEndogenousVariables for j=1:NumberOfExogenousVariables temp(i,j,:) = oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecompositionME.Mean.(observable_name_requested_vars{i}).(M_.exo_names{j}); end endo_index_varlist = strmatch(observable_name_requested_vars{i}, var_list_, 'exact'); oo_ = posterior_analysis('conditional decomposition', var_list_{endo_index_varlist}, 'ME', Steps, options_, M_, oo_); temp(i,j+1,:) = oo_.PosteriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecompositionME.Mean.(observable_name_requested_vars{i}).('ME'); end title = 'Posterior mean conditional variance decomposition (in percent) with measurement error'; save_name_string = 'dsge_post_mean_var_decomp_ME_cond_h'; else for i=1:NumberOfObservedEndogenousVariables for j=1:NumberOfExogenousVariables temp(i,j,:) = oo_.PriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecompositionME.Mean.(observable_name_requested_vars{i}).(M_.exo_names{j}); end endo_index_varlist = strmatch(observable_name_requested_vars{i}, var_list_, 'exact'); oo_ = prior_analysis('conditional decomposition', var_list_{endo_index_varlist}, 'ME', Steps, options_, M_, oo_); temp(i,j+1,:) = oo_.PriorTheoreticalMoments.dsge.ConditionalVarianceDecompositionME.Mean.(observable_name_requested_vars{i}).('ME'); end title = 'Prior mean conditional variance decomposition (in percent) with measurement error'; save_name_string = 'dsge_prior_mean_var_decomp_ME_cond_h'; end for step_iter=1:length(Steps) title_print = [title, ' Period ' int2str(Steps(step_iter))]; headers = M_.exo_names; headers(M_.exo_names_orig_ord) = headers; headers = vertcat(' ', headers, 'ME'); lh = cellofchararraymaxlength(var_list_)+2; dyntable(options_, title_print, headers, observable_name_requested_vars, 100*temp(:,:,step_iter), lh, 8, 2); if options_.TeX headers = M_.exo_names_tex; headers = vertcat(' ', headers, 'ME'); labels = var_list_tex(varlist_pos); lh = cellofchararraymaxlength(labels)+2; dyn_latex_table(M_, options_, title_print, [save_name_string, int2str(Steps(step_iter))], headers, labels, 100*temp(:,:,step_iter), lh, 8, 2); end end skipline(); end end end end else fprintf(['Estimation::compute_moments_varendo: (conditional) variance decomposition only available at order=1. Skipping computations\n']) end fprintf('Done!\n\n');