function myoutput=prior_posterior_statistics_core(myinputs,fpar,B,whoiam, ThisMatlab) if nargin<4, whoiam=0; end struct2local(myinputs); global options_ oo_ M_ bayestopt_ estim_params_ DirectoryName = CheckPath('metropolis'); RemoteFlag = 0; if whoiam ifil=ifil(:,whoiam); waitbarString = ['Please wait... Bayesian (posterior) subdraws (' int2str(fpar) 'of' int2str(B) ')...']; if Parallel(ThisMatlab).Local, waitbarTitle=['Local ']; else waitbarTitle=[Parallel(ThisMatlab).PcName]; RemoteFlag = 1; end fMessageStatus(0,whoiam,waitbarString, waitbarTitle, Parallel(ThisMatlab), MasterName, DyMo); end if RemoteFlag==1, OutputFileName_smooth = {}; OutputFileName_update = {}; OutputFileName_inno = {}; OutputFileName_error = {}; OutputFileName_filter_step_ahead = {}; OutputFileName_param = {}; OutputFileName_forc_mean = {}; OutputFileName_forc_point = {}; % OutputFileName_moments = {}; end for b=fpar:B % [deep, logpo] = GetOneDraw(typee); % set_all_parameters(deep); % dr = resol(oo_.steady_state,0); if strcmpi(typee,'prior') [deep, logpo] = GetOneDraw(typee); else deep = x(b,:); logpo = logpost(b); end set_all_parameters(deep); [dr,info] = resol(oo_.steady_state,0); if run_smoother [alphahat,etahat,epsilonhat,alphatilde,SteadyState,trend_coeff,aK] = ... DsgeSmoother(deep,gend,Y,data_index,missing_value); if options_.loglinear stock_smooth(dr.order_var,:,irun(1)) = alphahat(1:endo_nbr,:)+ ... repmat(log(dr.ys(dr.order_var)),1,gend); stock_update(dr.order_var,:,irun(1)) = alphatilde(1:endo_nbr,:)+ ... repmat(log(dr.ys(dr.order_var)),1,gend); else stock_smooth(dr.order_var,:,irun(1)) = alphahat(1:endo_nbr,:)+ ... repmat(dr.ys(dr.order_var),1,gend); stock_update(dr.order_var,:,irun(1)) = alphatilde(1:endo_nbr,:)+ ... repmat(dr.ys(dr.order_var),1,gend); end stock_innov(:,:,irun(2)) = etahat; if nvn stock_error(:,:,irun(3)) = epsilonhat; end if naK stock_filter_step_ahead(:,dr.order_var,:,irun(4)) = aK(options_.filter_step_ahead,1:endo_nbr,:); end if horizon yyyy = alphahat(iendo,i_last_obs); yf = forcst2a(yyyy,dr,zeros(horizon,exo_nbr)); if options_.prefilter == 1 yf(:,IdObs) = yf(:,IdObs)+repmat(bayestopt_.mean_varobs', ... horizon+maxlag,1); end yf(:,IdObs) = yf(:,IdObs)+(gend+[1-maxlag:horizon]')*trend_coeff'; if options_.loglinear == 1 yf = yf+repmat(log(SteadyState'),horizon+maxlag,1); else yf = yf+repmat(SteadyState',horizon+maxlag,1); end yf1 = forcst2(yyyy,horizon,dr,1); if options_.prefilter == 1 yf1(:,IdObs,:) = yf1(:,IdObs,:)+ ... repmat(bayestopt_.mean_varobs',[horizon+maxlag,1,1]); end yf1(:,IdObs,:) = yf1(:,IdObs,:)+repmat((gend+[1-maxlag:horizon]')* ... trend_coeff',[1,1,1]); if options_.loglinear == 1 yf1 = yf1 + repmat(log(SteadyState'),[horizon+maxlag,1,1]); else yf1 = yf1 + repmat(SteadyState',[horizon+maxlag,1,1]); end stock_forcst_mean(:,:,irun(6)) = yf'; stock_forcst_point(:,:,irun(7)) = yf1'; end end stock_param(irun(5),:) = deep; stock_logpo(irun(5),1) = logpo; stock_ys(irun(5),:) = SteadyState'; irun = irun + ones(7,1); % % TempPath=DirectoryName; % DirectoryNamePar='C:\dynare_calcs\ModelTest\ls2003\metropolis' % DirectoryName=DirectoryNamePar; if irun(1) > MAX_nsmoo || b == B stock = stock_smooth(:,:,1:irun(1)-1); ifil(1) = ifil(1) + 1; save([DirectoryName '/' M_.fname '_smooth' int2str(ifil(1)) '.mat'],'stock'); stock = stock_update(:,:,1:irun(1)-1); save([DirectoryName '/' M_.fname '_update' int2str(ifil(1)) '.mat'],'stock'); if RemoteFlag==1, OutputFileName_smooth = [OutputFileName_smooth; {[DirectoryName filesep], [M_.fname '_smooth' int2str(ifil(1)) '.mat']}]; OutputFileName_update = [OutputFileName_update; {[DirectoryName filesep], [M_.fname '_update' int2str(ifil(1)) '.mat']}]; end irun(1) = 1; end if irun(2) > MAX_ninno || b == B stock = stock_innov(:,:,1:irun(2)-1); ifil(2) = ifil(2) + 1; save([DirectoryName '/' M_.fname '_inno' int2str(ifil(2)) '.mat'],'stock'); if RemoteFlag==1, OutputFileName_inno = [OutputFileName_inno; {[DirectoryName filesep], [M_.fname '_inno' int2str(ifil(2)) '.mat']}]; end irun(2) = 1; end if nvn && (irun(3) > MAX_nerro || b == B) stock = stock_error(:,:,1:irun(3)-1); ifil(3) = ifil(3) + 1; save([DirectoryName '/' M_.fname '_error' int2str(ifil(3)) '.mat'],'stock'); if RemoteFlag==1, OutputFileName_error = [OutputFileName_error; {[DirectoryName filesep], [M_.fname '_error' int2str(ifil(3)) '.mat']}]; end irun(3) = 1; end if naK && (irun(4) > MAX_naK || b == B) stock = stock_filter_step_ahead(:,:,:,1:irun(4)-1); ifil(4) = ifil(4) + 1; save([DirectoryName '/' M_.fname '_filter_step_ahead' int2str(ifil(4)) '.mat'],'stock'); if RemoteFlag==1, OutputFileName_filter_step_ahead = [OutputFileName_filter_step_ahead; {[DirectoryName filesep], [M_.fname '_filter_step_ahead' int2str(ifil(4)) '.mat']}]; end irun(4) = 1; end if irun(5) > MAX_nruns || b == B stock = stock_param(1:irun(5)-1,:); ifil(5) = ifil(5) + 1; save([DirectoryName '/' M_.fname '_param' int2str(ifil(5)) '.mat'],'stock','stock_logpo','stock_ys'); if RemoteFlag==1, OutputFileName_param = [OutputFileName_param; {[DirectoryName filesep], [M_.fname '_param' int2str(ifil(5)) '.mat']}]; end irun(5) = 1; end if horizon && (irun(6) > MAX_nforc1 || b == B) stock = stock_forcst_mean(:,:,1:irun(6)-1); ifil(6) = ifil(6) + 1; save([DirectoryName '/' M_.fname '_forc_mean' int2str(ifil(6)) '.mat'],'stock'); if RemoteFlag==1, OutputFileName_forc_mean = [OutputFileName_forc_mean; {[DirectoryName filesep], [M_.fname '_forc_mean' int2str(ifil(6)) '.mat']}]; end irun(6) = 1; end if horizon && (irun(7) > MAX_nforc2 || b == B) stock = stock_forcst_point(:,:,1:irun(7)-1); ifil(7) = ifil(7) + 1; save([DirectoryName '/' M_.fname '_forc_point' int2str(ifil(7)) '.mat'],'stock'); if RemoteFlag==1, OutputFileName_forc_point = [OutputFileName_forc_point; {[DirectoryName filesep], [M_.fname '_forc_point' int2str(ifil(7)) '.mat']}]; end irun(7) = 1; end % if moments_varendo && (irun(8) > MAX_momentsno || b == B) % stock = stock_moments(1:irun(8)-1); % ifil(8) = ifil(8) + 1; % save([DirectoryName '/' M_.fname '_moments' int2str(ifil(8)) '.mat'],'stock'); % if RemoteFlag==1, % OutputFileName_moments = [OutputFileName_moments; {[DirectoryName filesep], [M_.fname '_moments' int2str(ifil(8)) '.mat']}]; % end % irun(8) = 1; % end % DirectoryName=TempPath; if exist('OCTAVE_VERSION') printf('Taking subdraws: %3.f%% done\r', b/B); else if ~whoiam, waitbar(b/B,h); elseif mod(b,10)==0, fprintf('Done! \n'); waitbarString = [ 'Subdraw ' int2str(b) '/' int2str(B) ' done.']; fMessageStatus((b-fpar+1)/(B-fpar+1),whoiam,waitbarString, waitbarTitle, Parallel(ThisMatlab), MasterName, DyMo) end end end myoutput.ifil=ifil; if RemoteFlag==1, myoutput.OutputFileName = [OutputFileName_smooth; OutputFileName_update; OutputFileName_inno; OutputFileName_error; OutputFileName_filter_step_ahead; OutputFileName_param; OutputFileName_forc_mean; OutputFileName_forc_point]; % OutputFileName_moments]; end