function [alphahat,etahat,epsilonhat,ahat,SteadyState,trend_coeff,aK,T,R] = DsgeSmoother(xparam1,gend,Y) % Estimation of the smoothed variables and innovations. % % INPUTS % o xparam1 [double] (p*1) vector of (estimated) parameters. % o gend [integer] scalar specifying the number of observations ==> varargin{1}. % o data [double] (T*n) matrix of data. % % OUTPUTS % o alphahat [double] (m*T) matrix, smoothed endogenous variables. % o etahat [double] (r*T) matrix, smoothed structural shocks (r>n is the umber of shocks). % o epsilonhat [double] (n*T) matrix, smoothed measurement errors. % o ahat [double] (m*T) matrix, one step ahead filtered (endogenous) variables. % o SteadyState [double] (m*1) vector specifying the steady state level of each endogenous variable. % o trend_coeff [double] (n*1) vector, parameters specifying the slope of the trend associated to each observed variable. % o aK [double] (K,n,T+K) array, k (k=1,...,K) steps ahead filtered (endogenous) variables. % o T and R [double] Matrices defining the state equation (T is the (m*m) transition matrix). % ALGORITHM % Metropolis-Hastings. % % SPECIAL REQUIREMENTS % None. % % % part of DYNARE, copyright S. Adjemian, M. Juillard (2006) % Gnu Public License. global bayestopt_ M_ oo_ estim_params_ options_ alphahat = []; epsilonhat = []; etahat = []; nobs = size(options_.varobs,1); smpl = size(Y,2); set_all_parameters(xparam1); %------------------------------------------------------------------------------ % 2. call model setup & reduction program %------------------------------------------------------------------------------ [T,R,SteadyState] = dynare_resolve; bayestopt_.mf = bayestopt_.mf2; if options_.noconstant constant = zeros(nobs,1); else if options_.loglinear == 1 constant = log(SteadyState(bayestopt_.mfys)); else constant = SteadyState(bayestopt_.mfys); end end trend_coeff = zeros(nobs,1); if bayestopt_.with_trend == 1 trend_coeff = zeros(nobs,1); nx1 = estim_params_.nvx+estim_params_.nvn+estim_params_.ncx+estim_params_.ncn; for i=1:nobs trend_coeff(i) = evalin('base',bayestopt_.trend_coeff{i}); end trend = constant*ones(1,gend)+trend_coeff*(1:gend); else trend = constant*ones(1,gend); end start = options_.presample+1; np = size(T,1); mf = bayestopt_.mf; % ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ % 3. Initial condition of the Kalman filter % ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ % % C'est ici qu'il faut déterminer Pinf et Pstar. Si le modèle est stationnaire, % alors il suffit de poser Pstar comme la solution de l'éuation de Lyapounov et % Pinf=[]. % Q = M_.Sigma_e; H = M_.H; if options_.lik_init == 1 % Kalman filter Pstar = lyapunov_symm(T,R*Q*transpose(R)); Pinf = []; elseif options_.lik_init == 2 % Old Diffuse Kalman filter Pstar = 10*eye(np); Pinf = []; elseif options_.lik_init == 3 % Diffuse Kalman filter Pstar = zeros(np,np); ivs = bayestopt_.var_list_stationary; Pstar(ivs,ivs) = lyapunov_symm(T(ivs,ivs),R(ivs,:)*Q* ... transpose(R(ivs,:))); % Pinf = bayestopt_.Pinf; % by M. Ratto RR=T(:,find(~ismember([1:np],ivs))); i=find(abs(RR)>1.e-10); R0=zeros(size(RR)); R0(i)=sign(RR(i)); Pinf=R0*R0'; % by M. Ratto end % ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- % 4. Kalman smoother % ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- if any(any(H ~= 0)) % should be replaced by a flag if options_.kalman_algo == 1 [alphahat,epsilonhat,etahat,ahat,aK] = DiffuseKalmanSmootherH1(T,R,Q,H,Pinf,Pstar,Y,trend,nobs,np,smpl,mf); if all(alphahat(:)==0) [alphahat,epsilonhat,etahat,ahat,aK] = DiffuseKalmanSmootherH3(T,R,Q,H,Pinf,Pstar,Y,trend,nobs,np,smpl,mf); end elseif options_.kalman_algo == 3 [alphahat,epsilonhat,etahat,ahat,aK] = DiffuseKalmanSmootherH3(T,R,Q,H,Pinf,Pstar,Y,trend,nobs,np,smpl,mf); end else if options_.kalman_algo == 1 [alphahat,etahat,ahat,aK] = DiffuseKalmanSmoother1(T,R,Q,Pinf,Pstar,Y,trend,nobs,np,smpl,mf); if all(alphahat(:)==0) [alphahat,etahat,ahat,aK] = DiffuseKalmanSmoother3(T,R,Q,Pinf,Pstar,Y,trend,nobs,np,smpl,mf); end elseif options_.kalman_algo == 3 [alphahat,etahat,ahat,aK] = DiffuseKalmanSmoother3(T,R,Q,Pinf,Pstar,Y,trend,nobs,np,smpl,mf); end end