function writeVarExpectationFunction(var_model_name, horizon) %function writeVarExpectationFunction(model_name) %% global M_; %% open file basename = ['var_forecast_' var_model_name]; fid = fopen([basename '.m'], 'w'); if fid == -1 error(['Could not open ' basename '.m for writing']); end %% load .mat file load(var_model_name, 'autoregressive_matrices', 'mu'); if ~exist('autoregressive_matrices', 'var') || ~exist('mu', 'var') error([var_model_name '.mat : must contain the variables autoregressive_matrices and mu']); end %% fprintf(fid, 'function ret = %s(y)\n', basename); fprintf(fid, '%%function ret = %s(y)\n', basename); fprintf(fid, '%% Calculates the %d-step-ahead forecast from the VAR model %s\n', max(horizon), var_model_name); fprintf(fid, '%%\n%% Created automatically by Dynare on %s\n%%\n\n', datetime); fprintf(fid, '%%%% Construct y\n'); fprintf(fid, 'assert(length(y) == %d);\n', sum(sum(M_.lead_lag_incidence ~= 0))); endo_names = cellstr(M_.endo_names); idxlen = length(M_.var.(var_model_name).var_list_); yidx = zeros(idxlen, 1); for i=1:idxlen yidx(i) = find(strcmp(strtrim(M_.var.(var_model_name).var_list_(i,:)), endo_names)); end fprintf(fid, 'y = y(['); fprintf(fid, '%d ', yidx); fprintf(fid, '], :);\n'); lm = length(mu); lc = length(autoregressive_matrices); assert(lc == M_.var.(var_model_name).order); fprintf(fid, 'if size(y, 1) ~= %d || size(y, 2) ~= %d\n', lm, M_.var.(var_model_name).order); fprintf(fid, ' error(''The dimensions of y are not correct. It should be an nvars x order matrix'');\n'); fprintf(fid, 'end\n'); A = zeros(lm*lc, lm*lc); for i=1:lc if any([lm lm] ~= size(autoregressive_matrices{i})) error(['The dimensions of mu and autoregressive_matrices for ' var_model_name ' are off']); end col = lm*(i-1)+1:lm*i; A(1:lm, col) = autoregressive_matrices{i}; if i ~= lc A(lm*i+1:lm*i+lm, col) = eye(lm, lm); end end if M_.var.(var_model_name).order > 1 mu = [mu; zeros(lm*M_.var.(var_model_name).order-lm, 1)]; end fprintf(fid, '\n%%%% Calculate %d-step-ahead forecast\n', max(horizon)); if max(horizon) == 1 printInsideOfLoop(fid, mu, A, ''); fprintf(fid, 'ret(1, :) = y(1:%d);\n', lm); else fprintf(fid, 'retidx = 1;\n'); fprintf(fid, 'ret = zeros(%d, %d);\n', length(horizon), lm); fprintf(fid, 'for i=1:%d\n', max(horizon)); printInsideOfLoop(fid, mu, A, ' '); if length(horizon) == 1 fprintf(fid, ' if %d == i\n', horizon); else fprintf(fid, ' if any(['); fprintf(fid, '%d ', horizon); fprintf(fid, '] == i)\n'); end fprintf(fid, ' ret(retidx, :) = y(1:%d);\n', lm); fprintf(fid, ' retidx = retidx + 1;\n'); fprintf(fid, ' end\n'); fprintf(fid, 'end\n'); end % retidx = find(strcmp(dwrt, endo_names) & yidx == 1); % assert(~isempty(retidx)) % if retidx == 1 % fprintf(fid, 'y = y(1);\n'); % else % fprintf(fid, 'y = y(%d);\n', sum(yidx(1:retidx-1))+1); % end %% close file fprintf(fid, 'end\n'); fclose(fid); end function printInsideOfLoop(fid, mu, A, spaces) fprintf(fid, '%sy = [',spaces); fprintf(fid, [repmat(' %f ', 1, size(mu, 2)) ';'], mu'); fprintf(fid, '] + ['); fprintf(fid, [repmat(' %f ', 1, size(A, 2)) ';'], A'); fprintf(fid, ']*y(:);\n'); end