function [alphahat,etahat,epsilonhat,ahat,SteadyState,trend_coeff] = DsgeSmoother(xparam1,gend,Y) % stephane.adjemian@cepremap.cnrs.fr [09-07-2004] % % Adapted from mj_optmumlik.m global bayestopt_ M_ oo_ estim_params_ options_ alphahat = []; epsilonhat = []; etahat = []; nobs = size(options_.varobs,1); smpl = size(Y,2); Q = M_.Sigma_e; for i=1:estim_params_.nvx k =estim_params_.var_exo(i,1); Q(k,k) = xparam1(i)*xparam1(i); end offset = estim_params_.nvx; if estim_params_.nvn H = zeros(nobs,nobs); for i=1:estim_params_.nvn k = estim_params_.var_endo(i,1); H(k,k) = xparam1(i+offset)*xparam1(i+offset); end end offset = offset+estim_params_.nvn; for i=1:estim_params_.ncx k1 =estim_params_.corrx(i,1); k2 =estim_params_.corrx(i,2); Q(k1,k2) = xparam1(i+offset)*sqrt(Q(k1,k1)*Q(k2,k2)); Q(k2,k1) = Q(k1,k2); end offset = offset+estim_params_.ncx; if estim_params_.nvn & estim_params_.ncn for i=1:estim_params_.ncn k1 = options_.lgyidx2varobs(estim_params_.corrn(i,1)); k2 = options_.lgyidx2varobs(estim_params_.corrn(i,2)); H(k1,k2) = xparam1(i+offset)*sqrt(H(k1,k1)*H(k2,k2)); H(k2,k1) = H(k1,k2); end offset = offset+estim_params_.ncn; end for i=1:estim_params_.np M_.params(estim_params_.param_vals(i,1)) = xparam1(i+offset); end M_.Sigma_e = Q; %------------------------------------------------------------------------------ % 2. call model setup & reduction program %------------------------------------------------------------------------------ [T,R,SteadyState] = dynare_resolve; if options_.loglinear == 1 constant = log(SteadyState(bayestopt_.mfys)); else constant = SteadyState(bayestopt_.mfys); end trend_coeff = zeros(nobs,1); if bayestopt_.with_trend == 1 trend_coeff = zeros(nobs,1); nx1 = estim_params_.nvx+estim_params_.nvn+estim_params_.ncx+estim_params_.ncn; for i=1:nobs trend_coeff(i) = evalin('base',bayestopt_.trend_coeff{i}); end trend = constant*ones(1,gend)+trend_coeff*(1:gend); else trend = constant*ones(1,gend); end start = options_.presample+1; np = size(T,1); mf = bayestopt_.mf; % ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ % 3. Initial condition of the Kalman filter % ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ % % C'est ici qu'il faut déterminer Pinf et Pstar. Si le modèle est stationnaire, % alors il suffit de poser Pstar comme la solution de l'éuation de Lyapounov et % Pinf=[]. % if options_.lik_init == 1 % Kalman filter Pstar = lyapunov_symm(T,R*Q*transpose(R)); Pinf = []; elseif options_.lik_init == 2 % Old Diffuse Kalman filter Pstar = 10*eye(np); Pinf = []; elseif options_.lik_init == 3 % Diffuse Kalman filter Pstar = zeros(np,np); ivs = bayestopt_.i_T_var_stable; Pstar(ivs,ivs) = lyapunov_symm(T(ivs,ivs),R(ivs,:)*Q* ... transpose(R(ivs,:))); Pinf = bayestopt_.Pinf; end % ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- % 4. Kalman smoother % ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- if estim_params_.nvn if options_.kalman_algo == 1 [alphahat,epsilonhat,etahat,ahat] = DiffuseKalmanSmootherH1(T,R,Q,H,Pinf,Pstar,Y,trend,nobs,np,smpl,mf); if all(alphahat(:)==0) [alphahat,epsilonhat,etahat,ahat] = DiffuseKalmanSmootherH3(T,R,Q,H,Pinf,Pstar,Y,trend,nobs,np,smpl,mf); end elseif options_.kalman_algo == 3 [alphahat,epsilonhat,etahat,ahat] = DiffuseKalmanSmootherH3(T,R,Q,H,Pinf,Pstar,Y,trend,nobs,np,smpl,mf); end else if options_.kalman_algo == 1 [alphahat,etahat,ahat] = DiffuseKalmanSmoother1(T,R,Q,Pinf,Pstar,Y,trend,nobs,np,smpl,mf); if all(alphahat(:)==0) [alphahat,etahat,ahat] = DiffuseKalmanSmoother3(T,R,Q,Pinf,Pstar,Y,trend,nobs,np,smpl,mf); end elseif options_.kalman_algo == 3 [alphahat,etahat,ahat] = DiffuseKalmanSmoother3(T,R,Q,Pinf,Pstar,Y,trend,nobs,np,smpl,mf); end end