// See fs2000.mod in the examples/ directory for details on the model var m P c e W R k d n l gy_obs gp_obs y dA; varexo e_a e_m; parameters alp bet gam mst rho psi del; alp = 0.33; bet = 0.99; gam = 0.003; mst = 1.011; rho = 0.7; psi = 0.787; del = 0.02; model; dA = exp(gam+e_a); log(m) = (1-rho)*log(mst) + rho*log(m(-1))+e_m; -P/(c(+1)*P(+1)*m)+bet*P(+1)*(alp*exp(-alp*(gam+log(e(+1))))*k^(alp-1)*n(+1)^(1-alp)+(1-del)*exp(-(gam+log(e(+1)))))/(c(+2)*P(+2)*m(+1))=0; W = l/n; -(psi/(1-psi))*(c*P/(1-n))+l/n = 0; R = P*(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(-alp)/W; 1/(c*P)-bet*P*(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)/(m*l*c(+1)*P(+1)) = 0; c+k = exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)+(1-del)*exp(-(gam+e_a))*k(-1); P*c = m; m-1+d = l; e = exp(e_a); y = k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a)); gy_obs = dA*y/y(-1); gp_obs = (P/P(-1))*m(-1)/dA; end; steady_state_model; dA = exp(gam); gst = 1/dA; m = mst; khst = ( (1-gst*bet*(1-del)) / (alp*gst^alp*bet) )^(1/(alp-1)); xist = ( ((khst*gst)^alp - (1-gst*(1-del))*khst)/mst )^(-1); nust = psi*mst^2/( (1-alp)*(1-psi)*bet*gst^alp*khst^alp ); n = xist/(nust+xist); P = xist + nust; k = khst*n; l = psi*mst*n/( (1-psi)*(1-n) ); c = mst/P; d = l - mst + 1; y = k^alp*n^(1-alp)*gst^alp; R = mst/bet; W = l/n; ist = y-c; q = 1 - d; e = 1; gp_obs = m/dA; gy_obs = dA; end; shocks; var e_a; stderr 0.014; var e_m; stderr 0.005; end; steady; check; estimated_params; alp, beta_pdf, 0.356, 0.02; bet, beta_pdf, 0.993, 0.002; gam, normal_pdf, 0.0085, 0.003; mst, normal_pdf, 1.0002, 0.007,1.0002-3*0.007,1.0002+3*0.007; rho, beta_pdf, 0.129, 0.05; psi, beta_pdf, 0.65, 0.05; del, beta_pdf, 0.01, 0.005; stderr e_a, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.035449, inf; stderr e_m, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.008862, inf; end; varobs gp_obs gy_obs; options_.solve_tolf = 1e-12; estimation(order=1,datafile=fsdat_simul,nobs=192,loglinear,mh_replic=3000,mh_nblocks=1,mh_jscale=0.8,moments_varendo,selected_variables_only,contemporaneous_correlation,smoother,forecast=8, geweke_interval = [0.19 0.49], taper_steps = [4 7 15], raftery_lewis_diagnostics, raftery_lewis_qrs=[0.025 0.01 0.95], bayesian_irf,posterior_nograph, additional_optimizer_steps=[4] ) y m; if ~isequal(options_.convergence.geweke.taper_steps,[4 7 15]') || ~isequal(options_.convergence.geweke.geweke_interval,[0.19 0.49]) error('Interface for Geweke diagnostics not working') end if ~isequal(options_.convergence.rafterylewis.qrs,[0.025 0.01 0.95]) || ~isequal(options_.convergence.rafterylewis.indicator,1) error('Interface for Raftery/Lewis diagnostics not working') end %test load_mh_file option options_.bayesian_irf=0; options_.smoother=0; options_.moments_varendo=0; options_.forecast=0; copyfile([M_.dname filesep 'metropolis' filesep M_.dname '_mh1_blck1.mat'],[M_.dname '_mh1_blck1.mat']) estimation(mode_compute=0,mode_file='fs2000/Output/fs2000_mode',order=1, datafile=fsdat_simul, nobs=192, loglinear, mh_replic=1500, mh_nblocks=1, mh_jscale=0.8); hh=eye(size(bayestopt_.name,1)); save('fs2000/Output/fs2000_mode.mat','hh','-append') Laplace = oo_.MarginalDensity.LaplaceApproximation; %save Laplace approximation which will be overwritten with set hh otherwise estimation(mode_compute=0,mode_file='fs2000/Output/fs2000_mode',order=1, datafile=fsdat_simul, nobs=192, loglinear, mh_replic=1500, mh_nblocks=1, mh_jscale=10,load_mh_file); temp1=load([M_.dname '_mh1_blck1.mat']); temp2=load([M_.dname filesep 'metropolis' filesep M_.dname '_mh1_blck1.mat']); if ~isoctave if max(max(abs(temp1.x2-temp2.x2)))>1e-10 error('Adding draws did not result in the same chain') end end if ~exist([M_.dname filesep 'Output'],'dir') mkdir(M_.dname,'Output'); end save([M_.dname filesep 'Output' filesep 'fs2000_results.mat'], 'oo_'); options_.load_results_after_load_mh=1; estimation(mode_compute=0,mode_file='fs2000/Output/fs2000_mode',order=1, datafile=fsdat_simul, nobs=192, loglinear, mh_replic=0, mh_nblocks=1, mh_jscale=10,load_mh_file,smoother) gy_obs gp_obs; oo_.MarginalDensity.LaplaceApproximation = Laplace; %reset correct Laplace %test prior sampling options_.prior_draws=100; options_.no_graph.posterior=0; prior_posterior_statistics('prior',dataset_,dataset_info); %get smoothed and filtered objects and forecasts