% Copyright (C) 2001 Michel Juillard % function dr=dr11(iorder,dr,cheik) global M_ options_ oo_ global it_ stdexo_ means_ dr1_test_ bayestopt_ % hack for Bayes global dr1_test_ bayestopt_ options_ = set_default_option(options_,'loglinear',0); xlen = M_.maximum_lead + M_.maximum_lag + 1; klen = M_.maximum_lag + M_.maximum_lead + 1; iyv = transpose(M_.lead_lag_incidence); iyv = iyv(:); iyr0 = find(iyv) ; it_ = M_.maximum_lag + 1 ; if M_.exo_nbr == 0 oo_.exo_steady_state = [] ; end if ~ M_.lead_lag_incidence(M_.maximum_lag+1,:) > 0 error ('Error in model specification: some variables don"t appear as current') ; end if ~cheik % if xlen > 1 % error (['SS: stochastic exogenous variables must appear only at the' ... % ' current period. Use additional endogenous variables']) ; % end end if M_.maximum_lead > 1 & iorder > 1 error (['Models with leads on more than one period can only be solved' ... ' at order 1']) end dr=set_state_space(dr); kstate = dr.kstate; kad = dr.kad; kae = dr.kae; nstatic = dr.nstatic; nfwrd = dr.nfwrd; npred = dr.npred; nboth = dr.nboth; order_var = dr.order_var; nd = size(kstate,1); sdyn = M_.endo_nbr - nstatic; tempex = oo_.exo_simul; it_ = M_.maximum_lag + 1; z = repmat(dr.ys,1,klen); z = z(iyr0) ; %M_.jacobia=real(diffext('ff1_',[z; oo_.exo_steady_state])) ; %M_.jacobia=real(jacob_a('ff1_',[z; oo_.exo_steady_state])) ; [junk,M_.jacobia] = feval([M_.fname '_dynamic'],z,oo_.exo_simul); oo_.exo_simul = tempex ; tempex = []; nz = size(z,1); k1 = M_.lead_lag_incidence(find([1:klen] ~= M_.maximum_lag+1),:); b = M_.jacobia(:,M_.lead_lag_incidence(M_.maximum_lag+1,order_var)); a = b\M_.jacobia(:,nonzeros(k1')); if any(isinf(a(:))) dr1_test_(1) = 5; dr1_test_(2) = bayestopt_.penalty; end if M_.exo_nbr fu = b\M_.jacobia(:,nz+1:end); end if M_.maximum_lead == 0 & M_.maximum_lag == 1; % backward model with one lag dr.ghx = -a; dr.ghu = -fu; return; elseif M_.maximum_lead == 0 & M_.maximum_lag > 1 % backward model with lags on more than % one period e = zeros(endo_nbr,nd); k = find(kstate(:,2) <= M_.maximum_lag+1 & kstate(:,4)); e(:,k) = -a(:,kstate(k,4)) ; dr.ghx = e; dr.ghu = -fu; end % buildind D and E d = zeros(nd,nd) ; e = d ; k = find(kstate(:,2) >= M_.maximum_lag+2 & kstate(:,3)); d(1:sdyn,k) = a(nstatic+1:end,kstate(k,3)) ; k1 = find(kstate(:,2) == M_.maximum_lag+2); a1 = eye(sdyn); e(1:sdyn,k1) = -a1(:,kstate(k1,1)-nstatic); k = find(kstate(:,2) <= M_.maximum_lag+1 & kstate(:,4)); e(1:sdyn,k) = -a(nstatic+1:end,kstate(k,4)) ; k2 = find(kstate(:,2) == M_.maximum_lag+1); k2 = k2(~ismember(kstate(k2,1),kstate(k1,1))); d(1:sdyn,k2) = a1(:,kstate(k2,1)-nstatic); if ~isempty(kad) for j = 1:size(kad,1) d(sdyn+j,kad(j)) = 1 ; e(sdyn+j,kae(j)) = 1 ; end end options_ = set_default_option(options_,'qz_criterium',1.000001); if ~exist('mjdgges') % using Chris Sim's routines use_qzdiv = 1; [ss,tt,qq,w] = qz(e,d); [tt,ss,qq,w] = qzdiv(options_.qz_criterium,tt,ss,qq,w); ss1=diag(ss); tt1=diag(tt); warning_state = warning; warning off; oo_.eigenvalues = ss1./tt1 ; warning warning_state; nba = nnz(abs(eigval) > options_.qz_criterium); else use_qzdiv = 0; [ss,tt,w,sdim,oo_.eigenvalues,info] = mjdgges(e,d,options_.qz_criterium); if info & info ~= nd+2; error(['ERROR' info ' in MJDGGES.DLL']); end nba = nd-sdim; end nyf = sum(kstate(:,2) > M_.maximum_lag+1); if cheik dr.rank = rank(w(1:nyf,nd-nyf+1:end)); % dr.eigval = oo_.eigenvalues; return end eigenvalues = sort(oo_.eigenvalues); if nba > nyf; % disp('Instability !'); dr1_test_(1) = 3; %% More eigenvalues superior to unity than forward variables ==> instability. dr1_test_(2) = (abs(eigenvalues(nd-nba+1:nd-nyf))-1-1e-5)'*... (abs(eigenvalues(nd-nba+1:nd-nyf))-1-1e-5);% Distance to Blanchard-Khan conditions (penalty) return elseif nba < nyf; % disp('Indeterminacy !'); dr1_test_(1) = 2; %% ==> Indeterminacy. dr1_test_(2) = (abs(eigenvalues(nd-nyf+1:nd-nba))-1-1e-5)'*... (abs(eigenvalues(nd-nyf+1:nd-nba))-1-1e-5);% Distance to Blanchard-Khan conditions (penality) %% warning('DR1: Blanchard-Kahn conditions are not satisfied. Run CHEIK to learn more!'); return end np = nd - nyf; n2 = np + 1; n3 = nyf; n4 = n3 + 1; % derivatives with respect to dynamic state variables % forward variables if condest(w(1:n3,n2:nd)) > 1e9 % disp('Indeterminacy !!'); dr1_test_(1) = 2; dr1_test_(2) = 1; return end warning_state = warning; lastwarn(''); warning off; gx = -w(1:n3,n2:nd)'\w(n4:nd,n2:nd)'; if length(lastwarn) > 0; % disp('Indeterminacy !!'); dr1_test_(1) = 2; dr1_test_(2) = 1; warning(warning_state); return end % predetermined variables hx = w(1:n3,1:np)'*gx+w(n4:nd,1:np)'; hx = (tt(1:np,1:np)*hx)\(ss(1:np,1:np)*hx); lastwarn(''); if length(lastwarn) > 0; % disp('Singularity problem in dr11.m'); dr1_test_(1) = 2; dr1_test_(2) = 1; warning(warning_state); return end k1 = find(kstate(n4:nd,2) == M_.maximum_lag+1); k2 = find(kstate(1:n3,2) == M_.maximum_lag+2); dr.ghx = [hx(k1,:); gx(k2(nboth+1:end),:)]; %lead variables actually present in the model j3 = nonzeros(kstate(:,3)); j4 = find(kstate(:,3)); % derivatives with respect to exogenous variables if M_.exo_nbr a1 = eye(M_.endo_nbr); aa1 = []; if nstatic > 0 aa1 = a1(:,1:nstatic); end dr.ghu = -[aa1 a(:,j3)*gx(j4,1:npred)+a1(:,nstatic+1:nstatic+ ... npred) a1(:,nstatic+npred+1:end)]\fu; lastwarn(''); if length(lastwarn) > 0; % disp('Singularity problem in dr11.m'); dr1_test_(1) = 2; dr1_test_(2) = 1; return end end warning(warning_state); % static variables if nstatic > 0 temp = -a(1:nstatic,j3)*gx(j4,:)*hx; j5 = find(kstate(n4:nd,4)); temp(:,j5) = temp(:,j5)-a(1:nstatic,nonzeros(kstate(:,4))); dr.ghx = [temp; dr.ghx]; temp = []; end if options_.loglinear == 1 k = find(dr.kstate(:,2) <= M_.maximum_lag+1); klag = dr.kstate(k,[1 2]); k1 = dr.order_var; dr.ghx = repmat(1./dr.ys(k1),1,size(dr.ghx,2)).*dr.ghx.* ... repmat(dr.ys(k1(klag(:,1)))',size(dr.ghx,1),1); dr.ghu = repmat(1./dr.ys(k1),1,size(dr.ghu,2)).*dr.ghu; end % necessary when using Sims' routines if use_qzdiv gx = real(gx); hx = real(hx); dr.ghx = real(dr.ghx); dr.ghu = real(dr.ghu); end