function y_=simult_(y0,dr,ex_,iorder) % Simulates the model using a perturbation approach, given the path for the exogenous variables and the % decision rules. % % INPUTS % y0 [double] n*1 vector, initial value (n is the number of declared endogenous variables plus the number % of auxilliary variables for lags and leads) % dr [struct] matlab's structure where the reduced form solution of the model is stored. % ex_ [double] T*q matrix of innovations. % iorder [integer] order of the taylor approximation. % % OUTPUTS % y_ [double] n*(T+1) time series for the endogenous variables. % % SPECIAL REQUIREMENTS % none % Copyright (C) 2001-2011 Dynare Team % % This file is part of Dynare. % % Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify % it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by % the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or % (at your option) any later version. % % Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, % but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of % MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the % GNU General Public License for more details. % % You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License % along with Dynare. If not, see . global M_ options_ iter = size(ex_,1); y_ = zeros(size(y0,1),iter+M_.maximum_lag); y_(:,1) = y0; % stoch_simul sets k_order_solver=1 if order=3, but does so only locally, so we % have to do it here also if options_.order == 3 options_.k_order_solver = 1; end if ~options_.k_order_solver if iorder==1 y_(:,1) = y_(:,1)-dr.ys; end end if options_.k_order_solver% Call dynare++ routines. ex_ = [zeros(1,M_.exo_nbr); ex_]; switch options_.order case 1 [err, y_] = dynare_simul_(1,dr.nstatic,dr.npred-dr.nboth,dr.nboth,dr.nfwrd,M_.exo_nbr, ... y_(dr.order_var,1),ex_',M_.Sigma_e,options_.DynareRandomStreams.seed,dr.ys(dr.order_var),... zeros(M_.endo_nbr,1),dr.g_1); case 2 [err, y_] = dynare_simul_(2,dr.nstatic,dr.npred-dr.nboth,dr.nboth,dr.nfwrd,M_.exo_nbr, ... y_(dr.order_var,1),ex_',M_.Sigma_e,options_.DynareRandomStreams.seed,dr.ys(dr.order_var),dr.g_0, ... dr.g_1,dr.g_2); case 3 [err, y_] = dynare_simul_(3,dr.nstatic,dr.npred-dr.nboth,dr.nboth,dr.nfwrd,M_.exo_nbr, ... y_(dr.order_var,1),ex_',M_.Sigma_e,options_.DynareRandomStreams.seed,dr.ys(dr.order_var),dr.g_0, ... dr.g_1,dr.g_2,dr.g_3); otherwise error(['order = ' int2str(order) ' isn''t supported']) end mexErrCheck('dynare_simul_', err); y_(dr.order_var,:) = y_; else if options_.block if M_.maximum_lag > 0 k2 = dr.state_var; else k2 = []; end; order_var = 1:M_.endo_nbr; dr.order_var = order_var; else k2 = dr.kstate(find(dr.kstate(:,2) <= M_.maximum_lag+1),[1 2]); k2 = k2(:,1)+(M_.maximum_lag+1-k2(:,2))*M_.endo_nbr; order_var = dr.order_var; end; switch iorder case 1 if isempty(dr.ghu)% For (linearized) deterministic models. for i = 2:iter+M_.maximum_lag yhat = y_(order_var(k2),i-1); y_(order_var,i) = dr.ghx*yhat; end elseif isempty(dr.ghx)% For (linearized) purely forward variables (no state variables). y_(dr.order_var,:) = dr.ghu*transpose(ex_); else epsilon = dr.ghu*transpose(ex_); for i = 2:iter+M_.maximum_lag yhat = y_(order_var(k2),i-1); y_(order_var,i) = dr.ghx*yhat + epsilon(:,i-1); end end y_ = bsxfun(@plus,y_,dr.ys); case 2 constant = dr.ys(order_var)+.5*dr.ghs2; if options_.pruning y__ = y0; for i = 2:iter+M_.maximum_lag yhat1 = y__(order_var(k2))-dr.ys(order_var(k2)); yhat2 = y_(order_var(k2),i-1)-dr.ys(order_var(k2)); epsilon = ex_(i-1,:)'; [abcOut1, err] = A_times_B_kronecker_C(.5*dr.ghxx,yhat1,options_.threads.kronecker.A_times_B_kronecker_C); mexErrCheck('A_times_B_kronecker_C', err); [abcOut2, err] = A_times_B_kronecker_C(.5*dr.ghuu,epsilon,options_.threads.kronecker.A_times_B_kronecker_C); mexErrCheck('A_times_B_kronecker_C', err); [abcOut3, err] = A_times_B_kronecker_C(dr.ghxu,yhat1,epsilon,options_.threads.kronecker.A_times_B_kronecker_C); mexErrCheck('A_times_B_kronecker_C', err); y_(order_var,i) = constant + dr.ghx*yhat2 + dr.ghu*epsilon ... + abcOut1 + abcOut2 + abcOut3; y__(order_var) = dr.ys(order_var) + dr.ghx*yhat1 + dr.ghu*epsilon; end else for i = 2:iter+M_.maximum_lag yhat = y_(order_var(k2),i-1)-dr.ys(order_var(k2)); epsilon = ex_(i-1,:)'; [abcOut1, err] = A_times_B_kronecker_C(.5*dr.ghxx,yhat,options_.threads.kronecker.A_times_B_kronecker_C); mexErrCheck('A_times_B_kronecker_C', err); [abcOut2, err] = A_times_B_kronecker_C(.5*dr.ghuu,epsilon,options_.threads.kronecker.A_times_B_kronecker_C); mexErrCheck('A_times_B_kronecker_C', err); [abcOut3, err] = A_times_B_kronecker_C(dr.ghxu,yhat,epsilon,options_.threads.kronecker.A_times_B_kronecker_C); mexErrCheck('A_times_B_kronecker_C', err); y_(dr.order_var,i) = constant + dr.ghx*yhat + dr.ghu*epsilon ... + abcOut1 + abcOut2 + abcOut3; end end end end