//options_.usePartInfo=1; var MC E EF R_KF QF CF IF YF LF PIEF WF RF R_K Q C I Y L PIE W R EE_A PIE_BAR EE_B EE_G EE_L EE_I KF K one BIGTHETA; varexo E_A E_B E_G E_L E_I ETA_R E_PIE_BAR ETA_Q ETA_P ETA_W ; parameters xi_e lambda_w alpha czcap beta phi_i tau sig_c hab ccs cinvs phi_y gamma_w xi_w gamma_p xi_p sig_l r_dpi r_pie r_dy r_y rho rho_a rho_pb rho_b rho_g rho_l rho_i LMP ; alpha=.30; beta=.99; tau=0.025; ccs=0.6; cinvs=.22; //% alpha*(tau+ctrend)/R_K R_K=ctrend/beta-1+tau lambda_w = 0.5; phi_i= 6.771; sig_c= 1.353; hab= 0.573; xi_w= 0.737; sig_l= 2.400; xi_p= 0.908; xi_e= 0.599; gamma_w= 0.763; gamma_p= 0.469; czcap= 0.169; phi_y= 1.408; r_pie= 1.684; r_dpi= 0.14; rho= 0.961; r_y= 0.099; r_dy= 0.159; rho_a= 0.823; rho_b= 0.855; rho_g= 0.949; rho_l= 0.889; rho_i= 0.927; rho_pb= 0.924; LMP = 0.0 ; //NEW. model(linear, use_dll); CF = (1/(1+hab))*(CF(1)+hab*CF(-1))-((1-hab)/((1+hab)*sig_c))*(RF-PIEF(1)-EE_B) ; 0 = alpha*R_KF+(1-alpha)*WF -EE_A ; PIEF = 0*one; IF = (1/(1+beta))* (( IF(-1) + beta*(IF(1)))+(1/phi_i)*QF)+0*ETA_Q+EE_I ; QF = -(RF-PIEF(1))+(1-beta*(1-tau))*((0+czcap)/czcap)*R_KF(1)+beta*(1-tau)*QF(1) +0*EE_I ; KF = (1-tau)*KF(-1)+tau*IF(-1) ; YF = (ccs*CF+cinvs*IF)+EE_G ; YF = 1*phi_y*( alpha*KF+alpha*(1/czcap)*R_KF+(1-alpha)*LF+EE_A ) ; WF = (sig_c/(1-hab))*(CF-hab*CF(-1)) + sig_l*LF - EE_L ; LF = R_KF*((1+czcap)/czcap)-WF+KF ; EF = EF(-1)+EF(1)-EF+(LF-EF)*((1-xi_e)*(1-xi_e*beta)/(xi_e)); C = (hab/(1+hab))*C(-1)+(1/(1+hab))*C(1)-((1-hab)/((1+hab)*sig_c))*(R-PIE(1)-EE_B) ; I = (1/(1+beta))* (( I(-1) + beta*(I(1)))+(1/phi_i)*Q )+1*ETA_Q+1*EE_I ; Q = -(R-PIE(1))+(1-beta*(1-tau))*((0+czcap)/czcap)*R_K(1)+beta*(1-tau)*Q(1) +EE_I*0+0*ETA_Q ; K = (1-tau)*K(-1)+tau*I(-1) ; Y = (ccs*C+cinvs*I)+ EE_G ; Y = phi_y*( alpha*K+alpha*(1/czcap)*R_K+(1-alpha)*L ) +phi_y*EE_A ; PIE = (1/(1+beta*gamma_p))* ( (beta)*(PIE(1)) +(gamma_p)*(PIE(-1)) +((1-xi_p)*(1-beta*xi_p)/(xi_p))*(MC) ) + ETA_P ; MC = alpha*R_K+(1-alpha)*W -EE_A; W = (1/(1+beta))*(beta*W(+1)+W(-1)) +(beta/(1+beta))*(PIE(+1)) -((1+beta*gamma_w)/(1+beta))*(PIE) +(gamma_w/(1+beta))*(PIE(-1)) -(1/(1+beta))*(((1-beta*xi_w)*(1-xi_w))/(((1+(((1+lambda_w)*sig_l)/(lambda_w))))*xi_w))*(W-sig_l*L-(sig_c/(1-hab))*(C-hab*C(-1))+EE_L) +ETA_W; L = R_K*((1+czcap)/czcap)-W+K ; // R = r_dpi*(PIE-PIE(-1)) // +(1-rho)*(r_pie*(PIE(-1)-PIE_BAR)+r_y*(Y-YF)) // +r_dy*(Y-YF-(Y(-1)-YF(-1))) // +rho*(R(-1)-PIE_BAR) // +PIE_BAR // +ETA_R; R = r_dpi*(PIE-PIE(-1)) +(1-rho)*(r_pie*(BIGTHETA)+r_y*(Y-YF)) +r_dy*(Y-YF-(Y(-1)-YF(-1))) +rho*(R(-1)-PIE_BAR) +PIE_BAR +ETA_R; E = E(-1)+E(1)-E+(L-E)*((1-xi_e)*(1-xi_e*beta)/(xi_e)); EE_A = (rho_a)*EE_A(-1) + E_A; PIE_BAR = rho_pb*PIE_BAR(-1)+ E_PIE_BAR ; EE_B = rho_b*EE_B(-1) + E_B ; EE_G = rho_g*EE_G(-1) + E_G ; EE_L = rho_l*EE_L(-1) + E_L ; EE_I = rho_i*EE_I(-1) + E_I ; one = 0*one(-1) ; LMP*BIGTHETA(1) = BIGTHETA - (PIE(-1) - PIE_BAR) ; end; shocks; var E_A; stderr 0.598; var E_B; stderr 0.336; var E_G; stderr 0.325; var E_I; stderr 0.085; var E_L; stderr 3.520; var ETA_P; stderr 0.160; var ETA_W; stderr 0.289; var ETA_R; stderr 0.081; var ETA_Q; stderr 0.604; var E_PIE_BAR; stderr 0.017; end; //stoch_simul(irf=20) Y C PIE R W R_K L Q I K ; // stoch_simul generates what kind of standard errors for the shocks ? //steady; //check; //stoch_simul(periods=200,irf=20,simul_seed=3) Y C PIE MC R W R_K E L I ; //datatomfile('ddd',[]); // new syntax estimated_params; // PARAM NAME, INITVAL, LB, UB, PRIOR_SHAPE, PRIOR_P1, PRIOR_P2, PRIOR_P3, PRIOR_P4, JSCALE // PRIOR_SHAPE: BETA_PDF, GAMMA_PDF, NORMAL_PDF, INV_GAMMA_PDF stderr E_A,0.543,0.01,4,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.4,2; stderr E_PIE_BAR,0.072,0.001,4,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.02,10; stderr E_B,0.2694,0.01,4,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.2,2; stderr E_G,0.3052,0.01,4,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.3,2; stderr E_L,1.4575,0.1,6,INV_GAMMA_PDF,1,2; stderr E_I,0.1318,0.01,4,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.1,2; stderr ETA_R,0.1363,0.01,4,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.1,2; stderr ETA_Q,0.4842,0.01,4,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.4,2; stderr ETA_P,0.1731,0.01,4,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.15,2; stderr ETA_W,0.2462,0.1,4,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.25,2; rho_a,.9722,.1,.9999,BETA_PDF,0.85,0.1; rho_pb,.85,.1,.999,BETA_PDF,0.85,0.1; rho_b,.7647,.1,.99,BETA_PDF,0.85,0.1; rho_g,.9502,.1,.9999,BETA_PDF,0.85,0.1; rho_l,.9542,.1,.9999,BETA_PDF,0.85,0.1; rho_i,.6705,.1,.99,BETA_PDF,0.85,0.1; phi_i,5.2083,1,15,NORMAL_PDF,4,1.5; sig_c,0.9817,0.25,3,NORMAL_PDF,1,0.375; hab,0.5612,0.3,0.95,BETA_PDF,0.7,0.1; xi_w,0.7661,0.3,0.9,BETA_PDF,0.75,0.05; sig_l,1.7526,0.5,5,NORMAL_PDF,2,0.75; xi_p,0.8684,0.3,0.95,BETA_PDF,0.75,0.05; xi_e,0.5724,0.1,0.95,BETA_PDF,0.5,0.15; gamma_w,0.6202,0.1,0.99,BETA_PDF,0.75,0.15; gamma_p,0.6638,0.1,0.99,BETA_PDF,0.75,0.15; czcap,0.2516,0.01,2,NORMAL_PDF,0.2,0.075; phi_y,1.3011,1.001,2,NORMAL_PDF,1.45,0.125; r_pie,1.4616,1.2,2,NORMAL_PDF,1.7,0.1; r_dpi,0.1144,0.01,0.5,NORMAL_PDF,0.3,0.1; rho,0.8865,0.5,0.99,BETA_PDF,0.8,0.10; r_y,0.0571,0.01,0.2,NORMAL_PDF,0.125,0.05; r_dy,0.2228,0.05,0.5,NORMAL_PDF,0.0625,0.05; end; varobs Y C I E PIE W R; //estimation(datafile=rawdata_euromodel_1,presample=40, first_obs=1, nobs=118, lik_init=2, mode_compute=1,mh_replic=0); estimation(datafile=rawdata_euromodel_1,presample=40, first_obs=1, nobs=118,mh_jscale=0.2,mh_replic=1000 //,mode_compute=0,mode_file=sweuromodel_dll_mode ); //stoch_simul(periods=200,irf=20,simul_seed=3) Y C PIE R W R_K L Q I K ;