Commit Graph

77 Commits (fb3335f191931835723240c73bdae1e2cdc297b7)

Author SHA1 Message Date
Sébastien Villemot 8e1528c1cb
Temporary fix for growth parameter in PAC models
The preprocessor has been modified to allow linear combinations in the growth
parameter (see Dynare/preprocessor@a0f74f5c16 and
Dynare/preprocessor@d873414728).

This commit restores the previous functionality (i.e. it fixes the simple case
where only one parameter/variable is provided for the growth parameter).

The code still needs to be adapted to really handle linear combinations.
2019-09-26 17:35:31 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) e3f1ea7e3c Added upper bound to error correction parameter.
Available only for lsqnonlin, fmincon, annealing, and particleswarm algorithms.
2019-07-24 11:21:52 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 9be7568c94 Bug fix in growth neutrality correction.
An index was used instead of a parameter value when modifying the
correction (for handling models with non optimizing agents and/or models with
exogenous variables).
2019-05-17 12:27:15 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) d3db092c81
Added a cherry-pick routine.
Extracts equations from a mod file and produce .inc files (equations, lists of
parameters, endogenous variables and exogenous variables) that can be included
in a mod file that will be used to simulate the model.

If an innovation has a tag `(used='estimationonly')` it will be excluded from
the generated files (ie list of shocks and equations).
2019-03-14 11:04:10 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 52eed33c42
Fixed growth neutrality correction in presence of exogenous variables.
Also fixes growth neutrality correction in models with non optimizing
agents (correction was not taking into account the value of the share of non
optimizing agents).
2019-03-11 11:54:53 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 6997e0a4a6
Added the possibility to have exogenous variables in the optimal part of PAC.
Works with iterative ols and nls.
2019-03-08 14:34:41 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 1471b3bfce
Changegd estimator for the exogenous part of pac.estimation.iterative_ols routine. 2019-03-07 12:37:06 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 4d69674874
Partially reverts 1190cab. 2019-03-07 12:31:23 +01:00
Houtan Bastani 1190caba61
pac.estimate.nls: clean up code: remove unused variables, unused output arguments, no need for otherwise in switch 2019-03-07 11:59:59 +01:00
Houtan Bastani b844bc53a0
pac: fix bugs in output of ec component 2019-03-07 11:44:40 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 9eb64a0b64
Updated preprocessor submodule.
Fixes exogenous variables in PAC equation without non optimizing behaviour.
2019-03-06 15:39:00 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 4798c07ced
Avoid infinite loop in pac.estimation.iterative_ols(). 2019-03-05 07:21:08 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) d00b57541e
Allow exogenous variables in pac.estimation.iterative_ols routine.
The parameters associated to these additional variables can be estimated or calibrated.
2019-03-01 23:32:47 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) f07b1e8028
Account for exogenous variables in PAC's RoT part.
Fixes the iterative_ols estimation of PAC equation when the Rule of Thumbs (non
optimizing) part of the equations contains endogenous and/or exogenous variables.
2019-02-27 15:53:25 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 6500099f4e
Removed debugging display. 2019-02-27 15:08:49 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 1aa7f4a93f
Added PAC with Model Consistent Expectations. 2019-02-25 17:31:58 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) ac09ab9dbf
Removed useless condition. 2019-02-25 17:31:58 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 0af3068569
Handle situations where a PAC model is used in more than one equation. 2019-02-22 17:58:24 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) 74520e77bf
Allow for lags on endogenous variable in growth option of pac_model. 2019-01-28 11:25:30 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) 3bc6b34161
Bug fix.
Be agnostic about the name of the PAC model.
2019-01-07 13:33:08 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) c829e7968d
If possible define boundaries for the share of optimizing agents in PAC/NLS.
The parameter is constrained to be in (0,1) for the following algorithms

 - lsqnonlin (without Levenberg-Marquardt)
 - fmincon
 - annealing
 - particleswarm

Other algorithms do not allow the definition of boundaries... We should add a
penality function to the objective for these algorithms.
2018-12-19 16:05:34 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) df57bf7eb9
Fixed bug.
PAC/NLS routine was only working if the PAC model was named `pacman`.
2018-12-19 16:00:57 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) 11b24a0663
Add a constraint on the share of optimizing agents PAC/Iterative OLS.
Ensure that the parameter value lies betwwen 0 and 1.
2018-12-19 15:43:36 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) c0570ff0af
Fixed typo. 2018-12-19 15:41:32 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) 38c8462142
If NLS, do not check the ordering of estimated parameters in PAC. 2018-12-12 16:28:19 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) d501d6d511
Added interface to lsqnonlin (Mathworks' optimization toolbox) in pac.estimate.nls. 2018-11-29 10:29:55 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) e6c716ae9b
Added the possibility to use Gauss-Newton in pac/nls.
Also added the computation of the covariance matrix of the NLS estimator (using
White and Domovitz approach) and integration test.
2018-11-26 09:53:18 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) cf35496c06
Fixed bug in the evaluation of the sum of squared residuals (PAC/NLS). 2018-11-21 15:21:23 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) 7d2d0d6590
Added the possibility to estimate the share of optimizing agents by iterative OLS (PAC). 2018-11-21 15:07:15 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) a53c63d6d5
Added routines to print PAC_EXPECTATION and VAR_EXPECTATION in files.
Each new routine pac.print() and var_expectation.print(), creates two files
that can be included (using the macro language) in a mod file. The first
file, {pac,var}expectationmodename-parameters.inc saved under
{M_.fname}/model/{pac,var}expectationmodel, contains the declaration of the
parameters created for the expanded (var or pac) expectation model, with
calibrated values. The second file, {pac,var}expectationmodename-parameters.inc
saved in the same subfolder, contains the expanded version of the (pac or var)
expectation term as a linear combination of the variables in the companion
representation of the expectatino model.
2018-10-14 16:57:51 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian(Charybdis) ae71599292
Switch to new get_companion_matrix routine. 2018-09-28 19:27:17 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian(Charybdis) 031e2c87c6
New version of get_companion_matrix + new integration test.
The routine is still buggy. In PAC and VAR_EXPECTATION models we
use get_companion_matrix_legacy routine instead.
2018-09-19 17:39:48 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian(Charybdis) 2518cd9884 Raise error of an optimization algorithm is not available. 2018-09-13 16:16:07 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian(Charybdis) 2437d7034e Give access to more than one optimizer in PAC estimation (NLS).
Default is to use csminwel optimizer (because it seems to do the job and does
not rely on the Mathworks toolbox).
2018-09-13 16:15:52 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian(Charybdis) 6815624a6a Fixed bug.
Growth neutrality correction was applied twice.
2018-09-12 15:41:07 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian(Charybdis) 0f3678ec4a Fixed ordering of variables in error correction term of PAC equation
PAC equation has to be written as

diff(x) = a0*(xstar(-1)-x(-1)) + a1*diff(x(-1)) + ... + ap*diff(x(-p)) + PAC_EXPECTATION(pacmodelname) + ...;

In the error correction term, a0*(xstar(-1)-x(-1)), we must have the difference
between the target (the trend xstar(-1)) and the level of the endogenous
variable (x(-1)). To ensure stability around the trend, the parameter a0 needs
to be positive.

REMARKS

 [1] In the TREND_COMPONENT_MODEL the error correction terms are written in
 reverse order, ie as the difference betwwen the level of the endogenous
 variable and the trend variable.

 [2] In the estimation routine we do not constrain a0 to be positive, but is
 would surely help to satisfy this condition in the initial condition.
2018-09-06 22:07:31 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian(Charybdis) 74ef4d2131 Cosmetic change. 2018-09-06 13:40:43 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian(Charybdis) 5d8a1feda4 Fixed regular expression.
Data matrices were not correcty lagged for lags>1. This commit fixes the
inconsistencies (in terms of residuals) between Iterative OLS and NLS routines.
2018-09-06 13:40:27 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian(Charybdis) 940c970ff3 Use same range in NLS and Iterative OLS.
The range option is the range of data considered for the right hand side variable.
2018-09-04 09:40:47 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian(Charybdis) 6e1d06bddc Display SSR in Iterative OLS. 2018-09-03 18:01:59 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian(Charybdis) 8b1b1273c3 Fixed correction for growth neutrality.
Also added the possibility to use an endogenous variable for growth.
2018-09-03 17:57:10 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian(Charybdis) fde103d5f4 Removed debugging display. 2018-09-03 17:55:55 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian(Charybdis) a207550680 Fixed error correction term. 2018-09-03 17:53:01 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) e1b2b80d64 Small efficiency change. 2018-08-29 17:42:49 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) d23d1a470b Added the possibility to estimate PAC_EQUATION with iterative ols and non constant growth. 2018-08-29 17:42:04 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) 30b34c4323 Small efficiency changes. 2018-08-29 16:15:52 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) 36388ce28a Fixed bug in PAC_EXPECTATION.
The selection of the target variable in the error correction term was still
wrong if the target variable was not an auxiliary variable.
2018-08-28 19:23:35 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) 18a2626543 Fixed bugs in PAC_EXPECTATION.
- The selection of the target variable in the error correction term was wrong.
 - Target variables in logs were still not working.
2018-08-28 12:12:21 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) ae530293c5 Fixed bug. Trends in log where not accounted for in PAC equation. 2018-08-27 19:35:33 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemia (Scylla) cd05b9ba8f Cosmetic changes. 2018-08-22 11:49:30 +02:00