Commit Graph

6279 Commits (74ed99c6cac1df5456f197cea88ca054353c59f1)

Author SHA1 Message Date
Houtan Bastani ae921f6bf1 Merge remote-tracking branch 'rattoma/shock_decomp' 2017-03-24 16:20:47 +01:00
Houtan Bastani b5262ca1e8 Merge remote-tracking branch 'rattoma/deterministic' 2017-03-24 16:20:01 +01:00
Houtan Bastani e103462050 Merge remote-tracking branch 'rattoma/gsa' 2017-03-24 16:19:44 +01:00
Houtan Bastani 732aa8c30c Merge remote-tracking branch 'rattoma/slice' 2017-03-24 16:19:04 +01:00
Houtan Bastani 598422931b reporting: submodule update 2017-03-24 16:16:48 +01:00
Houtan Bastani b3ecc8c003 preprocessor: add plot_shock_decomposition command. closes #1406 2017-03-24 12:11:36 +01:00
Houtan Bastani b8b6228d67 graph_decomp_detail: fix bug, extra argument not referenced 2017-03-24 11:24:14 +01:00
Houtan Bastani 93130ee922 fix bug in WriteShockDecomp2Excel 2017-03-24 10:34:59 +01:00
Houtan Bastani c467c92d29 shock_decomposition: move fig_names to fig_name (fixing typo) 2017-03-24 10:34:59 +01:00
Houtan Bastani e5f1d20221 change dyn_figure to take a nodisplay and graph_format arguments as opposed to options_. closes #1415 2017-03-23 17:59:05 +01:00
Houtan Bastani 2aa85f978a change dyn_figure to take a nodisplay argument as opposed to options_. #1415 2017-03-23 14:30:16 +01:00
Marco Ratto afcb8eab35 catch M_ output argument from evaluate_smoother;
remove unused variable lead_lag_incidence
2017-03-23 08:25:14 +01:00
Marco Ratto 234aaacf92 factorized display of critical values. 2017-03-23 00:08:05 +01:00
Marco Ratto c60379ae96 upgrade call to evaluate_smoother 2017-03-22 23:32:19 +01:00
Marco Ratto 1db86865f7 better trap missing input arguments 2017-03-22 23:24:41 +01:00
Marco Ratto 99dbc8c74d bug fix with redundant call to prior_bounds 2017-03-22 23:08:18 +01:00
Marco Ratto b77791c541 ensure invhess is empty with slice for proper prior initialization of chains 2017-03-22 23:06:19 +01:00
Marco Ratto 780c1f5216 provide userdata with info on actual varlist used 2017-03-22 22:37:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto a9dd046db7 fill in end of sample conditional shock decompositions. 2017-03-22 22:30:14 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 76097a799f Added missing struct2array routine. 2017-03-22 15:20:13 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) ee2c30fd97 Partialm cherry-pick of 28e95d817a181f758dab595d6a14de0ff348bed5
Give more informations in case of NaN, Inf or non real variables.

Closes PR #1385.
2017-03-22 14:04:35 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 85fe69b265 Cosmetic change (use logicals). 2017-03-20 11:39:22 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer 9abac8ccdb Store indicator whether smoother was used with loglinear
Required to keep track of whether estimates were logged. Related to #1407
2017-03-20 11:36:10 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer 5424fde74e metropolis_draw.m: Replace round by ceil to avoid crashes when 0 draws would be used
(cherry picked from commit 2dc3ad22fdb8fedee7fdd2ed3577978bd8f37324)
2017-03-20 10:19:14 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer 94ef60556e Account for loglinear option when reading in M_.endo_histval
(cherry picked from commit d088420c21eba397459015b6a957c7eff7eafc36)
2017-03-20 09:37:58 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer 6e268c34d4 Cosmetic fixes to dynare_estimation_init.m
(cherry picked from commit 7ea24165c0a26393753c58170f74fab3f7076b3e)
2017-03-20 09:27:04 +01:00
Marco Ratto 9427b58bfd add parameter names to mean file, to ensure same behavior of standard mode files. 2017-03-19 12:19:24 +01:00
Marco Ratto 389123d0b5 bug fixes. 2017-03-19 12:19:24 +01:00
Marco Ratto 121333d913 currently, the mode_file specified by the user is re-set to empty. This re-sets mode_file to the user defined value. 2017-03-19 12:19:24 +01:00
Marco Ratto b916d788f4 trap cases where both point and posterior estimates are available 2017-03-19 12:19:24 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) a869f5a2c4 Updated m-unit-tests submodule. 2017-03-19 12:15:22 +01:00
Marco Ratto 2b28ba70d9 Make remote parallel computation compatible with new steadystate and auxiliary variable files 2017-03-18 17:28:44 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 6c21d44968 Fixed encoding.
For a non identified an enconding issue was leading scatter_plots function to crash...
2017-03-18 16:28:30 +01:00
Marco Ratto d1550293bf bug fix for the rare case where r2 does not change for some observable 2017-03-18 10:27:36 +01:00
Marco Ratto 576b2d0f85 end-of-line fix 2017-03-18 10:27:36 +01:00
Marco Ratto 0845aa8430 Fixed header and license of GSA. 2017-03-18 10:27:36 +01:00
Marco Ratto a40a854a59 Set copyright for pick.m 2017-03-18 10:27:36 +01:00
Marco Ratto 0f07d17d8c Introduced scatter plot analysis of output results, borrowing from by GLUWIN toolbox. 2017-03-18 10:27:36 +01:00
Marco Ratto a47f6fc2ca - save also info on selected endo names
- bug fix for one single endo variable
- when nograph, no older plot is deleted
2017-03-18 10:27:36 +01:00
Marco Ratto 0752d6a8e6 Trap incompatible user define options in a more transparent way. Fixes #1016. 2017-03-18 10:27:36 +01:00
Marco Ratto a5a086040b Bug fixes for latex and to new smooth* files saved by posterior sampler 2017-03-18 10:27:36 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) e71ed1bad6 Partially revert f70f45d1271e716498a8761a8e8476f54da3607d. Do not discard repetitions. 2017-03-18 00:06:15 +01:00
Marco Ratto c02de3c652 fixed text to error message 2017-03-18 00:06:15 +01:00
Marco Ratto e180e2f075 1) fixed while for b index
2) ensure there are no repeated draws in sub-draws;
3) speed-up subdraw sampling when all retained draws are used.
2017-03-18 00:06:15 +01:00
Marco Ratto 20b0fc8bac update mh_mode with slice and load_mh_file 2017-03-18 00:06:15 +01:00
Marco Ratto 1e3e2f70a9 set posterior sampler options when load_mh_file 2017-03-18 00:06:15 +01:00
Marco Ratto 49b45a3ba7 sampler options to be set also when load_mh_file = 1 2017-03-18 00:06:15 +01:00
Marco Ratto fd8073720e For very short chains, maximize the max number of sub_draws across chains 2017-03-18 00:06:15 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) bc6c6fc486 Removed remaining calls or references to cputime. 2017-03-17 22:49:01 +01:00
Marco Ratto a68e958cf7 As agreed in #1375, moved treatment of filtered_vars in dynare_estimation_init.m 2017-03-17 15:43:00 +01:00
Marco Ratto 4f93c3df15 proper use of varlist in smoothed variables + sort in alphabetic order to find more easily plots for large numbers of variables. 2017-03-17 15:43:00 +01:00
Marco Ratto 4b2d139c7a - store oo_.FilteredVariablesKStepAheadVariances only if options_.filter_covariance. this can save a lot of memory for large models
- oo_.FilteredVariables must be stored independently to a previous MCMC. evaluate_smoother must in any case provide full info in oo_
- options_.filtered_vars does not always imply filtered variables are computed. options_.nk is more robust.
2017-03-17 15:43:00 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 510bbe200e Bug fix (wrong number of output arguments when calling evaluate_smoother). 2017-03-17 15:09:05 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 0adb065b7e Bug fix (wrong count of the number of output arguments). 2017-03-17 14:21:53 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer 5d8d5e90d8 evaluate_smoother.m: pass updated M_.params and oo_ back to base workspace
Closes #1373
2017-03-17 13:15:39 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) b6a8887da3 Bug fix (missing declaration of freq if initial_date is empty). 2017-03-17 12:42:00 +01:00
Marco Ratto 6b64c47ec2 Bug fix with stored shock_decomp options 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto ab21c383a6 Added check for change in options_.nobs, for rolling calls to smoother
Use select_qz_criterium_value
to fix all cases where the default
options_.qz_criterium = [];
is passed to evaluate_smoother and dataset_ is already set.

qz_criterium also set to fix evaluate_likelihood.m for similar issues
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 19cc38b39e allow to start from quarterly growth rate variables 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto ce6f76713d cosmetic change 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 7a6b4f3464 extra option about choosing the time periods for which to plot decompositions 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 1920fb0bfe fixed timing bugs in annualized shock decomposition 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto d7723877cf bug fixes for annualized nominal variables 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto ac43beb801 bug fix with 'others' in conditional decomposition 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 9005054c6f optional output argument for plot_shock_decomposition.m + several fixes to annualized computations and plots. 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 39c3cf7718 bug fix with realtime conditional shock decomp 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto a8107e154a added new annual aggregation types, for consistent quantity/price aggregations, if required. 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto cb3362b89d missing utility for xls export of shock decomps. 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 5a51e9cc78 fixed zero line in all cases 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto a50a4f458a Bug fix: all shock decomp options need to be stored in mydata for uimenu's. 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto e21c887775 bug fix with steady state option 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 61d55127ed Fixed bug with naming of screen option 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto e7442bcf78 added geometric average.
Set neutral type names, replacing stock/flow/deflator.
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 46d6e59c9a small fix to file names 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto bfe6d04bf2 - Added the possibility to compute annualized variables and associated decompositions out of quarterly ones, without blowing up variable definitions
- Fixed call to plot realtime conditional shock decomposition
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto bb4ecbf5a8 Realtime conditional forecast is better computed as residual from the realtime shock decomposition and the model unconditional forecast 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto a7ae355e8f Fixed dating issues in some plot shock decomps 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 441d34a6ee Fixed bug with realtime conditional shock decompo 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto f87e240b30 Some better diversification of fig names and captions 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 92f79a14f4 Added realtime conditional forecast shock decomposition 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 3bebeb1832 Legend for detailed plots 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 3fdf7be6e8 - removed useless internal option fig_mode
- better captions/figure nsmes
- moved plots to graphs subdir
- fixed latex issuea [label and caption].
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 10773e2cbb results of realtime_shock_decomposition.m should be plotted using only plot_shock_decomposition.m, so avoid unexpectable behavior. 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto d304fd26c1 shock_decomposition.m has to rely on plot_shock_decomposition.m, to make behaviour robust. 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto c2d2c46edf fixed figure name 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 02b3e20377 allow uimenu's also for colored graphs + better organization of userdata info 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 4ff586247e bug fix in Others group label 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 2c54d4432a - Bug fix with screen_shocks option
- fix to figure title
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto ad55e1b085 initialize screen_shocks option of shock decomp 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 9e73a9e86b add steady state line 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 94297b71cc bug fixes around plot_shock_decomposition.m utilities 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 0bf30889f9 Fixed header + bug fix for default options + set only local nograph 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto e3c825f01a fixed header 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 73e5650dcc Revert "shock_decomposition should also follow global options_.nograph"
This reverts commit 01971dbeb032642421f60b468517fbbe0995a222.
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto ba7802204f end of lines 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto d2d6e19d87 fixes around default options in shock decompositions 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 7733484912 New utility plot_shock_decomposition.m
new graph_decomp_detail.m for detailed plots of shock contributions
new expand_group.m for optional uimenu operation in case of grouped shocks.
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 3ed94b2e46 New realtime_shock_decomposition.m routine + provisions in global initialization 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto 4a314f7f8a shock_decomposition should also follow global options_.nograph 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto a092cc3b73 Set default graph options and extend graph_decomp.m accordingly. 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto e174d04579 - New option init_state [options_.shock_decomp.init_state] to compute the shock decomposition conditional to the state variables in period 1;
- force plot_priors=0
- when grouping shocks, include the residual group Others, since user defined groups may not add up to the smoothed variable.
2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto f27f210654 New utility for changing M_.params only locally 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Marco Ratto a6f7e02d17 added utilities for optimal distinguishable colors. 2017-03-17 12:41:59 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 06326d4477 Fixed bug introduced in cad7adc01f. 2017-03-16 18:14:23 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) dbffe2a841 Do not check boundaries if the model is not estimated. 2017-03-16 15:50:44 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) cc34e16458 Set temporarily mode_compute and mh_replic to zero if estim_params_ is empty. 2017-03-16 15:45:08 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) cad7adc01f Added routine for testing if we are currently estimating a model. 2017-03-16 15:03:46 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 5f5c093b2e Renamed isestimation function + Cosmetic changes. 2017-03-16 15:00:02 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian d0ab90275b Merge pull request #1402 from JohannesPfeifer/prior_asymptote
Add warning if prior has an asymptote
2017-03-15 16:33:10 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 1ff816d7bf Updates particles submodule. 2017-03-15 16:30:29 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 4f3b35acba Account for Matlab 2017a.
(cherry picked from commit f3a1619040fbb831830791424015d3d3bf8bdbae)
2017-03-13 23:42:48 +01:00
Houtan Bastani 9f7b084970 Merge branch 'master' into json 2017-03-10 17:20:15 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer 87fc09863d Add warning if prior has an asymptote
Can happen with beta and gamma distribution. Closes #1401
2017-03-10 15:16:33 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer 56edaf5cb0 Fix check for existence of dname variable 2017-03-07 13:55:29 +01:00
Houtan Bastani 5063020c5d Merge branch 'master' into json 2017-03-03 14:42:25 +01:00
Houtan Bastani ed3e74994f preprocessor: add onlyjson option to allow exit upon writing of JSON output. #1387 2017-02-28 14:34:22 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 927b813ed8 Removed printing of debugging info.
Introduced in ffebf6b262.
2017-02-15 13:35:33 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) ffebf6b262 Check positive steady state for loglinear option...
1e-9 is too far from zero. Set 1e-16 as a threshold value for the positivity test.
2017-02-15 12:41:56 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 9fbef0c107 Removed penalty_hessian routine.
+ Code factorization.
 + Added an option for using the penalized objective when computing numerically
 the hessian at the mode.

Previous behaviour (introduced with penalty_hessian routine) was to compute the
hessian matrix at the mode with the penalized objective function (instead of
the original objective function). This behaviour hides problematic situations,
where the computed hessian (using the original objective) would not be full
rank. For instance, if the estimation ends up with a parameter on (or very
close to) the bounds of its possible values (which is often not a desirable
outcome), the estimated posterior variance would be zero for this
parameter (with the original objective) because the hessian is not finite in
this direction, while the posterior variance would be positive if the penalized
objective is used instead. But this estimate would not be reliable by
construction of the penalty which is quite ad-hoc (more fundamentally I do not
think that there exists any rational for approximating the covariance matrix
with the inverse of the hessian matrix if the mode is on the border of the set
of possible values).

This commit restore the behaviour previous to 2446ab02ba.

An option is available for computing the hessian with the penalized
objective function.
2017-02-08 13:07:25 +00:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 5b73d7d59c Added new optimization routine (particleswarm).
Only available under Matlab if the Global Optimization Toolbox is installed.
2017-02-08 13:07:25 +00:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 35078e13ee Completed header + cosmetic changes. 2017-02-08 13:07:25 +00:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 8d4abe4a9f Cosmetic changes. 2017-02-08 13:07:24 +00:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) e71e89bb38 Added check on Octave version. 2017-02-08 13:07:24 +00:00
Houtan Bastani d05dd34d30 preprocessor: write JSON output. #1387 2017-02-06 17:41:18 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 62c954ff12 Fixes #1287. 2017-01-25 22:13:36 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 0b1b873160 Updated dseries submodule.
Fixes remaining Octave failing unit tests.
2017-01-25 09:18:28 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer 875497bc71 Unit test lpdfgweibull.m: adjust upper integration bound under Octave
Does not correctly integrate otherwise as more than 99% of support is 0
2017-01-18 11:01:13 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer ce4ab7f7d8 Unit test wblinv.m under Octave: adjust tolerance 2017-01-18 10:59:53 +01:00
Houtan Bastani 12b8a915e9 submodule update: reporting 2017-01-09 16:20:15 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian ba9af24a67 Merge pull request #1370 from JohannesPfeifer/updated_variables
Output UpdatedVariables in oo_ without filtered_variables
2017-01-05 11:50:06 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian 4dfec0d7fb Merge pull request #1369 from JohannesPfeifer/disp_dr_aux_var
disp_dr: Add case for aux_vars.type==0
2017-01-05 10:44:44 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian 77a93d6ff9 Merge pull request #1362 from JohannesPfeifer/MCMC_jumping_covariance
Moving loading of MCMC_jumping_covariance to after display of standar…
2017-01-05 09:02:59 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian b464226eaa Merge pull request #1358 from JohannesPfeifer/nograph
Implement posterior_nograph option
2017-01-05 06:52:08 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian 90982d5fa0 Merge pull request #1357 from rattoma/parallel
Provisions for new node option NumberOfThreadsPerJob. Document option
2017-01-04 23:29:24 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Lupi) c893c0620c Merge branch 'pr#1354' 2017-01-04 15:12:32 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer 2c5b1fed2d Use master function lyapunov_solver.m to call individual solvers 2017-01-04 11:25:44 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian b946d3c082 Merge pull request #1353 from JohannesPfeifer/Plot_posterior
PlotPosteriorDistributions.m: remove eval commands and fix typo in "m…
2017-01-04 11:20:06 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer e815c2b4db Output UpdatedVariables in oo_ without filtered_variables
Makes it consistent with manual and closes #1366
2017-01-04 10:57:00 +01:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Karaba) 515e080f49 Do not compute static residuals if steady state routine failed.
Avoids cryptic model dependent error message.
2017-01-04 10:26:22 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer 65c402469c disp_dr: Add case for aux_vars.type==0
Closes #1367
2017-01-04 09:14:01 +01:00
Marco Ratto 3c892170ef Fixed bug with getting CPU number on mac [see #1272 #838] 2017-01-03 19:24:18 +01:00
Marco Ratto ee7611c8ad added note to commented text, as an alternate option, should bugs/problems be reported with line 60 2017-01-03 19:15:53 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer 7b4fc9ec4a Moving loading of MCMC_jumping_covariance to after display of standard errors and computation of Laplace approximation
Closes #1255
2016-12-27 12:07:22 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer d8b0495c77 Make PosteriorIRF.m and pm3.m honor nograph and posterior_nograph option 2016-12-26 13:11:01 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer 452d3cd986 Implement preprocessor interface for posterior_nograph option 2016-12-26 13:07:46 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer 28d4ed1918 Finish implementation and documentation of nograph option of shock_decomposition.m 2016-12-26 12:52:28 +01:00
Marco Ratto 4ecf1d9f5d Workaround to avoid popup figures with nodisplay option saved as fig in MATLAB. 2016-12-20 09:14:48 +01:00
Marco Ratto a55cbdd5fe Provisions for new node option NumberOfThreadsPerJob. Document option 2016-12-19 23:28:46 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer 352786c2b4 load_mh_file: recompute results by default and load on request
Prevents general overwriting of results in oo_ and having stale results
2016-12-19 19:37:34 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer 5707b4d965 Make evaluate_smoother.m output former global variables for correct updating of these objects 2016-12-18 12:43:29 +01:00