Commit Graph

1605 Commits (547b7aef4549f39d103bff5daefb0cf208a6c8ec)

Author SHA1 Message Date
Stéphane Adjemian (Ryûk) 547b7aef45
Activate integration test for NLS estimation. 2021-07-15 17:39:41 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Ryûk) 14bc82b287
Add single equation estimation by NLS.
Ref. #1798.

See example in tests/estimation/example_nls.mod.
2021-07-15 16:55:49 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Ryûk) 2b4572affd
Allow arbitrary nonzero mean exogenous variables in PAC equations.
Previously any nonzero mean exogenous variable had to be centered on
the growth rate (first difference) of the (PAC's LHS) endogenous
variable.
2021-07-11 17:06:53 +02:00
Sébastien Villemot abd64c256e
New perfect_foresight_with_expectation_errors_{setup,solver} commands
These command solve the problem where agents think they know perfectly the
future (they behave as in perfect foresight), but make expectation errors.
Hence they can potentially be surprised in every period, and their expectations
about the future (incl. the final steady state) may change.

Currently the sequence of information sets needs to be passed through a CSV
file. Another interface may be added in the future.

The algorithm uses a sequence of (true) perfect foresight simulations (not
necessarily as many as there are periods, because if the information set does
not change between two periods, there is no need to do a new computation).

There are two possibilities for guess values:
— the default is to use the initial steady state for the simulation using the
  first-period information set; then use previously simulated values as guess
  values
— alternatively, with the terminal_steady_state_as_guess_value option, use the
  terminal steady state as guess value for all future periods (this is actually
  what the “true” perfect foresight solver does by default)
2021-07-09 18:16:46 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Ryûk) fe63082c42
Add lagged information set in VAR based expectations. 2021-07-06 23:06:46 +02:00
Johannes Pfeifer f7a232061a
Remove unused options_-output
Prevents accidentally changing something
2021-06-22 18:17:11 +02:00
Sébastien Villemot 18a172bd45
Merge branch 'mcp_ramsey' of git.dynare.org:JohannesPfeifer/dynare
See merge request !1874
2021-06-16 17:41:40 +02:00
Sébastien Villemot 88b427f7bc
Compatibility fix for MATLAB R2014a
MATLAB R2014a does not like the syntax “abs(x).data” where “x” is a dseries.
2021-06-16 17:41:40 +02:00
Johannes Pfeifer 1d10659b59 get_complementarity_conditions.m: fix equation numbering with ramsey_model
M_.equation_tags already contains the correct equation number
2021-06-16 13:21:49 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Ryuk) 2a5ed79be5
Do not run MCMC after online filter (integration test) 2021-06-15 22:09:35 +02:00
Normann Rion 3d27672c58
kth-order approximation of conditional welfare
Partially addresses issue #1680:
- unconditional welfare resorts to dynare++ simulation tools, which shall be updated very soon
TO DO:
- implement a function computing kth-order approximation of simulated moments of y
2021-06-15 15:04:31 +02:00
Sébastien Villemot 2952d18343
Testsuite: improve and integrate unit test for A·(B⊗C) MEX files
In particular, add a test for the sparse A·(B⊗C) where B≠C.
2021-06-14 15:28:34 +02:00
Johannes Pfeifer 0116870399 pruned_state_space: handle shocks with 0 variances 2021-06-11 14:15:31 +02:00
Sébastien Villemot 766fff88f6
Use secure URL for link to GNU licenses 2021-06-09 17:35:05 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 27ee801a67
Add specialized version of sim1 for static models.
Also add an integration test and fix homotopy error message.
2021-05-28 14:11:34 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) 9867203f25
Reduce simulation length in integration test.
Also removed commented codes.

Closes #1857
2021-05-28 13:56:13 +02:00
Johannes Pfeifer f78ac9f5ac
EP with MCP: add test case 2021-05-28 13:49:58 +02:00
Sébastien Villemot abe8a05b43 Merge branch 'smoother_redux' into 'master'
Implement new option smoother_redux, to allow fast smoother for very large...

See merge request Dynare/dynare!1859
2021-05-27 16:33:21 +00:00
Sébastien Villemot c4e0cd0565 Merge branch 'posterior_smoother' into 'master'
prior_posterior_statistics_core.m: filter out cases where model does not solve

See merge request Dynare/dynare!1860
2021-05-27 16:09:19 +00:00
Marco Ratto 5fa6265944 Implement new option smoother_redux, to allow fast smoother for very large models. It runs smoother only for state variables and computes the remaining ones ex-post
Contains improvements, in order to recover as much as possible static unobserved (filtered, smoothed, updated, k-step ahead), Variance, State_uncertainty, k-step ahead variances trying to map lagged states onto current ones using pinv(T). This has exceptions (namely lagged shocks which are ONLY used to recover static NON observed variables). this exception is also trapped.
For such extensions we can only recover smoothed variables starting from d+1. Variances CANNOT be recovered for such variables (the smoother gives ZERO.)
2021-05-27 16:59:15 +02:00
Johannes Pfeifer 5d1d5b8a85 prior_posterior_statistics_core.m: filter out cases where model does not solve
Relax qz_criterium by factor of 10, when taking posterior subdraws. Also makes sure `prior` option works as intended.
2021-05-27 16:46:28 +02:00
Marcoo Ratto 1645f38269
Implement heteroskedastic filter and smoother 2021-05-26 18:45:16 +02:00
Johannes Pfeifer 456dc86ad1 identification: support optimal policy
Related to https://git.dynare.org/Dynare/dynare/-/merge_requests/1837
2021-05-14 13:38:42 +02:00
Sébastien Villemot cf37b5151a
Testsuite: indicate that glibc bug has been fixed in version 2.34
[skip ci]
2021-05-11 18:54:07 +02:00
Sébastien Villemot 0d6bc47158
Merge branch 'rattoma/dynare-mh_initialize_from_previous_mcmc'
Ref. !1841
2021-05-11 18:51:57 +02:00
Marco Ratto a0f2b2399b
New option mh_initialize_from_previous_mcmc that allows to pick initial values for a new MCMC from a previous one
If an additional parameter is estimated, it is initialized using prior_draw.
2021-05-11 18:48:43 +02:00
Sébastien Villemot 3c7865a950
Merge branch 'rattoma/dynare-initial_estimation_checks_errors'
Ref. !1839
2021-05-07 17:52:45 +02:00
Marco Ratto 74121c2aee
New no_init_estimation_check_first_obs option that allows to skip check of singularity in first observation
(like deficient # of shocks in the presence of stockflow observed)
2021-05-07 17:51:03 +02:00
Sébastien Villemot 749fc219e5
Testsuite: increase test tolerance under Octave for ecb/SURGibbs/fulton_fish.mod 2021-05-05 15:43:19 +02:00
Sébastien Villemot 62e42e08a8
Testsuite: more fixes related to stochastic block decomposition + mfs > 0
Ref. #1726
2021-05-05 10:15:52 +02:00
Sébastien Villemot 04ba15e5cc
Preprocessor: forbid check and stoch_simul in block-decomposed mode with mfs > 0
Closes: #1726
2021-05-04 17:18:20 +02:00
Sébastien Villemot 58b2bc78c3
Testsuite: check that stochastic solution in block decomposition mode is correct
Only test with mfs=0, since the result is wrong for other mfs values.

Ref. #1726
2021-05-04 16:31:44 +02:00
Sébastien Villemot ef58f1329a
Testsuite: factorize code between block decomposition tests based on LOLA model
By the way, move tests files under tests/block_bytecode/, which is a more
natural place.

Ref. #1726
2021-05-04 16:17:37 +02:00
Sébastien Villemot d6677f66a4
Testsuite: adapt histvalf_initvalf unit tests following previous commit 2021-04-20 12:17:23 +02:00
Sébastien Villemot caef9e266b
Preprocessor: fix crash in DataTree::operator=() with model local variables
Also add a regression test.

Closes: #1782
2021-04-16 17:36:08 +02:00
Stéphane Adjemian (Charybdis) a03b65bab7
Honour option solve_algo with backward models in perfect_foresight_solver. 2021-04-08 20:31:40 +02:00
Sébastien Villemot d68fc14fed
Build system: remove trailing whitespace in Makefile 2021-03-29 15:27:47 +02:00
Sébastien Villemot 559b0b5679
Source package: fix name of ms-sbvar datafile
Bug introduced in 11f8f9c7f4
2021-03-17 18:11:40 +01:00
Sébastien Villemot 11f8f9c7f4
MATLAB R2021a compatibility: rename datafile for ms-sbvar tests
The datafile was name “data.m”, and for some unidentified reason, this stopped
working with MATLAB R2021a.
2021-03-17 17:41:27 +01:00
Sébastien Villemot 47477e152a
Bump minimal Octave version to 6.2.0 2021-03-12 16:21:57 +01:00
Sébastien Villemot c9eb6920c9
local_state_space_iteration_k MEX: fix bug in output
In its output, the MEX was returning values for all endogenous variables, but
it was used in a context where only the variables from oo_.dr.restrict_var_list
were expected (as is done with local_state_space_iteration_2 MEX).

This commit fixes this discrepancy, and also fixes the test that was checking
that both MEX are returning the same output.

Closes: #1768
2021-03-10 13:45:29 +01:00
Normann Rion 9db1265892 Asssesing welfare in perfect-foresight frameworks
Ref. #1680
2021-02-25 15:12:28 +01:00
Sébastien Villemot 9066d31dd7 Merge branch 'ramsey_problem' into 'master'
Ref. #1680 : 2nd-order welfare

See merge request Dynare/dynare!1828
2021-02-23 16:08:53 +00:00
Normann Rion f532de0f29 Adds the discretionary case to the evaluate_planner_objective function 2021-02-18 12:00:44 +01:00
Normann Rion e880d1bcc3 Ref. #1680: 2nd-order welfare 2021-02-17 13:53:55 +01:00
Sébastien Villemot a51bdf8948
Merge branch 'smoother2histval' of git.dynare.org:JohannesPfeifer/dynare
Ref. !1831
2021-02-16 16:58:59 +01:00
Johannes Pfeifer 788e05b2fd smoother2histval: add test case for correctness 2021-02-16 11:25:46 +01:00
Sébastien Villemot 7cbb86bb64
Testsuite: rename estimation/univariate/ols/ols.mod
Under Octave, the +ols folder conflicts with the builtin ols() function.
2021-02-09 16:58:07 +01:00
Sébastien Villemot e4af502360
Testsuite / pac: Octave compatibility fix
Use a different random seed under Octave for several tests.

Note that these tests seems fragile. Changing the seed under MATLAB often leads
to a failure.
2021-02-04 16:01:35 +01:00
Sébastien Villemot f094dc71f9
Testsuite / pac/trend-component-19-growth-comb: fix accuracy check
The test was using the comparison operator (>) on a dseries. This would give a
bogus (false) result under MATLAB, and would crash under Octave.
2021-02-04 16:01:30 +01:00