Conditional forecast test: remove spurious changes introduced in dfa744fcb3
As a consequence, reactivate the teststime-shift
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3c5ce6aab9
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f594c27fd5
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@ -13,7 +13,6 @@ rho = 0.7;
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psi = 0.787;
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del = 0.02;
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//model(block, bytecode);
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model;
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dA = exp(gam+e_a);
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log(m) = (1-rho)*log(mst) + rho*log(m(-1))+e_m;
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@ -57,41 +56,18 @@ steady;
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check;
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//stoch_simul(irf=0);
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stoch_simul(irf=0);
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conditional_forecast_paths;
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var gp_obs;
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periods 1 2:5;
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//values 0.05;
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//values 0.98 1.00797;
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values 0.98 0.99;
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//expectation perfect_foresight;
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var gy_obs;
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periods 1 2 3:5;
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//values 0.01 -0.02 0;
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//values 0.85 0.85 0.95;
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values 0.95 0.95 0.99;
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//expectation perfect_foresight;
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values 0.01 -0.02 0;
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var gp_obs;
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periods 1:5;
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values 0.05;
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end;
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options_.stack_solve_algo = 0;
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options_.maxit_ = 50;
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conditional_forecast(parameter_set=calibration, controlled_varexo=(e_a,e_m));
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error('Test disabled, enters an infinite loop')
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plot_conditional_forecast(periods=10) gy_obs gp_obs;
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conditional_forecast(parameter_set=calibration, controlled_varexo=(e_m,e_a), simulation_type = deterministic);
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/*shocks;
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var e_a;
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periods 1 2 3 4 5;
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values -0.0109 -0.0122 -0.0137 -0.0154 -0.0173;
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var e_m;
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periods 1 2 3 4 5;
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values -0.1242 -0.0386 -0.0392 -0.0398 -0.0405;
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end;
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simul(periods=40);*/
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rplot gy_obs;
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rplot gp_obs;
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//if ~(exist('OCTAVE_VERSION') && octave_ver_less_than('3.4.0'))
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//plot_conditional_forecast(periods=10) gy_obs gp_obs;
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//end
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@ -97,8 +97,6 @@ varobs gp_obs gy_obs;
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options_.solve_tolf = 1e-12;
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error('Test disabled, enters an infinite loop')
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// Metropolis replications are too few, this is only for testing purpose
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estimation(order=1,datafile=fsdat_simul,nobs=192,loglinear,mh_replic=10000,mh_nblocks=1,mh_jscale=0.8);
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