copying tests from version 3 to version 4
git-svn-id: https://www.dynare.org/svn/dynare/dynare_v4@10 ac1d8469-bf42-47a9-8791-bf33cf982152time-shift
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var dx dy x y;
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varexo e_x e_y;
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parameters rho_x rho_y;
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rho_x = 0.5;
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rho_y = -0.3;
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model;
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dx = rho_x*dx(-1)+e_x;
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dy = rho_y*dy(-1)+e_y;
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x = x(-1)+dx;
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y = y(-1)+dy;
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end;
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shocks;
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var e_x; stderr 0.01;
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var e_y; stderr 0.01;
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end;
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stoch_simul(order=1,periods=1000,irf=0,nomoments);
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save data1 dx dy x y;
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var dx dy;
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varexo e_x e_y;
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parameters rho_x rho_y;
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rho_x = 0.5;
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rho_y = -0.3;
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model;
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dx = rho_x*dx(-1)+e_x;
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dy = rho_y*dy(-1)+e_y;
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end;
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estimated_params;
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rho_x,NORMAL_PDF,0.5,0.1;
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rho_y,NORMAL_PDF,-0.3,0.1;
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stderr e_x,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.01,inf;
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stderr e_y,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.01,inf;
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end;
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varobs dx dy;
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check;
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estimation(datafile=data1,nobs=1000,mh_replic=2000);
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@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
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var dx dy x y;
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varexo e_x e_y;
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parameters rho_x rho_y;
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rho_x = 0.5;
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rho_y = -0.3;
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model;
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dx = rho_x*dx(-1)+e_x;
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dy = rho_y*dy(-1)+e_y;
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x = x(-1)+dx;
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y = y(-1)+dy;
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end;
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estimated_params;
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rho_x,NORMAL_PDF,0.5,0.1;
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rho_y,NORMAL_PDF,-0.3,0.1;
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stderr e_x,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.01,inf;
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stderr e_y,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.01,inf;
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end;
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varobs x y;
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options_.unit_root_vars = {'x'; 'y'};
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estimation(datafile=data1,nobs=1000,mh_replic=0,load_mh_file,mode_compute=0,mode_file=mod1b_mode,lik_init=2);
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var dx dy x y;
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varexo e_x e_y;
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parameters rho_x rho_y;
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rho_x = 0.5;
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rho_y = -0.3;
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model;
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dx = rho_x*dx(-1)+e_x;
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dy = rho_y*dy(-1)+e_y;
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x = x(-1)+dx;
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y = y(-1)+dy;
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end;
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estimated_params;
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rho_x,NORMAL_PDF,0.5,0.1;
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rho_y,NORMAL_PDF,-0.3,0.1;
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stderr e_x,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.01,inf;
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stderr e_y,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.01,inf;
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stderr x,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.01,inf;
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stderr y,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.01,inf;
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end;
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varobs x y;
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options_.unit_root_vars = {'x'; 'y'};
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estimation(datafile=data1,nobs=1000,mh_replic=2000,lik_init=2);
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var dx dy x y;
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varexo e_x e_y;
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parameters rho_x rho_y b a1 a2;
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rho_x = 0.5;
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rho_y = -0.3;
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b = 1;
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a1 = -0.1;
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a2 = 0.2;
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model;
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dx = rho_x*dx(-1)+a1*(x(-1)-b*y(-1))+e_x;
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dy = rho_y*dy(-1)+a2*(x(-1)-b*y(-1))+e_y;
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x = x(-1)+dx;
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y = y(-1)+dy;
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end;
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shocks;
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var e_x; stderr 0.01;
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var e_y; stderr 0.01;
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end;
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stoch_simul(order=1,periods=1000,irf=0,nomoments);
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save data2 dx dy x y;
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var dx dy x y;
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varexo e_x e_y;
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parameters rho_x rho_y b a1 a2;
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rho_x = 0.5;
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rho_y = -0.3;
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b = 1;
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a1 = -0.1;
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a2 = 0.2;
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model;
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dx = rho_x*dx(-1)+a1*(x(-1)-b*y(-1))+e_x;
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dy = rho_y*dy(-1)+a2*(x(-1)-b*y(-1))+e_y;
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x = x(-1)+dx;
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y = y(-1)+dy;
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end;
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estimated_params;
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rho_x,NORMAL_PDF,0.5,0.1;
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rho_y,NORMAL_PDF,-0.3,0.1;
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b,NORMAL_PDF,1,0.1;
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a1,NORMAL_PDF,-0.1,0.1;
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a2,NORMAL_PDF,0.2,0.1;
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stderr e_x,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.01,inf;
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stderr e_y,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.01,inf;
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end;
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varobs dx dy;
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options_.unit_root_vars = {'x'; 'y'};
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estimation(datafile=data2,nobs=100,mh_replic=0,lik_init=2);
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var dx dy x y;
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varexo e_x e_y;
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parameters rho_x rho_y b a1 a2;
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rho_x = 0.5;
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rho_y = -0.3;
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b = 1;
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a1 = -0.1;
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a2 = 0.2;
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model;
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dx = rho_x*dx(-1)+a1*(x(-1)-b*y(-1))+e_x;
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dy = rho_y*dy(-1)+a2*(x(-1)-b*y(-1))+e_y;
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x = x(-1)+dx;
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y = y(-1)+dy;
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end;
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estimated_params;
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rho_x,NORMAL_PDF,0.5,0.1;
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rho_y,NORMAL_PDF,-0.3,0.1;
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b,NORMAL_PDF,1,0.1;
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a1,NORMAL_PDF,-0.1,0.1;
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a2,NORMAL_PDF,0.2,0.1;
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stderr e_x,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.01,inf;
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stderr e_y,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.01,inf;
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end;
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varobs x y;
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options_.unit_root_vars = {'x'; 'y'};
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estimation(datafile=data2,nobs=100,mh_replic=0,lik_init=2);
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var dx dy coint_err;
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varexo e_x e_y;
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parameters rho_x rho_y b a1 a2;
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rho_x = 0.5;
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rho_y = -0.3;
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b = 1;
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a1 = -0.1;
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a2 = 0.2;
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model;
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dx = rho_x*dx(-1)+a1*coint_err(-1)+e_x;
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dy = rho_y*dy(-1)+a2*coint_err(-1)+e_y;
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coint_err = dx-b*dy+coint_err(-1);
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end;
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estimated_params;
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rho_x,NORMAL_PDF,0.5,0.1;
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rho_y,NORMAL_PDF,-0.3,0.1;
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b,NORMAL_PDF,1,0.1;
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a1,NORMAL_PDF,-0.1,0.1;
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a2,NORMAL_PDF,0.2,0.1;
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stderr e_x,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.01,inf;
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stderr e_y,INV_GAMMA_PDF,0.01,inf;
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end;
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varobs dx dy;
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estimation(datafile=data2,nobs=100,mh_replic=0);
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// example 1 from Collard's guide to Dynare
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var y, c, k, a, h, b;
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varexo e,u;
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parameters beta, rho, beta, alpha, delta, theta, psi, tau;
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alpha = 0.36;
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rho = 0.95;
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tau = 0.025;
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beta = 0.99;
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delta = 0.025;
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psi = 0;
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theta = 2.95;
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phi = 0.1;
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model;
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c*theta*h^(1+psi)=(1-alpha)*y;
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k = beta*(((exp(b)*c)/(exp(b(+1))*c(+1)))
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*(exp(b(+1))*alpha*y(+1)+(1-delta)*k));
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y = exp(a)*(k(-1)^alpha)*(h^(1-alpha));
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k = exp(b)*(y-c)+(1-delta)*k(-1);
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a = rho*a(-1)+tau*b(-1) + e;
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b = tau*a(-1)+rho*b(-1) + u;
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end;
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initval;
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y = 1.08068253095672;
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c = 0.80359242014163;
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h = 0.29175631001732;
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k = 5;
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a = 0;
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b = 0;
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e = 0;
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u = 0;
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end;
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shocks;
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var e; stderr 0.009;
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var u; stderr 0.009;
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var e, u = phi*0.009*0.009;
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end;
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stoch_simul(periods=2100);
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// example 2 from Collard's guide to Dynare
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var y, c, k, a, h, b;
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varexo e,u;
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parameters beta, rho, beta, alpha, delta, theta, psi, tau ;
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alpha = 0.36;
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rho = 0.95;
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tau = 0.025;
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beta = 0.99;
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delta = 0.025;
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psi = 0;
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theta = 2.95;
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model;
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exp(c)*theta*exp(h)^(1+psi)=(1-alpha)*exp(y);
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exp(k) = beta*(((exp(b)*exp(c))/(exp(b(+1))*exp(c(+1))))
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*(exp(b(+1))*alpha*exp(y(+1))+(1-delta)*exp(k)));
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exp(y) = exp(a)*(exp(k(-1))^alpha)*(exp(h)^(1-alpha));
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exp(k) = exp(b)*(exp(y)-exp(c))+(1-delta)*exp(k(-1));
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a = rho*a(-1)+tau*b(-1) + e;
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b = tau*a(-1)+rho*b(-1) + u;
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end;
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initval;
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y = 0.1;
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c = -0.2;
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h = -1.2;
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k = 2.4;
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a = 0;
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b = 0;
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e = 0;
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u = 0;
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end;
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steady;
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shocks;
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var e = 0.009^2;
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var u = 0.009^2;
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end;
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stoch_simul(dr_algo=1,drop=200);
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// This file replicates the estimation of the CIA model from
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// Frank Schorfheide (2000) "Loss function-based evaluation of DSGE models"
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// Journal of Applied Econometrics, 15, 645-670.
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// the data are the ones provided on Schorfheide's web site with the programs.
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// http://www.econ.upenn.edu/~schorf/programs/dsgesel.ZIP
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// You need to have fsdat.m in the same directory as this file.
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// This file replicates:
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// -the posterior mode as computed by Frank's Gauss programs
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// -the parameter mean posterior estimates reported in the paper
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// -the model probability (harmonic mean) reported in the paper
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// This file was tested with dyn_mat_test_0218.zip
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// the smooth shocks are probably stil buggy
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//
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// The equations are taken from J. Nason and T. Cogley (1994)
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// "Testing the implications of long-run neutrality for monetary business
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// cycle models" Journal of Applied Econometrics, 9, S37-S70.
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// Note that there is an initial minus sign missing in equation (A1), p. S63.
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//
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// Michel Juillard, February 2004
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var m P c e W R k d n l gy_obs gp_obs y dA;
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varexo e_a e_m;
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parameters alp bet gam mst rho psi del;
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alp = 0.33;
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bet = 0.99;
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gam = 0.003;
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mst = 1.011;
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rho = 0.7;
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psi = 0.787;
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del = 0.02;
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model;
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dA = exp(gam+e_a);
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log(m) = (1-rho)*log(mst) + rho*log(m(-1))+e_m;
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-P/(c(+1)*P(+1)*m)+bet*P(+1)*(alp*exp(-alp*(gam+log(e(+1))))*k^(alp-1)*n(+1)^(1-alp)+(1-del)*exp(-(gam+log(e(+1)))))/(c(+2)*P(+2)*m(+1))=0;
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W = l/n;
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-(psi/(1-psi))*(c*P/(1-n))+l/n = 0;
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R = P*(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(-alp)/W;
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1/(c*P)-bet*P*(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)/(m*l*c(+1)*P(+1)) = 0;
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c+k = exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)+(1-del)*exp(-(gam+e_a))*k(-1);
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P*c = m;
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m-1+d = l;
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e = exp(e_a);
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y = k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a));
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gy_obs = dA*y/y(-1);
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gp_obs = (p/p(-1))*m(-1)/dA;
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end;
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initval;
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k = 6;
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m = mst;
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P = 2.25;
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c = 0.45;
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e = 1;
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W = 4;
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R = 1.02;
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d = 0.85;
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n = 0.19;
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l = 0.86;
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y = 0.6;
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gy_obs = exp(gam);
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gp_obs = exp(-gam);
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dA = exp(gam);
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end;
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shocks;
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var e_a; stderr 0.014;
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var e_m; stderr 0.005;
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end;
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steady;
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estimated_params;
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alp, beta_pdf, 0.356, 0.02;
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bet, beta_pdf, 0.993, 0.002;
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gam, normal_pdf, 0.0085, 0.003;
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mst, normal_pdf, 1.0002, 0.007;
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rho, beta_pdf, 0.129, 0.223;
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psi, beta_pdf, 0.65, 0.05;
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del, beta_pdf, 0.01, 0.005;
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stderr e_a, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.035449, inf;
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stderr e_m, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.008862, inf;
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end;
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varobs gp_obs gy_obs;
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estimation(datafile=fsdat,nobs=192,loglinear,mh_replic=2000,mh_nblocks=5,mh_jscale=0.8);
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@ -0,0 +1,101 @@
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// This file replicates the estimation of the CIA model from
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// Frank Schorfheide (2000) "Loss function-based evaluation of DSGE models"
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// Journal of Applied Econometrics, 15, 645-670.
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// the data are the ones provided on Schorfheide's web site with the programs.
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// http://www.econ.upenn.edu/~schorf/programs/dsgesel.ZIP
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// You need to have fsdat.m in the same directory as this file.
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// This file replicates:
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// -the posterior mode as computed by Frank's Gauss programs
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// -the parameter mean posterior estimates reported in the paper
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// -the model probability (harmonic mean) reported in the paper
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// This file was tested with dyn_mat_test_0218.zip
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// the smooth shocks are probably stil buggy
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//
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// The equations are taken from J. Nason and T. Cogley (1994)
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// "Testing the implications of long-run neutrality for monetary business
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// cycle models" Journal of Applied Econometrics, 9, S37-S70.
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// Note that there is an initial minus sign missing in equation (A1), p. S63.
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//
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// Michel Juillard, February 2004
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var m P c e W R k d n l gy_obs gp_obs Y_obs P_obs y dA;
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varexo e_a e_m;
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parameters alp bet gam mst rho psi del;
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alp = 0.33;
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bet = 0.99;
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gam = 0.003;
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mst = 1.011;
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rho = 0.7;
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psi = 0.787;
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del = 0.02;
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model;
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dA = exp(gam+e_a);
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log(m) = (1-rho)*log(mst) + rho*log(m(-1))+e_m;
|
||||
-P/(c(+1)*P(+1)*m)+bet*P(+1)*(alp*exp(-alp*(gam+log(e(+1))))*k^(alp-1)*n(+1)^(1-alp)+(1-del)*exp(-(gam+log(e(+1)))))/(c(+2)*P(+2)*m(+1))=0;
|
||||
W = l/n;
|
||||
-(psi/(1-psi))*(c*P/(1-n))+l/n = 0;
|
||||
R = P*(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(-alp)/W;
|
||||
1/(c*P)-bet*P*(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)/(m*l*c(+1)*P(+1)) = 0;
|
||||
c+k = exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)+(1-del)*exp(-(gam+e_a))*k(-1);
|
||||
P*c = m;
|
||||
m-1+d = l;
|
||||
e = exp(e_a);
|
||||
y = k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a));
|
||||
gy_obs = dA*y/y(-1);
|
||||
gp_obs = (p/p(-1))*m(-1)/dA;
|
||||
Y_obs/Y_obs(-1) = gy_obs;
|
||||
P_obs/P_obs(-1) = gp_obs;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
initval;
|
||||
k = 6;
|
||||
m = mst;
|
||||
P = 2.25;
|
||||
c = 0.45;
|
||||
e = 1;
|
||||
W = 4;
|
||||
R = 1.02;
|
||||
d = 0.85;
|
||||
n = 0.19;
|
||||
l = 0.86;
|
||||
y = 0.6;
|
||||
gy_obs = exp(gam);
|
||||
gp_obs = exp(-gam);
|
||||
dA = exp(gam);
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
shocks;
|
||||
var e_a; stderr 0.014;
|
||||
var e_m; stderr 0.005;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
steady;
|
||||
|
||||
check;
|
||||
|
||||
estimated_params;
|
||||
alp, beta_pdf, 0.356, 0.02;
|
||||
bet, beta_pdf, 0.993, 0.002;
|
||||
gam, normal_pdf, 0.0085, 0.003;
|
||||
mst, normal_pdf, 1.0002, 0.007;
|
||||
rho, beta_pdf, 0.129, 0.223;
|
||||
psi, beta_pdf, 0.65, 0.05;
|
||||
del, beta_pdf, 0.01, 0.005;
|
||||
stderr e_a, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.035449, inf;
|
||||
stderr e_m, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.008862, inf;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
varobs P_obs Y_obs;
|
||||
|
||||
observation_trends;
|
||||
P_obs (log(exp(gam)/mst));
|
||||
Y_obs (gam);
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
options_.unit_root_vars = {'P_obs'; 'Y_obs'};
|
||||
|
||||
//stoch_simul(order=1,nomoments,irf=0);
|
||||
estimation(datafile=fsdat,nobs=192,loglinear,mh_replic=5000,mh_nblocks=10,mh_drop=0.45,lik_init=2);
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,53 @@
|
|||
% computes the steady state of fs2000 analyticaly
|
||||
% largely inspired by the program of F. Schorfheide
|
||||
function [ys,check] = fs2000a_steadystate(junk,ys)
|
||||
global alp bet gam mst rho psi del;
|
||||
|
||||
check = 0;
|
||||
|
||||
dA = exp(gam);
|
||||
gst = 1/dA;
|
||||
m = mst;
|
||||
|
||||
khst = ( (1-gst*bet*(1-del)) / (alp*gst^alp*bet) )^(1/(alp-1));
|
||||
xist = ( ((khst*gst)^alp - (1-gst*(1-del))*khst)/mst )^(-1);
|
||||
nust = psi*mst^2/( (1-alp)*(1-psi)*bet*gst^alp*khst^alp );
|
||||
n = xist/(nust+xist);
|
||||
p = xist + nust;
|
||||
k = khst*n;
|
||||
|
||||
l = psi*mst*n/( (1-psi)*(1-n) );
|
||||
c = mst/p;
|
||||
d = l - mst + 1;
|
||||
y = k^alp*n^(1-alp)*gst^alp;
|
||||
r = mst/bet;
|
||||
w = l/n;
|
||||
ist = y-c;
|
||||
q = 1 - d;
|
||||
|
||||
e = 1;
|
||||
|
||||
gp_obs = m/dA;
|
||||
gy_obs = dA;
|
||||
|
||||
P_obs = 1;
|
||||
Y_obs = 1;
|
||||
|
||||
ys =[
|
||||
c
|
||||
d
|
||||
dA
|
||||
e
|
||||
gp_obs
|
||||
gy_obs
|
||||
k
|
||||
l
|
||||
m
|
||||
n
|
||||
p
|
||||
P_obs
|
||||
r
|
||||
w
|
||||
y
|
||||
Y_obs
|
||||
];
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,210 @@
|
|||
data_q = [
|
||||
18.02 1474.5 150.2
|
||||
17.94 1538.2 150.9
|
||||
18.01 1584.5 151.4
|
||||
18.42 1644.1 152
|
||||
18.73 1678.6 152.7
|
||||
19.46 1693.1 153.3
|
||||
19.55 1724 153.9
|
||||
19.56 1758.2 154.7
|
||||
19.79 1760.6 155.4
|
||||
19.77 1779.2 156
|
||||
19.82 1778.8 156.6
|
||||
20.03 1790.9 157.3
|
||||
20.12 1846 158
|
||||
20.1 1882.6 158.6
|
||||
20.14 1897.3 159.2
|
||||
20.22 1887.4 160
|
||||
20.27 1858.2 160.7
|
||||
20.34 1849.9 161.4
|
||||
20.39 1848.5 162
|
||||
20.42 1868.9 162.8
|
||||
20.47 1905.6 163.6
|
||||
20.56 1959.6 164.3
|
||||
20.62 1994.4 164.9
|
||||
20.78 2020.1 165.7
|
||||
21 2030.5 166.5
|
||||
21.2 2023.6 167.2
|
||||
21.33 2037.7 167.9
|
||||
21.62 2033.4 168.7
|
||||
21.71 2066.2 169.5
|
||||
22.01 2077.5 170.2
|
||||
22.15 2071.9 170.9
|
||||
22.27 2094 171.7
|
||||
22.29 2070.8 172.5
|
||||
22.56 2012.6 173.1
|
||||
22.64 2024.7 173.8
|
||||
22.77 2072.3 174.5
|
||||
22.88 2120.6 175.3
|
||||
22.92 2165 176.045
|
||||
22.91 2223.3 176.727
|
||||
22.94 2221.4 177.481
|
||||
23.03 2230.95 178.268
|
||||
23.13 2279.22 179.694
|
||||
23.22 2265.48 180.335
|
||||
23.32 2268.29 181.094
|
||||
23.4 2238.57 181.915
|
||||
23.45 2251.68 182.634
|
||||
23.51 2292.02 183.337
|
||||
23.56 2332.61 184.103
|
||||
23.63 2381.01 184.894
|
||||
23.75 2422.59 185.553
|
||||
23.81 2448.01 186.203
|
||||
23.87 2471.86 186.926
|
||||
23.94 2476.67 187.68
|
||||
24 2508.7 188.299
|
||||
24.07 2538.05 188.906
|
||||
24.12 2586.26 189.631
|
||||
24.29 2604.62 190.362
|
||||
24.35 2666.69 190.954
|
||||
24.41 2697.54 191.56
|
||||
24.52 2729.63 192.256
|
||||
24.64 2739.75 192.938
|
||||
24.77 2808.88 193.467
|
||||
24.88 2846.34 193.994
|
||||
25.01 2898.79 194.647
|
||||
25.17 2970.48 195.279
|
||||
25.32 3042.35 195.763
|
||||
25.53 3055.53 196.277
|
||||
25.79 3076.51 196.877
|
||||
26.02 3102.36 197.481
|
||||
26.14 3127.15 197.967
|
||||
26.31 3129.53 198.455
|
||||
26.6 3154.19 199.012
|
||||
26.9 3177.98 199.572
|
||||
27.21 3236.18 199.995
|
||||
27.49 3292.07 200.452
|
||||
27.75 3316.11 200.997
|
||||
28.12 3331.22 201.538
|
||||
28.39 3381.86 201.955
|
||||
28.73 3390.23 202.419
|
||||
29.14 3409.65 202.986
|
||||
29.51 3392.6 203.584
|
||||
29.94 3386.49 204.086
|
||||
30.36 3391.61 204.721
|
||||
30.61 3422.95 205.419
|
||||
31.02 3389.36 206.13
|
||||
31.5 3481.4 206.763
|
||||
31.93 3500.95 207.362
|
||||
32.27 3523.8 208
|
||||
32.54 3533.79 208.642
|
||||
33.02 3604.73 209.142
|
||||
33.2 3687.9 209.637
|
||||
33.49 3726.18 210.181
|
||||
33.95 3790.44 210.737
|
||||
34.36 3892.22 211.192
|
||||
34.94 3919.01 211.663
|
||||
35.61 3907.08 212.191
|
||||
36.29 3947.11 212.708
|
||||
37.01 3908.15 213.144
|
||||
37.79 3922.57 213.602
|
||||
38.96 3879.98 214.147
|
||||
40.13 3854.13 214.7
|
||||
41.05 3800.93 215.135
|
||||
41.66 3835.21 215.652
|
||||
42.41 3907.02 216.289
|
||||
43.19 3952.48 216.848
|
||||
43.69 4044.59 217.314
|
||||
44.15 4072.19 217.776
|
||||
44.77 4088.49 218.338
|
||||
45.57 4126.39 218.917
|
||||
46.32 4176.28 219.427
|
||||
47.07 4260.08 219.956
|
||||
47.66 4329.46 220.573
|
||||
48.63 4328.33 221.201
|
||||
49.42 4345.51 221.719
|
||||
50.41 4510.73 222.281
|
||||
51.27 4552.14 222.933
|
||||
52.35 4603.65 223.583
|
||||
53.51 4605.65 224.152
|
||||
54.65 4615.64 224.737
|
||||
55.82 4644.93 225.418
|
||||
56.92 4656.23 226.117
|
||||
58.18 4678.96 226.754
|
||||
59.55 4566.62 227.389
|
||||
61.01 4562.25 228.07
|
||||
62.59 4651.86 228.689
|
||||
64.15 4739.16 229.155
|
||||
65.37 4696.82 229.674
|
||||
66.65 4753.02 230.301
|
||||
67.87 4693.76 230.903
|
||||
68.86 4615.89 231.395
|
||||
69.72 4634.88 231.906
|
||||
70.66 4612.08 232.498
|
||||
71.44 4618.26 233.074
|
||||
72.08 4662.97 233.546
|
||||
72.83 4763.57 234.028
|
||||
73.48 4849 234.603
|
||||
74.19 4939.23 235.153
|
||||
75.02 5053.56 235.605
|
||||
75.58 5132.87 236.082
|
||||
76.25 5170.34 236.657
|
||||
76.81 5203.68 237.232
|
||||
77.63 5257.26 237.673
|
||||
78.25 5283.73 238.176
|
||||
78.76 5359.6 238.789
|
||||
79.45 5393.57 239.387
|
||||
79.81 5460.83 239.861
|
||||
80.22 5466.95 240.368
|
||||
80.84 5496.29 240.962
|
||||
81.45 5526.77 241.539
|
||||
82.09 5561.8 242.009
|
||||
82.68 5618 242.52
|
||||
83.33 5667.39 243.12
|
||||
84.09 5750.57 243.721
|
||||
84.67 5785.29 244.208
|
||||
85.56 5844.05 244.716
|
||||
86.66 5878.7 245.354
|
||||
87.44 5952.83 245.966
|
||||
88.45 6010.96 246.46
|
||||
89.39 6055.61 247.017
|
||||
90.13 6087.96 247.698
|
||||
90.88 6093.51 248.374
|
||||
92 6152.59 248.928
|
||||
93.18 6171.57 249.564
|
||||
94.14 6142.1 250.299
|
||||
95.11 6078.96 251.031
|
||||
96.27 6047.49 251.65
|
||||
97 6074.66 252.295
|
||||
97.7 6090.14 253.033
|
||||
98.31 6105.25 253.743
|
||||
99.13 6175.69 254.338
|
||||
99.79 6214.22 255.032
|
||||
100.17 6260.74 255.815
|
||||
100.88 6327.12 256.543
|
||||
101.84 6327.93 257.151
|
||||
102.35 6359.9 257.785
|
||||
102.83 6393.5 258.516
|
||||
103.51 6476.86 259.191
|
||||
104.13 6524.5 259.738
|
||||
104.71 6600.31 260.351
|
||||
105.39 6629.47 261.04
|
||||
106.09 6688.61 261.692
|
||||
106.75 6717.46 262.236
|
||||
107.24 6724.2 262.847
|
||||
107.75 6779.53 263.527
|
||||
108.29 6825.8 264.169
|
||||
108.91 6882 264.681
|
||||
109.24 6983.91 265.258
|
||||
109.74 7020 265.887
|
||||
110.23 7093.12 266.491
|
||||
111 7166.68 266.987
|
||||
111.43 7236.5 267.545
|
||||
111.76 7311.24 268.171
|
||||
112.08 7364.63 268.815
|
||||
];
|
||||
%GDPD GDPQ GPOP
|
||||
|
||||
series = zeros(193,2);
|
||||
series(:,2) = data_q(:,1);
|
||||
series(:,1) = 1000*data_q(:,2)./data_q(:,3);
|
||||
|
||||
Y_obs = series(:,1);
|
||||
P_obs = series(:,2);
|
||||
|
||||
series = series(2:193,:)./series(1:192,:);
|
||||
|
||||
gy_obs = series(:,1);
|
||||
gp_obs = series(:,2);
|
||||
|
||||
ti = [1950:0.25:1997.75];
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,4 @@
|
|||
function test(a,b,n)
|
||||
if max(max(abs(a)-abs(b))) > 1e-5
|
||||
error(['Test error in test ' int2str(n)])
|
||||
end
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,100 @@
|
|||
data = [0.928467646476 11.8716889412 20 0.418037507392 0.227382377518 ...
|
||||
-0.705994063083 11.7522582094 21.25 1.09254424511 -1.29488274994 ...
|
||||
-0.511895351926 9.68144025625 17.25 -1.66150408407 0.331508393098 ...
|
||||
-0.990955971267 10.0890781236 17 1.43016275252 -2.43589670141 ...
|
||||
-0.981233061806 12.1094840679 18.25 2.91293288733 -0.790246576864 ...
|
||||
-0.882182844512 8.54559460406 15 0.419579139481 0.358729719566 ...
|
||||
-0.930893002836 6.19238374422 12.5 -1.48847457959 0.739779938797 ...
|
||||
1.53158206947 2.76544271886 11.5 -0.336216769682 0.455559918769 ...
|
||||
2.2659052834 5.47418162513 11 0.306436789767 -0.0707985731221 ...
|
||||
1.05419803797 6.35698426189 11 0.140700250477 0.620401487202 ...
|
||||
1.20161076793 3.4253301593 11 0.461296492351 0.14354323987 ...
|
||||
1.73934077971 4.70926070322 11.5 1.35798282982 0.38564694435 ...
|
||||
1.71735262584 3.54232079749 12.5 2.9097529155 -0.804308583301 ...
|
||||
0.426343657844 3.32719108897 13 1.64214862652 -1.18214664701 ...
|
||||
1.67751812324 2.93444727338 11.25 0.344434910651 -1.6529373719 ...
|
||||
1.37013301099 4.72303361923 11.75 2.61511526582 0.327684243041 ...
|
||||
0.281231073781 4.4893853071 10.5 1.17043449257 1.12855106649 ...
|
||||
1.53638992834 3.7325309699 10.25 -0.683947046728 0.11943538737 ...
|
||||
1.68081431462 3.34729969129 10 1.41159342106 -1.59065680853 ...
|
||||
-0.343321601133 5.05563513564 12 1.75117366498 -2.40127764642 ...
|
||||
0.873415608666 3.2779996255 10.25 -1.39895866711 0.0971444398216 ...
|
||||
0.26399696544 4.78229419828 9.75 0.0914692438124 0.299310457612 ...
|
||||
-0.562233624818 3.88598638237 9.75 -0.0505384765105 0.332826708151 ...
|
||||
2.15161914936 3.84859710132 8.75 -3.44811080489 0.789138678784 ...
|
||||
1.2345093726 5.62225030942 9.5 -0.366945407434 2.32974981198 ...
|
||||
1.62554967459 4.24667132831 10 -0.800958371402 0.0293183770935 ...
|
||||
1.33035402527 2.75248979249 9.75 -0.855723113225 0.852493939813 ...
|
||||
1.52078814077 3.53415985826 9.75 -3.37963469203 -1.05133958119 ...
|
||||
1.16704983697 4.92754079464 10.75 -3.0142303324 0.459907431978 ...
|
||||
0.277213572101 4.55532133037 11.75 -0.851995599415 2.03242034852 ...
|
||||
0.842215068977 3.11164509647 12.25 -1.08290421696 0.014323281961 ...
|
||||
1.05325028606 4.92882647578 13.5 -1.1953883867 0.706764750654 ...
|
||||
0.453051253568 6.82998950103 13.5 0.111803656462 0.088462593153 ...
|
||||
0.199885995525 5.82643354662 13.5 -0.920501518421 -0.26504958666 ...
|
||||
0.137907999624 2.66076369132 13.5 -1.17122929812 -0.995642430514 ...
|
||||
0.721949686709 5.70497876823 14.25 1.19378169018 -1.10644839651 ...
|
||||
-0.418465249225 3.75861110232 14.75 -1.03131674824 0.188507675831 ...
|
||||
-0.644028342116 4.15104788154 13.75 -1.48911756546 0.204560913792 ...
|
||||
-0.848213852668 5.65580324027 12.75 0.677011703877 -0.849628054542 ...
|
||||
-1.51954076928 11.4866911266 11.25 -0.446024680774 -0.456342350765 ...
|
||||
0.265275055215 2.85472749592 9.75 -0.598778202436 -0.907311640831 ...
|
||||
0.356162529063 2.29614015658 9.5 -0.46820788432 -1.22130883441 ...
|
||||
0.368308864363 -0.539083504685 8 -0.781333991956 0.374007246518 ...
|
||||
-0.145751412732 1.61507621789 8.25 3.68291932628 1.32438399845 ...
|
||||
0.285457283664 2.14334055993 7 1.42819405379 -0.00818660844123 ...
|
||||
0.372390129412 1.60000213334 6.25 0.626106424052 -0.10136772765 ...
|
||||
0.382720203063 1.72614243263 7.25 4.89631941021 -1.10060711916 ...
|
||||
0.737957515573 2.90430582851 6 -0.0422721010314 0.4178952497 ...
|
||||
0.649532581668 0.657135682543 6 0.692066153971 0.422299120276 ...
|
||||
0.627159201987 1.70352689913 5.75 2.62066711305 -1.29237304034 ...
|
||||
0.905441299817 1.95663197267 5.5 1.5949697565 -0.27115830703 ...
|
||||
1.49322577898 -2.08741765309 6.25 1.23027694802 0.418336889527 ...
|
||||
1.48750731567 -1.57274121871 8 3.01660550994 -0.893958254365 ...
|
||||
1.39783858087 2.22623066426 7 -0.80842319214 1.47625453886 ...
|
||||
0.89274836317 1.30378081742 8 -0.249485058661 0.159871204185 ...
|
||||
0.920652246088 4.1437741965 9.75 2.8204453623 0.178149239655 ...
|
||||
-0.00264276644799 3.07989972052 8.75 -2.56342461535 2.105998353 ...
|
||||
0.0198190461681 0.766283759256 8 -1.15838865989 1.56888883418 ...
|
||||
0.440050515311 0.127570085801 7.5 0.0400753569995 0.028914333532 ...
|
||||
0.129536637901 1.78174141526 6.75 0.959943962785 0.307781224401 ...
|
||||
0.398549827172 3.03606770667 6.5 -0.340209794742 0.100979469478 ...
|
||||
1.17174775425 0.629625188037 5.75 0.403003686814 0.902394579377 ...
|
||||
0.991163981251 2.50862910684 4.75 -1.44963996982 1.16150986945 ...
|
||||
0.967603566096 2.12003739013 4.75 0.610846030775 -0.889994896068 ...
|
||||
1.14689383604 1.24185011459 4.75 2.01098091308 -1.73846431001 ...
|
||||
1.32593824054 0.990713820685 4.75 -0.0955142989332 -0.0369257308362 ...
|
||||
0.861135002644 -0.24744943605 6 1.72793107135 -0.691506789639 ...
|
||||
1.26870850151 2.09844764887 6.5 1.50720217572 -1.31399187077 ...
|
||||
0.260364987715 1.10650139716 6.5 1.13659047496 0.0720441664643 ...
|
||||
1.09731242214 0.490796381346 7.25 4.59123894147 -2.14073070763 ...
|
||||
1.63792841781 0.612652594286 6.75 1.79604605035 -0.644363995357 ...
|
||||
1.48465576034 0.978295808687 6.75 -2.00753620902 1.39437534964 ...
|
||||
1.0987608663 4.25212569087 6.25 -2.58901196498 2.56054320803 ...
|
||||
1.42592178132 2.76984518311 6.25 0.888195752358 1.03114549274 ...
|
||||
1.52958239462 1.31795955491 6.5 -0.902907564082 -0.0952198893776 ...
|
||||
1.0170168994 2.14733589918 7 -1.3054866978 2.68803738466 ...
|
||||
0.723253652257 3.43552889347 7.5 1.8213700853 0.592593586195 ...
|
||||
1.24720806008 3.87383806577 7.5 0.0522300654168 0.988871238698 ...
|
||||
0.482531471239 2.67793287032 7.5 2.9693944293 -0.108591166081 ...
|
||||
0.154056100439 0.927269031704 6.75 0.119222057561 3.30489209451 ...
|
||||
0.0694865769274 6.65916526788 6.25 0.889014476084 -2.83976849035 ...
|
||||
-0.121267434867 0.341442615696 5.25 0.323053239216 -3.49289229012 ...
|
||||
0.726473690375 -3.5423730964 4 2.19149290449 -3.20855054004 ...
|
||||
1.39271709108 2.63121085718 3.75 0.88406577736 0.75622580197 ...
|
||||
1.07502077727 5.88578836799 4.25 -2.55088273352 2.89018116374 ...
|
||||
0.759049251607 4.24703604223 4.5 0.575687665685 -0.388292506167 ...
|
||||
];
|
||||
|
||||
data = reshape(data,5,86)';
|
||||
y_obs = data(:,1);
|
||||
pie_obs = data(:,2);
|
||||
R_obs = data(:,3);
|
||||
de = data(:,4);
|
||||
dq = data(:,5);
|
||||
|
||||
%Country: Canada
|
||||
%Sample Range: 1981:2 to 2002:3
|
||||
%Observations: 86
|
||||
%Variables: Real GDP Growth [%], Inflation [annualized %], Nom Rate [%],
|
||||
% Exchange Rate Change [%], Terms of Trade Change [%]
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,65 @@
|
|||
var y y_s R pie dq pie_s de A y_obs pie_obs R_obs;
|
||||
varexo e_R e_q e_ys e_pies e_A;
|
||||
|
||||
parameters psi1 psi2 psi3 rho_R tau alpha rr k rho_q rho_A rho_ys rho_pies;
|
||||
|
||||
psi1 = 1.54;
|
||||
psi2 = 0.25;
|
||||
psi3 = 0.25;
|
||||
rho_R = 0.5;
|
||||
alpha = 0.3;
|
||||
rr = 2.51;
|
||||
k = 0.5;
|
||||
tau = 0.5;
|
||||
rho_q = 0.4;
|
||||
rho_A = 0.2;
|
||||
rho_ys = 0.9;
|
||||
rho_pies = 0.7;
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
model(linear);
|
||||
y = y(+1) - (tau +alpha*(2-alpha)*(1-tau))*(R-pie(+1))-alpha*(tau +alpha*(2-alpha)*(1-tau))*dq(+1) + alpha*(2-alpha)*((1-tau)/tau)*(y_s-y_s(+1))-A(+1);
|
||||
pie = exp(-rr/400)*pie(+1)+alpha*exp(-rr/400)*dq(+1)-alpha*dq+(k/(tau+alpha*(2-alpha)*(1-tau)))*y+alpha*(2-alpha)*(1-tau)/(tau*(tau+alpha*(2-alpha)*(1-tau)))*y_s;
|
||||
pie = de+(1-alpha)*dq+pie_s;
|
||||
R = rho_R*R(-1)+(1-rho_R)*(psi1*pie+psi2*(y+alpha*(2-alpha)*((1-tau)/tau)*y_s)+psi3*de)+e_R;
|
||||
dq = rho_q*dq(-1)+e_q;
|
||||
y_s = rho_ys*y_s(-1)+e_ys;
|
||||
pie_s = rho_pies*pie_s(-1)+e_pies;
|
||||
A = rho_A*A(-1)+e_A;
|
||||
y_obs = y-y(-1)+A;
|
||||
pie_obs = 4*pie;
|
||||
R_obs = 4*R;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
shocks;
|
||||
var e_R = 1.25^2;
|
||||
var e_q = 2.5^2;
|
||||
var e_A = 1.89;
|
||||
var e_ys = 1.89;
|
||||
var e_pies = 1.89;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
varobs y_obs R_obs pie_obs dq de;
|
||||
|
||||
estimated_params;
|
||||
psi1 , gamma_pdf,1.5,0.5;
|
||||
psi2 , gamma_pdf,0.25,0.125;
|
||||
psi3 , gamma_pdf,0.25,0.125;
|
||||
rho_R ,beta_pdf,0.5,0.2;
|
||||
alpha ,beta_pdf,0.3,0.1;
|
||||
rr ,gamma_pdf,2.5,1;
|
||||
k , gamma_pdf,0.5,0.25;
|
||||
tau ,gamma_pdf,0.5,0.2;
|
||||
rho_q ,beta_pdf,0.4,0.2;
|
||||
rho_A ,beta_pdf,0.5,0.2;
|
||||
rho_ys ,beta_pdf,0.8,0.1;
|
||||
rho_pies,beta_pdf,0.7,0.15;
|
||||
stderr e_R,inv_gamma_pdf,1.2533,0.6551;
|
||||
stderr e_q,inv_gamma_pdf,2.5066,1.3103;
|
||||
stderr e_A,inv_gamma_pdf,1.2533,0.6551;
|
||||
stderr e_ys,inv_gamma_pdf,1.2533,0.6551;
|
||||
stderr e_pies,inv_gamma_pdf,1.88,0.9827;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
estimation(datafile=data_ca1,first_obs=8,nobs=79,mh_nblocks=10,prefilter=1,mh_jscale=0.5,mh_replic=0);
|
||||
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,65 @@
|
|||
var y y_s R pie dq pie_s de A y_obs pie_obs R_obs;
|
||||
varexo e_R e_q e_ys e_pies e_A;
|
||||
|
||||
parameters psi1 psi2 psi3 rho_R tau alpha rr k rho_q rho_A rho_ys rho_pies;
|
||||
|
||||
psi1 = 1.54;
|
||||
psi2 = 0.25;
|
||||
psi3 = 0.25;
|
||||
rho_R = 0.5;
|
||||
alpha = 0.3;
|
||||
rr = 2.51;
|
||||
k = 0.5;
|
||||
tau = 0.5;
|
||||
rho_q = 0.4;
|
||||
rho_A = 0.2;
|
||||
rho_ys = 0.9;
|
||||
rho_pies = 0.7;
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
model(linear);
|
||||
y = y(+1) - (tau +alpha*(2-alpha)*(1-tau))*(R-pie(+1))-alpha*(tau +alpha*(2-alpha)*(1-tau))*dq(+1) + alpha*(2-alpha)*((1-tau)/tau)*(y_s-y_s(+1))-A(+1);
|
||||
pie = exp(-rr/400)*pie(+1)+alpha*exp(-rr/400)*dq(+1)-alpha*dq+(k/(tau+alpha*(2-alpha)*(1-tau)))*y+alpha*(2-alpha)*(1-tau)/(tau*(tau+alpha*(2-alpha)*(1-tau)))*y_s;
|
||||
pie = de+(1-alpha)*dq+pie_s;
|
||||
R = rho_R*R(-1)+(1-rho_R)*(psi1*pie+psi2*(y+alpha*(2-alpha)*((1-tau)/tau)*y_s)+psi3*de)+e_R;
|
||||
dq = rho_q*dq(-1)+e_q;
|
||||
y_s = rho_ys*y_s(-1)+e_ys;
|
||||
pie_s = rho_pies*pie_s(-1)+e_pies;
|
||||
A = rho_A*A(-1)+e_A;
|
||||
y_obs = y-y(-1)+A;
|
||||
pie_obs = 4*pie;
|
||||
R_obs = 4*R;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
shocks;
|
||||
var e_R = 1.25^2;
|
||||
var e_q = 2.5^2;
|
||||
var e_A = 1.89;
|
||||
var e_ys = 1.89;
|
||||
var e_pies = 1.89;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
varobs y_obs R_obs pie_obs dq de;
|
||||
|
||||
estimated_params;
|
||||
psi1 , gamma_pdf,1.5,0.5;
|
||||
psi2 , gamma_pdf,0.25,0.125;
|
||||
psi3 , gamma_pdf,0.25,0.125;
|
||||
rho_R ,beta_pdf,0.5,0.2;
|
||||
alpha ,beta_pdf,0.3,0.1;
|
||||
rr ,gamma_pdf,2.5,1;
|
||||
k , gamma_pdf,0.5,0.25;
|
||||
tau ,gamma_pdf,0.5,0.2;
|
||||
rho_q ,beta_pdf,0.4,0.2;
|
||||
rho_A ,beta_pdf,0.5,0.2;
|
||||
rho_ys ,beta_pdf,0.8,0.1;
|
||||
rho_pies,beta_pdf,0.7,0.15;
|
||||
stderr e_R,inv_gamma_pdf,1.2533,0.6551;
|
||||
stderr e_q,inv_gamma_pdf,2.5066,1.3103;
|
||||
stderr e_A,inv_gamma_pdf,1.2533,0.6551;
|
||||
stderr e_ys,inv_gamma_pdf,1.2533,0.6551;
|
||||
stderr e_pies,inv_gamma_pdf,1.88,0.9827;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
estimation(datafile=data_ca1,first_obs=8,nobs=79,mh_nblocks=10,prefilter=1,mh_jscale=0.5,mh_replic=0);
|
||||
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,7 @@
|
|||
/sgu_ex1.log/1.1.2.1/Sun Feb 6 15:45:32 2005//Tv3_03
|
||||
/sgu_ex1.m/1.1.2.1/Sun Feb 6 15:45:32 2005//Tv3_03
|
||||
/sgu_ex1.mat/1.1.2.1/Sun Feb 6 15:45:32 2005//Tv3_03
|
||||
/sgu_ex1.mod/1.1.2.1/Sun Feb 6 15:45:32 2005//Tv3_03
|
||||
/sgu_ex1_ff.m/1.1.2.1/Sun Feb 6 15:45:32 2005//Tv3_03
|
||||
/sgu_ex1_fff.m/1.1.2.1/Sun Feb 6 15:45:32 2005//Tv3_03
|
||||
D
|
|
@ -0,0 +1 @@
|
|||
dynare_test/tests/objectives
|
|
@ -0,0 +1 @@
|
|||
:ext:pythie.cepremap.cnrs.fr/var/lib/cvs
|
|
@ -0,0 +1 @@
|
|||
Tv3_03
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,15 @@
|
|||
|
||||
|
||||
MATRIX OF COVARIANCE OF EXOGENOUS SHOCKS
|
||||
|
||||
Variables e
|
||||
e 1.000000
|
||||
POLICY AND TRANSITION FUNCTIONS
|
||||
k a c
|
||||
Constant -1.552215 0 -0.969516
|
||||
(correction) 0.241022 0 -0.096072
|
||||
k(-1) 0.419109 0 0.252523
|
||||
e 1.397031 1.000000 0.841743
|
||||
k(-1)k(-1) -0.003501 0 -0.002559
|
||||
e e -0.038899 0 -0.028434
|
||||
k(-1) e -0.023340 0 -0.017061
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,98 @@
|
|||
clear all
|
||||
global scalv_ ex_ recur_ recurs_ ys_ y_ exe_ lgy_ lgx_ lgr_ dsmpl_ endval_
|
||||
...
|
||||
global endo_nbr exo_nbr iy_ ykmin_ ykmax_ xkmin_ xkmax_ zkmin_ zkmax_ iter_
|
||||
...
|
||||
global dynatol_ slowc_ maxit_ valf_ ys0_ recurs0_ timing_ ct_ gstep_ Sigma_e_ fname_ lgx_orig_ord_
|
||||
dsmpl_=0;
|
||||
dynatol_=0.00001;
|
||||
maxit_=10;
|
||||
slowc_=1;
|
||||
timing_=0;
|
||||
ct_=0;
|
||||
gstep_=1e-2;
|
||||
endval_=0;rplottype_=0;
|
||||
fname_ = 'sgu_ex1';
|
||||
logname_ = 'sgu_ex1.log';
|
||||
diary off;
|
||||
warning off;
|
||||
delete sgu_ex1.log;
|
||||
warning on;
|
||||
warning backtrace;
|
||||
diary sgu_ex1.log;
|
||||
|
||||
iter_ = 20000;
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
global alpha beta delta gamma rho
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
beta = 0.95;
|
||||
delta = 1;
|
||||
alpha = 0.3;
|
||||
rho = 0;
|
||||
gamma = 2;
|
||||
|
||||
lgy_ = 'a';
|
||||
lgy_ = str2mat(lgy_,'c');
|
||||
lgy_ = str2mat(lgy_,'k');
|
||||
lgx_ = 'e';
|
||||
lgx_orig_ord_ = [1];
|
||||
endo_nbr = 3;
|
||||
exo_nbr = 1;
|
||||
recur_nbr = 0;
|
||||
iy_ = [ 1 0 2];
|
||||
temp = [ 3 4 5];
|
||||
iy_ = [ iy_ ; temp ];
|
||||
temp = [ 6 7 0];
|
||||
iy_ = [ iy_ ; temp ];
|
||||
ykmin_ = 1;
|
||||
ykmax_ = 1;
|
||||
xkmin_ = 0;
|
||||
xkmax_ = 0;
|
||||
zkmin_ = 0;
|
||||
zkmax_ = 0;
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
% INITVAL
|
||||
valf_ = 0;
|
||||
endval_=0;
|
||||
ys_ = zeros(3,1);
|
||||
exe_ = zeros(1,1);
|
||||
ys0_ = 0;
|
||||
ex0_ = 0;
|
||||
recurs0_ = 0;
|
||||
ys_(3)=0;
|
||||
ys_(2)=0;
|
||||
ys_(1)=0;
|
||||
exe_(1)=0;
|
||||
if exo_nbr > 0;
|
||||
ex_ =ones(iter_ + xkmin_ + xkmax_,1) * exe_';
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
Sigma_e_ = 1;
|
||||
|
||||
var_list_ = [];
|
||||
options.ar = 0;
|
||||
options.dr_algo = 0;
|
||||
options.simul_algo = 0;
|
||||
options.nocorr = 1;
|
||||
options.drop = 100;
|
||||
options.linear = 0;
|
||||
options.nofunctions = 0;
|
||||
options.nomoments = 1;
|
||||
options.irf = 0;
|
||||
options.order = 2;
|
||||
options.replic = 0;
|
||||
stoch_simul(options,var_list_);
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
global dr_
|
||||
dr_obj_ = dr_;
|
||||
|
||||
save sgu_ex1 dr_obj_;
|
||||
|
||||
diary off
|
Binary file not shown.
|
@ -0,0 +1,33 @@
|
|||
periods 20000;
|
||||
var c k a;
|
||||
varexo e;
|
||||
parameters alpha beta delta gamma rho;
|
||||
|
||||
beta = 0.95;
|
||||
delta = 1;
|
||||
alpha = 0.3;
|
||||
rho = 0;
|
||||
gamma = 2;
|
||||
|
||||
model;
|
||||
exp(c) + exp(k) = (1-delta) * exp(k(-1)) + exp(a) * exp(k(-1))^alpha;
|
||||
exp(c)^(-gamma) = beta * exp(c(+1))^(-gamma) * (exp(a(+1)) * alpha * exp(k)^(alpha-1) + 1 - delta);
|
||||
a = rho * a(-1) + e;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
initval;
|
||||
k=0;
|
||||
c=0;
|
||||
a=0;
|
||||
e=0;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
Sigma_e_ = 1;
|
||||
|
||||
stoch_simul(nomoments,irf=0,nocorr,ar=0);
|
||||
|
||||
global dr_
|
||||
dr_obj_ = dr_;
|
||||
|
||||
save sgu_ex1 dr_obj_;
|
||||
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,11 @@
|
|||
|
||||
function z=sgu_ex1_ff(y)
|
||||
z=zeros(3,1);
|
||||
global ex_ it_ recur_
|
||||
|
||||
global alpha beta delta gamma rho
|
||||
z(1) = exp(y(4))+exp(y(5)) -((1-delta)*exp(y(2))+exp(y(3))*exp(y(2))^alpha) ...
|
||||
;
|
||||
z(2) = exp(y(4))^(-gamma) -(beta*exp(y(7))^(-gamma)*(exp(y(6))*alpha*exp( ...
|
||||
y(5))^(alpha-1)+1-delta));
|
||||
z(3) = y(3) -(rho*y(1)+ex_(it_-1,1));
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,11 @@
|
|||
|
||||
function z=sgu_ex1_fff(y)
|
||||
z=zeros(3,1);
|
||||
global ex_ it_ recur_
|
||||
|
||||
global alpha beta delta gamma rho
|
||||
z(1) = exp(y(2))+exp(y(3)) -((1-delta)*exp(y(3))+exp(y(1))*exp(y(3))^alpha) ...
|
||||
;
|
||||
z(2) = exp(y(2))^(-gamma) -(beta*exp(y(2))^(-gamma)*(exp(y(1))*alpha*exp( ...
|
||||
y(3))^(alpha-1)+1-delta));
|
||||
z(3) = y(1) -(rho*y(1)+ex_(it_-1,1));
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,5 @@
|
|||
load ych.dat;
|
||||
data = log(ych);
|
||||
oy = data(:,1);
|
||||
oc = data(:,2);
|
||||
oh = data(:,3);
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,90 @@
|
|||
var y a k c i h eoy eoc eoh oy oc oh;
|
||||
varexo e eeoy eeoc eeoh;
|
||||
|
||||
parameters theta rho eta gam bet delta aa r11 r12 r13 r21 r22 r23 r31 r32 r33 scy shc shy;
|
||||
|
||||
bet = 0.99;
|
||||
delta = 0.025;
|
||||
theta = 0.2;
|
||||
rho = 0.9959;
|
||||
eta = 1.0051;
|
||||
gam = 0.0045;
|
||||
aa = 1.8;
|
||||
r11 = 0.99;
|
||||
r12 = 0;
|
||||
r13 = 0;
|
||||
r21 = 0;
|
||||
r22 = 0.99;
|
||||
r23 = 0;
|
||||
r31 = 0;
|
||||
r32 = 0;
|
||||
r33 = 0.99;
|
||||
scy = 0.0040;
|
||||
shy = 0.0015;
|
||||
shc = 0.0010;
|
||||
|
||||
model;
|
||||
exp(y) = exp(a)*exp(k(-1))^theta*exp(h)^(1-theta);
|
||||
a = (1-rho)*aa+rho*a(-1)+e;
|
||||
exp(y) = exp(c) + exp(i);
|
||||
eta*exp(k) = (1-delta)*exp(k(-1))+exp(i);
|
||||
gam*exp(c)*exp(h) = (1-theta)*exp(y);
|
||||
eta/exp(c) = bet*(1/exp(c(+1)))*(theta*(exp(y(+1))/exp(k))+1-delta);
|
||||
eoy = r11*eoy(-1) + r12*eoc(-1) + r13*eoh(-1) + eeoy;
|
||||
eoc = r21*eoy(-1) + r22*eoc(-1) + r23*eoh(-1) + scy*eeoy+eeoc;
|
||||
eoh = r31*eoy(-1) + r32*eoc(-1) + r33*eoh(-1) + shy*eeoy+shc*eeoc+eeoh;
|
||||
oy = y + eoy;
|
||||
oc = c + eoc;
|
||||
oh = h + eoh;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
initval;
|
||||
a = 1.7;
|
||||
y = 8;
|
||||
c = 8;
|
||||
k = 10;
|
||||
i = 5;
|
||||
h = 4;
|
||||
eoy = 0;
|
||||
eoc = 0;
|
||||
eoh = 0;
|
||||
oy = y;
|
||||
oc = c;
|
||||
oh = h;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
steady;
|
||||
check;
|
||||
|
||||
estimated_params;
|
||||
theta , 0.22, 0.1, 0.5;
|
||||
rho , 0.99, 0.7, 0.9999;
|
||||
eta , 1.0051, 1, 1.03;
|
||||
gam , 0.0045, 0.001, 0.01;
|
||||
aa , 1.8, 0.1, 4;
|
||||
r11 , 1.4187, -2, 2;
|
||||
r12 , 0.2251, -2, 2;
|
||||
r13 , -0.4441, -2, 2;
|
||||
r21 , 0.0935, -2, 2;
|
||||
r22 , 1.0236, -2, 2;
|
||||
r23 , -0.0908, -2, 2;
|
||||
r31 , 0.7775, -2, 2;
|
||||
r32 , 0.3706, -2, 2;
|
||||
r33 , 0.2398, -2, 2;
|
||||
scy , 0.0040, -2, 2;
|
||||
shy , 0.0015, -2, 2;
|
||||
shc , 0.0010, -2, 2;
|
||||
stderr e , 0.0056, 0, 0.2;
|
||||
stderr eeoy , 0.0070, 0, 0.1;
|
||||
stderr eeoc , 0.0069, 0, 0.1;
|
||||
stderr eeoh , 0.0018, 0, 0.1;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
varobs oy oc oh;
|
||||
|
||||
observation_trends;
|
||||
oy (log(eta));
|
||||
oc (log(eta));
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
estimation(datafile=idata,mode_compute=1,nograph);
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,90 @@
|
|||
var y a k c i h eoy eoc eoh oy oc oh;
|
||||
varexo e eeoy eeoc eeoh;
|
||||
|
||||
parameters theta rho eta gam bet delta aa r11 r12 r13 r21 r22 r23 r31 r32 r33 scy shc shy;
|
||||
|
||||
bet = 0.99;
|
||||
delta = 0.025;
|
||||
theta = 0.2;
|
||||
rho = 0.9959;
|
||||
eta = 1.0051;
|
||||
gam = 0.0045;
|
||||
aa = 1.8;
|
||||
r11 = 0.99;
|
||||
r12 = 0;
|
||||
r13 = 0;
|
||||
r21 = 0;
|
||||
r22 = 0.99;
|
||||
r23 = 0;
|
||||
r31 = 0;
|
||||
r32 = 0;
|
||||
r33 = 0.99;
|
||||
scy = 0.0040;
|
||||
shy = 0.0015;
|
||||
shc = 0.0010;
|
||||
|
||||
model;
|
||||
exp(y) = exp(a)*exp(k(-1))^theta*exp(h)^(1-theta);
|
||||
a = (1-rho)*aa+rho*a(-1)+e;
|
||||
exp(y) = exp(c) + exp(i);
|
||||
eta*exp(k) = (1-delta)*exp(k(-1))+exp(i);
|
||||
gam*exp(c)*exp(h) = (1-theta)*exp(y);
|
||||
eta/exp(c) = bet*(1/exp(c(+1)))*(theta*(exp(y(+1))/exp(k))+1-delta);
|
||||
eoy = r11*eoy(-1) + r12*eoc(-1) + r13*eoh(-1) + eeoy;
|
||||
eoc = r21*eoy(-1) + r22*eoc(-1) + r23*eoh(-1) + scy*eeoy+eeoc;
|
||||
eoh = r31*eoy(-1) + r32*eoc(-1) + r33*eoh(-1) + shy*eeoy+shc*eeoc+eeoh;
|
||||
oy = y + eoy;
|
||||
oc = c + eoc;
|
||||
oh = h + eoh;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
initval;
|
||||
a = 6;
|
||||
y = 8;
|
||||
c = 7;
|
||||
k = 10;
|
||||
i = 5;
|
||||
h = 4;
|
||||
eoy = 0;
|
||||
eoc = 0;
|
||||
eoh = 0;
|
||||
oy = y;
|
||||
oc = c;
|
||||
oh = h;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
steady;
|
||||
check;
|
||||
|
||||
estimated_params;
|
||||
theta , 0.22;
|
||||
rho , 0.99;
|
||||
eta , 1.0051;
|
||||
gam , 0.0045;
|
||||
aa , 1.8;
|
||||
r11 , 1.4187;
|
||||
r12 , 0.2251;
|
||||
r13 , -0.4441;
|
||||
r21 , 0.0935;
|
||||
r22 , 1.0236;
|
||||
r23 , -0.0908;
|
||||
r31 , 0.7775;
|
||||
r32 , 0.3706;
|
||||
r33 , 0.2398;
|
||||
scy , 0.0040;
|
||||
shy , 0.0015;
|
||||
shc , 0.0010;
|
||||
stderr e , 0.0055;
|
||||
stderr eeoy , 0.0072;
|
||||
stderr eeoc , 0.0057;
|
||||
stderr eeoh , 0;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
varobs oy oc oh;
|
||||
|
||||
observation_trends;
|
||||
oy (log(eta));
|
||||
oc (log(eta));
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
estimation(datafile=idata,nograph);
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,218 @@
|
|||
2912.874 2402.117 198.8318
|
||||
2959.229 2423.837 197.3532
|
||||
2955.961 2420.605 198.6
|
||||
2944.613 2436.721 196.7741
|
||||
2865.54 2435.214 192.1405
|
||||
2837.352 2466.823 187.9169
|
||||
2866.923 2465.011 185.2876
|
||||
2869.69 2492.395 182.3583
|
||||
3000.477 2527.61 183.9728
|
||||
3085.831 2561.171 189.8728
|
||||
3255.871 2686.503 196.8083
|
||||
3261.025 2613.773 200.6933
|
||||
3261.223 2681.19 204.7635
|
||||
3206.972 2610.838 206.4334
|
||||
3190.085 2639.831 205.2288
|
||||
3153.084 2650.442 204.8585
|
||||
3168.886 2654.884 207.0878
|
||||
3173.132 2702.447 205.2592
|
||||
3199.558 2706.406 206.3172
|
||||
3320.152 2792.021 211.0694
|
||||
3333.583 2800.407 211.3402
|
||||
3346.44 2812.085 211.4742
|
||||
3319.499 2799.617 209.1935
|
||||
3248.271 2771.542 205.3107
|
||||
3243.519 2772.147 200.5438
|
||||
3268.486 2799.347 198.4387
|
||||
3321.089 2829.358 196.7325
|
||||
3391.751 2878.587 198.3282
|
||||
3498.798 2932.503 201.0089
|
||||
3576.754 2976.939 204.5467
|
||||
3609.954 3003.859 206.0148
|
||||
3649.965 3032.826 207.8803
|
||||
3625.207 3030.321 208.5925
|
||||
3618.86 3032.152 207.818
|
||||
3608.703 3030.239 205.7291
|
||||
3633.863 3063.106 207.7698
|
||||
3634.522 3075.089 207.3511
|
||||
3628.888 3071.301 205.2741
|
||||
3654.03 3085.679 203.4572
|
||||
3594.76 3076.223 198.9135
|
||||
3503.293 3024.868 193.4752
|
||||
3506.06 3040.773 189.2161
|
||||
3580.923 3079.37 190.8325
|
||||
3649.701 3103.69 193.5263
|
||||
3722.726 3149.563 197.1324
|
||||
3809.309 3187.886 200.4534
|
||||
3787.083 3210.28 198.4483
|
||||
3798.375 3203.989 198.1458
|
||||
3865.427 3211.443 199.3042
|
||||
3828.074 3242.787 198.7233
|
||||
3799.687 3219.673 196.7171
|
||||
3719.52 3211.349 193.664
|
||||
3716.143 3198.191 190.8133
|
||||
3789.954 3235.106 190.6975
|
||||
3841.155 3241.368 192.1397
|
||||
3910.574 3301.88 194.0709
|
||||
3974.538 3330.997 194.6404
|
||||
3994.347 3359.016 196.8206
|
||||
4014.564 3370.705 196.2717
|
||||
4017.905 3399.337 194.901
|
||||
4053.971 3405.746 194.5344
|
||||
4080.082 3423.602 195.9045
|
||||
4131.421 3455.826 195.9157
|
||||
4150.544 3470.287 195.917
|
||||
4229.112 3524.024 195.5849
|
||||
4272.24 3572.78 197.0242
|
||||
4336.042 3623.155 197.4885
|
||||
4332.184 3617.237 198.811
|
||||
4465.719 3681.029 200.7368
|
||||
4488.039 3707.114 201.7553
|
||||
4563.691 3758.136 202.7332
|
||||
4657.963 3851.754 205.0265
|
||||
4769.576 3898.869 207.5881
|
||||
4751.946 3898.531 208.8921
|
||||
4775.072 3931.495 209.8688
|
||||
4783.388 3936.299 210.2431
|
||||
4770.091 3946.92 209.1094
|
||||
4766.574 3984.883 207.6639
|
||||
4783.135 3985.69 208.0611
|
||||
4801.834 3991.937 208.7085
|
||||
4894.604 4068.425 208.3597
|
||||
4975.616 4118.065 209.5735
|
||||
5005.671 4179.017 210.9004
|
||||
5009.407 4177.453 211.3179
|
||||
5086.308 4204.501 212.5445
|
||||
5084.863 4213.54 213.6703
|
||||
5100.858 4214.495 214.3839
|
||||
5063.156 4226.537 213.5259
|
||||
5036.423 4230.978 211.4778
|
||||
5032.681 4228.959 208.3091
|
||||
5053.799 4241.721 205.5294
|
||||
4965.09 4203.845 202.0428
|
||||
5116.926 4261.198 201.5087
|
||||
5152.069 4275.63 201.2279
|
||||
5167.576 4284.769 200.0614
|
||||
5180.986 4331.279 201.1027
|
||||
5237.217 4339.349 201.0968
|
||||
5342.982 4395.387 202.4846
|
||||
5397.077 4438.577 202.6435
|
||||
5484.454 4521.399 204.6093
|
||||
5599.656 4580.229 206.5316
|
||||
5605.247 4551.878 207.638
|
||||
5560.139 4547.278 207.561
|
||||
5550.477 4512.704 208.2113
|
||||
5422.633 4450.734 207.0236
|
||||
5407.967 4444.172 205.7419
|
||||
5341.599 4438.929 204.6589
|
||||
5248.491 4344.377 200.536
|
||||
5098.451 4356.942 193.2349
|
||||
5127.117 4412.68 190.6
|
||||
5224.673 4451.618 191.7895
|
||||
5266.744 4478.207 193.5049
|
||||
5416.411 4553.764 195.7526
|
||||
5473.807 4575.388 195.9103
|
||||
5496.508 4600.334 195.6317
|
||||
5542.322 4642.48 195.9109
|
||||
5620.583 4677.803 197.1447
|
||||
5681.448 4680.833 199.7234
|
||||
5754.575 4702.857 200.9543
|
||||
5776.808 4752.082 202.373
|
||||
5794.987 4757.858 202.3499
|
||||
5938.233 4839.798 206.8288
|
||||
5965.396 4842.542 207.8288
|
||||
6002.337 4857.874 209.0832
|
||||
6006.791 4867.903 210.1847
|
||||
5974.557 4840.912 209.8585
|
||||
5971.562 4863.66 210.2244
|
||||
5937.051 4856.383 209.8079
|
||||
5897.765 4830.827 208.8941
|
||||
5669.422 4702.666 204.6229
|
||||
5622.784 4730.812 202.7781
|
||||
5752.439 4771.074 204.9687
|
||||
5847.447 4774.81 206.1936
|
||||
5783.328 4762.645 205.2802
|
||||
5845.223 4768.572 204.8371
|
||||
5751.495 4715.179 203.0329
|
||||
5654.764 4729.383 200.2751
|
||||
5646.146 4728.229 197.5565
|
||||
5648.711 4745.201 195.2339
|
||||
5635.351 4810.282 192.9487
|
||||
5692.631 4841.503 192.931
|
||||
5864.656 4929.513 194.9285
|
||||
5984.689 4993.857 197.5937
|
||||
6150.889 5061.722 201.0485
|
||||
6296.581 5094.102 203.5924
|
||||
6389.626 5150.168 205.4862
|
||||
6433.069 5172.136 206.615
|
||||
6460.989 5223.355 207.6607
|
||||
6486.085 5290.602 208.5043
|
||||
6538.91 5326.746 209.0396
|
||||
6606.849 5410.05 209.3752
|
||||
6653.043 5412.688 210.214
|
||||
6664.94 5432.911 210.1493
|
||||
6680.737 5476.91 209.3983
|
||||
6715.628 5557.117 209.6171
|
||||
6733.646 5578.244 210.0342
|
||||
6748.714 5562.734 211.4856
|
||||
6800.924 5617.672 212.5146
|
||||
6840.249 5664.805 214.0241
|
||||
6928.494 5662.19 214.9892
|
||||
6947.701 5745.585 215.7109
|
||||
6995.117 5771.484 216.8663
|
||||
7031.88 5804.469 217.7172
|
||||
7095.824 5858.734 219.2336
|
||||
7145.561 5863.484 220.1136
|
||||
7138.196 5874.486 220.269
|
||||
7157.869 5912.841 220.1049
|
||||
7154.805 5921.098 220.317
|
||||
7161.057 5922.459 220.214
|
||||
7161.636 5926.962 219.8513
|
||||
7140.38 5935.485 218.7281
|
||||
6988.206 5869.524 216.6599
|
||||
6901.448 5830.479 214.2069
|
||||
6921.772 5861.221 212.7658
|
||||
6951.212 5865.776 212.5561
|
||||
6964.494 5837.183 211.8733
|
||||
7013.679 5915.408 210.9388
|
||||
7101.702 5930.574 211.8948
|
||||
7139.773 5958.446 211.5333
|
||||
7240.504 6024.693 212.2314
|
||||
7263.686 6021.066 213.0739
|
||||
7309.617 6067.04 214.1464
|
||||
7357.691 6122.096 215.3232
|
||||
7460.728 6162.81 216.6132
|
||||
7552.707 6204.697 217.5596
|
||||
7666.317 6243.449 220.1539
|
||||
7671.023 6273.154 221.4916
|
||||
7773.38 6317.792 222.8923
|
||||
7800.103 6331.551 223.6901
|
||||
7801.608 6378.859 223.503
|
||||
7819.518 6412.249 224.1399
|
||||
7881.173 6435.988 224.4756
|
||||
7942.145 6475.127 224.7463
|
||||
8067.358 6527.758 226.5057
|
||||
8135.065 6540.091 227.7462
|
||||
8160.041 6567.023 228.9124
|
||||
8246.348 6609.208 229.6994
|
||||
8351.972 6625.695 231.2019
|
||||
8446.197 6714.596 232.3205
|
||||
8514.464 6751.037 233.8458
|
||||
8708.139 6820.495 235.1582
|
||||
8756.497 6905.883 235.4095
|
||||
8849.165 6951.56 236.1083
|
||||
8972.445 7016.94 236.9981
|
||||
9053.37 7071.144 236.9439
|
||||
9103.359 7150.307 237.5947
|
||||
9209.004 7210.145 238.3943
|
||||
9335.028 7276.898 239.4022
|
||||
9429.358 7361.761 240.6652
|
||||
9547.745 7400.777 240.4972
|
||||
9558.757 7450.665 240.0893
|
||||
9550.45 7466.543 239.5769
|
||||
9462.932 7494.242 239.0031
|
||||
9373.848 7502.387 237.5366
|
||||
9349.589 7507.978 235.3389
|
||||
9346.637 7595.472 232.4265
|
||||
9459.937 7637.787 231.5627
|
||||
9511.663 7656.648 231.0083
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,36 @@
|
|||
var c k;
|
||||
varexo x;
|
||||
|
||||
parameters alph gam delt bet aa;
|
||||
alph=0.5;
|
||||
gam=0.5;
|
||||
delt=0.02;
|
||||
bet=0.05;
|
||||
aa=0.5;
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
model;
|
||||
c + k - aa*x*k(-1)^alph - (1-delt)*k(-1);
|
||||
c^(-gam) - (1+bet)^(-1)*(aa*alph*x(+1)*k^(alph-1) + 1 - delt)*c(+1)^(-gam);
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
initval;
|
||||
x = 1;
|
||||
k = ((delt+bet)/(1.0*aa*alph))^(1/(alph-1));
|
||||
c = aa*k^alph-delt*k;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
steady;
|
||||
|
||||
check;
|
||||
|
||||
shocks;
|
||||
var x;
|
||||
periods 1;
|
||||
values 1.2;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
simul(periods=200);
|
||||
|
||||
rplot c;
|
||||
rplot k;
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,37 @@
|
|||
// check shocks on several periods
|
||||
var c k;
|
||||
varexo x;
|
||||
|
||||
parameters alph gam delt bet aa;
|
||||
alph=0.5;
|
||||
gam=0.5;
|
||||
delt=0.02;
|
||||
bet=0.05;
|
||||
aa=0.5;
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
model;
|
||||
c + k - aa*x*k(-1)^alph - (1-delt)*k(-1);
|
||||
c^(-gam) - (1+bet)^(-1)*(aa*alph*x(+1)*k^(alph-1) + 1 - delt)*c(+1)^(-gam);
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
initval;
|
||||
x = 1;
|
||||
k = ((delt+bet)/(1.0*aa*alph))^(1/(alph-1));
|
||||
c = aa*k^alph-delt*k +1 ;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
steady;
|
||||
|
||||
check;
|
||||
|
||||
shocks;
|
||||
var x;
|
||||
periods 1:4 ;
|
||||
values ([1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 1.4]') ;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
simul(periods=200);
|
||||
|
||||
rplot c;
|
||||
rplot k;
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,39 @@
|
|||
function run_test()
|
||||
test_files = {
|
||||
'.' 'ramst';
|
||||
'.' 'ramst_a';
|
||||
'.' 'example1';
|
||||
'.' 'example2';
|
||||
'.' 't_sgu_ex1';
|
||||
'arima' 'mod1';
|
||||
'arima' 'mod1a';
|
||||
'arima' 'mod1b';
|
||||
'arima' 'mod1c';
|
||||
'arima' 'mod2';
|
||||
'arima' 'mod2a';
|
||||
'arima' 'mod2b';
|
||||
'arima' 'mod2c';
|
||||
'fs2000' 'fs2000';
|
||||
'fs2000' 'fs2000a';
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
results = cell(length(test_files),1);
|
||||
|
||||
for i=1:length(test_files)
|
||||
results{i}= run_test1(test_files{i,1},test_files{i,2});
|
||||
end
|
||||
|
||||
for i=1:length(test_files)
|
||||
disp(test_files{i,2})
|
||||
disp(results{i})
|
||||
end
|
||||
function msg=run_test1(path1,mod_file)
|
||||
global options_
|
||||
clear options_
|
||||
old_path = pwd;
|
||||
cd(path1);
|
||||
msg = 'OK';
|
||||
expr = ['disp(''error in ' mod_file ''');msg=lasterr;disp(msg)'];
|
||||
eval(['dynare ' mod_file ' noclearall'],'eval(expr)');
|
||||
cd(old_path)
|
||||
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,40 @@
|
|||
// example 1 from Collard's guide to Dynare
|
||||
var y, c, k, a, h, b;
|
||||
varexo e,u;
|
||||
|
||||
parameters beta, rho, beta, alpha, delta, theta, psi, tau;
|
||||
|
||||
alpha = 0.36;
|
||||
rho = 0.95;
|
||||
tau = 0.025;
|
||||
beta = 0.99;
|
||||
delta = 0.025;
|
||||
psi = 0;
|
||||
theta = 2.95;
|
||||
|
||||
phi = 0.1;
|
||||
|
||||
model;
|
||||
c*theta*h^(1+psi)=(1-alpha)*y;
|
||||
k = beta*(((exp(b)*c)/(exp(b(+1))*c(+1)))
|
||||
*(exp(b(+1))*alpha*y(+1)+(1-delta)*k));
|
||||
y = exp(a)*(k(-1)^alpha)*(h^(1-alpha));
|
||||
k = exp(b)*(y-c)+(1-delta)*k(-1);
|
||||
a = rho*a(-1)+tau*b(-2) + e;
|
||||
b = tau*a(-1)+rho*b(-2) + u;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
initval;
|
||||
y = 1.08068253095672;
|
||||
c = 0.80359242014163;
|
||||
h = 0.29175631001732;
|
||||
k = 5;
|
||||
a = 0;
|
||||
b = 0;
|
||||
e = 0;
|
||||
u = 0;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
Sigma_e = [ 0.000081; (phi*0.009*0.009) 0.000081];
|
||||
|
||||
stoch_simul(order=2,irf=0,periods=50000,simul_seed=1);
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,44 @@
|
|||
// example 1 from Collard's guide to Dynare
|
||||
periods 400;
|
||||
|
||||
var y, c, k, a, h, b, b1;
|
||||
varexo e,u;
|
||||
|
||||
parameters beta, rho, beta, alpha, delta, theta, psi, tau;
|
||||
|
||||
alpha = 0.36;
|
||||
rho = 0.95;
|
||||
tau = 0.025;
|
||||
beta = 0.99;
|
||||
delta = 0.025;
|
||||
psi = 0;
|
||||
theta = 2.95;
|
||||
|
||||
phi = 0.1;
|
||||
|
||||
model;
|
||||
c*theta*h^(1+psi)=(1-alpha)*y;
|
||||
k = beta*(((exp(b)*c)/(exp(b(+1))*c(+1)))
|
||||
*(exp(b(+1))*alpha*y(+1)+(1-delta)*k));
|
||||
y = exp(a)*(k(-1)^alpha)*(h^(1-alpha));
|
||||
k = exp(b)*(y-c)+(1-delta)*k(-1);
|
||||
a = rho*a(-1)+tau*b1(-1) + e;
|
||||
b = tau*a(-1)+rho*b1(-1) + u;
|
||||
b1 = b(-1);
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
initval;
|
||||
y = 1.08068253095672;
|
||||
c = 0.80359242014163;
|
||||
h = 0.29175631001732;
|
||||
k = 5;
|
||||
b1 = 0;
|
||||
a = 0;
|
||||
b = 0;
|
||||
e = 0;
|
||||
u = 0;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
Sigma_e = [ 0.000081; (phi*0.009*0.009) 0.000081];
|
||||
|
||||
stoch_simul(order=2,irf=0,simul,simul_seed=1);
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,44 @@
|
|||
// example 1 from Collard's guide to Dynare
|
||||
periods 400;
|
||||
|
||||
var y, c, k, a, h, b, b1;
|
||||
varexo e,u;
|
||||
|
||||
parameters beta, rho, beta, alpha, delta, theta, psi, tau;
|
||||
|
||||
alpha = 0.36;
|
||||
rho = 0.95;
|
||||
tau = 0.025;
|
||||
beta = 0.99;
|
||||
delta = 0.025;
|
||||
psi = 0;
|
||||
theta = 2.95;
|
||||
|
||||
phi = 0.1;
|
||||
|
||||
model;
|
||||
c*theta*h^(1+psi)=(1-alpha)*y;
|
||||
k = beta*(((exp(b)*c)/(exp(b(+1))*c(+1)))
|
||||
*(exp(b(+1))*alpha*y(+1)+(1-delta)*k));
|
||||
y = exp(a)*(k(-1)^alpha)*(h^(1-alpha));
|
||||
k = exp(b)*(y-c)+(1-delta)*k(-1);
|
||||
a = rho*a(-1)+tau*b1(-1) + e;
|
||||
b = tau*a(-1)+rho*b1(-1) + u;
|
||||
b1 = b(-1);
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
initval;
|
||||
y = 1.08068253095672;
|
||||
c = 0.80359242014163;
|
||||
h = 0.29175631001732;
|
||||
k = 5;
|
||||
b1 = 0;
|
||||
a = 0;
|
||||
b = 0;
|
||||
e = 0;
|
||||
u = 0;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
Sigma_e = [ 0.000081; (phi*0.009*0.009) 0.000081];
|
||||
|
||||
stoch_simul(order=1,irf=0,simul,simul_seed=1);
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,44 @@
|
|||
// example 1 from Collard's guide to Dynare
|
||||
periods 400;
|
||||
|
||||
var y, c, k, a, h, b, b1;
|
||||
varexo e,u;
|
||||
|
||||
parameters beta, rho, beta, alpha, delta, theta, psi, tau;
|
||||
|
||||
alpha = 0.36;
|
||||
rho = 0.95;
|
||||
tau = 0.025;
|
||||
beta = 0.99;
|
||||
delta = 0.025;
|
||||
psi = 0;
|
||||
theta = 2.95;
|
||||
|
||||
phi = 0.1;
|
||||
|
||||
model;
|
||||
c*theta*h^(1+psi)=(1-alpha)*y;
|
||||
k = beta*(((exp(b)*c)/(exp(b(+1))*c(+1)))
|
||||
*(exp(b(+1))*alpha*y(+1)+(1-delta)*k));
|
||||
y = exp(a)*(k(-1)^alpha)*(h^(1-alpha));
|
||||
k = exp(b)*(y-c)+(1-delta)*k(-1);
|
||||
a = rho*a(-1)+tau*b1(-1) + e;
|
||||
b = tau*a(-1)+rho*b1(-1) + u;
|
||||
b1 = b(-1);
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
initval;
|
||||
y = 1.08068253095672;
|
||||
c = 0.80359242014163;
|
||||
h = 0.29175631001732;
|
||||
k = 5;
|
||||
a = 0;
|
||||
b = 0;
|
||||
b1 = 0;
|
||||
e = 0;
|
||||
u = 0;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
Sigma_e = [ 0.000081; (phi*0.009*0.009) 0.000081];
|
||||
|
||||
stoch_simul(irf=0,order=1);
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,42 @@
|
|||
// example 1 from Collard's guide to Dynare
|
||||
periods 400;
|
||||
|
||||
var y, c, k, a, h, b, b1;
|
||||
varexo e,u;
|
||||
|
||||
parameters beta, rho, beta, alpha, delta, theta, psi, tau;
|
||||
|
||||
alpha = 0.36;
|
||||
rho = 0.95;
|
||||
tau = 0.025;
|
||||
beta = 0.99;
|
||||
delta = 0.025;
|
||||
psi = 0;
|
||||
theta = 2.95;
|
||||
|
||||
phi = 0.1;
|
||||
|
||||
model;
|
||||
c*theta*h^(1+psi)=(1-alpha)*y;
|
||||
k = beta*(((exp(b)*c)/(exp(b(+1))*c(+1)))
|
||||
*(exp(b(+1))*alpha*y(+1)+(1-delta)*k));
|
||||
y = exp(a)*(k(-1)^alpha)*(h^(1-alpha));
|
||||
k = exp(b)*(y-c)+(1-delta)*k(-1);
|
||||
a = rho*a(-1)+tau*b1(-1) + e;
|
||||
b = tau*a(-1)+rho*b1(-1) + u;
|
||||
b1 = b(-1);
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
initval;
|
||||
y = 1.08068253095672;
|
||||
c = 0.80359242014163;
|
||||
h = 0.29175631001732;
|
||||
k = 5;
|
||||
a = 0;
|
||||
b = 0;
|
||||
b1 = 0;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
Sigma_e = [ 0.000081; (phi*0.009*0.009) 0.000081];
|
||||
|
||||
stoch_simul(irf=0,periods=10000,order=2);
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,44 @@
|
|||
// example 1 from Collard's guide to Dynare
|
||||
// test options.periods
|
||||
|
||||
var y, c, k, a, h, b;
|
||||
varexo e,u;
|
||||
|
||||
parameters beta, rho, beta, alpha, delta, theta, psi, tau;
|
||||
|
||||
alpha = 0.36;
|
||||
rho = 0.95;
|
||||
tau = 0.025;
|
||||
beta = 0.99;
|
||||
delta = 0.025;
|
||||
psi = 0;
|
||||
theta = 2.95;
|
||||
|
||||
phi = 0.1;
|
||||
|
||||
model;
|
||||
c*theta*h^(1+psi)=(1-alpha)*y;
|
||||
k = beta*(((exp(b)*c)/(exp(b(+1))*c(+1)))
|
||||
*(exp(b(+1))*alpha*y(+1)+(1-delta)*k));
|
||||
y = exp(a)*(k(-1)^alpha)*(h^(1-alpha));
|
||||
k = exp(b)*(y-c)+(1-delta)*k(-1);
|
||||
a = rho*a(-1)+tau*b(-2) + e;
|
||||
b = tau*a(-1)+rho*b(-2) + u;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
initval;
|
||||
y = 1.08068253095672;
|
||||
c = 0.80359242014163;
|
||||
h = 0.29175631001732;
|
||||
k = 5;
|
||||
a = 0;
|
||||
b = 0;
|
||||
e = 0;
|
||||
u = 0;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
Sigma_e = [ 0.000081; (phi*0.009*0.009) 0.000081];
|
||||
|
||||
check;
|
||||
|
||||
stoch_simul(order=2,irf=0,periods=400,simul_seed=1);
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,36 @@
|
|||
var c k;
|
||||
varexo x;
|
||||
|
||||
parameters alph gam delt bet aa;
|
||||
alph=0.5;
|
||||
gam=0.5;
|
||||
delt=0.02;
|
||||
bet=0.05;
|
||||
aa=0.5;
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
model;
|
||||
c + k - aa*x*k(-1)^alph - (1-delt)*k(-1);
|
||||
c^(-gam) - (1+bet)^(-1)*(aa*alph*x(+1)*k^(alph-1) + 1 - delt)*c(+1)^(-gam);
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
initval;
|
||||
x = 1;
|
||||
k = ((delt+bet)/(1.0*aa*alph))^(1/(alph-1));
|
||||
c = aa*k^alph-delt*k +1 ;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
steady;
|
||||
|
||||
check;
|
||||
|
||||
shocks;
|
||||
var x;
|
||||
periods 1;
|
||||
values 1.2;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
simul(periods=200);
|
||||
|
||||
rplot c;
|
||||
rplot k;
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,38 @@
|
|||
periods 20000;
|
||||
var c k a;
|
||||
varexo e;
|
||||
parameters alpha beta delta gamma rho;
|
||||
|
||||
beta = 0.95;
|
||||
delta = 1;
|
||||
alpha = 0.3;
|
||||
rho = 0;
|
||||
gamma = 2;
|
||||
|
||||
model;
|
||||
exp(c) + exp(k) = (1-delta) * exp(k(-1)) + exp(a) * exp(k(-1))^alpha;
|
||||
exp(c)^(-gamma) = beta * exp(c(+1))^(-gamma) * (exp(a(+1)) * alpha * exp(k)^(alpha-1) + 1 - delta);
|
||||
a = rho * a(-1) + e;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
initval;
|
||||
k=0;
|
||||
c=0;
|
||||
a=0;
|
||||
e=0;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
Sigma_e_ = 1;
|
||||
|
||||
stoch_simul(nomoments,nocorr,ar=0,irf=0);
|
||||
|
||||
global dr_
|
||||
load objectives/sgu_ex1;
|
||||
|
||||
test(dr_.ghx,dr_obj_.ghx,1);
|
||||
test(dr_.ghu,dr_obj_.ghu,2);
|
||||
test(dr_.ghxx,dr_obj_.ghxx,3);
|
||||
test(dr_.ghxu,dr_obj_.ghxu,4);
|
||||
test(dr_.ghuu,dr_obj_.ghuu,5);
|
||||
|
||||
disp('TESTS OK');
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,40 @@
|
|||
periods 200;
|
||||
var y, c, k, a, h, b;
|
||||
varexo e,u;
|
||||
|
||||
parameters beta, rho, beta, alpha, delta, theta, psi, tau, phi;
|
||||
|
||||
alpha = 0.36;
|
||||
rho = 0.95;
|
||||
tau = 0.025;
|
||||
beta = 0.99;
|
||||
delta = 0.025;
|
||||
psi = 0;
|
||||
theta = 2.95;
|
||||
|
||||
phi = 0.1;
|
||||
|
||||
model;
|
||||
c*theta*h^(1+psi)=(1-alpha)*y;
|
||||
k = beta*(((exp(b)*c)/(exp(b(+1))*c(+1)))*(exp(b(+1))*alpha*y(+1)+(1-delta)*k));
|
||||
y = exp(a)*(k(-1)^alpha)*(h^(1-alpha));
|
||||
k = exp(b)*(y-c)+(1-delta)*k(-1);
|
||||
a = rho*a(-1)+tau*b(-1) + e;
|
||||
b = tau*a(-1)+rho*b(-1) + u;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
initval;
|
||||
y = 1;
|
||||
c = 0.7;
|
||||
h = 0.1;
|
||||
k = 11;
|
||||
a = 0;
|
||||
b = 0;
|
||||
e = 0;
|
||||
u = 0;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
Sigma_e = [ 0.01 0.005; 0.01];
|
||||
|
||||
stoch_simul(irf=0);
|
||||
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,42 @@
|
|||
// test setting variance to 0
|
||||
periods 400;
|
||||
|
||||
var y, c, k, a, h, b;
|
||||
varexo e,u;
|
||||
|
||||
parameters beta, rho, beta, alpha, delta, theta, psi, tau;
|
||||
|
||||
alpha = 0.36;
|
||||
rho = 0.95;
|
||||
tau = 0.025;
|
||||
beta = 0.99;
|
||||
delta = 0.025;
|
||||
psi = 0;
|
||||
theta = 2.95;
|
||||
|
||||
phi = 0.1;
|
||||
|
||||
model;
|
||||
c*theta*h^(1+psi)=(1-alpha)*y;
|
||||
k = beta*(((exp(b)*c)/(exp(b(+1))*c(+1)))
|
||||
*(exp(b(+1))*alpha*y(+1)+(1-delta)*k));
|
||||
y = exp(a)*(k(-1)^alpha)*(h^(1-alpha));
|
||||
k = exp(b)*(y-c)+(1-delta)*k(-1);
|
||||
a = rho*a(-1)+tau*b(-1) + e;
|
||||
b = tau*a(-1)+rho*b(-1) + u;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
initval;
|
||||
y = 1.08068253095672;
|
||||
c = 0.80359242014163;
|
||||
h = 0.29175631001732;
|
||||
k = 5;
|
||||
a = 0;
|
||||
b = 0;
|
||||
e = 0;
|
||||
u = 0;
|
||||
end;
|
||||
|
||||
Sigma_e = [ 0.000081; (phi*0.009*0.009) 0];
|
||||
|
||||
stoch_simul(order=1,irf=0,simul);
|
Loading…
Reference in New Issue