diff --git a/tests/Makefile.am b/tests/Makefile.am index af4d71ab3..7a7a6f349 100644 --- a/tests/Makefile.am +++ b/tests/Makefile.am @@ -6,6 +6,7 @@ MODFILES = \ estimation/fs2000_MCMC_jumping_covariance.mod \ estimation/fs2000_initialize_from_calib.mod \ estimation/fs2000_calibrated_covariance.mod \ + estimation/MH_recover/fs2000_recover.mod \ gsa/ls2003.mod \ gsa/ls2003a.mod \ ramst.mod \ diff --git a/tests/estimation/MH_recover/fs2000_recover.mod b/tests/estimation/MH_recover/fs2000_recover.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..bfb7b68d0 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/estimation/MH_recover/fs2000_recover.mod @@ -0,0 +1,139 @@ +/* + * This file replicates the estimation of the cash in advance model described + * Frank Schorfheide (2000): "Loss function-based evaluation of DSGE models", + * Journal of Applied Econometrics, 15(6), 645-670. + * + * The data are in file "fsdat_simul.m", and have been artificially generated. + * They are therefore different from the original dataset used by Schorfheide. + * + * The equations are taken from J. Nason and T. Cogley (1994): "Testing the + * implications of long-run neutrality for monetary business cycle models", + * Journal of Applied Econometrics, 9, S37-S70. + * Note that there is an initial minus sign missing in equation (A1), p. S63. + * + * This implementation was written by Michel Juillard. Please note that the + * following copyright notice only applies to this Dynare implementation of the + * model. + */ + +/* + * Copyright (C) 2004-2010 Dynare Team + * + * This file is part of Dynare. + * + * Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify + * it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by + * the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or + * (at your option) any later version. + * + * Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, + * but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of + * MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the + * GNU General Public License for more details. + * + * You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License + * along with Dynare. If not, see . + */ + +var m P c e W R k d n l gy_obs gp_obs y dA; +varexo e_a e_m; + +parameters alp bet gam mst rho psi del; + +alp = 0.33; +bet = 0.99; +gam = 0.003; +mst = 1.011; +rho = 0.7; +psi = 0.787; +del = 0.02; + +model; +dA = exp(gam+e_a); +log(m) = (1-rho)*log(mst) + rho*log(m(-1))+e_m; +-P/(c(+1)*P(+1)*m)+bet*P(+1)*(alp*exp(-alp*(gam+log(e(+1))))*k^(alp-1)*n(+1)^(1-alp)+(1-del)*exp(-(gam+log(e(+1)))))/(c(+2)*P(+2)*m(+1))=0; +W = l/n; +-(psi/(1-psi))*(c*P/(1-n))+l/n = 0; +R = P*(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(-alp)/W; +1/(c*P)-bet*P*(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)/(m*l*c(+1)*P(+1)) = 0; +c+k = exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)+(1-del)*exp(-(gam+e_a))*k(-1); +P*c = m; +m-1+d = l; +e = exp(e_a); +y = k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a)); +gy_obs = dA*y/y(-1); +gp_obs = (P/P(-1))*m(-1)/dA; +end; + +shocks; +var e_a; stderr 0.014; +var e_m; stderr 0.005; +end; + +steady_state_model; + dA = exp(gam); + gst = 1/dA; + m = mst; + khst = ( (1-gst*bet*(1-del)) / (alp*gst^alp*bet) )^(1/(alp-1)); + xist = ( ((khst*gst)^alp - (1-gst*(1-del))*khst)/mst )^(-1); + nust = psi*mst^2/( (1-alp)*(1-psi)*bet*gst^alp*khst^alp ); + n = xist/(nust+xist); + P = xist + nust; + k = khst*n; + + l = psi*mst*n/( (1-psi)*(1-n) ); + c = mst/P; + d = l - mst + 1; + y = k^alp*n^(1-alp)*gst^alp; + R = mst/bet; + W = l/n; + ist = y-c; + q = 1 - d; + + e = 1; + + gp_obs = m/dA; + gy_obs = dA; +end; + +steady; + +check; + +estimated_params; +alp, beta_pdf, 0.356, 0.02; +bet, beta_pdf, 0.993, 0.002; +gam, normal_pdf, 0.0085, 0.003; +mst, normal_pdf, 1.0002, 0.007; +rho, beta_pdf, 0.129, 0.223; +psi, beta_pdf, 0.65, 0.05; +del, beta_pdf, 0.01, 0.005; +stderr e_a, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.035449, inf; +stderr e_m, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.008862, inf; +end; + +varobs gp_obs gy_obs; + +options_.MaxNumberOfBytes=2000*11*8/4; +estimation(order=1, datafile='../fsdat_simul',nobs=192, loglinear, mh_replic=2000, mh_nblocks=2, mh_jscale=0.8); +copyfile([M_.dname filesep 'metropolis' filesep 'fs2000_recover_mh1_blck1.mat'],'fs2000_mh1_blck1.mat') +copyfile([M_.dname filesep 'metropolis' filesep 'fs2000_recover_mh3_blck2.mat'],'fs2000_mh3_blck2.mat') +delete([M_.dname filesep 'metropolis' filesep 'fs2000_recover_mh4_blck2.mat']) + +estimation(order=1, datafile='../fsdat_simul',mode_compute=0,mode_file=fs2000_recover_mode, nobs=192, loglinear, mh_replic=2000, mh_nblocks=2, mh_jscale=0.8,mh_recover); + +%check first unaffected chain +temp1=load('fs2000_mh1_blck1.mat'); +temp2=load([M_.dname filesep 'Metropolis' filesep 'fs2000_recover_mh1_blck1.mat']); + +if max(max(temp1.x2-temp2.x2))>1e-10 + error('Draws of unaffected chain are not the same') +end + +%check second, affected chain with last unaffected file +temp1=load('fs2000_mh3_blck2.mat'); +temp2=load([M_.dname filesep 'Metropolis' filesep 'fs2000_recover_mh3_blck2.mat']); + +if max(max(temp1.x2-temp2.x2))>1e-10 + error('Draws of affected chain''s unaffected files are not the same') +end